#(160911)
1 Critical ≠ Important ; 2 Popular Illness; 3 Technological Assisted Rumor; 4 Zika; 5 Eradication - Decisions; 6 Constructing Reality; 7 12 Step Recovery; 8 Repetition of Historical Concepts; 9 Global Anti-Vax; 10 Over Abundance of Closed Border; 11 9/11.
-1. The word “critical” has fluid meaning depending on its context. It does not automatically mean important and high priority. A nuclear reactor going critical is an important priority. Making money may be critical for status and advancement, but is secondary to the priority and importance to life saving, at least ideally, though there is a temptation to corner something that is critical that cannot be delayed 160904-12↓. In biodisaster and parademic what is critical changes, as what is necessary to survive changes in term of what was considered of value before. The reason why an item or infrastructure is critical is not inherent in the thing, but what it does for people.Raising the price of a medical necessity is important for a company for a company that is about to lose its monopoly, but access to the medicine is critical to those who need it. If a lifesaving action cannot be taken because of its lack then it is critical, even if it was unimportant before. For example laundry for a hospital is considered an expense, Can Outsourcing Laundry Services Reduce Operating Costs, but how long could a hospital operate without laundry*, Infection Control: Oversee Cleaning of Linens and Protect from Contamination to Avoid Costly Infections, Death of 5 Children's Hospital Patients All Linked to Contaminated Linens. Additionally importance and critical are relative. A small organization losing a single vehicle may represent a catastrophic event that hinders its ability to function, but to a nation it may not even note the loss of the vehicle. However; the cargo it contains, short shelf life, released at the wrong location, or not delivered where needed in time, could be catastrophic.
-1*. While the Planner for Region E this was a real world issue with Pandemic Flu. In one of the states the hospitals of one city were meeting monthly about mutual support in case of a pandemic. At one meeting the members realized that they all used the same laundry service, and wondered what would happen if that service operation went down because of sick people, a surge in need for laundry, an inability to get power, detergent, hot water.
-1.1. For a historical example of for want of a nail, it is well known that gunpowder was a critical item during the American Revolutionary War The Supply of Gunpowder in 1776, but what of Paper as a Critical Commodity during the American Revolution. There was also the lack of American troops who were immunized from smallpox, Smallpox in Washington's Army: Strategic Implications of the Disease During the American Revolutionary War.
-“Something like the Barrel of Sand suppose you will think it, but really of much more importance to me. It is that you would send out Mr. Bass and purchase me a bundle of pins and put in your trunk for me. The cry for pins is so great that what we used to Buy for 7.6 are now 20 Shillings and not to be had for that. A bundle contains 6 thousand for which I used to give a Dollor, but if you can procure them for 50 [shillings] or 3 pound, pray let me have them.” – Letter from Abigail Adams to John Adams, 16 June 1775, page 3
-1.2. How Likely Is an Existential Catastrophe. An existential risk refers to any future event that would either trip our species into the eternal grave of extinction or irreversibly catapult us back into the Stone Age. This is in keeping with the doomsday clock of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Basically the disaster level above catastrophic is extinction. In terms of biodisaster it is likely that any bioevent that would kill all humans would concurrently kill most other life forms on the planet in a mass extinction, as is used to separate geological ages. It is also unlikely that we would return to the neolithic age. First off few modern humans have the skill sets required, much less teach others. Secondly there will be plenty of material to salvage and society will continue to exist in some form if there are still humans.
-1.3. Tips for Retaining and Caring for Staff after a Disaster provides a list of what is deemed essential after a disaster Shelter, Transportation, Food, Water, Hygiene, Care for loved ones, Behavioral health care, Funding, Communication/charging stations, Flexible schedules. Personally I am dubious about behavioral (mental) health care in post disaster situations, that it may cause more harm that help, there are still too many unknowns – Mental Health and Aid: Does the Talking Cure Do Harm or Good, Crisis Counseling after a Disaster: Does Anything Really Help, Grassroots Mental Health Care After Sandy, When Helping Hurts: Trauma’s Effects on First Responders, Understanding Traumatic Grief — Mass Violence, Shattered Lives, Does Grief Counseling Cause More Harm than Good, Misjudged Counselling and Therapy Can Be Harmful, When Therapy Does More Harm Than Good, Where the Witch Hunters Are: Satanic Panic and Mental Health Malpractice. Missing from the list of essential needs is Information. People seek information after a disaster. Provisions need to be made to provide reliable information, to including stating that something is unknown. Otherwise people are prey to and become vectors of rumor, scams, conspiracy theory, fear mongering, panic tabloid news. 140815-DISINT↓.
