Key Words: USA, Israel, Philippines, Georgia, Russia, Thailand, Research, Global, UK
Tags: Anti-vax, Flu, Orthodox Jewish, Measles, Disinformation, Pets, Rabies, Dunning Kruger, Buddhism, Rohingya Muslims, Health Care Not Vaccinated, MMR
-Angola: Microcephaly Cases Point to African Zika Outbreak. This is not the best way to identify there was a Zika outbreak, especially if the early warning to the rest of the world is ignored. What’s Needed to Do a Better Job of Preempting Disease Outbreaks.
-USA↓: Colorado Parents Are Holding ‘Chickenpox Parties’ to Deliberately Infect Their Children with the Virus. }} Chickenpox Outbreak Keeps 38 Unvaccinated Kids from Class. Parents Plan Unsafe Chickenpox Party. One Parent 'Swamped with Requests' to Share Disease. Hardly Harmless: the Dangerous Tradition of Pox Parties. Pox Parties Taken to the next (Illegal) Level. ¶ Overall there seems to be a disconnect between rhetoric about protecting children, and actual behavior concerning children. A Glimpse Inside the Tent City That Was Built as Pop Up Shelter for Detained Children That Has since Nearly Quadrupled in Size. Sidelined Health Official Says EPA Inaction Means "Kids Are Disposable", EPA Official on Why She Was Ousted: 'Maybe Saving Children Doesn't Matter Anymore', The Trump Administration’s Attack on EPA Science and Children’s Health. 5 Women on Deciding Not to Have Children Because of Climate Change, How Do You Decide to Have a Baby When Climate Change Is Remaking Life on Earth, [Photo].
-USA↑↓: NYC Measles Cases Related to Israel Outbreak. -Israel, Global↓.
-UK: MPs Shocked by Low Flu Vaccine Rates among Social Care Staff. 180930-VCP. -USA↓. }} Strategies to Improve Staff Vaccination Rates. Why Do the Majority of NHS Staff Not Get the Flu Vaccine. Why Aren’t All Health Care Workers Getting the Flu Shot 2016. The Health Detectives on the Trail of Measles Outbreaks$.
-Thailand: Vaccine Denial Behind Measles Deaths in South. 180923-VCP-Thailand. }} This is part of a long history of Islamophobia in Thailand Irrational and Dangerous, Thai Police Shut down Journalists’ Discussion about Rohingya. What’s the Connection Between Buddhism and Ethnic Cleansing in Myanmar.
-DRC: Ebola Is about Human Beings and Trust. -Research↓
-Philippines: Filipino Vaccine Confidence Fades Following DengVaxia Scare. 181014-VCP-Global, -USA-B↓. Vaccine Confidence Plummets in the Philippines Following Dengue Vaccine Scare: Why it Matters to Pandemic Preparedness, VCP Literature Archive. }} EU Drug Agency Urges Approval for Dengue Vaccine.
-Israel: Measles Outbreak in Jerusalem Worries Health Officials – 340 Cases in 2018. 181007-VCP, -USA↑. }} In 2013 Poliovirus Detected from Environmental Samples in Israel, Israel's Silent Polio Epidemic Breaks All the Rules. This was quickly controlled by vaccine Health Ministry Announces End to Israel's Seven month long Polio Crisis and they have improved surveillance Israeli Scientists Find Way to Detect Polio Outbreaks Earlier. However; there have been outbreaks and vaccine refusal in Orthodox Jewish communities worldwide, Anonymous Anti-Vaxxers Push Propaganda on Local Orthodox Community, Ultra Orthodox Anti- Vaxxers Push Yeshivas to Admit Unvaccinated Students, Why Are So Many Jewish Parents Opting Not to Vaccinate Their Kids for HPV, 170122-6. This has also become a problem in Israel, State to Anti-Vaxxers: No Vaccination, No Child Support, Would it Be Legally Justified to Impose Vaccination in Israel. Examining the Issue in Light of the 2013 Detection of Polio in Israeli Sewage, Measles Cases Spike Suddenly, Israel Vaccine Law Proposal – Seeking Balance to Improve Vaccination Rates. Ironically at least part of the anti-vax Narrative is coming along with “virulent anti-Israel themes”, are Russian in origin, Russian Trolls Stoke Public Discord on Vaccine Science, As Deadly Measles Outbreak Spreads, Russian Trolls and Bots Spread Antivax Messages. Here’s Why, <ADDED 180902-180422-1‡>8A, -Georgia↑. Russia in the meantime is relearning that like the use of chemical, radiological and biological weapons, that disinformation can blowback, Measles Cases Jump 13 Fold in Russia in 2018, forgetting that it is part of the same biosphere as the rest of the world, that they are not is a separate biosphere that stops at its political borders. The Weaponization of Social Media — and its Real World Consequences. The Weaponization of Social Media — and its Real World Consequences. Book Excerpt: Like War - The Weaponization of Social Media, [Cover].
-II. Not in VCP News Archive:
-Research: Researchers Engineer Dual Vaccine Against Anthrax and Plague. For the PDWN I do keep tracks of research and technology but don’t post as they are not directly pertinent to parademic. Include these here for VCP as there is an immediacy of vaccine manufacture, technology, distribution, and development that more directly impact people trust in vaccine. For example when flu mist came out there was greater vaccine uptake, for the Ebola vaccine though there was unexpected resistence because people did not want to be guinea pigs to make sure it was safe to use with former colonial powers, an understandable attitude that is also found outside of Africa with the diaspora, -DRC↑, Neo Colonial Attitudes to Security in War Torn Nations out of Date and Unhelpful. | Why HIV Vaccine Research Is Now about Much More than HIV. Note, after reading the article look at the picture. It shows someone in PPE during medical waste that is not in sealed plastic containers into what appears to be a regular trash pickup container that presumably is dumped into a landfill, not an incinerator. Not only opens the possibility of infectious diseases getting back into the environment but some used medical supplies are worth stealing for criminal needs or people simply not being able to afford medical equipment they need.
-USA↑: Hospital System Vaccinates Nearly 8,000 Staff in Daylong Flu Shot Blitz, -UK↑. Survey Shows Widespread Skepticism of Flu Shot. This Autism Dad Has a Warning for Anti-Vaxxers. Mom Who Lost 4 Year Old Son to Flu Urges Others to Get Vaccinated, Kansas Records its First Flu Death of the Season, CDC: Vaccination Coverage of Children Remains High. Adventures of a Science Based Mole at an Antivaccine Crankfest), Symposium: to Be a Mole or Not to Be a Mole…, Adventures of a Science Based Mole at an Antivaccine Crankfest (Conclusion). 17 Cases of Measles Reported in New York as Health Officials Urge Local Communities to Vaccinate. Arizona Cancels Vaccine Program after Backlash from Parents Who Don't Vaccinate. Parents Believe Flu Vaccine is Conspiracy, Causes Autism. Seven Cases of Measles Confirmed in Rockland. Your Facebook Feed Is Wrong, the Shot Won't Make Kids Sick: 5 Things to Know about Flu Vaccine for Children$. 181014-VCP. The Anti-Vaccine Lobby’s Revenge Candidate is Running in North Dallas. The candidate is self identified extreme right. So far have not seen if there has been a shift of anti-vax from all political persuasions to being predominately categorized as conservative, autocratic, and otherwise associated with nativist, anti-abortion -immigrant -floridae, Revelations evangelical, white supremacy, anti health care and environmental regulation. You’re Not Flu Shot People. Then You’re Not Touching My Baby$.
-A. This part of the stub was provided to the One Health Commission Bat and Rabies Education Team (BRET). USDA Finds Oral Rabies Vaccine Poses No Significant Impact on the Human Environment after Field Trails in Selected States. Unfortunately there is a growing Anti-Vaxxers Are Apparently Refusing to Vaccinate Their Dogs, to include for rabies. How to Avoid All Vaccinations and Show to Champion Status, The Big Scam: Rabies Vaccination, 180819-VCP-USA, 180819-VCP-II-A-‡-B. If the pattern with human anti-vax holds deaths from vaccine preventable diseases will not change this behavior, more likely a different explanation will be given such as the ambulance did not arrive in time. Unlikely that if children, or others, are mauled by a pet with rabies, that a cluster of anti-vax will change behavior, though individuals might. More likely people will delay or not do so due to peer pressure, but if rabies.
-B. Vaccines Almost Eradicated Polio. Now A Disease Like It Is Back. Cases of Mysterious Paralyzing Illness Reported in 22 States, this has been a persistent pattern of geographic areas, demographic and time for a few years now, with more cases each wave. CDC Confirms 62 Cases of Polio like Illness Across US, CDC, Partners Probe 127 Polio like Cases in 22 States, Chattanooga Mom Warns Other Parents after 'Mystery Illness' Hits Son. Of course InfoWars* spins this, Serious “Polio Like” Illness on Rise as Officials Ignore Possible Vaccine Trigger, and the conspiracy theory is supported by real world vaccine derived polio 181014-VCP-Papua, -Philippines↑, and the continuing uncertainty of the cause or treatment which creates an information vacuum that conspiracy theory and other disinformation can fill. *180819-VCP, Twitter Permanently Bans Alex Jones, Infowars Citing Abuse, <ADDED 180812-180805-6|>, 180812-VCP-USA.
-C. Not directly a vaccine issue, but has same arguments and gaining traction Science Says Fluoride in Water Is Good for Kids. So Why Are These Towns Banning It.
-Global: VCP Blog: The Biggest Pandemic Risk. Viral Misinformation. }} Searching for a Vaccine Against Misinformation 2009. [Cartoon 1894, Chart]. | Measles Outbreak Raging in Europe Could Be Brought to U.S., Doctors Warn, -USA -Italy↑.
-III. Applicable to VCP from PDWN-181021
-4. DNA overlap with vaccination.
-6. The power of labels.
-181007-1>A. I wax philosophical about truth vs fact. This may be pertinent to VCP as it deals with conflicting realities.
-181007-1>B. Communicating with the laity requires getting over being an expert that knows better than they do.
-180513-1.1>. DRC Ebola continues, with murder of medical personnel.
Disclaimer: PDWN is not an affiliate of, obligated to, or funded by VCP, The London School of Tropical Medicine, or any other organization. The excerpts from PDWN are provided as additional information for the use of those who wish to pursue a topic further. | Be aware that the provided information is not always valid in terms of current science consensus. The assumption of parademic is that if social construction of information is believed to be true, even if demonstrated as false or unverifiable, then they are a social fact with resulting behavior that is in concert with perceived validity, regardless of contrary evidence. | If there is disagreement between VCP and PDWN, the curator of PDWN recommends given greater weight to VCP positions. VCP has the greater capabilities, expertise, depth or knowledge and focus on its subject area of confidence in vaccines.
1. Lacks Memeorial, 2. Disaster Fashion, 3. Desirable and Dangerous Addresses, 4. Help = Harm, 5. Working with Decision Makers, 6. Narrative Evolution, 7. It’s not the Climate Change... 8. Patho_tainment, <ADDED >1. Facts Do Not Matter, >2. Global Warming Beliefs, >3. Water Cops, >4. Bio Defence, >5. Climate Warning, >6. Mosquitoes, >7. Hurridcane, >8. Promotion Censorship, >9. Ebola Embedded in Battlefield, >10. Medical Access = Survival, >11. Failing BioDefense, >12. Goop + Pseudoscience = $$$$, (181014-VCP).
Other Topics: BioTrumpism, BioPolitics, Vaccine, Biosphere, Disaster, Humor, Climate Change, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Communication, One Health, Environmental Change, Human Factors, Dengue, Katharine Hayhoe, Kavanaugh, Evangelicals, Florence, Michael, Evacuation, Repeating Failures, Family Separation, Cognitive Dissonance, Florida Politics, Context = Meaning, Midevil Warm Period, Famine, Trumpgelicals, Swimming Vikings, Pigs
-1. Johns Hopkins to Name New Research Building after Henrietta Lacks, INDEX Lack, Tuskagee. Henrietta Lacks was a young mother of five from eastern Baltimore County who, despite radiation treatment at the Johns Hopkins Hospital, died in 1951 of an aggressive cancer. Lacks was the source of the HeLa cell line that has been critical to numerous advances in medicine. Through her life and immortal cells, Henrietta Lacks made an immeasurable impact on science and medicine that has touched countless lives around the world. This building will stand as a testament to her transformative impact on scientific discovery and the ethics that must undergird its pursuit. U.S. Public Health Service Estimates They’ll Have Tuskegee Experiment Wrapped up by 2020, INDEX.
-2. Though one can separate international health from domestic health in terms of policy and application, it is however not possible to separate domestic health from the global health, which includes global environments which the US in part of, no matter how high the wall*. Melania’s Trip to Africa Says a Lot about US Foreign Policy under Trump, the president wants to slash US foreign aid. The first lady’s trip to Africa shows why he shouldn’t. | It is difficult to be sure of Melania Trump’s messages and even this Melania Trump: Talk about My Actions, Not My Fashion could mean something different or had a different purpose depending on context, [Photo, Meme, Cartoon]. As an attractive woman who has been a professional model she would be well aware of fashion and communication. In any case fashion is part of parademic ranging from icons such as biosuits 170528-1, to Victorian dress 160515-2, political statements [TShirt] and lab coats, 170312-1.2, 170220-6P. Fashion is under the larger parademic umbrella concept of the arts being one of the behaviors expressed in the context of biocalamity: auditory, emotional, visual, olfactory, kinesthetics, imaginative, interpersonal, relations, reflection of self and society, sex, literature, fiction -2-, movies (speaking of fashion statements), language, politics, humor, poetry, songs, drama, law, soft evidence, living and work spaces, and [Cartoons]. *The are possibilities represented by Biosphere 2 Legacy Lives on More than Quarter Century Later, but that would also require zero pollution and recycle of waste, and the always present social issues – two groups no longer talked to each other amid the stress of sharing a small space and disputes. | Overall though actions and words can still mean different things in different contexts, First Lady Says 'I Really Don't Care' Jacket Was Meant to Troll Press, Melania Trump Finally Gave an Explanation for Her “I Don’t Really Care. Do U?” Jacket; Melania Trump Says She Was Blindsided by Family Separations Policy, Trump Administration Weighs New Family Separation Effort at Border, <ADDED 180902-180128-3.1>10*.
-3. As Wildfires Rage, So Does Demand for High Risk Homes. A recent study finds that some of the West’s most fire-prone areas – densely forested, scenic landscapes – are also some of its most desirable. This has also been noted for desirable coastal areas to live [Cartoon], 180930-3.
-4. One of the most dangerous times of parademic is the post period. The attempts to recover, return to normal, move one, iatrogenic harm caused by helping. Psychotherapy Is Not Harmless: on the Side Effects of CBT. Therapists reported an average of 3.7 unwanted events per client, from 17 possible unwanted effects from therapy, such as deterioration, new symptoms, distress, strains in family relations or stigma.. These were then rated the likelihood of each unwanted event being directly attributable to the therapeutic process – making it a true side effect. Only those rated as ‘definitely related to treatment’ were categorised as such. An estimated 43 per cent of clients had experienced at least one unwanted side effect from CBT, equating to an average of 0.57 per client, one client had four: most often distress, deterioration and strains in family relations. More than 40 per cent of side effects were rated as severe or very severe, and more than a quarter lasted weeks or months, though the majority were mild or moderate and transient. Examples of severe side effects included: suicidality, breakups, negative feedback from family members, withdrawal from relatives, feelings of shame and guilt, or intensive crying and emotional disturbance during sessions.
-5. Working with decision makers (DM) is a big part of science advising. This is a good series to explore that that entails. The reader will have to tease out the application of biocalamaties and behavior in that context. 1. Does the DM Really Want Intelligence. 2. What Kind of Intelligence Is the DM Looking For. 3. What Are the DM's Assumptions. 4. What Does the DM Mean When They Say "X". 5. What Constraints Is the DM Willing to Put on the Requirement. 6. What Are the DM's Priorities.
-6. One was to identify how important an Icon and Narrative is tracking how it was repurposed. The recently self destructed Banksy artwork is an example. First was the irony that it became more valuable [Cartoon] just as has happened when a product becomes less available and/or a more critical need with a biocalamity -180930-3A‡↓. Then it is was related to other current events [Cartoon] -180930-3A↓, and to other news and narratives [Cartoon], to include biocalamity and parademic topics [Cartoon]. After the icon stops circulating then one looks to see if it was a previous wave [Cartoon, Meme, Art] and watch to see if it reappears in another wave, assuming there is a future where there can be another wave. Banksy Hospitalized with Third Degree Burns after Attempting to Cash Self Destructing Check.
-7. Not the Fall That Kills You [Meme]. Earthquakes Don't Kill People, Buildings Do$, not to mention the fires, power outages, broken transportation and communication links, flooding [Still]. It’s not the climate (environmental) change that will kill you, it’s not even the high heat and low cold (on same day). It will be starvation, thirst, toxic air (and water), mega fires + smoke, poor confusing or avoiding decisions by leaders -2- -3-, saving and making money given priority over saving lives, infectious diseases, drowning, respiratory kidney heart failure, despair, loss of livelihoods, forced migration. Most of these are not fast painless ways to die. #Linguistics Climate Change Will Kill off Icebergs, Animals, and Metaphors.
-Quote: As human beings, we are vulnerable to confusing the unprecedented with the improbable. In our everyday experience, if something has never happened before, we are generally safe in assuming it is not going to happen in the future, but the exceptions can kill you and climate change is one of those exceptions. – Al Gore
-8. Epidemics as Entertainment. Plagues capture the public imagination in ways that other less terrifying, but more deadly, diseases don’t. Plagues are a staple of modern day popular culture. There’s the actual news cycles dominated by the disease du jour—Ebola, H1N1, SARS. Then there’s an entire genre of film based on mysterious bugs that wipe out populations, or turn people into the murderous undead. A popular online game, Pandemic, has you deliberately infecting as many countries as possible. You would think that our fascination with epidemics might be a natural human reaction to a threat, and yet, our specific fear of certain diseases has little to do with their actual degree of deadliness. What exactly makes an illness newsworthy. Historians and literary critics have produced many useful studies of individual diseases, they have only rarely explored the larger process of competition for attention that operated in making one disease seem a more compelling subject than another.
-181007-4>1. Even When Presented with Facts, Supported by Evidence, Many Choose Not to Believe Them. Some distrust comes from studies suggesting that current research findings aren't as robust as previously thought. Reasons range from innocent causes, such as undetected analytical errors, to occasional questionable research practices. But the authors also point to well funded, concerted efforts to discredit solid scientific research for self interested political, ideological or economic ends. Many people are also likely to use motivated reasoning when evaluating research based claims about the causes and consequences. | Something’s Going on Here: Building a Comprehensive Profile of Conspiracy Thinkers. By and large, people gravitate toward conspiracy theories that seem to affirm or validate their political views. Republicans are vastly more likely than Democrats to believe that climate change is a hoax. Democrats are more likely to believe that Trump’s campaign “colluded” with the Russians. But some people are habitual conspiracists who entertain a variety of generic conspiracy theories. ghlight3 Here’s What the Spread of Misinformation on Twitter Looks like. Spread of misinformation has been compared to epidemics and there is some data on How Misinfodemics Spread Disease. To date there has not been a study of how correct information spreads – which may also be epidemic like, though slower and not as widely as more interesting false information. There is no data that circulation of correct information actually slows the expansion of an epidemic. It’s a reasonable assumption, but it is still an assumption. | This article is an oversimplification that implies only certain wrong thinking people ignore evidence. Everyone evaluates inputs for what they will assimilate and what they will dismiss, and how much weight/ value will be given to what is accepted. It does not matter if one is a conspiracy theorist or an objective scientist, this is the SLA process of selecting what supports ones narratives, limit what does not support, and adjust the a priori narrative to incorporate new information, Close Enough-II4.
-180930-3A>2, <ADDED 181007>1. The first Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C by the IPCC is 1.5°C above pre industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. IPCC Says Limiting Global Warming to 1.5 °C Will Require Drastic Action. Climate Report Understates Threat. Kudlow on Pushes Back on UN Warning: Climate Change Modeling Has Not Been Successful.
-‡. Why It's Misleading to Say We Only Have 12 Years to Avert Dangerous Climate Change -180513-1.1↓ Golden Hour. Climate Change Will Get Worse. These Investors Are Betting on It -6↑. Climate Report Warns of Extreme Weather, Displacement of Millions Without Action. A 2018 Economics Nobel Winner Created an Invaluable Tool for Understanding Climate Change. The World Was Just Issued 12 Year Ultimatum on Climate Change. Why We Keep Ignoring Even the Most Dire Climate Change Warnings. UN Climate Change Report Contrasts with Recent EPA Policy Changes . The Scariest Parts of the New Climate Change Report: the Goals the World Set Are Inadequate, and the Track We're on Is Disastrous. Climate Report Warns of Extreme Weather, Displacement of Millions Without Action, years from now one of Trump’s children will claim that if the US had built the wall this would not be a problem. Climate Change Debate Is Reflected in One Woman's Story in Play at Guthrie Theater driven by both rigorous logic and raw, almost palpable, grief. Opinion: New Climate Report Reveals Planetary Horror Story. On Climate, Our Choice Is Now Catastrophe or Mere Disaster. I Learned about Climate Change by Watching Fortnite on Twitch, hey, there are worse things to be learned from videogames. The Trump Administration Anticipates Catastrophic Global Warming by 2100. Dealing with Critical Risks from Climate Change Beyond Adaptation and Mitigation Limits, The Almighty Dollar Beats Disaster Mitigation – Every Day. Global Warming Petition Project. [Cartoon]. Administration Mum on Climate Change Report as Trump Says: I Want to Look at Who Drew it, Donald Trump Casts Doubt on New UN Report That Sounds Climate Change Alarm, Trump Says He’ll Review UN Climate Change Report, doubtful that he can read at that grade level, but if so likely it will be labeled a fake; Trump Questions Origins of U.N. Climate Report, [Cartoon], Kudlow Says United Nations ‘Overestimate’ on Potential Climate Change Impact. Scientists and Military Take on Climate Change; Trump Golfs. The DOT climate report is not the first time that something slipped past the biotrump narrative, Trump’s New Defense Bill Includes a Dire Warning on Climate Change. Role of Natural Factors on Recent Climate Change Underestimated. The Case Against Despair on Climate Change. Trump Administration Tries to Distance Itself from Alarming New Climate Change Report, How the Trump Administration Is Accelerating Climate Change. Can Technology Reverse Climate Change, 15 Emerging Technologies That Could Reduce Global Catastrophic Biological Risks, possibly but PDWN concern of course is if people will allow the development and use of technology that can do this. Climate Change Fueling Disasters, Disease in Potentially Irreversible Ways, Report Warns. GOP Shrugs off Dire Study Warning of Global Warming. The Big Lie We’re Told about Climate Change Is That It’s Our Own Fault. UN Climate Change Report Doesn’t Bother Climatologist Cliff Mass. Who Is the We in ‘We Are Causing Climate Change’. How the Climate Debate Changed this Week. Weekend Update: U.N.'s Climate Change Report Video. Why People Aren’t Motivated to Address Climate Change. We're All Doomed: Climate Change Edition, Sheneman Cartoon. ‘Can Anyone Hear Me’ Shout Terrified Climate Scientists Frantically Waving Arms as Passersby Walk Straight Through Them, U.N. Reports Says Humanity Has 12 Years to Avert Climate Related Catastrophe, Climate Scientists Confirm There’s Still Time To Blow Up The Earth.
