Parademic Heuristics: Introduction Updated: 170928
-1. Heuristics are simplified models that adequately explain complex and complicated systems for the purpose of learning and gaining understanding. They are not completely accurate, The Development of the Atomic Model, Heuristics: The Foundations of Adaptive Behavior. Heuristics are more a sketch map that suggests how one is to reach point B from point A, pointing out some landmarks, but in no way is precise or complete with every detail, and can badly distort scale and measurement. However; a totally complete and exact map would be worthless without deleting a great deal of information and scale down the size, with relative distortions, especially if the route is very long. Follow the Drinking Gourd: A Cultural History. The Song as History. [Cartoon, Cartoon].
-2. Although parademic heuristics are not technically accurate, and may not represent the current state of knowledge, or are invalid in some ways. But when heuristics are used with an familiarity their weaknesses, when applied appropriately to the correct context, these are useful tools as comparable analogues. Like any statistic [Chart], model, chart, graph, map, fact, one needs to recognize that heuristics are always deficient, potentially framing information in a way that leads to misinterpretation, or rationalization, manipulating the model to appear correct, forcing thedrawing of an a priori conclusion. Heuristics are guides, ones that can be eclectically developed into better models for specific needs if one starts from of the correct general information and adjusts as the situation changes. Models Versus Full Reality. The Mechanism of Substitution Heuristic. Why Smart People Are Stupid. Responding and Adapting to Climate Change: Uncertainty as Knowledge [Chart, Chart]. Uncertainty Is a Fact of Life, So Get Used to it.
-3. The following table of contents are of heuristic models of behavior as applicable to parademic – the human behavior and cognition that occurs alongside (para), disastrous (that is negative impacts on humans), events in the biosphere (pandemic, climate change, extinction, population explosion, pollution, invasive species, contamination, et cetera). Unfortunately biodisasters take decades or more to breach human perception, and may well be considered normal by the time they are noticed. Inversely a non biothreat may be perceived (contamination by immigrants, immoral diseases, a cyclic mass die off) resulting in a parademic of chicken little [Cartoon] and witch hunts. Parademic is not always caused by a biodisaster, but can cause a disaster of the biosphere.
-Quote: All models are wrong, but some are useful. Since all models are wrong, they cannot be corrected by excessive elaboration. Given that all models are wrong; the practical question is how wrong do they have to be to not be useful. – George E. P. Box,
Heuristics:
-Introduction 170801
-Freeze, Flight, Fight (FFF) 170801, 170813-6.1, 170312-2.4, 170220- 8.2, 170205-T,A, 161023-8, 160918-1, 160904-4.4, 150201-4, +↓
-Contagious Narrative 170928
Planned:
Rumor and Myth: Sharpening, Leveling, Assimilation
Antecedent, Behavior, Consequence (ABC)
Conditions of Uncertainty: Magical Thinking
Grief (SPARTA)
Bloom Taxonomy
Collection (SAPCE)
Operating Environment, FUN and HUP 170813-6.1, 170730-11 -*,
Social Contagion
Decisions/Choices
Curves (See mini lesson, Parademic Slide 5)
Emergent
Disunited
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