-2. Prevalence of Celiac Appears Steady but Followers of Gluten Free Diet Increase by people without celiac disease could be due to a variety of factors, including public perception that it may be healthier (combinations of anti-GMO, anti-vax, nutritional health, allergies) the growing availability of gluten free products (marketing by claiming to be a health food, non-GMO, humane treatment of animals, organic, natural), and a self diagnosis of gluten sensitivity by some individuals (vaccine injury, likely to be in a cluster with others with like beliefs, doctors - some with MDs - endorsements, münchausen to get attention). All of these are easy to sustain as it is difficult to disprove a negative, and there is no perceived harm (though it does cause inconvenience) and some gains with the behavior. Gluten Free Diets Soaring in Popularity, Celiac Disease Linked to Region, Season [Meme, Cartoon, Cartoon, Cartoon]
-3. Rumor Patterns on Social Media During Emergencies. Chat and social media apps like WhatsApp and Facebook have drastically sped up the pace of rumor proliferation during emergencies. Tracking dissemination and source, managing rumors during emergencies, and 4 ways on how to handle the “rumor dissemination loop”*. ¶ Rumors by definition are bits of information that cannot be verified. Despite this, many people accept them as true and share them further. The guidelines provided are useful, but the model is limited. Rumors usually exist before they appear on social media (in fact have existed as far back as we have written records), therefor they can be anticipated and mitigated before the disaster. These preexisting narratives however cannot be completely controlled, as illustrated by anti-vax rumor, misinformation and conspiracy theory. One can modify its trajectory, redirect to a more desirable behavior and modulate negative impact, but controlling a rumor completely can only be done with eliminating a whole population circulating. That is likely to have even less desirable repercussions. DZTV: Social Media in Disasters, shows examines the different types of social media and their uses.
-3.1*. This term is not in the original, and not one that I see in the professional literature. Likely this is a neologism where a term was needed but the author of 3↑ were not familiar with related fields. From a review of the bibliography of the original shows that it is a good introduction of rumor via social media, but does lack some relevant works about the psychology and social science (folklore) of rumor, but in the main given the limits of its topic is a through background, and does include the politics, public health and economics of rumor. The existing term is Word of Mouth: Rumor Dissemination in Social Networks, which likely does not sound technological enough for a science article. Word of Mouth, is not necessarily oral despite the implied speaking, but uses all media and sensory channels. Nor is Word of Mouth a repetitive loop, like the news cycle [Cartoon], but the characteristics of myth and folklore: Waves, Recycle, Iconic Image, Dissemination; with Sharpening, Leveling and Assimilation (SLA). These characteristics or narratives are not just limited to rumor, but marketing, propaganda, election campaigns, education, disasters, movies and even The Impact of World War II on Women's Fashion in the United States and Britain, Fashion History - Women's Clothing in the 1940s [Photo, Chart]. Infectious Disease Transmission— It's Who You Know and Where You go.
↕4. Nothing new parademic on Zika this week, though there are clinical discoveries but those outside the scope of this blog.
-A. Olympics over, no cases directly linked.
-B. Zika continued spreading in Asia – Does Asia Have a Secret Weapon Against Zika people in the region may already be immune to Zika 160904-4.8↓ – and North America South Texas Braces for Zika, Prepares for Challenges Ahead, but this will slow as the spread returns south.
-C. More neurological consequences and transmission means found.
-D. Arguments for and against pesticides, larvicides and GMO mosquitos Protests Delay Miami Zika Spraying as Funding Talks Continue.
-E. Money has run out CDC ‘Essentially out of Money’ to Fight Zika, which was announced before Centers for Disease Control Will Run out of Money to Fight Zika in U.S. next Month.
-F. Congress back in session, continuing same behavior as before the break A Deadlocked Senate Once Again Fails to Agree on Zika Funding, U.S. Response to Zika: Fragmented and Uneven; or maybe I am confusing this with Brain Dead 160612-4↓ [Logo].