-A. None of these impact will influence or have negative consequences to Trumpgelicals, -2- -3- -4- -5-$, -6- -7- -8-$ -9- -10- 2015 -11- -12- -13- -14- -15- 2016 -16- -17- -18- 2014 -19- -20-. Clearly religion is a fruitful area to look into with parademic topics, the balancing of beliefs that form personal identity, the cognitive coping when realities do not fit beliefs and therefore are resisted as they threaten one’s identity. People behavior tends to become more dangerous to themselves and others when they are threatened. One insight is that when an individual claims religious authority of a belief it likely to be an internal personal belief justified by religion, sometimes such a person gains a position of authority and thier personal beliefs are shared by others, but they become the focus of personal beliefs but never exactly the same as other individuals of the group they are given control of. This is not limited to religion, indeed can be what are considered in opposition to religion, such as war and science. The Christian Climate Professor Bridging the Gap Between Science and Faith, Evangelical Environmentalism. The Trump Prophecy Includes Troubling Parallels for American Democracy -2- resisting the authority of a sitting president – or, at least, this sitting president – is conflated with resisting God himself.. [Cartoon, Photo]. They’ve Done It Again! U.N. Says We Have 10 Years Left to Save the World from Climate Change. Trump's Future Be Damned Climate Change Policy. BTW this will not be dying of overheating, it will be from famine/ starvation, and drought/ thirst. | U.S. Top Court Rebuffs Appeal of Kavanaugh Ruling Nixing Climate Rule, Trump's Evangelical Supporters Hail Kavanaugh Confirmation. Latest Trump Administration Action on Religious Freedom Shrinks the Distance Between Church and State. Religion is often a succor for the problems of life and usually associated with biocalamities and changing society, We Refuse to Be Silent Any Longer: Magic as Self Care after Kavanaugh -6 Cartoon2↑.
-B. As the curator of PDWN I find the overlap of religion and parademic fascinating. I don’t understand the religious perspective, find that I am unable to predict behavior based on a religious perspective, have no comprehension of making decisions based on scriptural authority. I recognize it is important and influences human behavior, that it is one of those social areas that is vulnerable to exploitation, being abused and being incorrectly stereotyped. Otherwise I am at a loss to explain the apparent cognitive dissonance of what I perceive as contradictions, hypocrisy, inconsistent internal logic, self delusion, blame on others and a whole slew of other sins. Then again I don’t have to. One of the observations from parademic is that behavior is based on beliefs (presumably real, but not everyone agrees what real is), and that if a behavior is self destructive and/or harmful to others one wants the behavior to change, not necessarily the belief it is justified and motivated by, just how that belief is physically expressed.
-‡. Genesis 1:26 Then God said, Let us make man in our image, after our likeness. And let them have dominion over the fish of the sea and over the birds of the heavens and over the livestock and over all the earth and over every creeping thing that creeps on the earth. Job 12:7-10 But ask the beasts, and they will teach you; the birds of the heavens, and they will tell you; or the bushes of the earth, and they will teach you; and the fish of the sea will declare to you. Who among all these does not know that the hand of the Lord has done this. In his hand is the life of every living thing and the breath of all mankind. Revelation 11:18 The nations raged, but your wrath came, and the time for the dead to be judged, and for rewarding your servants, the prophets and saints, and those who fear your name, both small and great, and for destroying the destroyers of the earth. Jeremiah 2:7 And I brought you into a plentiful land to enjoy its fruits and its good things. But when you came in, you defiled my land and made my heritage an abomination. Isaiah 24:5 The earth lies defiled under its inhabitants; for they have transgressed the laws, violated the statutes, broken the everlasting covenant. 1 Corinthians 4:2 Moreover, it is required of stewards that they be found trustworthy. Revelation 21:1 Then I saw a new heaven and a new earth, for the first heaven and the first earth had passed away, and the sea was no more.
-C. Devastating Climate Change Coming. Here’s How We Can Feed 10 Billion People Sustainably by 2050, Options for Keeping the Food System Within Environmental Limits. The food system is a major driver of climate change, changes in land use, depletion of freshwater resources, and pollution of aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems through excessive nitrogen and phosphorus inputs -180916-1↓. Between 2010 and 2050, as a result of expected changes in population and income levels, the environmental effects of the food system could increase by 50-90% in the absence of technological changes and dedicated mitigation measures, reaching levels that are beyond the planetary boundaries that define a safe operating space for humanity. No single measure is enough to keep these effects within all planetary boundaries simultaneously, and that a synergistic combination of measures will be needed to sufficiently mitigate the projected increase in environmental pressures. WFP: Climate Change to Accelerate World Hunger.
-D. How a Viking Swimming with a Sheep Led to Climate Change Denial. The lesson here is that scholars in the sciences and humanities need to work more closely together, to learn from one another as equals. The study of the past, for better or worse, has never been a "closed" discipline. Although of course different sometimes in practice, in theory anyone who learns the methods scholars use to try to access the past - how to access and properly contextualize primary sources - can have something meaningful to say about a given period. That said, some people are better at this than others. The article Thorkel Farserk Goes for a Swim: Climate Change, the Medieval Optimum, and the Perils of Amateurism, tells a story about a 10th-century Viking and a modern scientist who read with too little skepticism , which has dramatic implications as we confront the recent UN report on climate change. The story was seized on by an early climate scientist as an anecdote that helped prove what's since become known as the Medieval Warm Period, the hypothesis that the climate particularly of Northern Europe from the 10th to 13th centuries was slightly warmer than the early 20th century. This impacted not only weather but agricultural production. Thorkel's story fits here because it seemed to suggest that the water around Greenland was much warmer than it is now. Climate change deniers, in addition to refusing to believe the science, now point to the erasure of the Medieval Warm Period. Thorkel's swim is a weird story to begin with and never should have been read the way it was. Along with sheep laden swims, the Book of Settlements it comes from also has stories about mermen giving prophecies and women filling the sea with fish via witchcraft. This text was never intended to be read as a straightforward recording of facts. Properly contextualized, Thorkel's swim likely should be read as another fantastic tale about the settlement of Greenland - as something much closer to myth than history. This, unfortunately, wasn't how it was read and we're still dealing with the consequences today.
-180916-1>3. In a Drying Climate, Colorado's Water Cop Patrols for Water Thieves. Specializing in the complex world of water law. His job has become more important in this region after a series of hot, dry summers have made farmers more desperate for water, and more willing to steal it or go to battle over it. ¶ Teen Cancer Survivor Has Selfless Wish Granted with Help from Milford Based Organization, ‘How can I go on a cruise and sail on water for 10 days when people don’t have water to drink. “While I have the resources, why not make a difference now”. Clean Water Act Dramatically Cut Pollution in US Waterways. Irrigating Vegetables with Wastewater in African Cities May Spread Disease. -181007-4C↑, <ADDED 180930-180916-5>3.
-180916-3.3>4, <ADDED 181007>2. Fearful of Swine Fever, France Plans Fence on Belgian Border. Besides the problem of fencing pigs out, and the costs of maintaining such a long fence so it remains an effective barrier, and by the time the fence is completed the outbreak will not only be in France, but the outbreak will probably be over, It seems that the history of the Maginot Line has been forgotten. This is probably more to give the appearance something is being done as biodefense itself is not particularly dramatic -180408-5.4↑. Though pig to pig contact is the easiest way of transmission, when an infectious disease jumps continents one needs to suspect human involvement via transportation of pigs, pig products, food for pigs, and the always present risk (actually a certainty) that those who raise pigs hide that a pig was sick. [Cartoon, Meme, Cartoon]. This action by France is probably fueled by its own measles outbreak and recent Belgian outbreak, China Bans Imports of Bulgarian Pigs Due to African Swine Fever. African Swine Fever Reaches Tianjin as China Reports New Outbreaks. | As a pandemic planner during the 2009 Flu this is remindful of some of the same parademic behaviors of that time INDEX 2009 H1N1, Swine Flu, Counsel Claims Minister's 'Intransigence' Delaying Case Where Woman Claims She Got Sleep Disorder from Swine Flu Vaccine, Why Border Controls Can't Keep Out the Flu Virus, Egypt Orders Slaughter of All Pigs over Swine Flu ..... Now Cairo Gags on its Own Garbage, The 'False' Pandemic: Drug Firms Cashed in on Scare over Swine Flu, Claims Euro Health Chief, Swine Flu Vaccine: Will We Have a Choice. 181014-VCP-Ukraine. This was one of the origins of parademic. I had observed prior to that how human behavior had hindered response, and acerbated disaster so I was primed with the concept. As planners we were faced with an overwhelming catastrophic bioevent (and that was not even considering syndemic, concurrent disasters with economic decline and the polybiocalamities that we face now). We faced issues of logistics, command and control, personnel, communications, potential mass casualties and fatalities, medical and resource attrition, fatigue from continuous 24/7 operations, lack of basic information for planning, transportation, manufacture and delivery of treatment, personnel shortages, decision makers who did not comprehend what a global pandemic means. The daunting list does not include the two biggest problems faced in control and containment of a pandemic. The combination of misinformation and human behavior. These not only made a horrible situation worse, but could easily neutralize any solutions, in fact our planning efforts were neutralized and hindered by our own decision makers. Overall things have not changed that much from 2009 except in quantity. Now there are more biohazards, more biocalamities already in progress waiting to accelerate, more ignorance and misinformation, more environmental conditions that are conducive to acceleration of biocalamities, and more needed to be done at higher cost to mitigate the inevitable – the option of prevention is long gone.
-180916-5>6, <ADDED 181007>3, Mosquitoes. Venezuela: Hospitals See More Dengue than Measles Cases, Says Epidemiology Society. The climate favours reproduction of the mosquitoes that transmit the disease, but combined with the lack of policies to prevent it, conditions are ideal for its easy spread. In some cases dengue is displacing measles. 181014-VCP-Brazil. October 11, 1793 Yellow Fever Breaks out in Philadelphia. The death toll from a yellow fever epidemic in Philadelphia hits 100 on this day in 1793. By the time it ended, 5,000 people were dead. The virus, like malaria, is carried and transferred by mosquitoes. Today, a vaccine prevents yellow fever in much of the world, though 20,000 people still die every year from the disease.
-180916-5>7, <ADDED 181007>3. Nearly Half of Tar Heels Killed by Hurricane Florence Were 70 or Older. As Storms Keep Coming, FEMA Spends Billions in Cycle of Damage and Repair [Cartoon]. Hurricane Set to Collide with Top Florida Races, there is some news on hurricane Michael, but seems hurricane fatigue has set in, Florida Politics Play into Disaster Relief Debate, <ADDED 181007-180708-8>7, AP Fact Check: Trump on Hurricane and Political Winds. If Michael has a large precipitation load it could be a repeat to Florence’s flooding of the Carolina’s. | FEMA Boss: Those Who Ride out Storm Surge Don't Usually Live to Tell about It. To those who have ridden out storms, know people who have, who know people who know people who have, who have attended hurricane parties -2- -3- -4- -5- -6- [Checklist, Sign, Sign, Meme] or heard about them, that were told to evacuate and then the storm was not as bad as forecasted, this is clearly incorrect. It is also insensitive because not everyone can leave, but implies it is their own fault, FEMA Director Criticizes People for Not Getting out of Storm’s Way, My Advice to Elected Officials – As if Speaking to My Child. This could be interpreted as expecting another failure by FEMA and setting things up to deflect blame. | In addition not having the money or means to evacuate also implies that people don’t have the resources to build up disaster supplies, Residents of Florida Coast Increasingly Desperate for Food and Shelter, Survivors Scramble for Food and Water in the Wake of Hurricane Michael, We Need Answers: Hurricane Michael Leaves Florida Residents Desperate for Aid. Why We’re Stuck with an Inadequate Hurricane Rating System. Panicked Meteorologists Advise Entire Nation to Take Cover after Losing Track of Hurricane Michael, Rick Scott Orders Hurricane Michael to Evacuate from Florida, Hurricane Michael Makes Landfall in Most Dangerous Storm in Florida Panhandle History.
-‡. The Psychology Behind the Pre Hurricane Run to the Grocery Store, why some people buy pop tarts and liquor before a hurricane – and some people don’t prepare at all. As Monster Michael Storms In, No Fear at the Lighthouse Motel, Hurricane Michael Intensified Quickly, Taking Many by Surprise. Michael Devastates Florida Panhandle, Climate Change an Unavoidable Subject. 20 People Found Safe in Town Where Hurricane Michael Made Landfall as Aerial Footage Shows Unimaginable Destruction, I Should Have Left – Hurricane Michael Terrified Those Who Stayed, I Got Stuck: in Poor, Rural Communities, Fleeing Hurricane Michael Was Tough, Hurricane Michael Hit the Parts of Florida Least Prepared to Flee its Wrath. The ‘Greatest Hoax’ Strikes Florida. Victims of Hurricane Michael Voted for Climate Deniers. GOP Chairman: FEMA Has Enough Money for Hurricane Michael, FEMA Faces Hurricane Michael with Many , Senior Roles Unfilled, Who Needs a Deputy Brock Long Does. Hospitals Pummeled by Hurricane Michael Scramble to Evacuate Patients, Hurricane Michael Forces Florida Hospitals to Shut Down. More Floridians Could Be Exposed to Toxic Red Tide as Hurricane Michael Pushes it , Ashore, Trump Blames Democrat Bill Nelson for No Help on Toxic Algae – Right Before He Voted to Help. Who Decides That a Death Was Caused by Hurricane Florence? And Why Does it Matter, Cartoon]. | And don’t forget about Maria, but apparently some have or at least hope others have, FEMA Is Putting Puerto Rico Generators in Storage Instead of Leaving Them in Communities Where They Are Still Needed, Differential and Persistent Risk of Excess Mortality from Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico: a Time Series Analysis. US National Guard Chief: the Climate Is Changing. I Don’t Know Why, the general talked with reporters about the National Guard’s Hurricane Michael response, he told us a lot more. Hurricane Victims Getting IRS Tax Filing Relief. | Florida Air Force Base for Top Stealth Fighter Jets Takes a 'Direct Hit' from Hurricane Michael, Tyndall Air Force base evacuated most staff and all aircraft on Monday, just before they "took a direct hit" from the category four Hurricane Michael. Tyndall Air Force Base in Ruins after Michael, Fighter Jets Seen Inside Roofless Hangars. Hurricane Michael Death Toll Climbs to 18 with New Victim Reported in Virginia, but as long as the death toll stays under 64, Michael is not a real catastrophe.
-180819-VCP-Global>8. #Linguistics Do Universities Value Public Engagement. Not Much, Their Policies Suggest. Scholarly work that serves the public is the kind of thing that, theoretically, universities want faculty members to pursue. A study of the language used by more than 100 colleges in their tenure and promotion criteria shows little evidence that such scholarship is valued in a way that advances faculty careers. The term "community" is mentioned by 87 percent of institutions at either the university or academic unit level, while 75 percent mention the term "public." But a closer look at the context reveals the true status of those terms. Although the words "service" and "research" are near those two terms most frequently, "service" is mentioned more than twice as often as "research" in that context. Such placement suggests that the terms refer to what the authors describe as "the least highly regarded" tenure and promotion criteria – the service component – with the others being research and teaching. The way the words are used in the policies also suggests that the terms pertain to service to the discipline or the institution, not necessarily to the broader public.
-180513-1.1>9, <ADDED 181007>8. October 08, 2014, First Person in U.S. Diagnosed with Ebola Dies, and until that happens I would not expect much motivation to help. | Ebola Response Tightens in Eastern Congo as Seven New Cases Confirmed: Health Ministry. Binding Measure to Comply with the Rules Imposed by the Health Emergency in Beni. Nobel Peace Prize Winner Calls on Congolese Government to Quit. The Risk of Ebola Spreading Beyond the Democratic Republic of Congo Is Very High. WHO Sees Congo's Ebola Outbreak Lasting 3-4 Months atLeast, and could spread to Uganda or Rwanda, which are well prepared but have not approved use of a vaccine. Dozens of people may have been exposed to the deadly disease are hiding from health workers. Not that long ago there was statements that the outbreak was contained <ADDED 180701-180513-1.1*¶2A>5, followed by Seven Reasons Why this Ebola Epidemic Spun out of Control. Ebola Outbreak in Eastern Congo Spreads as Locals Attack Health Workers Trying to Contain Disease, Ebola Cases Spike as Nervous Communities Stop Cooperating with Health Care Workers. Though overlapping there are differences between communities that are resisting health care for Ebola, and those who are fighting the DRC government. Ebola Showed up in a War Zone. It’s Not Going Well. Experts Said a War Zone Ebola Outbreak Would Be a Nightmare. It’s Been Even Worse. Ebola Is about Human Beings and Trust. DR Congo: Managing Ebola Virus in War. The Hijacked Hearse: Dispatches from the Ebola Outbreak in DRC. Battles over Safe Ebola Burials Complicate Work in Congo*. | I had shared with the university 180708-3 that is doing the digital ethnography via social media of the Russian-Ukraine conflict the article Ebola in the DR Congo. That’s Not the Real Tragedy, which is analogous to the parademic context of that conflict, but neglected to include it with stub <ADDED 180909-180513-1.1>. Not sure what my reasoning was at the time but suspect that I had unconsciously pigionholed (#s 4-6) the item as separate from Ebola in the DRC, but still had available in the larger parademic database if I needed to link the two at another time. Ebola Contact Tracing and Monitoring in DRC. The Inhabitants of Butembo Ask All the Questions about Ebola Virus Disease Through a Popular Platform. DRC Ebola Cases Mount, with in School Infection a New Worry. Ebola and Persistent Insecurity Undermine Beni's Economic Fabric.
-*. Wonder if at some future date if archaeologists (or paleontologists in humans are extinct) discover these burials, with the chemical residues and plastic shrouds, if they will wonder what the superstitious reasoning was for these burials. ¶ Vampire Burial Reveals Efforts to Prevent Child's Return from Grave. It’s Media that calls these vampire burials, and this story usually appears each year appears around Halloween. Though the term is used as a shorthand it is understood in archaeology that there is no evidence what the purpose of this practice was. One speculation is that the individual had rabies and those who buried them just wanted to make sure the individual does not rise again to bite people. Also these types of burials tend to come from a time when there wasn’t the distinctions between witch, werewolf, vampire and walking dead that we have today. It also happens that tales about this as yet undifferentiated supernatural creature often times have bats associated. It is credible to think that the difference between rabies and some sort of demonic possession or evil curse was unknown. Creatures of the Night, Bat Magic and Folklore, Bats and Vampiric Lore in Père Lachaise Cemetery. Except for ancient Egypt (and then only are part of the assemblage of animals typically interred with important burials), bats are not found as intentional items in graves. I can find no information of when bats were first identified as rabies carriers, but unlikely that the association was made before the end of the European Renaissance. Stories of rabies and bats would have been after that time, though there was a belief prior to then that being bitten by an animal resulted in becoming that animal unless purified. Presumably this is the origin of bites turning people into vampires and werewolves, and the behavior may have been because of being infected by rabies.
-180513-1.1>10, <ADDED 181007>8, Golden (2) Hour. How Long Can the US Military's Golden Hour Last. In the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the US military medicine achieved the highest rate of survival from battlefield injuries in history. The wounded to killed ratio has more than doubled, from 4:1 during last century's world wars, to 10:1 today. Substantial credit for this achievement goes to a tireless focus on getting wounded warfighters lifesaving care within 60 minutes of injury – a timespan that is referred to as the golden hour. If someone is not killed instantly this can be as short as two minutes to start life saving care for a traumatic injury. For disease one has about 8 hours from when a person starts actively dying, but identification of signs is difficult and transportation to care can hasten the process. Dehydration is about three days depending on exertion and heat, while starvation is three weeks depending on nutrition status before all food was cut off. The two hour to a hospital standard by WHO is an ideal to be reached, but there are other problems such as being able to pay for the hospital, being allowed access if the first place, if a hospital is actually a hospital. There are areas in the US that are further than two hours from a hospital, and are far more costly. | At this time one can estimate what the golden hour is for climate change, in some ways we have already passed it, in other ways there is still time to adapt and salvage. Overall though since there has never been a global mass extinction that would be measured directly by science before this, we really don’t know. Could be sooner, could be later, it is however inevitable if current trends do not change, -180930-3A↑.
-180408-5.4>11, <ADDED 180923>4. Increasing Mortality and Declining Health Status in the USA: Where is Public Health. The U.S. Biodefense Strategy Is Undermined by Policies on Health Insurance and Immigration. 171231-1.3. Review of the Blue Ribbon Study Panel, Fits and Starts: Reactionary Biodefense. -180916-3.3↑. Roughly speaking biodefense is keeping bad stuff out of an area, while biosecurity is keeping bad stuff contained within an area.
-180128-6>12, <ADDED 180909>10. I Reviewed All 161 of GOOP’s Wellness Products for Pseudoscience. Here’s What I Found. Objective: To identify evidence that Gwyneth Paltrow is correct in her statement that the website GOOP does not sell pseudoscience; probably misleading as by Dr. Jen Gunter clearly is biased. Materials and Methods: A search of the products sold on GOOP.com in the wellness section; though the hypothesis is misleading, Paltrow did self select what would be evaluated, which might be considered a balancing bias. Results: Biologically implausible therapies and ill researched products were identified. The majority of health products (94%) could not be supported by science; this is a mix of objective and subjective evaluation. Conclusions: There is no evidence to support Gwyneth Paltrow’s claim that goop is free of pseudoscience. In fact the opposite is true, goop is a classic example of pseudoscience profiteering. The bulk of their products are useless, but some could be harmful; likely to be an objective opinion that can be replicated based on the current state of knowledge and the verifiable evidence. In case a reader believes I am unfairly attacking this medical scammer (that is an ad hominem). Allow me to borrow a technique used by quacks, this is not my opinion but the opinion of others, I am simply passing on others opinions who have a background to make such pronouncements (appeal to authority, or at least I presume a lesbian gynecologist is expert in the biological science and anatomy [Meme]). This is a conundrum for marketing pseudoscience. To make sales they must provide advertising in public forums and the actual product that can be tested. Fortunately their customer base is unconcerned about actual effects, only the perceived ones (magical thinking with confirmation bias).
Tags: Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, BioPolitics, Biosphere, BioTrumpism, Climate Change, Cognitive Dissonance, Communication, Context = Meaning, Dengue, Disaster, Environmental Change, Evacuation, Evangelicals, Family Separation, Famine, Florence, Florida Politics, Human Factors, Humor, Katharine Hayhoe, Kavanaugh, Michael, Midevil Warm Period, One Health, Pigs, Repeating Failures, Swimming Vikings, Trumpgelicals, Vaccine
Key Words: Brazil, Research, Venezuela, Italy, Brazil, China, Poland, Philippines, Global, Ukraine, Papua
Tags: Anti-vax, Antimicrobial Resistance, Polio, Measles, HPV, Swine Fever, Flu
-USA: Do Mobile Messages about HPV Work, 180916-VCP-Japan, 180909-VCP-USA, 180902-VCP-USA, . More Children Aren’t Receiving Vaccines from Their Doctors, CDC Says, 181007-VCP-USA, 180826-VCP-USA. }} Thousands of Young US Children Get No Vaccines, Survey Finds, [Cartoon], Percentage of Young U.S. Children Who Don’t Receive Any Vaccines Has Quadrupled since 2001$, A Quiet Rise in Unvaccinated Children Could Put the U.S. at Risk of Outbreaks. The Big Number: Millions of Flu Vaccines Will Be Offered this Season$, Florida’s First Flu Death of the Season Is a Child. | A mechanism by which antivaccine lobby manipulates websites social media by reporting to take down any pro #science, pro #vaccine message. FB Twitter Amazon need to acquire some level of science literacy and sophistication to halt this practice, [Tweet].
-Papua New Guinea: East Sepik Reports Another Polio Case, Brings Total to 15, 181007-VCP. }} It probably does not help that Polio like Illness Is on the Rise with 85 Possible Cases, Circulating Vaccine Derived Poliovirus – Papua New Guinea. Papua New Guinea to Launch Nationwide Polio Vaccination Campaign.
-Brazil: Measles in Brazil – an Unwelcome Return, 180902-VCP. }} With the possibility of Meet Jair Bolsonaro, the Far Right Leader and Brazilian Donald Trump Who Could Be the Country's next President, and the election of a similar political party in 180930-VCP-Italy, <ADDED 180408>VCP-Venezuela (<ADDED 181014-180916-5>) & 181007-VCP-Poland, if same policies are followed the results will not be good, and could eventually synergize with other measles epidemics. That is called a pandemic.
-II. Not in VCP News Archive:
-Ukraine: From what I see last May’s Ukraine Restores Immunization Coverage in Momentous Effort to Stop Measles Outbreak That Has Affected More than 12 000 this Year, seems to have had no impact on decreasing incidence of measles, Ukraine Measles Update: 30,744 Cases in 2018 to Date. From your social media project have you been seeing anti-vaccination messages, some which may be of Russian origin. Has there been discussions about measles or other vaccine preventable diseases. Europe is in the Midst of its Largest Measles Outbreak in Years — Ukraine is a Big Part of the Problem. Ukraine faces a number of challenges to successful vaccination. Ongoing conflict with Russian in the Crimean region limits access to health care services in the area. But measles outbreaks in Ukraine are evenly distributed throughout the country, reflecting the low vaccination rates in the nation as a whole. Research on vaccine uptake in Ukraine indicates widespread mistrust of vaccines among parents, and more shockingly, among health care providers. Vaccine refusal is increasingly common in Ukraine, with parents refusing to have their children immunized and some health care providers not making the case for immunization. 180902-VCP, 180826-VCP. More over if this is happening with the human population, there is probably a larger and still covert zoodemic in the Ukraine, Total Loss of Pigs over African Swine Fever in Ukraine Reaches 130,000 Heads, <ADDED 181014-180916-1>.
-China: Beaten, Terrified and Disappeared: China Cracks down on Faulty Vaccine Outcry. There are fears for the safety of a woman campaigning about China’s defective vaccines, with activists saying she has been missing for more than 40 days. Authorities have been clamping down on families demanding redress over hundreds of thousands of doses issued by the government. 180923-VCP.
-Global: VCP Blog, Dramatic Drop in Public Confidence after Philippines Dengue Vaccine Controversy. The study of 1,500 participants revealed a dramatic drop in vaccine confidence, from the majority (93%) “strongly agreeing” that vaccines are important in 2015 to a third (32%) in 2018. The findings highlight the importance of identifying gaps or breakdowns in public confidence in vaccines in order to rebuild trust before a pandemic strikes. We cannot wait until pandemics strike, but must make trust building an ongoing effort, preparing the ground for the next ‘big one’, when trust and cooperation will be key to containing the spread of disease and mitigating its health and societal impacts. 181007-VCP-Philippines.
-III. Applicable to VCP from PDWN-181014
-8. Epidemics as Entertainment. What draws attention about disease and what doesn’t.
-180916-3.3>, France and Swine Fever, 2009 Swine Flu.
-180819-VCP-Global>, in <ADDED>.
Disclaimer: PDWN is not an affiliate of, obligated to, or funded by VCP, The London School of Tropical Medicine, or any other organization. The excerpts from PDWN are provided as additional information for the use of those who wish to pursue a topic further. | Be aware that the provided information is not always valid in terms of current science consensus. The assumption of parademic is that if social construction of information is believed to be true, even if demonstrated as false or unverifiable, then they are a social fact with resulting behavior that is in concert with perceived validity, regardless of contrary evidence. | If there is disagreement between VCP and PDWN, the curator of PDWN recommends given greater weight to VCP positions. VCP has the greater capabilities, expertise, depth or knowledge and focus on its subject area of confidence in vaccines.
1. Finding Information, 2. Responsibility and Duty, 3. Sudan Health Communication, 4. Polymagic, 5. Defining Death, 6. Hudson, 7. Ricin Attack, 8. Micro Truth, 9. Paleo HMO (Homo Neanderthal Medical Organization), 10. Untrustworthy Data, <ADDED >1. No Future, >2. Pig Contact Tracing, >3. Florence Sequella, >4. Boat Quotes, >5. National Alert, >6. Chinese Medicine, >7. Political Tides, >8. Congo Micro War, >.9 Kuba - Cavanaugh, >10. GMO Concept, >11. Operational and Attitude. 181007-VCP.
Other Topics: BioTrumpism, BioPolitics, Vaccine, Biosphere, Disaster, Humor, Climate Change, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Communication, One Health, Environmental Change, Human Factors, Zombie, Freedom of Press, Violence, Denial, Katharine Hayhoe, Analogue, Stub Style, Mosquitoes, Science Journalism, Media Evaluation, Dual Use Weapons, Pre Pasteurization, Distance to Medical Care, CDC, Guns
-1. Though PDWN is a database one of its weaknesses is that drawing information from it is not easy, and then distilling what that information means under the current situation and circumstances takes more time. Basically trying to get useful information after an accelerated biocalamity is too late Better Prepare Than React: Reordering Public Health Priorities 100 Years After the Spanish Flu Epidemic, and before an acceleration people seem more interested in blame and avoiding blame. In short Not Knowing What We Don't Know Leads to Bad Decision Making. Zombies in the Library: A User’s Guide. If the zombie apocalypse did happen, how would you find the information you needed to survive. A Zombie Survival Guide is a quasi serious approach to library resources. I find that injecting humor into any learning situation makes it more palatable to the people you are trying to reach. INDEX Zombie.
-2. The Physician’s Duty to Treat During Pandemics$. Physicians assume a primary ethical duty to place the welfare of their patients above their own interests. Thus, for example, physicians must not exploit the patient–physician relationship for personal financial gain through the practice of self referral. But how far does the duty to patient welfare extend. Must physicians assume a serious risk to their own health to ensure that patients receive needed care. In the past, physicians were expected to provide care during pandemics without regard to the risk to their own health. In recent decades, however, the duty to treat during pandemics has suffered from erosion even while the risks to physicians from meeting the duty has gone down. Part of this may be due to unrelenting stress, lack of funds, perversion of purpose, and sense of futility. Laughing, Crying, and Worrying About the N.H.S., #Book, This Is Going to Hurt: Secret Diaries of a Junior Doctor by Adam Kay – Review [Cover]. -180805-VCP-China↓. Physicians Steeped in Culture of Toughing it out Often Fear Reporting Suicidal Thoughts, Mental Health Illness. -170730-11↓.
-3. Health Communication in Sudan. Confusion still dominates the reports about chikungunya, or dengue, or whatever has been sickening thousands in Sudan since early August. This post on the Press Freedom Index for Sudan helps to explain a great deal of that confusion: Harassment of the media intensified at the start of 2018. Eighteen journalists, including the correspondents of foreign media, were arrested in January while covering opposition protests. An independent radio station was shut down, and two journalists were banned from practicing their profession for a year. Currently the US is 45 out of 180, being barely in the top 25% isn’t exactly a score one wants to have about information related to health and environment, especially if there is an accelerated biocalamity. The DRC is currently 154, at least it is above North Korea at 180. Consider also that a country with high press freedom of the press does not mean high accuracy in reporting, while a country with a low score may have emergent communication of accurate information.
-4. The Lie Generator: Inside The Black Mirror World of Polygraph Job Screenings. Want to become a police officer, firefighter, or paramedic. Government jobs are one of the last holdouts in using, and misusing, otherwise debunked polygraph technology. Pertinence to parademic, overreliance on technology, persistence of belief, desire to know what it true sometimes to the detriment of validity, accepting fake, and survival, 180930-6A, 181007-VCP-USA↓ The Importance of Fact Checking in a Post Truth World. Humans can’t rely on memory, senses, sources. Again; its interpretation of information, not reality, that drives human behavior. If one believes one has the truth the resulting behavior to a situation and circumstances is that more predictable, if the behavior is to reach goal then it can be more difficult to discern as the goal may be unknown, with misdirection of intent, willingness to use any means to achieve that goal (to include violation of the belief that is the justification for the goal). Essentially it is magical thinking with the uncertainty of knowing what really happened, what someone really things. This was an early topic in PDWN as a analogue ∩to modern magical thinking, conditions of uncertainty of thought of others, linguistic shaping of interpretation (many lines), history of why it was accepted by US government agencies but rejected by US law and its influence on behavior, perception of truth, over reliance on technology, persistence of belief despite evidence, reflection of social issues, abuse of technology and position, medical scams, quackery, [Cartoon, Cartoon, Cartoon, Art, Cartoon, Cartoon, Cartoon, Cartoon, Cartoon, Cartoon]. Is a Polygraph a Reliable Lie Detector. | #Book The Skeptics’ Guide to the Universe: How to Know What’s Really Real in a World Increasingly Full of Fake, [Cover], Review. -180916-5↓.
-5. Not at all FUN -170730-11↓ but this is a question for mass fatality situations. Who is Dead. In 2013, she went into Children’s Hospital for a routine surgery for tonsil removal. After the surgery, she experienced extreme blood loss and her heart stopped beating. Two days later, a doctor declared her brain dead. Her family battled to keep her hooked up to a ventilator and eventually removed her a Hospital where a physician can overrule the diagnosis of brain death if “such a declaration would violate the personal religious beliefs of the individual. However, in August 2014 that hospital also discharged her, declaring her brain dead. Despite all of this the family continued to believe she was alive. Her mother constantly talked to her and believed that she responded. Her brain scans showed “large areas” of cerebrum “structurally intact”, the whole family continued to provide care in their home until her final hospitalization this summer. She died on June 22, 2018 of liver failure, according to the death certificate. The question of who is alive and who is dead is not new, but the answer is one that has changed historically. In the US, one of the biggest shifts came in August 1968, when a committee consisting mostly of doctors, but also a lawyer, a historian, and a theologian, published an article in the Journal of the American Medical Association, acknowledging that the question of who is dead is problematic. “More than medical problems are present. There are moral, ethical, religious, and legal issues”. Left out political and financial. This becomes even more complicated with mass casualties when limited resources mean there needs to be combat triage. Best to be prepared for people who can’t let go, especially if they have already had to do so many times, for those who feel justified to save their own even though others who could be saved are not being deprived of the chance, and legal suits being brought after for not doing enough. Texas Family Fights to Keep 9 Year Old on Life Support. Material on Right to Try Search may be part of this. | It is also likely under these conditions there will be supernatural behavior analogous to When Women Channeled the Dead to be Heard. The may be scams for financial gain, means to accrue political power, a coping mechanism where people are honestly trying to help, and a form of mass grief expression, memorial. Archiving and Memorializing Disasters Report of A UN International Workshop Archiving and Memorializing Disasters Report of a UN International Workshop, 180422-3E, Memorials Search. | WikEM, The Global Emergency Medicine Wiki, is the world's largest emergency medicine open access reference resource. HHS Selects Pilot Projects to Demonstrate Better Approach to Disaster Medical Care. ¶ Mary Shelley’s Obsession with the Cemetery -180311-6↓, Frankenstein Search.
-6. Oct 2, 1985 Hollywood Icon Rock Hudson Dies of AIDS. The first major U.S. celebrity to die of complications from AIDS. Hudson's death raised public awareness of the epidemic, which until that time had been ignored by many in the mainstream as a gay plague. INDEX Hudson.
-7. U.S. Nearly Rules out Terrorism after False Ricin Alert at Pentagon. This is bioterrorism, albeit without an actual bioweapon, that creates fear of bioagents. Terrorism goals include economic damage, cause government overreaction with oppression, hindering transportation, increasing costs, having fake attacks to get security guard down with false alarms so that a real attack may get through*, force huge expenditures of funds, create distrust, panic, power through fear, media attention, disruption, keep enemy off balance, appear larger than they actually are, intimidation, extortion, test and stress systems, etc. Terrorism may not ever achieve larger stated goals that are likely credible justifications and rationalizations for their acts. Terrorists don’t always use weapons or kill swiftly. It can also be done with policy, threats of legal action, appearing irrational and unpredictable, failure to control toxins and pollutants, propaganda, trolling, creating fear of safe medical treatments (vaccines)...... Then confusion sets in with information that does not quite fit*2, in this case that ricin was detected, and there are other events that can confabulate with each other, quickly become false narratives that are believed to be true, the the resulting dread becoming a filter by which following news are filtered through potentially becoming a parademic, Netherlands Says Russia Tried Cyberattack on Global Chemical Weapons Agency, Russia's GRU Is Behind Cyberattacks Worldwide, U.K. Says, -3-, Vladimir Putin Brands Sergei Skripal a Traitor in Furious Attack on Poisoned Spy, <ADDED 180916-180311-6>5, U.S. Has Seen Evidence of Syria Preparing Chemical Weapons in Idlib - Envoy, Russia Warns US of Pending Attack in Syrian Area with US Troops. To exacerbate this all sides have the fear that the others have bioweapons, and to protect themselves they need to create treatments that can be the same as making a bioweapon, Scientists: US Military Program Could Be Seen as Bioweapon, Agricultural Research, or a New Bioweapon System, Synthetic Horsepox Viruses and the Continuing Debate about Dual Use Research, Scathing Report Accuses the Pentagon of Developing an Agricultural Bioweapon, A Controversial Virus Study Reveals a Critical Flaw in How Science Is Done, after researchers resurrected a long dead pox, some critics argue that it's too easy for scientists to make decisions of global consequence, but I can think of some even less qualified people who make such decisions daily. Inoculating Science Against Potential Pandemics and Information Hazards. | Russia Claims US Running Secret Bio Weapons Lab in Georgia, recycling an old troll <ADDED 180429s24 -180401-1*A>3. Homeland Security Director Releases List of Terrorists Who Don’t Have the Balls to Attack U.S. | Trump Counterterrorism Plan Drops Obama Climate Change Focus, in practical terms this moved counterterrorism backwards, away from solving the root problems that support and sustain terrorism, to bandaid fixes that are temporary successes but essentially do nothing but cover the problem up, hiding it until it festers into something worse. Moreover naturally occurring deceases, anti-biotic multidrug resistant bacteria are more common and more frequent to enter the US, and what little is being done to stop that – walls don’t, anti-immigration doesn’t, in fact both may make the problem worse as t will be hidden longer – is being further weakened.
-*A. Note: PDWN actually delayed writing this stub until there was the expected report it was a fake attack appeared. I can afford to do that as a blogger, but if I was responsible for security I would have to act as if it were real until proven otherwise. After that I included the conflicting report*2, Suspected Ricin Detected in Mail Sent to Trump, Pentagon. This was done because there had been previous suspicious white powder reports 180805-3.3, 170220-4.1P, 161023-2A, 160911-11, and a tendency of this administration toward hyperbole, with the origin of the narrative hidden, lost in time, diluted (many, many people have told me$) but likely someone associated with the White House, quickly losing chronological sequence, and picked up by media sources that are both reliable and conspiracy theory. Being an outrage type story*-C↓ this will likely spread faster than Ricin can. It does not matter if the 2nd report came out before the first one that there was no Ricin or after it. Following the drama of the story sequence of events is easily lost. It does not help that I deliberately put the first story second. That was intentional to mimic what happens to information and easy to not spot as both have the same dateline. Then there will be an arrest, Utah Man Arrested in Ricin Probe after Suspicious Mailings to Trump, Pentagon, and the possibility of exploiting this to support a narrative by exaggeration and not being restrained by evidence as seen with <ADDED 180930-180311-6>7, Ricin Attacks Will Continue, and concern about consequences of what is said and done. Even if based on fabrication and panic this may be used to supports24 Strengthening America's Health Security, but will also add to supporting the narrative of contamination and needing to seal the US and protect (separate isolation) American self selected elites from potential threats.
-B. One of the constructive criticisms about PDWN is that it does not focus on current events, resulting in people quickly losing interest in parademic. This observation is made by those who are interested in getting a large number of hits on their site, to build a reputation and following, and usually good writers in terms of journalistic style than PDWN stubs. This is true, but that is the point. Part of the idea of PDWN is to support others by having a readily available source of background information. Current events, situation awareness, are important, but insufficient for events in the biosphere that take years to manifest and breach the liminal threshold to awareness, where the larger context that gives a more accurate interpretation of a situation is unknown Climate vs Weather Video. With out this results in grave errors to planning, decisions, response, misdirected effort, analysis, mitigation, operations. It took 7 years to validate the concept of parademic. Unfortunately this was done by having a database available for the real world bioevents of 2015+ Ebola in West Africa, and 2016 Ebolaphobia in the rest of the world 180729-11 -11.1‡, followed by the Disneyland Measles (and more frequent events after). At that time PDWN was in a position to observe the natural experiment and compare and contrast with the behavior patterns indicated by the database, but it was not in a position to provide information synthesis that could be used to influence how those events unfolded. It has taken about three years to rebuild a public database to a size that makes it possible to find relevant, but not obviously connected, material related to current bioevents. One cannot interpret human behavior with any validity if only looking at the current behavior. A little background consisting of what is relatively recent (like a similar recent event), of what is clearly connected is insufficient, one needs to delve deep into time and . Biospheres of complex multilayered whole of open systems, + humans are complex multilayered systems of open systems, x and when one mashes those cabbages (onions 180930-4Meme) together and let them ferment, = one ends up with kimchi – a fair analogue ∩ for chaos, acquired taste, string theory of everything is connected to everything else; or to some a smelly unpalatable mess. | For example Cow Dung Soap Is Cleaning Up In India would be meaningless without the author providing some context to explain why, but in this case I believe more is needed to understand this particular fad, 181007-VCP-India.
-*C. #Glossary Risk = Hazard + Outrage (RHO): Risk is perception of danger while hazard in actual danger. Outrage, awareness and/or dread about correcting or not correcting a biohazard is what shapes the perceived risk. Precaution Advocacy (PA*): Warning people about an biosphere hazard and risk they’re ignoring, that is approaching acceleration where it becomes an easily perceived existential threat that will crash into awareness as if it is a sudden and unexpected bioevent, and will have mortal consequences whether it is believed or not; Outrage Management (OM*) is calming a community about an biohazard’s risk they’re over reacting to, to include when there is a very small or non existent threat – Threat is a combination of a dangerous agent, a sufficient dose of the agent to be harmful, a capability to deliver an agent to a population, and that population’s vulnerability (lack of protection, accessible to a delivery capability or means) to the hazardous agent; Crisis Communication CC*: is guiding the community (a subset of population, usually just the human/ anthrome part of a biome) through an accelerated biocalamity (that is a bioevent that is causing mass fatalities in a short period of time). *Intentional Errors -2- -3- -4- -5- -6- -7-, have the purpose of subconsciously bothering people that something is wrong, forcing active reading. This either results in the majority of readers dismissing the whole stub Search (and PDWN) as too hard, too poorly written, too complicated, too Seussian, or just plain and simple – absurd and ridiculous. Other readers will be intrigued or angered by the ludicrous juxtapositions, and decide it is worth the effort to puzzle out the multivocalic Search meaning. Think Journalism’s a Tough Field Today. Try Being a Reporter in the Gilded Age. A good summation of what reporters are looking for in a disaster as opposed to operators and other stake holders is Media Sensationalism and Risk: Talking to Stakeholders with Reporters in the Room. Oppression Damages Self Esteem: The Greed/ Outrage/ Ego Triangle covers some of the conflicts that happen within an organization that neutralize or hinder its ability to perform the functions it is supposed to.
-7.1. Venom Shows How Climate Alarmism Can Destroy Humanity. It presents important questions about what "global warming" climate alarmism can become in the hands of a mad scientist. If a powerful person truly believes the world is ending, he might do unspeakable things that ruin his humanity and put the entire human race in danger. The crazed entrepreneur has bought wholesale into the dangerous cocktail of climate change, overpopulation, scientism, and trans-humanism. Having discovered an alien species, he believes the next step in human evolution involves bonding with alien parasites, enabling creatures formerly known as humans to live on other planets. [Photo].
-8. Discovering Invisible Truths. The rise of populist movements worldwide is challenging science and motivating scientists to join the debate and enter politics. Based on my experience, taking a public stand will not come without slanderous personal and institutional attacks as an attempt to shake scientific credibility. The virology community is at risk of similar misrepresentation; reflection on this topic, particularly on how to address such challenges, should be a priority, given we are in the "post-truth" era.
-9. This will be embarrassing if these people who were not advanced than us were able to survive a world that far colder than temperate conditions, than us with a few degrees warmer than previous temperate conditions. Neanderthals Survived in Ice Age Europe Thanks to Effective Healthcare. Neanderthals cared for their sick and wounded, and new research suggests this well documented behavior was more than just a cultural phenomenon or an expression of compassion – it really did help them survive. Neanderthal healthcare practices crucial to survival. Neanderthal Healthcare Practices Crucial to Survival. Neanderthal Healthcare: Our Ancient Relatives Assisted Childbirth, Treated Sick and Injured. Neanderthal Healthcare. Neanderthal Healthcare Was Widespread and Effective, Research Reveals. Till we finally get to the original article to compared how close there articles art to it. Calculated or Caring. Neanderthal Healthcare in Social Context. [Cartoon].