-G. Zika and health becoming an election issue Florida Race Looms Large in Zika Fight, Clinton Debunks Rumors about Health by Telling Audience Exact Day She Will Die, Donald Trump Will Appear on The Dr. Oz Show. What Could Go Wrong, Hillary Clinton Has Pneumonia, Doctor Says, after Early 9/11 Event Exit, Hillary Clinton Is “Medically Unfit to Serve” as President and Donald Trump Has Narcissistic Personality Disorder: Stop this Uninformed Medical Speculation about the Candidates, Mainstream Media Sensationalizes Incident, Embraces Clinton Health Conspiracy.
-H. Down playing of case numbers Florida Health Department Does Not Report All Local Zika Infections, Leaves out All Residents of Other States and Countries. It argues that Florida Governor Rick Scott and other state officials have stopped providing detailed information on what they're learning about Zika infections, kept quiet about some Zika hot zones, and failed to mention cases in non residents. Original article Florida’s Zika Undercount Hides Extent of Virus’ Spread.
-4.1. What the World Has Learned about Zika — and What it Still Needs to Know. Most of the questions are clinical, but a parademic one is Don’t underestimate a foe you don’t know. To that add the corollary, if you think you understand your foe, you are probably wrong. Lessons Learned in Developing an Effective Regional Ebola CONOPS, has more tips.
-5. Nigeria Outbreak Forces Rethink of Polio Strategies. With a report of a third case of polio in northern Nigeria, leaders of the global eradication effort are asking themselves how they could have been so terribly wrong about the country. ¶ The virus had been circulating in the region undetected for about 4 years. ¶ Borno, the stronghold of the terrorist group Boko Haram, poses unique challenges with working in conflict zones by brokering “days of tranquility” during which vaccinations can occur, or else conducting “hit and run” operations when there is a lull in the fighting. ¶ We thought surveillance was good enough. What they missed were the “totally inaccessible” areas where the population had been trapped and was large enough to sustain transmission of the virus.¶ A couple months ago the worried that the world was so close to finally eradicating polio that donors would declare victory prematurely and shift funds elsewhere. Now the worry is that the program might not learn the lessons from the “failure” in Nigeria. We thought 3 years without a case was enough to certify a country polio free. Nigeria tells us that 3 years may not be enough.
-A. Hence the problem that biodisaster and parademic are subtlety complex and complicated, difficult to understand by the majority of humans, not because they are too simple minded, but because they are ignorant of, or ignore) a large amount of the information that would make interpretation possible. This is the issue of the Parademic website as an information source. It is difficult enough to understand a multidiscipline of biology, medicine, ecology, life, geological time, biomes and the biosphere. Add to this the human aspects of communication, education, learning, interpretation, perception, bias, fear, malleable memory, errors......, one then begins to see why Parademic intentionally is not simple, clear, concise. The subject itself not simple, clear, concise, and to make it so is to misinform, leaving one unprepared for a complicated, conflicting, complex, messy, error filled, dynamic, multifaceted event. In fact worse than that, it leaves people thinking that they are prepared and can respond quickly in the right way, at the right place, with what is needed. ¶ If one sincerely believes that bioevents can be reduced to rational, simple/specific measurable/clear, achievable/concise, relevant and time bound goals, then Parademic will not be of interest. This is also known as SMART Criteria used for measures of performance (MOP) evaluation, rather than measures of effectiveness (MOE). ¶ Want to Be a Good Science Communicator. You Have to Build Bridges. You need to build a content bridge. This bridge should be the most appropriate way to link an audience with the topic. Here’s the Most Important Rule in Science Writing. You can rarely be 100 percent correct, but you can be 100 percent wrong. Try to not be 100 percent wrong.
-5.1. Smallpox Was Declared Eradicated, Yet Still Infects Humans Today (2012). Although the mortality rate in those vaccinated is five times that of the unvaccinated, the case mortality is so trifle in either group that it at once arouses suspicion of a “catch somewhere.” The “catch” is that, “under the term ”smallpox” we are including two varieties of the disease (variola major and variola minor), are so utterly different as regards their mortality that, as for statistical purposes, they are two distinct diseases, and it is most misleading to include them together under the same heading…there should be little practical difficulty in keeping the statistics for the two varieties separate, because I doubt if there has been a single outbreak of smallpox, say in the past ten years, where there was any doubt as to which variety of smallpox was being dealt with.