-10. PDWN has mentioned that the CDC is becoming unreliable, and no longer can be a source one can use without verification, 180930-4, 180930-VCP-UK, 180909-VCP-USA, <ADDED 180701-180311-6>6B, <ADDED 180415>VCP-A, <ADDED 180401-180304-6>5, <ADDED 180325-180304-6>8, <ADDED 180318-171224-7‡>9, <ADDED 180225-180218-2.1*A>1, <ADDED 180114-171217-9.3>5. This is not only because CDC may make statements that are incorrect, become in unpopular activities, political hijacking, its having untrustworthy and controversial leadership, but in today’s world someone can claim to be CDC and make a false statement that people will believe comes from the CDC. | The CDC Is Publishing Unreliable Data On Gun Injuries. People Are Using It Anyway. 7 Things Journalists Should Know about Guns, Research Roundup: Who Stores Guns Safely, How the News Media Portray Gun Owners: Research to Consider, -170730-11↓, <ADDED 180429-180304-3>6, 181007-VCP-Poland. Despite all of this material that indicates CDC is not consistently reliable, this does not means it always is, and will be unreliable in all topics. This just means that as a source of information CDC should be fact checked, as it is of Unknown reliability both as an agency that is a source of information, and that its information may not be reliable possibly because of an agenda that is not concerns about public health, or that they did not do their own fact checking and validation of information. PDWN’s first inkling that CDC should not be trusted – that is going beyond just the normal caution one takes with information sources with rapidly changing situations – was with its stating the Puerto Rico lied about its Zika status, 170423-4.1. The language at the time appeared to be for the purpose of blaming Puerto Rico for CDC not funding it properly. Later with hurricane Maria the extent of these funding shortfalls became more apparent, with a large number of deaths that could have been avoided. In fact it became clear that Puerto Rico was a long hidden biocalamity and parademic waiting for the final acceleration.
-180930-3A>1. Anticipated that there would be some reaction (not this much, just some) to the report on the report that the planet’s atmosphere will warm further and will be impossible to stop, so why try. This Climate Change News Is Crushing$*A. Fighting Climate Change Is Too Expensive Because Destroying the Planet Is Cost Free$. The Energy 202: Trump Has Dismissed Climate Change as 'Nonsense.' His Administration Just Said Otherwise. Reckless Republicans Aren’t Giving Any Thought to Tomorrow. The Final Stage of Climate Denial, Research Suggests Climate Change Deniers Experience Fewer Extreme Weather Events. New Study Reveals How Quickly Climate Change Will Wreck the Planet – Here’s How You Can Act. In Comments on New Climate Report, U.S. Plays Up Uncertainties, Fossil Fuels. Our View: Climate: U.S. must Act as the Climate Worsens Quickly this source is new to me, have yet to determine in what way valid, editorial bias of the publisher, and the author’s track record. Trump Administration Uses Inevitability of Climate Change To Burn More Fossil Fuels. | And the counter response, or could be used as a counter argument. NASA Sees Climate Cooling Trend Thanks to Low Sun Activity, Source, Evaluation -2-, [Banner]. Cooling Effect of Preindustrial Fires on Climate Underestimated, Source. Cornell University happens to have an Office for Evaluation of Research which tends to make it careful in its own studies, but the university has had it own Spoiled Science, INDEX Replication*B. | Last year there was a similar US Government Climate Report: Climate Change Is Real and Our Fault, Scientists Fear Trump Will Dismiss Blunt Climate Report$, and NASA still has its Global Climate Change website up. These seem to have had no influence on biotrumpism. Suspect the same ignoring will happen again. DoT Climate Change Impacts 2017.
-*A. The Washington Post, the source of the original article, can be rated as a source by Trust, stated Policy and Standards$, Grade Reading Level or readability -2- (the Post scores from 3rd to 8th grade reading levels, with one 10th grade outlier.
-‡. Art Wall Street’s ‘Fearless Girl’ Is Heading to Ireland to Fight Climate Change, Climate Denial Kills': Global Warming Warning Signs Appear at Vulnerable NYC Locations. Denial The Hidden Agenda Behind Climate Change, It's Climate Hysterics Who Are in Denial, Not Skeptics, Source -2-, [Banner]. Letter: Leave Climate Science to Scientists. Climate Change, Pests, Fallen Trees a Deadly Recipe for Us Forestsn . Study: Katharine Hayhoe Is Successfully Convincing Doubtful Evangelicals about Climate Change, Let Science Speak - Dr. Katharine Hayhoe Video. It's not easy being a climate scientist and a Christian in a red state. But Dr. Hayhoe, Director of the Climate Science Center at Texas Tech University, sees the intersection of science and faith. The balancing of the faiths of science and religions is one that appears in parademics time and again. As of yet I have not found anything that gives any insight to how people handle this when they are both, but many that explore the conflict between the two, An Introduction to Theistic Evolution: Using Science to Interpret the Bible. Is this a false dichotomy, an invented problem, a conflict that was maintained for the reasons than validity. I am far from being able to say with certainty, but so far it appears to me that both science and religion are misstated for those who want to have complete certainty. The greater the need for certainty the more “magical thinking” is applied (without evidence) to religion or science as justification of their opinion as fact, INDEX | To Topple Climate Rules, Officials Erase Air Pollutants. A Major Climate Report Will Slam the Door on Wishful Thinking.
-*B. Climate Scientists Struggle to Find the Right Words for Very Bad News, It's the biggest peer review exercise there is. It involves hundreds or even thousands of people looking at it. This is the basic problem I face with the parademic concept, the lack of a vocabulary to express thoughts that is understood by others with a meaning close to what I meant. Science’s Quality Control Process Gets a Makeover, peer review process is revealing worrying trends, and suggestions are pouring in on how to address the concerns. Real Fake Research Hoodwinks US Journals. Three US researchers have pulled off a sophisticated hoax by publishing fake research with ridiculous conclusions in sociology journals to expose what they see as ideological bias and a lack of rigorous vetting at these publications. Possibly this report of the study was misinformative, but what I read was deeply flawed. If a system (science, media, legal, government) assumes basic integrity and ethical standards it is very easy to slip in the ersatz via subterfuge. It changes current evaluation systems if it has to doubt basic input of information to be in a more paranoid mode that the input is false. That may have been helpful to keep out the now infamous Wakefield report that has indirectly resulted to harm and death to unknown numbers of people, probably in the millions. On the other hand adding security and greater scrutiny to reports to assure they are valid will substantially delay and add to the expense of reporting on science studies, which already is taking so much time that by the time something is published its pertinence is dated. Part of the evaluation is evaluating a source, but how does one do that if published statements have the gaps of years between, that there are few other who would have the background to evaluate the information. How does one know if the peer review has integrity, hidden biases, untested assumptions. What to Expect from the U.N.'s Big New Climate Report. Planet Has Only until 2030 to Stem Catastrophic Climate Change.
-180916-3.3>2. Why Scientists Should Be Tracking a Catastrophic Pig Disease. African swine fever is eliminating entire herds in China and Europe. But few surveillance systems capture animal pathogens, even when humans are aiding their spread. Number of Wild Boars Infected by African Swine Fever Risen to 32. | Unknown if there is a connection but this may be why African Swine has cropped up on two other continents, Brussels a European Hub for Bush Meat. Even if this speculation isn’t true it can be another reason for keeping immigrant’s out due to their contamination. Midnight Journeys to Move Immigrant Children to Texas Tent City Play out Across Country, Texas Detention Camp Swells Fivefold with Migrant Children. People Are Making Life and Death Decisions: Public Charge Policy Fears Keep Immigrants from Seeking Benefits. It does not help that there is potential financial profit from immigration suppression, Interactive Research Map Reveals Multi Billion Dollar U.S. Immigration Industry.
-180916-5>3, <ADDED 180930>3, -4↑. Man Dies from Bacterial Infection after Hurricane Florence. Climate Change Is Already a Public Health Crisis – Just Look at Puerto Rico, being poor and trapped by a hurricane can become a deadly condition. Harvey, Florence, and the Climate Change Connection. North Carolina High School Postpones Football after Outbreak, unclear if this is related to Florence, but many skin infections are waterborne. Climate Change, Water and the Spread of Diseases: Connecting the Dots Differently. | Climate Change Could Bring More Mosquito Pocalypses, Mosquitoes Will Rule the Earth as Climate Change Expands Disease Vectors. Medical Product Shortages During Disasters: Opportunities to Predict, Prevent, and Respond, how many disasters have we had over the years that cascaded into medical supply, delivery and production before there has been a concerted effort to try to fix that has arisen in nearly every large scale disaster, even those that have not had a surge in medical needs. Swarms of Supersize Mosquitoes Besiege North Carolina. Big Storms Get Worse, and We’re Not Helping$, A Local Response to Climate Change$. The Unequal Burden of Climate Change. How Climate Change Is Messing with Your Mind. You Can't Go Back and Build Over and Over. But Buying out Homes Won't Be Cheap, for flood prevention – includding new dams, reservoirs and levees – the most cost effective approach is elevating flood-prone buildings or buying out the properties and demolishing buildings. 3 Quick Tips for Debunking Hoaxes in a Hurricane.
-180916-5>4, <ADDED 180923>1J. #Book Stephen Colbert Writes ‘Whose Boat Is This Boat’ Book Entirely Using Donald Trump Quotes. Watch Colbert Detail Trump Skewering Children’s Book Benefiting Hurricane Victims. TV’s Stephen Colbert Turns Children’s Book Author with ‘Whose Boat Is this Boat?’. [Cover, Strip, Strip]. North Carolina Town May Never Fully Recover from Double Whammy of Storms. Coal Ash Didn’t Pollute Nc River above State Standards, Officials Say, and of course we trust these officials and that these standards protect health and environment, Tests by State, Environmental Group Disagree on Post Florence Water Contamination.
-180916-5F>5, <ADDED 180923>2. Americans to Receive Cell Phone Alert from Trump in First National Test. Lawsuit Seeks to Stop FEMA's Presidential Alert System to Cell Phones Plaintiffs compare the alert system to "hijacking private property for the purpose of planting a Government controlled loudspeaker in the home". This reaction is a conspiracy theory. Under normal circumstances I would be in favor of this capability. However current circumstances are such that I am concerned about the capability to spread misinformation and cause panic to the whole country at the same time. There is the potential of abuse of power such as selecting only certain “loyal” phone numbers to alert a call to arms or take other unconstitutional actions, all at the direction of someone who has a demonstrated proclivity for believing conspiracy theories. The system or message can be hijacked by trolls, shutdown (reassurances the system is secure are not reassuring), or used to prevent any other communications, or a simple error with major repercussions 6 Times the Emergency Alert System Sent out False Warnings. It might be used at a critical time if authorities are reluctant to make the decision, The Science, Skill – and Luck – Behind Evacuation Order Calls, Timing the Hurricane Evacuation Order, science, knowledge, skill, history and luck. For me, even with a background where I have an idea of the safeguards and protection of such a system, this is scarier than having access (authorized or by hack) to a nuclear launch button [Cartoon]. Wireless Phone Users Can’t Opt Out of Trump Administration Presidential Alert Test Message, Opt out of FEMA Presidential Alerts. You Can’t, and Here’s Why That’s Legal, but if you turn off your phone and leave it off during the period it is being transmitted it will not appear on your phone. IPAWS currently does not have the capability of being sent after the message transmission is shut off. Trump Is about to Send His First Presidential Alert Right to Your Phone. Yes, FEMA's Going to Text a Presidential Alert. No, Trump Won't Text You His Tweets. If You like Trump Tweets, Just Wait ’Til You Get Trump Texts. Can President Trump Send Unblockable Text Messages to Every American. FEMA Will Be Testing a Presidential Alert System That Lets Trump Send Notifications to Your Phone. Trump Can Now Text You Directly So Phones Are Canceled. Internet Howls after Learning Trump Will Soon Be Able to Send Text Alerts to Every Single US Resident. Prepare to Die: Leftists' Heads Explode over Trump Alert. A Bot That Makes Trump's Tweets Presidential$ 2017. Part of the issue is that Trump Tweets -2- -3- has become a negative [Icon]. Countering the Urban Myth about Trump and WEA, my short response, yeah, but then again..... THIS IS A TEST – US Officials Try out Presidential Alert System. [Cartoon]. The Long, Strange History of the Presidential Text Alert. Why Didn’t I Get an Emergency Presidential Alert Text, Didn’t Get FEMA’s Presidential Alert. Here’s Why.
-180805-VCP-China>6. China’s Health Care Crisis: Lines Before Dawn, Violence and No Trust, Violence against doctors in China (-2- is the version from a competitor of China). Violence against medical personnel is not unique to China 180401-7* -2-, and would be just another type of INDEX Attack on Medical -Physical, except its nature tends to be different in that it is not necessarily motivated by a political agenda against a soft target, but by patient violence against their health care provides. Add to this the context of TCM, vaccine scandals, health diplomacy and soft power, medical tourism, trying to become a world health leader, *Glossary Epistocracy in the sense of control of information by those in power because they think they are the only ones who are rational enough to make decisions for others, in a county the tends to hide intimate violence and has a low homicide rate, all indicate that far more than just rage against the medical system is involved. -2↑, -170730-11↓. Suppression of information may exacerbate this, partly because information vacuums tend to get filled with misinformation, but what does filter though is likely to be distorted.
-180708-8>7, <ADDED 180819>2. Florida Red Tide Sweeps Away Republican Rick Scott's Senate Poll Lead. Governor blamed for weakening environmental protections, <ADDED 180909-180902-2.1>1. | Miami Will Be Underwater Soon. Its Drinking Water Could Go First.
-180513-1.1>8, <ADDED 180930>6. 160 Orphans Seeking Psychosocial Help, probably a low count of the number of orphans there are. MP MBindule Denies Being a Risky Contact, as Stated by the Ministry of Health, this appears to be a continuation of a politically motivated claim and exploitation between different factions. This corruption and abuse of position is more harmful to containment and control than armed conflict. Six Cases Confirmed after Suspension of Beni's Response Activities -170730-11↓. Officials Fear Ebola Epidemic May Be Spinning Beyond Their Control, Threatening Regional Spread. Tracking Health Seeking Behavior During an Ebola Outbreak via Mobile Phones and SMS, in order to understand healthcare utilization during emergency situations 181007-VCP-Zimbabwe. UN Calls for End to Congo Fighting to Combat Ebola Outbreak. Attack on Congolese Red Cross Ebola Ambulance Wounds Three Volunteers, Alarm as Red Cross Workers Attacked in Congo Ebola Efforts, Armed Attacks May Worsen Ebola Epidemic, Human Rights Watch Warns, Butembo / North Kivu: Aggression Against an Ebola Burial Team, Congo Ebola Outbreak at Critical Point after Attack on Red Cross Staff, DRC Ebola Cases Rise as Security Concerns Continue, INDEX Attack on Medical -Physical. | Typhoid Fever Outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo: Case Control and Ecological Study. Beni: Rwenzori Commune Almost Deserted by the Population, fleeing the recurrent incursions of rebels, and likely becoming more vulnerable to Ebola and other infectious disease. Fight Against Ebola: Hygiene Devices Installed at Kindu Airport. | How Worried Should We Be About Ebola In Congo. Public Health Resilience Checklist for High Consequence Infectious Diseases - Informed by the Domestic Ebola Response in the United States. The experiences of communities that responded to confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease in the United States provide a rare opportunity for collective learning to improve resilience to future high consequence infectious disease events. | Sexual Violence, a Savage Feature of Conflict over Centuries, is probably a characteristic of the DRC conflict, and was noted during West Africa Ebola. Congo’s Conflict Makes Fighting Ebola, Sexual Violence Risky. 181907-VCP-Yemen. Beni: Free Health Care Difficult to Apply to Mabalako, after free consultation with doctors they have prescriptions in hand, but have to fend for themselves to buy their medicines. Ebola Virus Epidemic in War Torn Eastern DR Congo. Ebola Likely to Spread from Congo to Uganda, W.H.O. Says$. 181007-VCP-Congo.
-A. People Across Africa Have to Travel Far to Get to a Hospital. We Worked out How Far. Nearly half of all deaths and about a third of disabilities in low and middle-income countries could be avoided if people had access to emergency care. In Africa the main causes of emergencies are road accidents, obstetric complications, severe illnesses and non communicable diseases. less than a third (29%) of the total population and 28% of the women of child bearing age, lived more than two hours from the nearest hospitals. The two hour threshold is a widely used recommendation by the WHO and the Lancet Commission for global surgery for defining access to emergency obstetric and surgical care respectively. There is huge differences between countries. More than 75% of the population in South Sudan lived outside the two hour threshold. Other poorly served countries included Central African Republic, Chad and Eritrea. More than half of their populations lived outside the two hour threshold. The best served countries were mostly islands like Zanzibar, Comoros and São Tomé and Príncipe. More than 95% of their populations were within two hours of a hospital. Large countries such as Kenya, South Africa and Nigeria also had good access indices, with more than 90% within the two hour band. Only 16 countries in our survey achieved 80% coverage in access to a hospital within two hours. In 2011 someone in the DRC would often have to walk for many hours, and conditions have gotten worse sense then. DRC: 435 Public Hospitals, Population in 2015 72,001,218, % outside 2 hour travel 46·3% (44·0–49·2). I noticed that there are 14,330,432 women of childbearing age in the DRC, this is slightly below the number needed to maintain the population of the DRC, assuming 2 make it to adult hood over a fifteen to twenty year period, and one of the two is female. Under the right conditions DRC could have a severe population crash. Might be one reason why maintaining fertility is an issue in some African nations.
-180311-6>9, ADDED 180930>7. There were parallels between Kuba and Cavanaugh controversies. Why No One Can Agree on What Really Happened to the US Diplomats in Havana. Generally what has been reported, more accurately what people recall has been reported, haven’t coincided with the actual events. Sometimes called acoustic attacks, the events are often accompanied by a sound variously described as high pitched, low pitched, piercing squeals, grinding metal and incapacitating before the onset of symptoms such as ringing in one ear, vertigo, nausea, recurrent headaches, fatigue, cognitive issues, problems sleeping and even hearing loss in a few cases. Cubans investigating this latest incident say they concluded that the unpleasant, piercing sound was a water pump starting up in a nearby home. They said the FBI, which declined to comment, drew a similar conclusion. Yet in June, the United States said the two incidents were medically confirmed and added them to a list of American diplomats and family members who had been posted in Havana and suffered from strange medical problems. That brought the total cases to 26. Asked about the May incident,a State Department spokesperson said: We would refer you to the government of Cuba for questions about its report. Inconsistencies, secrecy and shifting hypotheses that sometimes seem straight out of science fiction have marked the U.S. government’s effort to get to the bottom of what happened in Havana since the first Cuba cases were reported in late 2016, a time when U.S.-Cuba relations were on the cusp of change with President Donald Trump soon to take office. FBI investigation neutralized, deliberate obscuring of fact, reconstruction of memory, unequal standards, increasing divisions, politicization of important topics but ones irrelevant to the issue at hand, ignoring evidence, imposing worldview on ambiguous events, multiple interpretations possible, apophenia linking and synchronicity, pyrrhic victories though the pigs wins, consequences of this are still unknown, continued trend of distrust of government.
-180311-6>10, <ADDED 180930>7. We Need to Change the Way We Talk About GMOs. The distinction between mutations that combine genes from different species and those that don’t has largely been lost on the public. This lack of science literacy is exploited by media sources that frequently linked to sale of questionable products, medical scams, hijacking health agendas for political ends, Daily Source Bias Check: Health Consciousness. | Battling the Scourge of Embalmed Milk. How an obscure Indiana public health official pioneered the campaign against tainted dairy products at the turn of the 20th century. The 19th Century Fight Against Bacteria Ridden Milk Preserved with Embalming Fluid. When Milk Was Full of Calf Brains. From 2015 GMOs Are Unnatural, but So Is Everything Else That You Eat, Debunking 10 Scientific Studies Proving GMOs Can Be Harmful to Human Health, 10 Steps for Evaluating Scientific Papers, The Real Frankenfoods -5↑. Human Dignity and Gene Editing, using human dignity as an argument against modifying the human genome and germline is a logical fallacy.
-170730-11>11. Violence is an active aspect of the health and environment hazards and risks of an operational environment (FUN Favorable, Uncertain, Negative) not the attitudes of a community the operation occurs in relative to the perceive purpose of the operation (HUP - Hostile, Unknown, Permissive), -10↑, The social situation may be extremely hostile but may lack the means for physical violence (guns, fear of retaliation -10↑, 181007-VCP-Poland) but can effectively hinder the operation by passive non violent means. On the other hand a community may be very very positive, but if there is a negative situation (no infrastructure, no access, no means to protect the operators) the operation is still hindered if not completely stopped before it can begin. FUN tends to be static taking great effort and time to change -5↑. HUP is highly dynamic and can change quickly and several times as perception changes, where the most minor act can change it. Unknown and Uncertain are the most dangerous as one does not know what to protect from, and lacks sufficient understanding of the social milieu to avoid creating a hostile situation and how to maintain a positive one. For example have an armed security force may help, or it may cause the very circumstances one wanted to avoid. Basically violence in an area tells little about except the nature and capabilities for violence, and the form it may take. FUN is objective based on hard evidence, but HUP is subjective based on soft evidence of previous patterns of behavior, usually analogues ∩ not the exact same circumstances of the current situation. -2, -180805-VCP-China, -180513-1.1↑. #Glossary Operational Area, Social Environment. Bites, Punches, Guns: ER Doctors Often Targets of Assault, may be a F in terms of infrastructure and H for social environment. -10↑, 181007-VCP-Poland.
Tags: Analogue, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, BioPolitics, Biosphere, BioTrumpism, CDC, Climate Change, Communication, Denial, Disaster, Distance to Medical Care, Dual Use Weapons, Environmental Change, Freedom of Press, Guns, Human Factors, Humor, Katharine Hayhoe, Media Evaluation, Mosquitoes, One Health, Pre Pasteurization, Science Journalism, Stub Style, Vaccine, Violence, Zombie
Key Words: USA, Papua, Philippines, India, New Zealand, Israel, Palestine, Zimbabwe, Afghanistan, Australia, Research, Global, Israel, Poland
Tags: Anti-Vax, Polio, Dengvaxia, Seasonal Flu, Measles, Air(line) Borne Disease, Cholera, Polio Vaccination, HPV, Helmet Laws
-Poland: Polish Lawmakers Approve More Talks on Banning Vaccinations. VCP used the NYTimes$ version. <ADDED 180603>VCP. }} Vaccination among Polish University Students. Knowledge, Beliefs and Anti-Vaccination Attitudes 2017, Anti-Vaccination Movement Growing in Poland 2017, Mandatory Vaccinations in Poland - History and Rationale 2017. I’ve wondered if part of Polish anti-vax is related to being a reaction to former Soviet rule. MMR Rates Fall in Poland – Despite Mandatory Vaccination Rules, Thousands March in Poland Against Against Forced Vaccination, Polish Citizens Protest Mandatory Vaccination. | This is somewhat ironical but here is a 2012 article of the Polish view of US immunization Anti-Vaccination Movement and Parental Refusals of Immunization of Children in USA, this lead to Public Health Responses During Measles Outbreaks in Elimination Settings: Strategies and Challenges, It's Complicated: The 2014–2015 U.S. Measles Outbreak and Parents’ Vaccination Beliefs, Confidence, and Intentions. ¶ It may seem odd but this fight against mandatory vaccination reminds me of fighting against mandatory helmet laws (or gun control, 181007-10, <ADDED -181007-170730-11). There is at least one obvious difference between the two. If someone dies because they chose not to wear a helmet they only kill themselves (or only others), not the case if someone chooses to not vaccinate. Paternalism & Its Discontents: Motorcycle Helmet Laws, Libertarian Values, and Public Health 2007. The Case Against Motorcycle Helmet Laws 2010. Mandating the Use of Motorcycle Helmets: What Are the Issues 2013. More on Why We Shouldn't Have Mandatory Helmet Laws 2014. Against Mandatory Helmet Law: it Should Be Our Own Choice 2017, The Helmet Law Debate. Health Promotion; Ethical and Social Dilemmas of Government Policy 1986.
-Congo: Five New Ebola Cases Confirmed in Eastern Congo - Health Ministry$. <ADDED-181007-180513-1.1>.
-Israel: Israel Suffers Growing Measles Outbreak , 180909-VCP. }} Israeli Child Hospitalized with the Measles., What is happening in Palestine with its weaker Public Health and sanitation, less access to medical care. Trump Aid Cuts Hitting Palestinians Hard, Agencies Warn, critics accuse US of using issue to force through White House imposed peace deal, as hundreds of thousands of Palestinians suffer impact. I believe this is against International Law, not that law has ever deterred biotrumpism (#Glossary biopolitics -2- under Trumpism) before.
-USA: Anti-Vaccine Billboard in Syracuse Featuring Former Fighter’s Dead Son Sparks Criticism, -New Zealand, -Australia↓. }} Think You Don't Need a Flu Shot. Here Are 5 Reasons to Change Your Mind, Flu Can Be a Killer, but Some Refuse to Take a Shot$, Texas Influenza Awareness Day, 5 Bad Arguments Against the Influenza Vaccine 2015. | Fact Check: House Candidate Misses Mark on Vaccine Protections for Manufacturers, it appears that fact check articles are becoming more Popular New Studies on Political Fact Checking: Growing, Influential; but less Popular among GOP Readers, Trust and Distrust in Online Fact Checking Services, No cake on International Fact Checking Day. Celebrate by correcting fake news; 181007-4, <ADDED 181007-180916-5>. Fact Check Vaccine Archive, Snopes Anti-Vax, Embrace the Facts about Vaccines, Not the Myths. One Conversation: an Antivaccine Crankfest Adds Two More Antivaccine Cranks. Infected Passenger Causes Possible Measles Exposure at Newark Airport. | FDA Expands Use of Cervical Cancer Vaccine up to Age 45.
-Australia: APN Outdoor Runs Anti Vaccination Ad in Brisbane, -New Zealand↓, -USA↑. }} In Australia, Cervical Cancer Could Soon Be Eliminated$, 180916-VCP, -New Zealand↓. Australian Vaccination Risks Network Posts Anti-Vaccination Billboard in Brisbane, Call to Remove Dangerous Anti-Vaxxer Billboards. Anti-Vaxxers Establish Own Social Services after No Jab, No Play Policy Crackdown 2017. You Are Playing with Your Child’s Life: Aussie Mum’s Powerful Message for Anti- Vaccination Movement 2015,
-New Zealand: Anti-Vax Billboard near Hospital Removed after Complaints, 180819-2, <ADDED 180506>VCP. There was a similar billboard complaint a few months ago, <ADDED 180617>VCP-Australia↑. -USA↑.
-Philippines: Parents Still Scared of Govt’s Free Vaccines a Year after Dengvaxia Scare. Is it the vaccine, suspicion of the government item, something for free, or combination of all. 180902-VCP.
-II. Not in VCP News Archive:
-Yemen: Health Workers in Yemen Reach More than 306,000 People with Cholera Vaccines During Four Day Pause in Fighting. Maintaining public health and vaccination in conflict zones can get very interesting.
-Finland: Change to Finland’s Vaccine Programme Sees Rise in Kids' Mycobacterial Infections, before 2006, all newborns received the TB shot, but as cases of tuberculosis diminished over the years, the shot was cut from the national vaccine programme, 180930-4 tuberculosis, <ADDED 180923-180916-5>1E tuberculosis, 180211-4.4‡Finland.
-Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe in Huge Cholera Vaccination Drive after 49 Deaths. Public Health Emergency Declared in Zimbabwe over Cholera Outbreak Sep 12. Meanwhile 4,661 kilometers, 2,896 miles, to the northwest, Niger Says Cholera Epidemic Has Killed at Least 68 People. There is insufficient information to determine it these are separate cholera outbreaks or different waves of a larger one (20 September 2018 Zimbabwe, 14 September 2018 Algeria, 1 June 2018 Cameroon, 29 March 2018 Somalia, 2 March 2018 Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 19 February 2018 Mozambique, 12 January 2018) and what the vaccination status is for each political jurisdiction. <ADDED 181007-180513-1.1>. Zimbabwe Vaccinates 1.4 Million to Combat Worst Cholera Outbreak in a Decade.
-Global: Flu Shots Are Important – Especially for Pregnant Women in Poor Countries. All from 2015, 15 Common Anti-Vaccine Arguments and Why They are a Load of Crap, Follow the Money: the Finances of Global Warming, Vaccines, and GMOs, Vaccines Don’t Give Lifelong Immunity, but They Are Still Better than Natural Immunity, 10 Hypocrisies/ Double Standards of the Anti-Vaccine Movement, Yes, Vaccines Did Save Us from Disease: A Graphic Analysis, 100 Bad Arguments Against Vaccines. Same agreements made before, and still continue.
-III. Applicable to VCP from PDWN-181007
-8. Virology is a post truth world.
-180805-VCP-China>. Violence toward medical personnel by patients in China.
Disclaimer: PDWN is not an affiliate of, obligated to, or funded by VCP, The London School of Tropical Medicine, or any other organization. The excerpts from PDWN are provided as additional information for the use of those who wish to pursue a topic further. | Be aware that the provided information is not always valid in terms of current science consensus. The assumption of parademic is that if social construction of information is believed to be true, even if demonstrated as false or unverifiable, then they are a social fact with resulting behavior that is in concert with perceived validity, regardless of contrary evidence. | If there is disagreement between VCP and PDWN, the curator of PDWN recommends given greater weight to VCP positions. VCP has the greater capabilities, expertise, depth or knowledge and focus on its subject area of confidence in vaccines.
1. Kill All Mosquitoes, 2. Bogus Believers, 3. Climate Risk Investing, 4. Ending HIV, 4.1. Contagious Narrative, 5. Health Fads, 6. Hard Social Science, 7. Mundane Become Dangerous, 8. Give up Itis, <ADDED >1. Leveraging Scams, >2. Doubted Report, >3. Florence Continues (Competence, Turtles and Conspiracy), >4. Puerto Rico Continues, >5. PAHPA, >6. Congo, >7. Not Credible Sounds, >8. Hindering Control and Containment of Guns, >9. Changing Narratives, 180930-VCP.
Other Topics: BioTrumpism, BioPolitics, Vaccine, Biosphere, Disaster, Humor, Climate Change, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Communication, One Health, Environmental Change, Human Factors, Wrong Rewards, Unintended, Economics, Tuberculosis, HIV, Defining Problems, Solving the Right Problem in the Right Way, Magical Thinking, Denial of Reality, Questionable Source, Armageddon, Consistency Between Belief and Behavior, Sapient Universe, Memory, What Makes Humans Superior
-1. Mosquitoes That Can Carry Malaria Eliminated in Lab Experiments, but No One Knows Exactly What Would Happen If Mosquitoes Were to Disappear. A four year experiment sets out to study the ecological consequences of a bold scheme to end malaria. It’s a good question. To humans, mosquitoes are at best annoying and at worst deadly, but to dozens of other species in the wild, they are competitor, pollinator, or prey. If past malaria eradication campaigns have taught us anything, it is that reshaping the environment can have unintended consequences*. Can Birds Survive Without Mosquitoes 2016. [Cartoon, only female mosquitoes bite. This however would be jarring if it was a mother complimenting daughter]. A Genetically Modified Organism Could End Malaria and Save Millions of Lives — If We Decide to Use It. -180916-5↓. Mosquitoes Will Rule the Earth as Climate Change Expands Disease Vectors.
-*.Unintended and unforeseen effects of human activities are common, in fact any human activity has results that those involved with the activity are unaware of, and can continue to be hidden for centuries. War has many such examples to include recent identification that the Impact of WWII Bombing Raids Felt at Edge of Space. -180916-5>A↓.
Quote: If only Africa had more mosquito nets then every year we could save millions of mosquitoes from dying needlessly of aids. – Jimmy Carr, misattributed to [Meme], using same misrepresented source [Meme].
-2. Who Believes in Conspiracies. People who tend to be more suspicious, untrusting, eccentric, needing to feel special, with a tendency to regard (perceive) the world as an inherently dangerous place – and indeed they may in reality live in dangerous and uncertain places, with information vacuums and misinformation that nurture rumor. They are also more likely to detect meaningful patterns where they might not exist. People who are reluctant to believe in conspiracy theories tend to have the opposite qualities. Something’s Going on Here: Building a Comprehensive Profile of Conspiracy Thinkers. -180916-5C Florence, -180916-5 Puerto Rico↓.
-3. Believe all you want this it’s not real, but don’t invest as if it isn’t. ESG Investing May Not Protect Portfolios from Climate Change Losses, Warns Bloomberg Led Report. Environmental Social and Governance (ESG) strategies may not protect investors from climate change losses. Much of the climate change impact in the future will come through weaker growth and lower returns on businesses across the board, says the study from the Task Force on Climate related Financial Disclosures (TCFD). At the same time, the study says a company meeting the need by investors for adequate information on how they are preparing for a lower carbon economy may have a competitive advantage. The kind and details of disclosures being given by firms vary by industry, according to the survey. Geography also plays a part in the disclosures, a higher percentage of companies in Europe are disclosing climate risk information than businesses in other regions. Hint; don’t invest in property that is not at least 6 meters above sea level on the coasts of the Gulf and the Eastern US, unless if is related to delaying the risks of living near rising seas and more extreme weather, Should I Tell My Republican Friend That Her Florida Mansion Is Doomed by Sea Level Rise. Research Forecasts US among Top Nations to Suffer Economic Damage from Climate Change, currently costing US economy about $250 billion per year, Florence Impact on Insurers Tempered by Mostly Uninsured Flood Losses <ADDED 180923-180916-5↓> the same people who could not afford to evacuate and protect their property. BOE Warns of Banks Doing Too Little, Too Late on Climate Change, Bank of England Tells Banks to Speed up Plans for Climate Change Risks. An Economic Model to Help Policymakers Understand Willingness to Deal with Climate Change Efforts, New Book Looks at Dealing with Critical Risks from Climate Change Beyond Adaptation Limits, Loss and Damage from Climate Change: Concepts, Methods and Policy Options [Cover]. U.S. Firms Join Oil Industry Climate Group as Pressure Becomes Too Hard to Ignore. Climate Change and the True Cost of Economic Growth. In general it is not a good idea to defer payments on bills that accrue interest (like credit cards), defer maintenance of critical infrastructure, spend more than one has, make investments that gain less than what is lost.
-‡. Ignoring Climate Change. UN Chief Blasts Lack of Strong Leadership on Climate. The Case Against Climate Despair. A Warming Climate Means Profound Changes for U.S. National Parks. Climate Change Art Exhibit Brings Awareness to Waco, 2nd Annual Climate Change Art Exhibit [Art, Art, Art, \fsArt]. In Most Global of Settings, UN Ponders Populism’s Problems. Climate Change Is a Global Injustice. A New Study Shows Why. The Climate Change Debate Has Shifted, Not Ended. Climate Change Called a Social Problem, Local Professor Is Taking Action. New Climate Debate: How to Adapt to the End of the World which it defines as social collapse but what is describes is economic collapse. Sorry finance fields, but while economic collapse is not a good thing, it is hardly a social collapse and far from an extinction event. Essentially if people remain then there is still society, vastly changed no doubt, but still a social system. Now Is the Time to Answer Questions about Climate Engineering Disease Impacts. Extreme Weather Events Rarely Occur in Isolation. After Florence, North Carolina must Rebuild Vulnerable Beaches Once Again, replenishing the same areas again and again, disproportionately benefiting wealthy owners of seaside lots. Has Hurricane Florence Destroyed Records of America's Slave Trade.
-A. Trump Administration Agency Predicts 7 Degree F Rise in Global Temperatures by 2100. Hidden in the large overlooked The Safer Affordable Fuel Efficient (SAFE), Vehicles Rule for Model Year 2021–2026, Passenger Cars and Light Trucks, Draft Environmental Impact Statement from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration are some startling figures: the Trump administration believes there will be a 7 degree Fahrenheit rise in average global temperatures by 2100, and the report suggest we not even bother trying to stop it. It was difficult to find the specific figure of 7 degrees, page 8-68, Greenland and West Antarctic Ice Sheets, 1st paragraph ......but less than about 4°C (7.2°F) (medium confidence) global mean warming with respect to preindustrial levels, and the 2 links -2-, do not provide that 7o figure. However; there is information in the report that one could calculate to obtain to nearly that sum. Because such aprecise figure would be misinformative (different temperatures will have differing impact on different parts of the world), what is more likely is the statistical tail of a range. Likewise there was no specific implication of futility. There may be a specific statement, but what I read was a range of possibilities and indicators, various tipping points, and indications of several authors with different interpretations, which a full editing will make internally consistent. It is doubtful that this has be reviews is by the current administration. It was written during this time but as it’s counter to biotrumpism unlikely this was written or reviewed by biotrumpism psychophants 180301-2.1, <ADDED 171210-171105-6.2>4. Trump Administration Argues That Earth Will Inevitably Be Ruined by Climate Change, So We Might as Well Keep Using Fossil Fuels, The Trump Administration Believes Catastrophic Global Warming Is Real – and Also That We Shouldn’t Try to Stop it, As its Own Reports Reveal the Disaster of Climate Inaction, Trump Proposes Climate Inaction, Trump Admin. Recognizes Climate Change in Debate over Fuel Standards, Trump Administration Predicted Seven Degree Increase in Global Temperature by 2100, Inconvenient Truth: The Trump Administration Admits the Frightening Facts on Climate Change. Note that all of these (there are far more than what is posted here) all reference the original Washington Post article, not the original document. If there is an error in this report it gets spread further, making it seem correct because it is reported in a wide number of sources. The Washington Post is a reliable source, in part because it is clear about its editorial slant and biases. Because of this I check the news source reports, and even more so whenever there is a reporting on a draft report. One should always go to the original source draft document to verify what is claimed to be in a report is actually there and not subject to a range of interpretations. Has PDWN ever mentioned that media reporting of science can have errors that are misleading. #Linguistics Shifting Definition of Climate Change. As noted before language change is characteristic of parademic, new words, new meaning for new words, multiple and possibly conflicting meanings, but people may not recognize that they are using the same word in the same context yet it has different meanings. These potential conflicts in meaning can perpetuate a social conflict, and can keep those who depend on the conflict to perseverate beyond relevance in positions and roles.
-B. It has however been noted that biotrumpism is influenced by Bible Prophecy & Trump: Daniel Chapter 8 A Goat Stubborn King of the West will Attack Iran (Persia) making His Nation "Very Great" in End Times Then the ... Occurs Over 150 End Time Prophecies, Trump's Jerusalem Syndrome: Whose End of Days Messiah Does He Think He Is, Armageddon. Bring It On: The Evangelical Force Behind Trump's Jerusalem Speech, Donald Trump, the Herald of Evangelicals’ End Times, This Is Why Evangelicals Love Trump's Israel Policy, Sierra Club: Trump Embraces Climate Catastrophe, [Cartoon, Meme], 180301-3.5, <ADDED 180128-180121-8>3, 180916-3.2A, <ADDED 180311-180211-4.1>8, 180204-3, <ADDED 180128-180121-2A>1Quote. If this is true then this report is consistent with biotrumpism, and more worrisome in that it is willing to be open about its ultimate goal of mass extinction. There may be a relation to INDEX Elite Bunkers, not with a physical or social protection but some sort of magical protection. | This willingness to hasten the end of life on Earth may seem inconsistent to biotrumpism positions on reproduction ‘Contraception Deserts’ Likely to Widen under New Trump Administration Policy, but maybe there is a belief about suffering and pain, sacrifice of children, that adds to purity and acceptance to heaven, or a cognitive gymnastic that allows the cognitive dissonance to be ignored or explained away. For instance believing that climate change is real, but not human caused is consistent with the idea that only deity has the power to end all life. People can be destined to fulfill revelations prophecy and when anti-abortion is rationalized on religious grounds, then it is not sadistic behavior to commit infants to painful, miserable and likely short lives.
-4. The End of HIV Transmission in the U.S.: A Once Unthinkable Dream Becomes an Openly Discussed Goal. A mere decade ago, 45,000 Americans a year were contracting HIV. Since the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention started collecting data on HIV related deaths just over 30 years ago, more than half a million of those people have died from AIDS now U.S. health officials and HIV experts are beginning to talk about a future in which transmission in the United States could be halted. And that future, they say, could come not within a generation, but in the span of just a few years. New CDC Director Predicts U.S. Can End AIDS Epidemic Within Seven Years. This is an example of an item that was not noted in PDWN due to the curator’s bias. In the early days of biotrumpism this seemed a minor and redundant as it was already clear that people being appointed were intent on rolling back the agency they were in charge of, were making statements not based on evidence but bravado, and concerns were expressed about this individual -2- -3-, Disheveled CDC Director Warns of ‘Invisible Germs Crawling Everywhere’ from Inside Sealed Plastic Bubble. Like several other key appointees 170220-3.2, 170312-2.3), that would have impact on health and environment, both domestically and globally, he was included in the biotrumpism database. PDWN does have material from the CDC director that is agrees with the biotrumpism narrative (negative parademic) <ADDED 180401-180304-6>5, and those that were counter to biotrumpism (positive), but even so this is an example that the PDWN narrative is not without bias. The curator continues to stand by the opinion (which are not facts) that CDC is no longer an agency that one does not have to check validity of statements 180722-4, 180930-VCP-UK, while HHS has increasingly been allowing itself to be used for political agendas, becoming a questionable source*, rather than providing the best public health policies and services possible, Trump Administration Cancels FDA Fetal Tissue Contract, Health and Human Services Says It's Reviewing Use of Fetal Tissue for Research. Administration To Audit All Federally Funded Research Using Fetal Tissue, Reopening Decades Long Controversy. | There are other diseases where control would be possible, Tuberculosis Is a Disease the World Could Control. But Will It, You Can’t Treat Tuberculosis with Platitudes, Is the World Finally Ready to End the Deadliest Infectious Disease, 180930-VCP-Research. In light that once controlled diseases are reemerging, Any Week-VCP, one may not be particularly hopeful about new control and containment goals. There will also be either blaming the victims or more to the story, How PrEP, the Pill to Prevent HIV, May Be Fueling a Rise in Other STDs. This trope of more than meets the eye is what makes parademic fascinating. Separately social behavior and biosphere calamity are very complex and multilayered. Together they exponentially complicate each other and add multivocality. [Meme]. -180311-6↓.
-*. PDWN is itself a questionable source. This is by intent as part of its purposes is to mimic the chaotic information environment of a biocalamity/ parademic. Information during bioevents (which are actually constant, not a single bioevent that begins and end) are filled with panic, misinformation, manipulation of information, valid data, political and criminal exploitation, fragmented and out of sequence information, errors, misinterpreted evidence, skewed perceptions, fear mongering, propaganda, unrecognized satire (Poe’s Law), tangents, unclear cause and effect, etc. These could be labeled, but that defeats the learning goal, and in any case there is not reason to blindly accept PDWN’s opinions, selection of material, interpretation. Indeed if anyone ever does consider what PDWN shares without critical evaluation they not only miss the point, but are unusually tolerant of (or unable to identify), deliberate poor writing.
-4.1. #Document Beyond Social Contagion: Associative Diffusion and the Emergence of Cultural Variation. Contemporary societies exhibit remarkable and persistent cultural differences on issues as varied as musical taste and gun control. This cultural variation has been a longstanding topic of sociological inquiry because it is central to how social order, and the inequalities it is founded on, is maintained. In particular, research has focused on the tendency of cultural practices to co occur with one another. This cultural clustering – from clothing and lifestyle choices to consumption and religious behaviors – symbolically marks different categories of people. The different social identities these cultural boundaries delineate are typically undergirded by a variation in beliefs and dispositions. These divergent beliefs, structure differences in individuals’ political, economic and health behaviors.
-A. Whatever the underlying mechanism, the end result is a balkanized world in which people interact within culturally homogenous, and structurally separated cliques. But cultural diffusion often fails to trace network structure. Consider the recent surge in opposition to vaccinations as an example. Successful immunization campaigns virtually eradicated measles and other childhood diseases in the U.S. by the end of the twentieth century; but at the turn of the new millennium Americans’ faith in vaccines began to erode. The spread of anti-vaccination sentiments appears inconsistent with a network diffusion explanation. Parents who object to childhood vaccinations tend to be college educated and to have above average incomes. This is precisely the demographic that, up until recently, was most likely to comply with vaccination protocols. Indeed, as the passionate disagreements on California’s strict 2015 immunization law demonstrated, beliefs on vaccines cut through tight knit communities across the U.S. Hailing from the Oregon coast to the Texas heartland, anti-vaxxers, as they are colloquially called, have also become a constituency wooed by candidates on both sides of the political spectrum. Attitudes on vaccines, in other words, do not appear to follow the contours of network segregation in America.
-B. An actor adoption a cultural practice is different from how an actor interprets it. Behaviors around vaccines are strongly rooted in cultural beliefs. Injecting a biological agent using a hypodermic needle – without being able to observe this action’s purported effects – requires strong and unquestionable faith in the institutional authority of the medical profession. As work by historians and sociologists has demonstrated, recent changes in attitudes toward vaccines in the U.S. relate to changes in how Americans, predominantly those on the higher end of the socioeconomic ladder, understand their roles as parents, their rights as consumers and their relationships with pediatricians. The rise in opposition to vaccines by educated and affluent parents cannot be explained without taking into account how vaccines have been reinterpreted.