-A. Much of what is believed about Disease Eradication is from the smallpox experience. The assumption the same method and time lines are now being proven incorrect with Whopping Cough, Measles, Mumps, Ebola, AIDS and now Polio. Smallpox (Major) was a good candidate for eradication for several reasons. First, the disease is highly visible: smallpox patients develop a rash that is easily recognized. In addition, the time from exposure to the initial appearance of symptoms is fairly short, so that the disease usually can’t spread very far before it’s noticed. ¶ Eradication was accomplished with a combination of focused surveillance—quickly identifying new smallpox cases—and ring vaccination. Only humans can transmit and catch smallpox. ¶ The last case of wild smallpox occurred in Somalia in 1977, which would probably be impossible to do now given the collapse and conflicts of that country since then. ¶ In 1980, after decades of efforts (not quite true Smallpox: 12,000 Years of Terror) smallpox was declared eradicated.
-5.2. This latest outbreak has been going on for a couple of months but is now getting more attention, 100 Cholera Patients Confirmed in Kathmandu Valley, Hundredth Monkey Phenomenon. ¶ H5N1 notes “I posted Nepal: Cholera Outbreak in Kathmandu six years ago—a few weeks before the Nepali peacekeepers arrived in Haiti”. This is not a “gotcha” so often seen in outrage based media that find an obscure report about the possibility of a disaster, or a small error that was part of the complex chain that resulted in disaster. This is pointing out that the past informs (but does not determine) the present, that there were indicators that close monitoring of the Nepal Peacekeepers sanitation was going to be necessary, whether or not there had been an earthquake. ¶ Cholera is endemic in Nepal and there are yearly outbreaks, Cholera Epidemic in Kathmandu: Doctors Ban Government Distributed Drinking Water (2015), so there should have been no difficulty finding the information and providing it so decision makers could choose between doing extensive sanitation monitoring and preventative medicine, or to not send Nepalese to a place where cholera, or the infrastructure to deal with it, did not exist. U.N. Culpability in Haiti’s Cholera Crisis. 160626-5.1 #Book Review↓. Cholera Blamed on U.N. Peacekeepers Surges in Haiti as Funding Vanishes.
-A. BTW for those who find Parademic too difficult to read, inconsistent, TMI, confusing, contradictory, leaves questions unanswered, wordy (sensing a pattern here), as the curator I recommend H5N1 as a superior introduction to parademic than the Parademic website. The Parademic website is intended to fill a perceived gap of application and analysis (when needed for operations, available with prior practice and planning) that is, between general basic knowledge and understanding (what’s happening, available now), and the academic/scientific arcane tomes of evaluation and creation (what happened, available years or centuries after the event) [Chart].
-5.3. Technology for Improved Public Health Preparedness & Response. Planning the response to a public health emergency can be a daunting endeavor. Many factors in multiple complex systems contribute to the potential for success in executing these plans at every level of the response. Preparedness planners have to consider these many factors to ensure that their plans can work despite potential failure points. Success is not achieved in a vacuum. There are many actors in the complex system of responding to public health threats and emergencies. For a moment with the underlined section I thought that finally there was an article that was going to bring in the human factor*. However; once again it is looked at as only a medical issue that can be improved with technology. Human irrationality, bias, fear, panic, rumor, conspiracy theory, mistrust is not solved by medicine but by human nursing and doctoring, even if via a technological system that considers the social factors. Social problems such as hiding the dead, dangerous funeral practices, misinformation about vaccines, political exploitation, decreasing funds, unequal and expensive access to health care, media distortion are not solved by technology. In fact technology exacerbates the human hindrance and neutralization of response, It does not help in anyway to get what is needed, where it is needed, in time of being needed, if those who have the need will not use it.
* Actually there are articles about human factors and social considerations, that is what this website collects. I just wanted to be dramatic to get attention that building a better mouse trap does not help if one is not dealing with mice. Island Mongoose: Conservation Villain or Scapegoat, or Both.
-6. Study Generates Soviet Anthrax Pathogen Genome from Autopsy Specimens. One issue with an outbreak of a disease that could be a bioweapon is that time will have to be taken to identify if it is an attack or a natural outbreak, which then legally puts it into different categories of crime/act of war, or public health emergency. Medical response is the same in either case, and will likely take priority over investigation and evidence collection, and non Medical needs will remain the same. The main difference will be that more effort and resources will be diverted if an enemy is identified, and even if there no human intention behind the event it is unlikely that effort and resources that are assigned bioterror missions will be employed to support the outbreak*. These will remain idle waiting for an opportunistic attack to exploit the outbreak, or if used will be for the shortest time possible and for investigation and Continuity of Government COG needs, not necessarily for the time or general population needs, though there is likely to be a correlation. 6.3, 160731-9↓.