-C. We argue that interpretations, and interpretative consensus (social construction), can emerge through the process of diffusion. Drawing on two insights from research in cognition – that meaning inheres in cognitive associations between concepts, and that such perceived associations constrain people’s actions – we propose a theory wherein rather than beliefs or behaviors, the cultural elements being transmitted between individuals are perceptions about which beliefs or behaviors are compatible with one another. People learn from their social environments how to associate between different cultural practices, and in their own behaviors enact, and therefore reproduce for others, these associations.
-5. There Is So Much Health Noise: Tim Caulfield Teases Fact from Fiction in New Netflix Show. Crazy diets, super foods, vaccination myths, jade vagina eggs, over hyped new technologies, etc. It is a very frustrating time. We wanted to make an entertaining show that is grounded in the science, but still considers the perspectives and concerns that drive people to these therapies and beliefs. It is a big challenge to make a show about controversial topics that doesn’t just preach to the converted. At the same time, you want to avoid false balance INDEX, -180311-6↓, which happens far too often. I think we strike that balance and we had a ridiculous amount of fun while doing it. | A User’s Guide to Cheating Death, Trailer, [Ad]. When Conventional Wisdom Is Put on Trial. The author of #Book Randomistas [Cover] shows how randomized trials have overturned many popular findings, from hormone therapy to the benefits of multivitamins. Pandemic Response: Fear Is Inevitable, Panic Is Optional, and lying is chronic and endemic -6 -A. -180923-6.2>C↓.
-6. Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science. Can empirical data about human behavior make the "soft" sciences more like the "hard" ones. New interdisciplinary fields are voting yes. Enter the emerging fields of sociophysics and econophysics, which use the techniques and paradigms of physics and the natural sciences to examine questions of public opinion, decision making, and emotion. Though I can see the appeal of being able to replicate, make accurate predictions, I don’t believe it is possible – open systems, numerous but still finite variables interacting in exponential combinations, unfixed definitions, ineffables, having that much control over lives – and personally I’d prefer that the whole of soft social sciences not become or pretend to be a hard science. It is also self defeating if interdisciplinary fields are voting yes. The value of interdisciplinary studies are its differences, its inefficiencies. It cannot be called interdisciplinary if the different fields all use the same rigorous methods, have the same perspective, get the same results. That would be a mass production factory, where the parts are all interchangeable and will still create the exact same end product. Why can’t hard science be softer, that by becoming so be considered an improvement. Soft science already adopts hardness where appropriate, there are also times when it would behove hard science to consider its impacts on people, health, environment. What a small entropic lonely universe this is if one only dealt with verifiable fact. I prefer the evolving antropic ones that fact changes with learning. Art in Space. What Separates Us From the Animals. Is it Lying that Makes Us Truly Human -5↑, -A, -180923-6.2>C↓. In fact humans are so skilled at lying that it is organic and they can lie to themselves.
-A. The world “hard” is associated with precision, intellect, objectivity, clarity, strong, masculine, rational, predictable, adult, restraint. These are qualities that are associated with what separates man from the animals. Soft is associated with flightiness, emotion, fanciful, obscure, weak, feminine, irrational, unpredictable, childlike, lack of control. However one could make a case that being able to imagine more than what is, to feel rather than just think, to be able to keep secrets, to nurture, to try against all reasonable hope for success, to be vain, to have neonatal traits are the very qualities that distinguish “higher” animals (to include man) from the lower ones. | It has been observed that gender in an important aspect of biocalamity, and that in general social roles and rules are suspended and blurred during disasters in general. That may explain some of the conflicts between genders, defining what is gender or at least natural, so called deviant sexual behaviors. However one could make a case that being able to see more than what is, to feel rather than just think, to be able to keep secrets, to nurture, to try against all reasonable hope for success. | One can also make the case of this blurring of gender is why biotrumpism is so jarring. It is in part defined by a rigid concept of masculinity and strength; but it is also noted for having tendencies of vanity, decisions by whim, irrational, fear and other strong emotion drive, subterfuge, tantrums and other over reactions, secrecy, unpredictable and being childish [Art]. The Phrase “Adults in the Room” Is Misguided. Trump Baby Balloon. ¶ How Trauma Affects Memory: Scientists Weigh in on the Kavanaugh Hearing memory is fallible, how well can anyone recall something that happened over 35 years ago. Pretty well if the memory is of a traumatic event. That's because of the key role emotions play in making and storing memories. Why Kavanaugh’s Accusers Can’t Remember Everything. There is no such thing as playing back a memory, the mind does not work that way. Instead it reconstructs, which means errors creep in. In general someone who cannot reconstruct a memory of a event is probably being more objective than someone who can give an orderly, detailed, full account of an event. This is not exactly true as Kavanaugh does not remember the event. That either means it was traumatic and no longer fits his public personae, or he does remember but does a mental 5th, and gaslights by claiming that the accusers misremember [Tweet], How Alcohol Causes Blackouts and Blocks Memories$, Kavanaugh Sobering up after 35 Year Bender Shocked to Find out He’s Supreme Court Nominee. Falsehoods About Ford -5, -6↑, -180923-6.2>C↓. Christine Blasey Ford Is Her Own Expert Witness. Why Humans Are Bad At Spotting Lies.
-Quote: Some believe what separates men from animals is our ability to reason. Others say it’s language or romantic love, or opposable thumbs. Living here in this lost world, I’ve come to believe it is more than our biology. What truly makes us human is our unending search, our abiding desire for immortality. – Arthur Conan Doyle, The Lost World. The Scientific Sherlock Holmes. A Study in Sherlock: Revisiting the Relationship between Sherlock Holmes and Dr. John Watson. 180311-8.3.
-Quote2: There's no staying in your lane when humanity's future is at stake. – Dr. Jacquelyn Gill, New Film Series Says 'Let Science Speak' and Humanizes Scientists.
-7. September 29, 1982, Cyanide Laced Tylenol Kills Six. A point in time that can be pointed to as the start of chem/bio terrorism of the mundane, of what is supposed to be related to health. <ADDED 171001>15 <ADDED 170917>8 -170521-7>, <ADDED 170730-170205-7>.
-8. Hopefully this is information that will never be needed, but the way things are going there may be mass bioevents where knowing this will be useful. Give up Itis: When People Just Give up and Die. The five stages of give up itis: • First, people withdraw socially. Their mood and motivation drop, but they are still able to think. • The second stage is marked by profound apathy, which has been described as colossal inertia. • The next stage is aboulia. This is a psychiatric term that means a loss of willpower or an inability to act decisively. At this stage, a person stops talking, washing and generally looking after themselves. • The fourth stage is psychic akinesia. The person is now nearing the end. They no longer feel pain, thirst or hunger, and they often lose control of their bowels. • Then, bizarrely, just before death, the person often seems to make a miraculous recovery. But it’s a false recovery. The paradox is that while some goal directed behaviour has returned, the goal itself appears to have become the relinquishing of life. This is stage five. These 5 are like the grief cycle, but more along the lines of Extreme Grief Syndrome. These are also what one monitors emergency staff and operations for to make sure they are still effective and safe, or need a break. This includes suddenly becoming energetic, usually to respond to another crisis. They may seem OK but this is when a person pushes themselves beyond complete collapse to save others.
-180923-2>1. How Online Crowdfunding Supports Cancer Quacks. Not noted in INDEX yet but Cancer Scams is an area that indicates possible future behaviors/ parademic from biosphere calamities.Biome death does not usually kill quickly, but a slow, incremental, events. Plenty of time to exploit, and for desperate people to try anything, to have the right to try Search no matter how foolish.
-180923-6.2>2, INDEX Science Journalism. Doubts and Dialogue May Alter Public Perceptions of Science. Science projects within controversial fields such as synthetic biology could benefit from experimenting with communication settings in which experts share their thoughts and feelings with each other and the public. This allows for a more open and constructive dialogue with the public about research. Probably will not result in constructive engagement. The basic problems remains that controversial topics often times become so because of lack of science literacy. Airing academic debates are the equivalent of poor science journalism. This is also a single example that is being given extraordinary weight because it is new, and suspect the reporter of this did not understand the paper in the first place. All too often science journalism are the same as a Back Book Cover, it may help sell the book, but sometimes when reads the actual book one wonders if the person who wrote the blurb ever read the book, or more than a couple of paragraphs from the scientific study. Listen, Why Should I Care. Emotion, Affect, and Expert Participation in Public Engagement about Synthetic Biology is not available online for review. #Book How to Talk About Books You Haven't Read [Cover]. 180225-5.3 Alan Alda.
-180916-5>3, <ADDED 180923>1, 10 Days after Hurricane Florence, Fresh Chaos in S. Carolina as rivers kept rising and thousands of more people were told to be ready to evacuate; Florence Flooding Slowly Envelops South Carolina Homes. How 3.4 Million Chickens Drowned in Hurricane Florence. With Immediate Threat from Florence Dissipated, Carolinas Begin Long Recovery Process. Evacuation Decision Making: How People Make Choices in Disasters. [Photo, Photo, Photo. Think about this. They want to rebuild in a flooded area that will flood again. It is understandable about wanting to return to how things were, but that is not only not possible but would put one in danger again]. Florence Floodwaters Total Thousands of Cars, Stranding Locals. The Difficulty of Counting the Death Toll from Hurricane Florence, Florence Death Toll Increases; 1,500 Still in NC Shelters, We Still Don’t Know How Many People Died Because of Katrina 2015. USDA Waives Food Stamp Limitations During Hurricane Recovery. The Science Is Clear: Dirty Farm Water Is Making Us Sick, Climate Change & Health: Hurricanes. Harvey, Florence, and the Climate Change Connection. Coastal Waters May Carry Health Risks. Mosquito Pocalypse Is in Full Effect: North Carolina Hit by Blood Sucking Pest Outbreak, A Bad Science Fiction Movie: Large, Aggressive Mosquitoes Swarm N.C. City after Florence, Mosquito Borne Illness in North Carolina: West Nile Virus, LaCrosse, EEE and consider they can also carry some water borne diseases as well as the possibility of a syndemic of vector and water borne diseases. -1, -3 Insurance↑, 170917-4.1. State Extends Vaccination Deadline Because of Florence, 180930-VCP-USA.
-A. This is speculation but if one deeply examines the antecedents of undesirable behavior one will usually find it was the result of unintentional consequences of unintended rewarding of the behavior. The Invisible Doctor, and Rewarding Incompetence. This is not limited to medicine but can be locksmiths, education, crime, politicians who have been corrupted, decisions of whether or not to prepare for disasters, the normalization of deviance. This is one reason why efforts to solve a problem actually exacerbate the original problem, create a worse to replace the first one or more likely the latest in a series of solution creates problem, solution to that create problem, solution creates problem, and so on and on and on..... This relation however is not easy to see. There could be an extended time or geographic distance between the rewarding cause and the undesirable consequences, that the problem remained unrecognized or at first thought to be desirable, or the deleterious behavior was rewarded so long that people are reluctant to abandoned as it always worked before (that is got rewards), -1*↑.
-B. Scientists Followed a Leatherback Turtle Through Hurricane Florence – Here's What They Saw. Turtles are air breathers, so they need to come to the surface periodically to breathe, but I suspect many dive below the surface to weather the storms. I have tracked turtles through some storms in the past and never saw any sort of movement that suggested they were trying to get away from the storm (or that the storms shifted their paths). The turtles I tracked were larger juveniles – at that size they can dive 100s of meters deep. Ride out Team Cares for Aquarium Animals During Florence. How Do Hurricanes Affect Sea Turtles. Nesting Sea Turtles Are on Florida's Frontlines as Irma Nears. This probably has negligible economic impact on people, especially in the crisis of bigger problems, but this is the sort of small damage to pay attention to as it can have an accumulating effect that may directly impact the geographic area involved, or have an indirect impact in a different geographic area, economic consequence on an unrelated industry, or at a much later time. How Hurricane Florence May Affect Wildlife. Biological, Cultural and Economic Significance. Scientists believe that hawksbill turtles may maintain the health of coral reef systems by grazing on sponges, which if left to grow unchecked, outgrow the corals, cover them up and kill the reef. Because of this, researchers believe that declining numbers of hawksbill turtles may be a factor in the inability of reefs to resist increasing pressures from pollution, algal overgrowth, overfishing and climate change. Money Talks: Economic Aspects of Marine Turtle Use and Conservation by Sebastian Troëng and Carlos Drews. Thousands of Scientists Send Trump Letter Defending Endangered Species Act.
-C. -2↑. The Glaring Problem with this Heroic Photo of Trump Rescuing a Hurricane Florence Victim, During Briefing on Hurricane Florence, Donald Trump Pauses to Ask about the Site of His Golf Course Video. Donald Trump Jr.’s Anderson Cooper Hurricane Conspiracy Theory, Anderson Cooper Shreds Idiotic Trump Jr. for Peddling Conspiracy Theories about His Hurricane Florence Coverage. As Hurricane Florence Approaches, Rush Limbaugh Spouts Conspiracy Theories about Climate Change. Hurricane Florence and Weather Control Conspiracies. Fleeing Florence; Bannon Believes Trump White House Conspiracy Is Widespread; 17 Years after 9/11. Televangelist Warlock Pat Robertson Casts Spell on Hurricane Florence, We Prayed and Look at That: Pat Robertson Credits Prayer for Redirecting Hurricane Florence Away from His Ministries, Protection Magick Against Hurricane Florence, Prayers for Hurricane Florence, How to Pray in a Hurricane, Pray It Down: How Believers Looked to Heaven in the Midst of Monster Storm Florence. Myrtle Beach Husband and Wife Weathered Hurricane Florence in God’s Hands, <ADDED 180923>H. Letter to the Editor: Humans Also Have Affect on Climate, <ADDED 180923-180916-5>1J, Faith Leaders Want a Moral Voice to Tackle Climate Change. Are These Pictures of Pigs on a Farm Flooded by Hurricane Florence. FEMA Launches 'Hurricane Florence Rumor Control' as Storm Makes Landfall, which I suspect was not a primary source of fact checking as FEMA has damaged its reputation for integrity of information and has been a questionable source since Katrina, Harvey, Maria, Irma; Donald Trump’s Hurricane Florence ‘Rumor Control Page’ Retweet Backfires, which is one of the contributing reasons for <ADDED 180923-180916-5F>2. Were Funds Shifted Away from Hurricane Relief. There Goes Hurricane Florence; Here Come the Disaster Myths. -5, -6↑.
-180916-5>4, <ADDED 180923>1H. Trump’s Latest Rant about Puerto Rico’s Death Toll Makes No Sense, Trump an ‘Absolute No’ on Puerto Rico Statehood Because of San Juan’s ‘Horror Show’ of a Mayor, Puerto Rico’s Push for Statehood. Trump Continues to Promote Puerto Rico Deaths Conspiracy Theory -2↑. Barbra Streisand Addresses Trump In New Song: 'Don't Lie To Me' Lyrics. Analysis: Why Trump’s Tweets about Puerto Rico Are Obviously Untrue. [Cartoon]. Why the Lights Went out in Puerto Rico. Experts Say Puerto Rico Still Extremely Vulnerable to Future U.S. Government.
-180603-1.2>5, <ADDED 180805>8. House Approves Rep. Brooks’ Pandemic, All Hazards Reauthorization Bill. This is getting limited press in the drama of everything else and probably because it is not important to news media. Probably will be a long time before it comes to approval. Changes to the Pandemic and All Hazards Preparedness Act Are Essential to Saving Lives in Disasters. S. 2852, Pandemic and All Hazards Preparedness and Advancing Innovation Act of 2018, the cost estimate. The Next Pandemic Will Be Arriving Shortly.
-180513-1.1>6, <ADDED 180923>5. WHO Extremely Concerned about Ebola Perfect Storm in Congo, Ebola Hit DRC Faces ‘Perfect Storm’ as Uptick in Violence Halts WHO Operation, an Ebola “Perfect Storm” Is Brewing in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Congo Says Ebola Efforts Can Resume after Deadly Attack. Ebola Response Faces 'Grave Obstacles' as Count Hits 150. DRC Resumes Battle Against Ebola after Militia Attack. WHO Calls for Protection of Humanitarian Workers and Civilians in Democratic Republic of the Congo, DRC Resumes Battle Against Ebola after Militia Attack, INDEX Attacks on Medical-Physical. Beni's Bloodshed Is a Shame for the DRC Government and the International Community, Killings in Beni: Civil Society Promises 'Big' Actions If Authorities Do Not Act Urgently, Insecurity and Ebola on the Agenda of Discussions Between Paluku and Civil Society. Beni Municipal Government Extends 'Dead City' Days. Ebola Response Resumes in Beni, but Protests Spread to Butembon . | Role of Media in Portraying Ebola in and Outside Africa, due in part because of lack of infrastructure for social media and government suppression, and this may be contributing to difficulties containing Ebola. Congo to Launch Immunization Against Yellow Fever Outbreak. ADF Attacks Again. UNHCR Concerned about Rising Displacement Amidst Ebola Outbreak, unknown if this is intended to counter the national government and international community’s influence in the area, to use as leverage for concessions to allow containment and control, to use the displaced population as a vehicle to deliver a bioweapon to a larger area, or to protect themselves from medical workers who are actually spreading Ebola. Ebola Virus Disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo. -180826-1↓. <ADDED 180909>7. Risk of Ebola’s Spread from Congo Now Very High, WHO Says, Rebel Attacks Threaten to Help Ebola Spread Across Border; interesting that there does not be concern about animal vectors taking Ebola over the borner. H5N1 Comment about EBOLA DRC - Evolution of the response to the Ebola epidemic in North Kivu on Saturday 29 September 2018. The outbreak has now acquired a distinctly political tone, and the Ministry of Health can be forgiven for sounding pleased about contact tracing and vaccinating one of its major political opponents. Judging from his Twitter account, the deputy is fond of lurid and gory photos of victims of violence, but he hasn't tweeted about the Equateur and North Kivu Ebola outbreaks. | DRC - Ebola: National Deputy Declared 'At-risk Contact' (Ministry), could indicate either willingness to do their job and be in a risk area, orincompetence of knowing how to do the job, now to figure out which. Mbindule was among the politicians who did not believe the existence of Ebola in the region. Stated in the local media that the Ebola virus disease had been created in laboratories and had been moved from the Equateur province to Beni to exterminate the population. Popular in his stronghold, he advised against his supporters to accept vaccination. The ministry now considers the involvement of the MP and the pressure group as "a major step forward" in the social mobilization and the "lifting of the last pocket of resistance" of Butembo. Uganda: Two Suspected Ebola Patients Isolated in Bundibugyo [Map]; if these turn out to be actual cases the situation becomes more complicated (meaning military force may be applied, possibly with forced quarantine) with the possibility of people fleeing the border area, and measures to close the border collapsing as well as the need for Public Health Response to Large Influx of Asylum Seekers: Implementation and Timing of Infectious Disease Screening. African Perspectives in Global Bioethics.
-180311-6>7, <ADDED 180916>5, -4↑. Reporting on the Edge: Authority, Dog Whistles, and the Politics of the Unknown. Beatrice Golomb, MD, has appeared in the news arguing mysterious symptoms experienced by Cuban diplomats are due to electromagnetic radiation. Though quoted by The New York Times and published in a peer reviewed journal, are her opinions credible. Going beyond medical authority, networks of doubt, reporting on uncertainty, how to find appropriate experts. In light of this and similar cases, here are a few suggestions for how journalists can vet experts on controversial health topics: • Ask experts about their views on other topics frequently subject to conspiracies to gauge participation in these communities. • Perform basic internet searching to see what they are saying in other media outlets. • Identify and disclose any financial conflicts of interest. • Ask about motivations for their research. Is this person an activist or someone who personally feels they suffer from health problems due to this condition. This doesn’t mean automatically dismissing this person, but it should prompt furtherquestioning. • Don’t try to portray “both sides” (false balance INDEX -5↑) by interviewing extremists on either end. • Be wary about including an expert’s hypothesis if it is not part of the mainstream scientific debate about the topic, with other independent sources available for review. Researcher Links Diplomats’ Mystery Illness to Radiofrequency/ Microwave Radiation. Source of US Diplomats' Mystery Illness Explained. ¶ The New Epistocracy is also characteristic of biotrumpism with its tendency to censor knowledge that does not fit its narrative, and willingness to replace knowledge with its anti-science -2-, without evidence <ADDED 180902-180128-3.1>10, logically facetious, opinion as fact INDEX. | A variation of this is found with anti-vax and Fighting Back Against GMO Pseudoscience. The organic food lobby has been successfully demonizing safe and effective biotechnology for the last two decades. Part of their strategy is to create a false dichotomy between GMO (genetically modified organisms) and non GMO. In reality there is a continuum of methods used to alter the genetics of crops that we have been using for centuries. There are real differences among these various techniques, but they do not divide cleanly into two categories. A Credibility Crisis in Food Science.
-180304-3>8, <ADDED 180506>3. Orlando Paramedics Didn’t Go In to Save Victims of the Pulse Shooting. Here’s Why. PDWN has been keeping watch if there would be a bigger push to arm and armor medics but so far nothing. Despite Post Shooting Rhetoric, Little Has Changed -2-, Will States Allow Districts to Arm Educators Using Federal Funds. 180722-1‡.
-180826-1>9. To Dispel Myths, Redirect the Belief. Beliefs can be hard to change, even if they are scientifically wrong. But those on the fence about an idea can be swayed after hearing facts related to the misinformation. Is this the replication problem. People are not trying to replicate the original study, but a misinformed interpretation of the original study. -180513-1.1↑, 180902-2.4. If parademic has identified one consistent law then it would be that to change behavior one needs to modify beliefs. It is beliefs that makes that behavior appear rationale to those who follow it. Attacking or attempting to extinguish that belief is to attack a person’s identification, sense of self, and will result in resistence and more difficulty modifying beliefs. Changing behavior without considering the beliefs is not only futile but will have unintended deleterious consequences. One can still have the same beliefs but can change behavior to more desired actions, 180923-VCP-Indonesia, 180909-VCP-Israel, <ADDED 180520>VCP-Indonesia.
Tags: BioTrumpism, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Armageddon, BioPolitics, Biosphere, Climate Change, Communication, Consistency Between Belief and Behavior, Defining Problems, Denial of Reality, Disaster, Economics, Environmental Change, HIV, Human Factors, Humor, Magical Thinking, Memory, One Health, Questionable Source, Sapient Universe, Solving the Right Problem in the Right Way, Tuberculosis, Unintended, Vaccine, What Makes Humans Superior, Wrong Rewards
Key Words: Global, Research, Italy, USA, Pakistan, UK, Canada, Russia
-Pakistan: GB Authorities Groping in the Dark as Polio Team Attacked. }} Security Man Martyred in Attack on Anti- Polio Team Out of curiosity I searched the character string: Pakistan, Polio Team Attacked. There were 1,170,000 items found. When using search string Pakistan, Polio Team Martyred, there were four, 2 being other descriptions of this incident and only one other article found, The Desperate Struggle of Pakistan's Polio “Martyrs”. Unknown why this is. There may be specific rules for the use of Martyr -2- (Shaheed), it may be related to gender of those killed, or the activity there were performing when attacked, or the reason why they were killed. This is a classic situation where the obvious (terror attacks on polio teams) is not necessary correct and one may solve the wrong problem or exacerbate the problem when solving it. 180826-VCP.
-Italy: How the Anti-Vaxxers Are Winning in Italy, a pyrrhic victory in the long run, 180923-VCP. }} Measles Cases Have Hit a Record High in Europe. Blame Austerity. In Italy the parts of the country that cut their public health budgets most had lower rates of vaccine coverage.
-Taiwan: Influenza Mass Vaccination Program Spotlighted in US Health Journal. PDWN saw the referenced Taiwan’s Annual Seasonal Influenza Mass Vaccination Program – Lessons for Pandemic Planning but opted to just use 180923-5, but noted in 180923-VCP, as it listed several related articles if someone was looking for something more specific. This had no new insight about planning and dealing with attitudes that could hinder MCM. Now however I’m intrigued by why Taiwan media wanted to note that the US used their program in a medical journal, especially in light of Taiwan being caught between -2- the US and China current trade war and saber rattling -2-. Vaccinations in the context of everything else. Germ City: Microbes and the Metropolis Opens, Over the Years New York City Has Had an Epidemic of Plagues$.
-Canada: Vignettes from a Preimmunization Canada as Childhood Vaccination Rates Plummet. There is speculation that people have simply forgotten what it was like before vaccines, but I have never seen a study on this or if there is another reason. 180916-VCP. }} CDC Estimates 80,000 Americans Died of the Flu Last Winter -USA↓, in comparison, Canada had 302 reported deaths last season, does this argue against the vaccine being ineffective last year.
-USA: Parents Still Demanding Answers after SRSD Suspends Vaccination Program, giving vaccinations without parental consent in a state that allows non medical exemptions is risky. Even when there are no medical exemptions permitted it is always a good idea to notify parents as there are a number of reasons to not vaccinate that are unrelated to the person being vaccinated medical condition. 80,000 Americans Died of Influenza Last Winter Estimate Represents Disease’s Highest Toll in at Least 40 Years. }} The story that 80,000 People Died of Flu Last Winter in US -Canada↑, was viral for a few days, Last year was the worst season for influenza mortality in decades, but what makes one item to go viral and another not is still a mystery, The Science of Making Things Go Viral [Strip, Cartoon, Photo]. Officials Push Flu Vaccine after Most Deadly Season in Four Decades, CDC Notes Flu Vaccine Uptake down a Bit in Young Kids. Influenza Vaccination Coverage Among Health Care Personnel – United States, 2017-18 Influenza Season 78.4% -UK↓. Return of U.S. Flu Season Brings Worries About a Virulent Replay. | Oregon: More Vaccine Exemptions Could Lead to Diseases. UC Political Scientist Reveals Surprising Answers about Religious Freedom, School Vaccine Bill, SB 277, Has Created Strange Political Bedfellows, Cranks of a Feather: the Nation of Islam and the Church of Scientology Team with Antivaccine Activists to Oppose SB 277, Texas’ Anti-Islam, Anti-Vaccine, Born Again Christian Candidate Is a Democrat (Texas' Climate Change Deniers, Climate, Politics and Religion – My Opinion). 180923-VCP, 180916-VCP. Surgeon General: It's 'A Social Responsibility to Get Vaccinated' for the Flu. The One Conversation Public Debate/ Discussion Devolves into an Antivaccine Crankfest. 180930-4.1, <ADDED 180930-180916-5> Florence. Shingles Vaccine Shortages Result from High Demand$, my working guess is this is the generation that remembers pre vaccine days. Vaccine Injury Awareness Week 2018: Barbara Loe Fisher and Joe Mercola Bring the Antivaccine Pseudoscience a Month Early. The Anti-Washers: Why Anti-Vaccers Aren’t Allowed to Be Insulted by Accusations That They Cause Outbreaks 2015.
-UK: Not Enough Known about the Influence of Practice Nurses on Uptake of Mmr Vaccine, City Research Finds. Nurses are influencers of opinions, and in same cases may be opinion leaders. This can be either positive (encourage vaccination), or negative (discourage vaccination), but there isn’t a direct relation to the nurses (or other medical roles) opinion, and how it influences others. In my own case I am biased and when I am in contact with medical personnel who don’t vaccinate I tend to completely dismiss any advice or medical instructions they give -USA↑, asking to speak to someone who I can trust to have a valid medical opinion. It is not a good experience, but at least educational, for the individual if they try to tell me no. I never return to someone who is anti-vax even if advice was good. Even when there is someone who has not damaged their being perceived as a competent authority, I have become not very willing to blindly accept medical opinion 180930-4. My preference is to build from previous experience with the medical practitioner where there is a relation that I know in what ways the areas I can trust them without verification, or no longer trust them without checking. ld HYPERLINK "https://parademic.typepad.com/my-blog/2018/09/180923-vcp-from-pdwn-180923.html" 180923-VCP, 180826-VCP, [Chart]. Even worse; I am uncertain in what ways CDC is valid, so even clearly incomplete are misleading information needs to be checked further. That is lots of wasted time and effort which can be ill afforded in an accelerated biocalamity.
-II. Not in VCP News Archive:
-Research: Cambridge Scientists Win Millions to Trial New Vaccine Against Ebola and Other Killer Viruses. #Book Vaccines: Are they Worth a Shot, Review [Cover]. Experimental TB Vaccine Shows Promise in Clinical Trials 180930-4 -4.1. How Do You Create a Vaccine When Traditional Methods Don’t Work.
-Global: Most of the World's Autistic Children Live in Countries with Few Resources, indicating no relation to MMR or any other vaccine, and there are a wide range of other health issues that may be involved. Autism 180826-VCP-USA. The Growing Vaccine Hesitancy: Exploring the Influence of the Internet.
-III. Applicable to VCP from PDWN-180930
-4. Media reporting of science.
-4.1. This one is particularly interesting as it is about the diffusion of narrative, specifically anti-vax.
-180311-6>. Stubs is about the continuing “Cuban sonic attacks”, but delves into its anti-vax connections and false balance.
-180826-1>. Modifying beliefs to modify behavior.
1. Anthropocene Start, 1.1, Frequency, 1.2. Climate Gender, 2. Crowdfunded Scams, 3. Comparative Farming, 4. Water Communication, 4.1. Health Care Deceleration, 5. MCM. 5.1. Parade Flu, 6. Synanthrope, 6.1, Puppy Resistance, 6.2. Science Journalism, 7. BioPolitics, 8. CARVERR Assessment, <ADDED >1. Florence, >2. Cancelled Tweet, >3. Spermpocalypse, >4. BioDefense Strategy, >5. Congo, >6. Coffee Extinction, >7. Cassandra. 180923-VCP.
Other Topics: BioTrumpism, BioPolitics, Vaccine, Biosphere, Disaster, Humor, Climate Change, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Communication, One Health, Environmental Change, Human Factors, Magical Thinking, Puerto Rico, Aftermath, Infrastructure, Preparation, Looting, FEMA, Exploitation, Assessing
-1. There has been on going discussion of when the Anthropocene started and what evidence supports a particular date or event. The parademic perspective is not so much when the anthropocene started, but when people became aware that they were now in a new geological (actually biological) era. Climate Change, Water and the Spread of Diseases: Connecting the Dots Differently. A half century ago, concerns about climate change, environment vulnerability, population density and the sustainability of earth systems reached a broad audience. This laid the foundations for growing scientific evidence that climate change was happening and was negatively affecting the earth. But one piece of the puzzle has been missing: the impact of climate change on people, and specifically, on public health. Scientists began writing about the earth moving into a new era called the Anthropocene. This is an era in which ecosystems were increasingly being affected by human behaviour, and in which people were being affected by the changes brought about by their actions. The Anthropocene provided the impetus for renewed attention on health and sustainability for all species. This new understanding led to increasing new research, across disciplines, to new interdisciplinary journals, and to policy documents on the impact of climate change on health. Major new insights began to emerge. These included the fact that changes in weather patterns were affecting the behaviour of mosquitoes. This in turn was affecting our ability to control disease. A raft of work also started to emerge on the affects of changing weather patterns, heat waves, and access to clean water on people's health. The next step along this journey was that academics came to realise that they can't work in disciplinary silos. For example, health scientists came to grasp that they need anthropologists, sociologists and economists for a full understanding of the impact of climate change. The circle of knowledge has, as a result, begun to expand. Parallel to these efforts, artists and advocacy groups have worked to keep climate change on international and national policy agendas. For example, artists have taken inspiration and drawn from scientific research in engineering, chemistry, biology, and the earth sciences to make their art.
-1.1. Why Are We Having So Many Disasters. The conjunction of factors such as climate, infrastructure, disease, and social networks may not create a disaster in themselves, but they each have a bearing on vulnerability and can contribute to the creation of conditions for the disaster. What we are experiencing now are changes in the mix of conditions that are combining to increase our vulnerability to disasters. [Chart]. Humans Have Been Messing with the Climate for Thousands of Years. Years of agricultural inefficiency likely had a lasting impact on the planet. Early farming practices unleashed a potent combination of greenhouse gases — carbon dioxide from deforestation, methane from the rice paddies and livestock — that may have profoundly changed the Earth’s climate and kept the planet from moving into another ice age. In short, according to new research, if not for these earliest agronomists, Earth might be significantly cooler today than it is. That doesn’t mean that, were it not for early farmers, we wouldn’t be struggling with the ravages of climate change, nor does it let modern societies off the hook for pouring carbon pollution into the atmosphere. Even if prehistoric growers had used less land, the Earth still would be heating up rapidly, but the warming trend would have started from a cooler baseline.
-‡. Fox & Friends Guest Likens Climate Change Science to Medieval Witchcraft, -180916-5D↓. Climate Change Argument Gets Mostly Chilly Reception. Four Years after Readers Raise Concerns, Journal Finally Retracts Climate Paper. Tropical Climate Zones Are Expanding as Predicted. When It Comes to Climate Change, the Rich Are the Culprit – but They Won't Pay the Price, disagree, it may take longer but they would pay eventually even if they survive.
-1.2. Africa: The Female Face of Climate Change. There used to be a time when the lines connecting climate change and gender were non-existent or blurred. People hardly saw the interplay, and any mention of gender in the deluge of epidemic and disasters related to climate change was seen as a feeble attempt to foist gender on every discussion. With more research, social progress, and available data from different parts of the world, it has become clear that there is no separating climate change from gender inequality. | A stunning statistic I stumbled upon during my studies on environmental justice and climate change impacts on humanity precipitated this piece. It reveals that women are 14 more times likely to die than men during a disaster. This is an alarming demography, if you consider that 68 percent of all disasters are related to climate change. This supports the contention that climate change affects women in particular, when broken down into demographic factors. ¶ What Does it Mean to Be Cisgender.
-2. Crowdfunding: The Fuel for Cancer Quackery crowdfunding using social media and sites like GoFundMe appear to be an integral part of the business model of quack clinics. Crowdfunding Sites Are Putting Money in the Pockets of Cancer Quacks.
-3. Intense Farming Better Than Organic. A new study reviews hundreds of articles on several farming systems (dairy, beef, wheat, and rice) to compare different approaches to farming and their net effect on the environment. They conclude that intensive farming systems are the “least bad” option for providing the food we need. This is in line with previous studies showing that organic farming uses significantly more land than conventional farming.
-4. Report: Salem's Drinking Water Crisis Compounded by Poor Communication. The city's communications structure was inadequate to handle public response to the advisory.
-4.1. #Book Health Care in the Next Curve [Cover]. An objective and sometimes scathing look at the current industry structure: a silo driven culture and entrenchment that is driven by self interest, as well as the complicity of government in preserving the status quo through regulation, licensure, and payment systems. This provides a fresh perspective unencumbered by current state realities. He deals with major pieces of the puzzle and doesn’t get bogged down by technical or arcane analysis. | Healthcare in the United States is at a critical juncture. We face a sharp upward rise in the number of people with chronic diseases and disabilities. As demands on our current health system grow, so will costs. But as a society we are approaching the upper limit of how much we are willing (or able) to spend on healthcare. Healthcare policy makers know this. That is why major health reform measures are focused on population health and value based care. These are the so called second curve objectives. But these initiatives are doomed to failure. We are asking a system to do things that it was not designed to do. | In fact, we don’t have a healthcare system as such. We have a parts bin of disconnected silos. Fragmented delivery systems. Specialized caregivers. Professional groups. Trade associations. Insurance providers. Government regulation and non regulation. All with distinct cultures. Each with its own motivations and agendas. Collectively this creates a crisis of dysfunction (condition of uncertainty) in not being able to perform its functions or handle a biocalamity. This may be trying to say that the current system will eventually collapse, leading to some change that will allow it to limp along for a longer time, or a full paradigm shift of the systems, -2-, [Chart, Infographic, .ppt]. Doctors Today May Be Miserable, but Are They 'Burnt Out', 180729-9, Burnout Takes a Bigger Toll on Physicians, but Main Source of it Remains Undetected.
-5. Public Health Emergencies: Unpacking Medical Countermeasures Management (MCM) for Preparedness and Response. A Supplement issue in the American Journal of Public Health (AJPH) features a selection of articles that focus on emergency medical countermeasures. Specifically, AJPH highlights research regarding mass vaccination programs, pandemic influenza preparedness, training during public health emergencies, and education of elderly patients.
-5.1. Philadelphia Threw a WWI Parade That Gave Thousands of Onlookers the Flu. Within 72 hours of the parade, every bed in Philadelphia’s 31 hospitals was filled. In the week ending October 5, some 2,600 people in Philadelphia had died from the flu or its complications. A week later, that number rose to more than 4,500. With many of the city’s health professionals pressed into military service, Philadelphia was unprepared for this deluge of death. #Book More Deadly Than War: The Hidden History of the Spanish Flu and the First World War [Cover].
-6. #Glossary A synanthrope (from the Greek syn-, "together with" + anthropos, "man") is a member of a species of wild animals and plants of various kinds that live near, and benefit from, an association with humans and the somewhat artificial habitats that humans create around them (see anthropophilia, anthromes). Those habitats include houses, gardens, farms, roadsides, garbage dumps, and so on. Synanthropes include a large number of what humans regard as pest species. It does not include domesticated animals such as cattle, honeybees, pets, poultry, silkworms and working animals. In plants, synanthropes are classified into two main types - apophytes and anthropophytes. Apophytes are synanthropic species that are native in origin. Anthropophytes are synanthropic species of foreign origin, whether introduced voluntarily or involuntarily.
-6.1. Puppies Are Making People Sick — and It’s People’s Fault. If your system requires a constant or regular dose of antibiotics to keep the animals healthy, your system’s broken. You’ve designed a system that makes sick animals. Antibiotics should only be used to treat illness, not to compensate for poor practices — whether it’s trucking dogs long distances and having poor hygiene in the process along the way. These are lifesaving medicines that should only be used to treat sick animals or sick people. This is an indication that they need to be raising these animals differently. They’re creating this terrible distribution system for multidrug resistant bacteria. This is one of the clearest examples I’ve seen where resistant bacteria are originating in animals from antibiotic overuse, and they’re passing directly to people and spreading rapidly. This is one of those situations where it’s incredibly clear that this is a problem we need to solve. CDC Blames MDR Campylobacter Outbreak on Pet Store Puppy Exposure.
-6.2. Covering Health Research. Choose Your Studies (And Words) Wisely. INDEX Science Journalism 180520-1.1. Many of the most popular news stories about health research include overstated findings or substantial inaccuracies. There are widespread problems with the language used to describe research findings, both in the studies and the resultant media coverage by implied causal results and language that was stronger (active voice) than appropriate. Articles overstated findings and had one or more substantial inaccuracies such as misreporting the question. It’s really basically impossible to write about these particular studies in a way that does not mislead, Journalists’ have choice of what to write about and what not to write about it, they should Stop writing about academic articles that are meaningless. The real problem is when you’re using association as a euphemism for causality. | Even when academic researchers and reporters are careful with the language they use, technically accurate terminology -180916-5↓. can suggest inaccurate conclusions to the lay reader. Taking the viewpoint of the reader, you have to understand how they are going to interpret that information. If what they absorb is not what the article is actually saying, then that’s sort of a misinformative way of reporting on an article, even if it’s the right technical language. Avoid taking a single study (or source) as the be all, end all: “We tend to have this idea in society that one study by itself — there are these great eureka moments — but really this stuff is built by consensus over many, many years. It’s much harder to gather the information about what the scientific consensus is on things versus one study … consensus, it’s a thing that’s a little bit more abstract. The science journalist should also evaluate their source to identify editorial or policy bias, agenda and in what ways valid. Being an authority, having a position, or working for an agency aren’t sufficient. The Health News Review, FiveThirtyEight and The Incidental Economist (Healthcare Triage: Research Studies Could Be More Pragmatic, and More Useful) are online news sites that avoid many common pitfalls of reporting on health research. Health News Review even has criteria by which they evaluate news write ups of academic research, which reporters might find useful. -180916-5↓. Checking in on Fact Checking in Science Journalism. The Science of Science Communication. 3 Quick Tips for Debunking Hoaxes in a Hurricane -180916-5↓. Does Climate Change Mean More Tsunamis, Changed the headline (it originally read Today’s Tsunami: this Is What Climate Change Looks Like) and updated the text to reflect the discussion of the science and the framing in the comments
-Note: Apply these concepts to -6.1↑ and compare to Multidrug Resistant Campylobacter Jejuni Outbreak Linked to Puppy Exposure – United States, 2016-2018, and one will note several flaws. Note that this critique is not about a particular author, their article just happened to be one that I came across this week that logically branched from Synanthrope, and then finding this article covered a topic that concerns parademic digital ethnography. How to inform users (the term “readers” implies readability which PDWN avoids in part to give cues not to blindly accept information provided, and that how one interprets a stub is not necessarily what the message was intended to mean (and intended interpretation and behavior may not correlate with validity). It is easier to be more active with critical thinking if there are #Glossary Bathos (ludicrous juxtaposition). Master of Ig Nobel Prize Ceremonies Talks Humor in Science) one needs to puzzle out meaning a little bit (if too much of a puzzle then readers are likely to lose interest in applying the extra effort, especially if they are used to having “good” writing that requires little thought). There is an advantage and disadvantage of using the reports of observations of others. There is no category of parademic, except possibly human interest in health, medicine and environment related stories. This has the advantage that the reported is less likely to bias and skew information, but the disadvantage that something important that was collected is not reported. Moreover parademic is not restricted by validity but uses the paradigm of how valid, what is the behavioral goal. Reports that are conspiracy theory, intentional fabrications, magical thinking, flawed or made without having the relevant background and context are part of parademic data, further complicated because the curator of PDWN does not clearly mark these, leaving it to the reader to develop the skills to discern the cues and metadata to identify the differences of reality, what is hoped to be real, what is being purported as real, what is accepted as real, and how blurred those categories are. 6 Studies on Digital News and Social Media You Should Know About. What You Heard Was Not What I Said. [Strip]. Fake News 2.0: The Propaganda War Gets Sophisticated. False News Stories Are 70% More Likely to Be Retweeted on Twitter than True Ones. In Fahrenheit 11/9, Michael Moore Spares No One — Especially Self Satisfied Liberals, Commitment to Democratic Values Predict Climate Change Concern.
-Quote: I know you think you understand what you thought I said but I'm not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant. – Alan Greenspan, Richard Nixon, Robert McCloskey, in essence anyone who has tried to teach or inform another from the Big Bang to Entropy. On Morality, Time, and the End of the Universe.
-7. A story that parallels anti-GMO, anti-vax, the Munchausen by Proxy of helicopter parents. Principal Sued by Parents of Child with Nut Allergy. Mom Asks Arlington Heights Schools to Ban Peanuts. Peanut Free Schools: What Does it Really Mean, and Are They Necessary. Peanut Free School Zones Don't Work. Do Peanut Free Schools Reduce the Risk of Severe Reactions. I’m Not a Helicopter Parent, but My Child Still Has a Food Allergy, The Day I Stopped Judging Parents of Children with Food Allergies.
-8. A 6 Part Tool for Ranking and Assessing Risks, #Glossary CARVER. Having a military background I have been aware of and used a modification of this application of this targeting acronym for assessing the vulnerabilities of infra and superstructure, and for prioritizing what to protect, respond to and recover.
-C. Criticality: How essential or critical is the system. Alway evaluate how it is critical, a critical system in normal conditions may not be critical when lives and resources are at stake, while uncritical ones can become critical.
-A. Accessibility: Not limited to what could cause damage, loss of access, loss of use, but if a threat, hazard, risk can reach the asset. Most things are vulnerable to geothreats – shaking, electrical/ magnetic surge, extreme thermal conditions, deterioration, innundation (water, people, use), changes in speed (too fast and sudden stops), friction, contamination.... – but may be protected from that risk and therefore not accessible to the problem. Unfortunately most biosphere threats are not hindered by the same protections as geodisasters, and most systems are vulnerable to these, specifically personnel (illness, starvation, dehydration, toxins), raw resources, and consumable products that are part of systems.
-R. Recoverable: How quickly can it be recovered, repaired, access regained or replaced. Also worth determining if it is worth replacement or repair or to find a better substitute that does not have the vulnerabilities. How long can functions continue without – ranging from immediate adverse effect, delayed impact where one can do without for a given time, to it can be worked around for a sustained period but not as efficiently or at same production rate. Sometimes a loss can be circumvented by a simple change in procedure, delivery of its service, altering its planned use, and/or change of location. Worth also considering that recovery, or a temporary recovery system will provide for other critical needs, such as jobs for those who would be unemployed.
-V. Vulnerability: How well (or not) the asset could withstand damage. What happens if there is a loss of supply, power, maintenance, operators, mobility. How is it vulnerable, what levels of damage it will sustain (temporary out of service, unable to access/ reach, and permanently inoperable/ unrepairable/ replaceable). Will it sustain damage from shut down, unintended use or duration, lack of maintenance, being restarted improperly. Consider also the protective measures can also cause damage to what is being protect, or severely hinder its operation and functions.
-E. Effect: What are the impacts, how long will those impact continue to impact, what are the impacts if continued over time. What are the effects and affects if it is unavailable for any reason, and then becomes available again. This is especially in the case where something made other systems vulnerable, and replacement means the flaws of the previous system continue. Again evaluation if terms of stop, hinder, delay, reduce, none (and if none why is it considered critical), cascade other systems, and are the unintended consequences from fixes.