* This may all be moot if the Pareto Principle the 80/20 rule it true. 80% of ones problems and success will come from 20% of the people. It may not matter how much one gets in resources, if one gets a significant percentage of the 20%, or have a project with few people will give 80% to, while the project with 80% of the resources, people, funding only gets 20%.
-6.1. This is sometimes a crime scene/disaster scene (CS/DS) conflict, where different first responders need to negotiate (hopefully before) whose priorities take precedence, for example including medical personnel with active shooter events, How Cops, EMS Collaborate on Innovative Active Shooter Response. The same type of situation has been encountered with: Trying to put out a fire and the locals who set the fire resist; Transportation of a person with an infectious disease when people protest the removal or arrival; Forced entry to provide medical care to sick, either because the people don’t believe in medical care, or other people don’t want the ill group to get care; Inspecting an area for a health hazard, or providing education about the hazard, or making efforts to correct the problem; Protecting a medical facility and personnel in a conflict zone. 11↓.
-6.2. This is a constantly observed in parademic. The basic structure is that before an event happens there is usually an a priori narrative, then after the event happens people will talk about it in generalities adding specific details (SLA). This can go so far as an individuals original memory changes to fit the group memory, and they are not aware of the change and that they unconsciously avoid information that will disrupt that memory/be;oef as it evolves within the group. This is also known as Social Construction. Sharing Stories Synchronizes Group Memories. People synchronize what they remember and what they forget after sharing memories with one another, according to new research. The findings, have an applied scope: policymakers could use them to bust myths about certain topics, like how Zika virus is spread. This is in part because of the general held beliefs that memory in a recording, not a reconstruction. Even reporting immediately after the event is a reconstruction, not a memory, usually put into terminology that implies empirical objectivity. There is also a prevailing belief that what one personally observed was what happened, that other influences can’t change a memory, including remembering something that did not happen. Add then the stress, ambiguity, chaos, fear of a biodisaster and memory, therefore history, and verification of other eyewitnesses who have had time to socialize afterwards, are suspect. Memory Recall/Retrieval, Eyewitness Memory is Unreliable, False Memories – A Faulty Reconstruction. ¶ If considering technology as being an accurate record, think again. Remember there still is human interpretation and consider what is outside the frame and point of view. Can You Spot the Suspicious Behavior in These Photos, Photos Show What Crime Looks like Before it Happens [Photo].
-6.3. Another problem of disasters in general is that two separate events may seem to be the same event, while the same event may appear to be the same one. Not always easy to tell as a few feet can be two different separate incidents For example a rescue team may be sent to find one person, find another near the location and assume they got the person they were sent to find, and having found someone not locate a third person in the same general area. Most rescue teams know this and always search around the area in case there are more victims. Inversely, especially with bio and chemical incidents where the same event can be separated geographically and in time. There is also the possibility that this is an endemic disease that happens all the time, but for some reason is getting media attention. Ten Hospitalised from Siberian Village after Outbreak of Anthrax Killed One; Now Fears of a Spread 6↑, 160821-1, 160807-7.1↓. To add to the confusion are translation problems, limitations (secrecy) of reports, errors and synchronicity, A Siberian River Has Mysteriously Turned Blood Red.
-“The third angel poured out his bowl on the rivers and springs of water, and they became blood”. – Revelation 16:4
-7. ∩ This was not specifically a biodisaster, though the chance it can be further complicated with contaminated drinking water and Zika. It does have the characteristics (present) and features (missing) that have been noted in biodisaster and what I imagine would be found in parademic. Recovery in a Biodisaster is Recoveries, as the event will likely be in waves, where recovery in getting ready for the next wave, and then salvaging what is left if the event ever ends. Louisiana Flood of 2016: The 12 Stages of Recovery. Initial 3: Devastation, rescue (parademic body recovery and disposition), shock, awe. Middle 5: Community spirit, restlessness, the blame game, politics and embracing big government. Last 4: Picking up the pieces, where does the region go, road to recovery and the new normal. Note the similarities with the grief cycle. ¶ Turns out there is another similarity to Zika, funding, The Federal Emergency Loans Louisiana Isn't Getting.