-R. Recognizable: Likelihood that decision makers will recognize the danger of a system loss, or give it a suitable priority of resources and funds. With Biothreats and hazards this problem of recognition and awareness is very likely. Given their hidden invisible slow cumulative nature, people can be habituated to it as being normal or very unlikely to become a problem.
-R. Responsibility (an addition): Who or what is responsible for the implementation of protection, recovery, replacement, planning, funding, decisions regarding. Without designation of who needs to implement CARVERR findings and critical needs, it is likely to never happen, or put off until too late. Worse these can be done partially, sufficient to pass inspection or get more funding that is then diverted to other wants, but being incomplete create greater CARVER2 issues.
-180916-5>1. Isolation, Consequences Florence Has Made Wilmington, N.C., an Island Cut off from the Rest of the World. Slow Moving Storms like Florence Produce Big Floods – and Are Becoming the Norm [Photo, Cartoon] and are called typhoons; Dozens More Feared Dead In The Philippines After Typhoon Triggers Mudslide. Many science media sources still use the old definition that hurricanes and monsoons are different names for tropical cyclones depending of geography, -6.2↑. Extreme Weather: The Effects of Climate Change Are Already Here. Climate Change Is a Chronic Condition. Flood Victims Get Food and Water; Rain Spreads to Northeast. 8 Virginia Tornadoes Linked to Florence. Hurricane Florence’s 1,000 Year Rainfall, Explained. Hurricane Florence Highlights Relief Aid by Muslims, Effect of Climate Change on Storms, this Small Town, Devastated by Floods, Welcomed Syrian Immigrants. They’re Now Paying it Back.. Carolinas Turn into an Archipelago of Island Communities as Florence’s Rain Causes Widespread Flooding.
-A. Strain, Lack of Preparation: North Carolina's Raging Rivers from Storm Florence Test Beefed up Defenses. As Indiana Towns Grapple with Climate Change a New Tool Could Save Them Money. Besides losses that could have been avoided, another consequence of lack of preparation is that recovery is more expensive and may even not be possible. Footing the Bill for Climate Change: By the End of the Day, Someone Has to Pay. Our Lack of Pandemic Preparedness Could Prove Deadly$, in the case of Florence not being prepared for floods, lost access to medical care, loss income, toxic sites, can lead to disease outbreaks that can spread. After Florence’s Ferocity, Exhaustion Sets in on Wilmington. Tropical Storm Florence Death Toll Climbs.
-B. Crime, Disaster Myths (looting), Exploitation: Alleged Looters in Florence Ravaged North Carolina Sought by Police. Authorities Warn of Looting, Scams and Fraud Cases During Post Florence Relief Efforts. Crooks Create Second Wave of Hurricane Devastation. Understanding Crime in Communities after Disaster: A Research Brief. Committing crimes, exploiting the situation for personal gain, diverting resources from where needed for ones own use and easier to do and justify in the chaos of any disruption of normal routines, -I↓. Soldier Returns from Florence Relief Effort to Find Nc Home Burglarized.
-C, or continued -B. FEMA FEMA Chief Raises Spousal Abuse in Discussing Frustrating Studies on Hurricane Deaths: You Can’t Blame Spousal Abuse after a Disaster on Anyone, suggesting that deaths in the aftermath of a natural disaster are unfairly lumped into reports assessing the death toll of hurricanes. Wall Street Journal: Investigation into FEMA Chief Brock Long Referred to Prosecutors, Brock Long’s Woes Mount as House G.O.P. Launches Travel Inquiry, FEMA Administrator Will Reimburse Government, Won’t Face Charges from Internal Probe. Fate of FEMA Leader in Doubt as Florence Cleanup Continues. FEMA Chief Considered Quitting as Feud with Homeland Security Secretary Boiled Over, -180916-5G↓. FEMA Dispatches Crews to Do Whatever They Need to Do to Look Busy, FEMA Airdrops Emergency Cyanide Pills for Residents Stranded by Hurricane Florence, The Worst Hurricanes in U.S. History. White House Raises Official Hurricane Florence Death Toll To -17. | Trump Assures Storm Victims in Carolinas: We Will Be There 100 Percent, We'll Have it All Taken Care of: Trump Promises Support to Flood Soaked Carolinas. In Hurricane's Wake, Trump Again Tackles Uneasy Role as Consoler in Chief, -J↓.
-D. Beliefs/ Politics: Al Gore's Claim about Hurricane Florence Doused by Scientists what caught my eye was not just the correction of someone who believes in climate change – rather than the worthless effort to try to correct a climate denier Climate Change ‘Skepticism’: 6 Overlapping Drivers – but the neologism for liar 'without any evidence' <ADDED 180902-180128-3.1>10. It’s Time for Orthodox Rabbis to Start Talking about Climate Change. An Equator Full of Hurricanes Is a Preview of End Times. Why Climate Change Is Fake – What Americans Google about Global Warming and Why it Matters 2017. Florence Shows How Storm Coverage Is Politicized -1.1‡↑. Florence and the 5 Stages of Climate Change Acceptance, PDWN has speculated that the grief process can be applied to humor, ideological change and other areas. So far have not found anything that is definitive that there is a relation between the two. The model works (160821-10 SPARTA) but it doesn’t appear to be the classic Kubla-Ross application. Perhaps that model describes a larger process of cognitive change that was first articulated with grief but has a much larger application, much as the rumor model of SLA (Page 16, 4 Rumor Theory) describes the cognitive processes of narrative formationd.
-E. 180916-5H Assessing: Waffle House Sending in Reinforcements workers with the restaurant chain are being brought in from around the country to help keep the company's locations up and running, Waffle House Index [Graphic]. | Hurricane Rating System Fails to Account for Deadly Rain. As often the case with biocalamities and geodisasters this problem was identified long before it became bad, inconvenient or misinformative enough to motivate fixing it. Simulating Typhoon Floods with Gauge Data and Mesoscale Modeled Rainfall in a Mountainous Watershed 2005, Tropical Cyclone Rainfall and Flood Forecasting, Hurricanes and ExtremeRainfall. Yes, Florence Was Downgraded. No, That Doesn’t Mean It’s Ok to Return to Myrtle Beach, Did Downgraded Florence Contribute to a False Sense of Security, Hurricane Florence, ‘Just a Cat 1,’ Reveals Flaw with Saffir-Simpson Scale$. The Science Behind Home Disaster Preparedness Kits Is a Disaster. ¶ Scientists Warn of Global Crisis over Failure to Tackle Tuberculosis.
-F. 180916-5G Hazmat, Biothreats: Florence Causes Coal Ash Spills in North Carolina. Pollution Fears: Swollen Rivers Swamp Ash Dumps, Hog Farms. Post Hurricane Horror: Fire Ants Are Forming into Floating Islands to Escape Flooded Areas, 180401-3, <ADDED 170903-170827-8>, 170625-7. In the Wake of a Hurricane: Public Health Threats Linger Long after Wind and Rain Dies down. Hurricane Florence Update: Flooding Expected to be Issue for Days, Weeks. 600,000 Customers Warned of Drinking Water as North Carolina's Flooded Hog Farms, Waste Lagoons under Scrutiny for Contamination. Myth and Reality about Hurricane Risks for Expectant Mothers. Florence’s Lingering Public Health Threat: Flood Waters Contaminated as Pig Poop Lagoons Overflow. Climate Change and Health. After Hurricane Florence, Significant Worry Over Infectious Diseases.
-G. Manufacturing, Infrastructure, Economics, Insurance: In Florence’s Path, Drug Plants Avoided Worst Case Scenarios, the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies wrestled with a major dilemma: Should they suspend operations at manufacturing plants in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia, risking shortages of important drugs and vaccines. Price of Saving Road to Myrtle Beach: Flooding Nearby Town. After Florence Floods, the Uninsured Awaken to Painful Reality, Less than 340,000 Have Flood Insurance in North and South Carolina Combined, After Billions in Hurricane Damage, Congress Still Hasn’t Passed Flood Insurance Reform. Florence Engulfs Hog Farms and Chicken Houses, Thrashing North Carolina Agriculture, Florence’s Flooding Claims 3.4 Million Poultry, 5,500 Hogs. AccuWeather Narrows Economic Toll Prediction for Hurricane Florence to $50-60 Billion. Amtrak Resuming North Carolina Passenger Service. Floodwaters Inundate Lake at NC Power Plant, Raising Alarm, Dam Breach Reported at Former N.C. Coal Plant, Raising Fears That Toxic Coal Ash May Pollute Cape. Hurricane Maria’s Effect on the Health Care Industry Is Threatening Lives Across the U.S., and imagine what a nationwide code black that involves all medical manufacture and already stretched thin medical personnel. Social Infrastructure Can Help Save Us from the Ravages of Climate Change.
-H. Puerto Rico, Harvey, Aftermath, Comparison: As Florence Turns Deadly, Trump Tweets Geraldo on Puerto Rico Toll. Only 33 Percent of Americans Think Trump Did Enough in Responding to Hurricane Maria. We Fed Puerto Rico After Hurricane Maria. Why Couldn’t President Trump$. Maria’s Death Toll Climbed Long after Rain Stopped [Cartoon]. Puerto Rico Marks 1 Year since Maria with Song and Sadness, Where Hurricane Maria First Made Landfall, Songs Memorialize the Tragedy, 8 Artists Taking on the Big Global Challenge: Climate Change. What Katrina Taught Us about Saving Puerto Rico's Youngest Storm Victims. How Puerto Rico Became the Newest Tax Haven for the Super Rich. | Trump: Dems Will Lie and Say Hurricane Florence Response Was Bad. I’ve not yet evaluated the response or recovery, too soon to do so and information not yet available. So far there is only starte level prior conditions of lack of mitigation, preparation, anticipation of problems and consequences, continued lack of resources, and limited planning. What will be of more interest are the following hurricanes as the limited resources of FEMA and USAID are drained, and if there is inequity in the response and recovery efforts i.e. Trump’s 33 (+/- 11) and 1% “American” supporters. USAID Supports Hurricane Preparedness Efforts in the Caribbean. FEMA Awards More than $412 Million in Additional Federal Grants for Puerto Rico. Beloved Scientist Ada Monzón Warned Millions of 'Monster' Hurricane Maria, Addressed 'Great Suffering' with Education, Outreach in Storm's Wake. Hurricane Maria Was a Manmade Disaster. Hundreds of Families Told Us What Really Happened. Remembering Maria: How Puerto Rico’s Worst Hurricane Compares to America’s Most Destructive Weather Disasters. The Frightening Lesson Hurricane Maria Taught the World About the Politics of Climate Change. On Hurricane Maria Anniversary, Puerto Rico is Still in Ruins$, \fs24ulHundreds Mark Hurricane Maria Anniversary near Trump Resort. FEMA Set Aside Billions to Repair Homes in Puerto Rico. Many Are Still in Ruins$. Puerto Rico's Tap Water Often Goes Untested, Raising Fears about Lead Contamination, With Government Sidelined, Citizen Scientists Test Water Quality in Puerto Rico. A Year after Hurricane Maria, Puerto Rico Still Struggles to Regain What Hasn’t Been Lost for Good – While Fearing the next Big One, and though one hopes it does not happen, at the same time if there is another hurricane approaching Puerto Rico it will be of interest to see how this administration handles it. A Year After Maria, Puerto Rico Is Pushed to Precipice. [Cartoon].Congress Wishes They Could Help Puerto Rico but It’s All the Way over There. | Anxieties Endure When Houston Sees Heavy Rains. How Disaster Anniversaries Can Impact Survivors Video, memorials are part of this. Government Watchdog Probing EPA’s Handling of Hurricane Harvey Response.
-I. Evacuation, Vulnerable Populations, Poverty: How Do Homeless People Stay Safe During Natural Disasters Video. Why Didn’t You Evacuate: Expert Explains Why Fleeing Florence’s Wrath Wasn’t a Privilege Everyone Could Afford. Seniors, children, handicapped, impoverished, persecuted ethnic groups (like immigrants) are vulnerable populations, ICE: No Immigration Enforcement in Areas of Hurricane Shelters or Evacuations, Why Are Immigration Agents in Areas Hit by Hurricane Florence. FEMA Sent Them. | Should People Who Didn't Obey Evacuation Orders in NC and SC During Hurricane Florence Have to Pay for Their Subsequent Rescues. No, they shouldn’t have to pay. 99% wouldn’t be able to anyway. Just like they didn’t have the resources to evacuate they do not have the resources to pay for their rescues. There is a related question about if an area should pay that suffered from a geodisaster or biocalamity, but were unprepared for it and did not spend money to mitigate and prevent, States Aren’t Spending Enough on Mitigation Before Disasters Occur, most can’t even track how much they are spending and where it’s going. Often times there is blame placed on politicians for not spending the money that would have saved money, but politicians are not always corrupt, they people who have to make decisions balancing a current need against a possible worse future need which voters may not believe is a threat and spending money on is a waste, It’s Hyped Up: Climate Deniers in the Path of Hurricane Florence. Inversely an unscrupulous politician can use climate change to get elected and then corrupt programs intended for environmental change, or make what turn out to be poor decisions that implement programs that turn out to have unintended consequences. There should always be scrutiny of elected and appointed officials to prevent problems developing or corruption, provide feedback if there is a systemic error or ineffective (if not deleterious) actions, or when resources are not used wisely or diverted from greater needs, -B↑, Trump Administration Diverts Nearly a Half Billion Dollars to Migrant Children in Custody As Number of Youngsters Reaches All Time High, Money Is Transferred from HIV Services and Medical Research. If the corrupt behavior is persistent then refer to legal investigation if there was criminal intent or criminal negligence (most likely the finding will be incompetence). The same process should also defend an official from accusations, if a decision was made (to include not making a decision), based on what was known at the time, and it turned out badly. North Carolina's coast is hot spot for rising sea levels 2012, Sea Level Rise Threatens Public Health Infrastructure 2014 and note in the map the correspondence of predicted sea level rise then with the current flooding now, and what areas were evacuated prior to Florence. Climate Change Map: Much of Coastal U.S. under Water by 2100, Estimates Show.
-J. Bush’s Press Secretary Criticizes Trump’s Harvey Response for Lacking Empathy, to say thank you. This was rejected last week as only being a jab at Trump and not illuminating about parademic. Coming across this again in the context of Trump Again Tackles Uneasy Role as Consoler in Chief, At Least You Got a Nice Boat out of the Deal,’ Trump Tells N.C. Man During Post Florence Tour. I have reconsidered or more likely reinterpreted. In biocalamity leadership is critical to control and containment. Inconsistent policies, dissonant persona, conflict between stated beliefs and behavior, the lack of trust in and from others, appearance of coldness and inhumanity, are not the characteristics of the type of leadership needed for biocalamity. The comment about the boat may be humor, indicating that Trump is not humorless (though apparently he can’t handle being laughed at), but simply socially inappropriate. The apologetic he was just joking -2- [Meme, Screen Grab] to downplay some – too many to try to explain all of them this way – of his inappropriate comments may not just be trying to put a positive spin on interpretation -C↑. Trump Calls Florence 'One of the Wettest We've Ever Seen from the Standpoint of Water', From the Standpoint of Water, [Meme]. Trump Tells Starving Hurricane Survivors to Enjoy Themselves “Have a good time!” -2- -3- -4- -5- [Meme] -6-. | If nothing else this is yet another example that ignoring biocalamity – or being socially inappropriate – is not a good idea. They may go dormant and one can pretend it did not need to be or were dealt with. The consequences from each succeeding wave continue to get worse over time if cause is not corrected. Letter to the Editor: Climate Change Part of God's Plan.
-180916-5F>2. FEMA's Presidential Alert Test Postponed as Some Americans Want to Disconnect. Far more is behind this cancellation that the politically slanted one in this article. FEMA Will Test an Emergency System That Lets President Trump Send You Text Alerts. Test Messages for Federal Alert Systems to Be Sent to Cellphones Thursday, FEMA Says, -180916-5>C↑.
-180729-8>3. Scifi is based on science, but not necessarily precise science or complete information. Sometimes the fictions become real life, or are hijacked for other causes. Sperm Counts Are Falling. This Isn’t the Reproductive Apocalypse — Yet. It’s not just a scifi scenario in The Handmaid’s Tale, scientists are worrying about a coming reproductive apocalypse. Over the past 30 years, as concerns that environmental changes are harming our reproductive capacity have grown, scientific journal articles have trickled out that look at whether sperm counts are declining. But those studies were often riddled with flaws and limitations, and scientists couldn’t agree on how to interpret them. Then came what’s now considered the most definitive study on the question: The concentration of sperm in semen, also known as sperm count, has halved in the West since the 1970s. The finding that got less attention: Even the new low is still well within a normal range for sperm. In the press release for the study, the authors declared a sperm centric public health emergency. This study is an urgent wake-up call for researchers and health authorities around the world to investigate the causes of the sharp ongoing drop in sperm count, with the goal of prevention. Online communities known as the manosphere, where men fret about being emasculated, have seized on the study as evidence that they are being feminized by modern society -2-. Lost in this conversation, as usual, is nuance about the research. I spent the past week talking to epidemiologists, andrologists, and fertility doctors who work on male reproductive health and found a pretty stark divide. While the epidemiologists were generally more convinced by the spermpocalypse, the front line practitioners treating men were not. If it were true [that sperm counts halved], in all the studies we do on normal young men, we’d see sperm concentrations of 30 million instead of 60 million. Even the spermpocalyse skeptics I spoke to agreed there’s a trend decline — it just probably looks much less ominous than The Handmaid’s Tale, 170820-5, 170702-2.2. SciFi, Dystopia, and Hope in the Age of Trump: A Fiction Roundtable, 170611-5, What Happens to Fiction When Our Worst Climate Nightmares Start Coming True, 170507-1.1F, 170312-8, . INDEX Handmaid, Sperm count | Sperm Counts Are Falling, but Don't Panic Yet. The Sperm Apocalypse Is Nigh. Hey, Guys – Here’s Why Your Sperm Count Is Plummeting. ¶ Science Fiction Was Around in Medieval Times – Here's What it Looked like. I Think We’re Alone Now, from Reed Morano, Is a Gorgeous Post Apocalyptic Relationship Drama. Post apocalyptic stories, as a rule, are less about the end of the world and more about what it really is to be a human. INDEX Scifi.
-180408-5.4>4. Bipartisan Blue Ribbon Study Panel on Biodefense Applauds Release of National Biodefense Strategy as a Crucial Step in Protecting the U.S. from Biological Attacks, #Document National Biodefense Strategy 2018, implementing the National Biodefense Strategy Act of 2016. Trump Puts HHS in Charge of Defense Against Biological Threats, I have advocated moving this from DHS to HHS, but in the context of Trump's HHS Diverting Funds from NIH, CDC to Pay for Increased Number of Migrant Children, this is not reassuring; Trump Health Official Defends Funding Shifts to Pay for Detained Migrant Children. National Biodefense Strategy: Protect the Nation Against all Biological Threats. Trump Directs Government to Step up Defenses Against Bioterrorism, House Approves Bill to Counter Weapons of Mass Destruction, White House Sets ‘New Direction’ in Biodefense Strategy, looks like a repeat of what existed before, but weaker, Obama's Biodefense Strategy Is a Lot like Bush's 2009, a rehash of the previous attempt to make the “first” biodefense program, and at odds with continued efforts to cut funding. Probably more to support the foreign contamination narrative than actual biodefense, Undocumented Immigrants and the Import of Infectious Diseases: ¿A Real Health Security Risk to the US?. New White House Biodefense Plan Omits Climate Change. White House Preparing BioDefense Strategy as Germ Warfare Fears Rise. Panel Finds Biodefense Budgeting Needs Major Overhaul Now. 171231-1.3, 171224-2*A -‡, 171210-9.2, <ADDED 171126-171119-3.1>1, 171015-1.1‡, -170716-5.3‡3>, 170611-3.2, -<ADDED 170604-170528-5.1‡>, 170326-4.2A, 170220-3.1P -8.10P, 170219-TB, 170108-14. <ADDED 180527-180513-3.1>2, 170813-5, 170723-3, 170716-5.3‡3, <ADDED 170716-170604-4.2C>, 170514-1.4, 170319-6.2 -9. HHS Will Take Lead in Trump's New Strategy to Prepare Country for Bioterror Threats., Revamped US Biodefence Strategy Adds Natural Disasters and Lab Accidents, This Is Not a Drill: 5 Reasons Why the Experts Are Worried about the next Pandemic. 106 Lawmakers – Including 11 Republicans – Tell Trump Climate Change Is a National Security Threat. Trump’s Defense Chief Cites Climate Change as National Security Challenge 2017, Trump Is Reportedly Thinking about Getting Rid of Mattis, and He's Given 'Mad Dog' a New Nickname,
-180513-1.1>5, <ADDED 180916>3. Hostility Against Ebola Response Teams Denounced by Beni Civil Society. Fear of Ebola Keeps the Faithful at Home in Congo. Rumors, Conflict Challenge Ebola Response in Eastern Congo. Plot, Poison, or Curse. Ebola Rumours Spread in Congo. Hidden Costs of Cobalt Mining in DR Congo. Rebel Attack in Congo Ebola Zone Kills at Least 18. 155 Children Left Orphaned or Separated from Their Parents in DRC’s Latest Ebola Outbreak. html" 180923-VCP-Uganda.
-150503-20>6, Coffee Production Starting to Decline as a Result of Warming>. Coffee is one of the topics that provides insight into parademic topics, and overlaps Environmental/ Climate Change along with: humor, grief, sex, gender, chocolate, wine, social interaction, art, politics, music, economics, drugs/ alcohol, trade, poverty, medical scams and folk treatments, rumors, food, nutritional science, cultural differences, water, politics, corruption, architecture, clothing.... Remember When Climate Change Meant the End of Coffee. Never Mind. But what about chocolate. INDEX Coffee. The Cost of Climate Change to Uganda's Coffee Sector. Canadian Peaches and California Coffee: How Farmers Are Being Forced to Innovate in the Face of Climate Change 180805-9, <ADDED 180520-VCP>UK, 180408-4, 180121-9.1, <ADDED 171015-171001-2.1>4B, 170917-1.1, 170723-3‡, 170521-7, 170129-6.2, 160814-2B.
-INDEX Cassandra>7. The Cassandra Curse: Why We Heed Some Warnings, and Ignore Others. After a disaster happens, we want to know, could something have been done to avoid it. Did anyone see this coming. Many times, the answer is yes. There was a person, or many people, who spotted a looming crisis and tried to warn those in power. So why didn't the warnings lead to action.
Tags: Aftermath, Anthropocene, Anthropogenic, Assessing, BioPolitics, Biosphere, BioTrumpism, Climate Change, Communication, Disaster, Environmental Change, Exploitation, FEMA, Human Factors, Humor, Infrastructure, Looting, Magical Thinking, One Health, Preparation, Puerto Rico, Vaccine