-8. Infectious Ideas: Contagion in Premodern Islamic and Christian Thought in the Western Mediterranean. How did religious communities respond to and make sense of epidemic disease, post the Black Death. ¶ Rather than universally reject the concept of contagion, as most scholars have affirmed, Muslim scholars engaged in creative and rational attempts to understand it. Christian scholars used the metaphor of contagion to define proper and safe interactions with heretics, Jews, and Muslims, and how contagion itself denoted phenomena as distinct as the evil eye and the effects of corrupted air. At the heart of the work of both Muslims and Christians, although their approaches differed, was a desire to protect the physical and spiritual health of their respective communities.
-A. Note the echoes of the same narratives and ideas with AIDS. Infectious Ideas: U.S. Political Responses to the AIDS Crisis. An understandings of the United States' complex social and political trends in the post 1960s era, AIDS workers – in groups as disparate as the gay and lesbian press, AIDS service organizations, private philanthropies, and the State Department – influenced American politics, especially on issues such as gay and lesbian rights, reproductive health, racial justice, and health care policy, in the face of the expansion of the New Right.
-8.1. There are some illnesses that only are recognized in some cultures, or were considered a illness at one time but no longer (Homosexuality: The Mental Illness That Went Away, A Fate That Narcissists Will Hate: Being Ignored, What Was “Female Hysteria,” Really, Nuciform 160904-4.5 Quote↓), or that it took time to get consensus that a condition is real Gulf War Veterans’ Medically Unexplained Illnesses, Shell Shock. This is however the only condition I am aware of where a “real” condition was dismissed for a time, and then became “real” again. Migraines Were Taken More Seriously in Medieval Times – Where Did We Go Wrong.
-9. France Most Skeptical Country about Vaccine Safety. 41% in France disagreed with the assertion that vaccines are safe*. On average, just 12% of respondents in other nations disagreed with this statement. France recently has experienced “anxiety” about suspected but unproven links between the hepatitis B vaccine and multiple sclerosis and, separately, the human papillomavirus vaccine and side effects like fatigue in girls. France similarly had strong reservations about a flu vaccine quickly made to combat the pandemic of H1N1 in 2009. There was a furor that the government bought so much of that vaccine and a worry that it was made too quickly and couldn’t be safe. French Medical Experts Question Vaccine Safety after CDC Whistleblower William Thompson Confesses to MMR Vaccine Research Fraud, French Physicians Question Vaccine Effectiveness and Safety as France Debates Future of Vaccination Program. ¶ Russians had the greatest skepticism about the importance of vaccines for children: 17.1%. Bosnia and Herzegovina had the most serious doubts about the effectiveness of vaccines, with a whopping 27.3% of respondents expressing a “negative sentiment. Both numbers were about three times higher than the global average. ¶ Religious beliefs were trickier. In Mongolia, where about half the population is Buddhist, with the rest aligned with other faiths, 50.5% of respondents said vaccines were not compatible with their religion; that was about three times higher than the global average. Deeper analysis found that where a person lived had more influence on their attitudes about vaccines than their particular faith. A quick review of internet sources about immunization and Buddhism indicates there is no doctrine against immunization, Immunizations and Religion. ¶ In the United States, 8.8% questioned the importance of vaccines for children, 13.5% were not convinced they were safe, 9.6% had doubts about effectiveness, and 10.5% had concerns because of their religious beliefs. ¶ Some unfounded safety concerns about vaccines persist because people are searching for clear causes to maladies like multiple sclerosis and autism that current science cannot fully explain. People are also fed up with the didactic that says: You should just get vaccinated because it’s good for you. We need to get our heads around the fact that we’re never going to get 100% compliancy. Think Americans Fear Vaccines. Check out the French. Vaccination Controversy: France Most Skeptical of Vaccines, Global Study Finds. European Region Most Sceptical in the World on Vaccine Safety. Who Has More Faith in Vaccine Safety: Parents in France or Bangladesh. Fear of Vaccine Safety Is Higher in Europe than in the US.
-A. No link could be found to the original article, The State of Vaccine Confidence 2016: Global insights through a 67 country survey. Was the article removed, deleted, hacked, retracted, blocked by legal action, cyber attack. Inquiring minds want to know– advertising slogan used in the '80s by the National Enquirer, a supermarket tabloid.
-9*. Note that the world [Map] in this article makes France dark red, with a color range of beige indicating 0-10% and dark red indicating 40-50%. Color skews meaning. The size of countries skews meaning. Does “les vaccins sont sûrs*” have the same meaning as “vaccines are safe” in Britain, America, Australia, West Canada, Jamaica, Texas, Colorado. Interval spacing skews meaning; every 10th seems objective and scientific, but is it an accurate depiction if the range is .02-41, with the majority of answers at 12. Graphs skew meaning. The most accurate way to display this data would have been a bar graph proportionally adjusted for the number of people that responded and did not respond to each question (and its translation) in each, with a bar of the global average (and if it is mean, median, mode) and ratio of national population to responders (globally this was 1 person in 107,693 (+ – 1, assuming world population of 7 billion and that a percentage of a person is not a person). The standard deviation of each percentage should also be given to indicate the range of reliability of each.
-9.1. It would be interesting to see how reliable the secondary transmission of the original study (that is science articles) differs from what was intended. The study may also be manipulated by anti-vax, pro-vax, politicians against wasting money on useless studies, politicians trying to pass vax and anti-vax laws, and conspiracy theorists in general. There is also the irony of the Pasteur Institute. Why Is France Thumbing its Nose at Vaccines (In a Big Way) (2015), The French National Debate on Vaccine Safety (2015) contradicted by Measles Elimination Efforts and 2008–2011 Outbreak, France, Vaccine Denier Makes it up – France and Vaccinations. Charges Against French Parents Stir Mandatory Vaccination Debate (2014), Why Has France Not Yet Eliminated Measles (2014), Vaccines Have Been a Political Flashpoint for More than 200 Years the term conscientious objector, now associated primarily with war, originally referred to those who refused vaccination. [Poster]
-9.1*. There are a number of false cognates between English and French, Faux Amis. The French language itself may also give clues to why anti-vax is so widely accepted in France, if the Whorf-Sapir Hypothesis is correct. The Battle to Keep French Pure Is Doomed. List of English Words with Dual French and Anglo-Saxon Variations, The Colourful Linguistic History of English [Cartoon, Meme]. One way to say measles virus vaccine in French is vaccin antimorbilleux, relatif à la rougeole, relative/parent to the measles. Could this be interpreted as giving measles to prevent measles, and why would someone do that when one can become immune naturally. ¶ The only non speculative conclusion is that the French are human and subject to the same logical fallacies and paradoxes as other humans, with the same correspondences with other beliefs One in Three Are Climate Sceptics, and not some unique French existentialism or Cartesianism. The Medical Board of California Initiates Disciplinary Action Against Antivaccine “Hero” Dr. Bob Sears. It’s about Time.
-10. There is over abundance of caution, but even North Korea ended quarantine before this. Ivory Coast Reopens Western Borders Closed During Ebola Epidemic, with Liberia and Guinea two years after they were closed to prevent the spread of an Ebola epidemic. My speculation is that there was more than just Ebola. Ivory Coast is economically better off than the other two countries, has a French colonial background (9↑ maybe), may have some conflict with Guinea (also a French colony) and Liberia that predated or resulted from the colonial period. In any case Ebola could have reached the Ivory Coast via the zoonotic route, and if there is an Ebola outbreak in Ivory Coast it will likely get the same treatment.
-11. Recognizing Sep 11. Spontaneous memorials, The Shrines of September 11th. Reflection on what it means: Since 9/11, Our Fear Has Harmed us More Than Terrorists Have. Foreign policy was barely discussed during the 2000 presidential election. The world was going our way. Then it happened. #Book Review A Pilgrim, A Saracen, and a Biothreat: A Review of I Am Pilgrim. After a Terrorist Attack, We Grow Fearful. Here’s What That Does to Our Brains. How 9/11 Changed Americans. John Adams’ “On the Transmigration of Souls,” after 9/11. This set the interpretation of the Anthrax Letters, Timeline: How The Anthrax Terror Unfolded. The Curse of the White Powder, how fake bioterrorism attacks became a real problem. FBI’s WMD Directorate Marks its First Decade, FBI’s Amerithrax Case Just Unravelled. Ex-FBI Agent Who Directed Investigation Suing FBI, 6.1↑. NFL's Sept. 11 Plans May Collide with Anthem Protests.
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