Parademic Database Week Notes Ending 200126

Updated 211010

1. Exploitation, 2. Future Fatigue, Pessimism, End of the World, Science Fiction, Doomsday Clock, Pandemic Preparedness, <Cont>1. Coronavirus (the Sequel to Ebolaphobia), Syndemic, Air Travel, Conspiracy Theory, SARS, Smoke, Flu, ASF, Military Support, Quarantine, Monitoring, Evacuation, Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM), Social Media, Riot, Blame.

-1. A behavior that is exhibited in every disaster is to exploit the situation. This does not always result in a solution that benefits all, or the greatest number. Exploitation is a short term benefit, sometimes deleterious for the long term, to find a personal advantage. This exploitation can be a crime, pushing a ideological agenda, deprivation of others, take advantage of a teachable moment, or to sell something. It is not necessarily immoral to profit from a tragedy, and even if reprehensible and harmful at the time may in the long run to be beneficial. On the other hand continuing to take actions for one’s own benefit, and to only find solutions if there is profit =2= =3=, tend to make society more vulnerable and less and less prepared for disasters. Eventually the accumulations of accelerating anthroposphere, geosphere, biosphere harms can no longer be mitigated, leading to a crash that cascades beyond the disaster. [Strip].

-2. Scifi Author William Gibson: 'Future Fatigue' Is Putting People off the 22^nd Century. 200719-CV16. One survey found that most Americans rarely think about the future and only a few think about the distant future. When they are forced to think about it, they don't like what they see. Another poll by the Pew Research Centre found that 44% of Americans were pessimistic about what lies ahead. pessimism about the future isn't just limited to the U.S. One international poll of over 400,000 people from 26 countries found that people in developed countries tended to think that the lives of today's children will be worse than their own. And a 2015 international survey by YouGov found that people in developed countries were particularly pessimistic. For instance, only 4% of people in Britain thought things were improving. This contrasted with 41% of Chinese people who thought things were getting better. So why has the world seemingly given up on the future. One explanation might be that deep pessimism is the only rational response to the catastrophic consequences of global warming, declining life expectancy and an increasing number of poorly understood existential risks. -200112-2¶>1‡1C↓. Closer than Ever: It Is 100 Seconds to Midnight =2= Humanity continues to face two simultaneous existential dangers – nuclear war and climate change – that are compounded by a threat multiplier, cyber enabled information warfare, that undercuts society’s ability to Respond. Outbreaks of Lethal Diseases like Ebola and the Wuhan Coronavirus Happen Regularly. The US Government Just Cut Funding for the Hospitals That Deal with Them*^A -200112-2¶>1‡1C↓.

-*A. POST COLLECTIO: *This link was the first forecast that CV was not only a serious bioevent, but that the US response would bungle the response.

-200112-2¶>1. <CONT 200202>. Though doubtful that the novel Coronavirus from China ^‡1 will become a biocalamity in the near future, it clearly is becoming a parademic. This broke the liminal threshold very fast, only taking a couple of weeks, Coronavirus: The Unexploded Ordnance in the Lancet Article (With a Postscript) =2=, when this was first noticed by non medical media as an unknown type of pneumonia, to an acceleration of information. The exact nature of this parademic remains unknown, but with the trade war and other issues =2= it is unlikely that there will be immediate and effective global health cooperation, and from what is seen so far repeat the 2015 Ebolaphobia. The similarities are probably not unique, these may just be extreme examples of what happens during novel pandemics (mundane familiar pandemics having a different set of behaviors), taking different forms but the same behaviors. This outbreak does differ from the Ebolaphobia as what happened in the course of months has happened in a week. Unknown if curator is more practiced at spotting these or they actually happen faster. Outcome will probably be like previous times, lots of hand wringing and denial, some small improvements, and then progress will fade again.

-A. POST COLLECTIO: The curator was unaware of some information that was not publicly available at the time. The thought was that the Chinese government was being preemptive with draconian measures, turns out that like the rest of the world they were not only unprepared but delayed effective containment and control response.

-B. In the early days of PDWN while working as a pandemic planner it was noticed that a particular disease or environmental hazard, would more likely go dormant, 200918-23. The preference is to not share a bioevent until it was clearly in acceleration. Over time it appears that more events are being reported: This may be because the 1) curator has become more skilled at spotting bioevents that will be of longer duration and have global impact; 2) media is finding that such stories are likely to develop legs attracting attention; 3) or that bioevents are in fact happening more frequently and are larger. Though this new Coronavirus may not become a lethal pandemic, this is the most recent form and there may be future waves that are. In the meantime with this years current flu =2= =3= ^‡2, respiratory problems from smog and smoke ^‡3, could have a health confluence to synergize into a lethal syndemic. This may include a zoodemic antagonizing animal flu’s and ASF ^‡4, both of which global efforts to contain and control have been unsuccessful.

-‡1. Stub starts with the most recent. This is not fully subcategorized. It is usually better to collect information and then categorize than to start with categories and make things fit. categories made before evidence may misinform analysis, and in biocalamity data by its nature tends to blur into multiple categories: Fear Is Also Infectious: How Coronavirus Outbreak Is Unsettling a Nation see H5N1 comment. Locally Made Robots Disinfect Hospitals in Wuhan, How Artificial Intelligence Provided Early Warnings of the Wuhan Virus and Cassandra effect applied, 210103-1A. Wuhan Leaders Blamed for Spread of China Coronavirus as Hospitals Beg for Supplies, Death Toll Rises, Weeks Before Lockdown, Wuhan Authorities Used 'Refrigerating Strategy’ to Downplay Coronavirus 200830-CV16B. More than 2,000 Now Infected with Coronavirus; 56 Dead in China. China Temporarily Bans Wildlife Trade in Wake of Outbreak =2= see H5N1 comment, China Virus Outbreak Revives Calls to Stop Wildlife Trade =2= =4=, =3= =4=, Mega Cities and Animal Agriculture: The Wuhan Coronavirus Signals a New Era of Disease Response. China Heads into Lunar New Year on Shutdown as Virus Spreads to Europe. Outbreak Casts Pall over China New Year as Deaths Surpass 40. KHN Wuhan Coronavirus Listicle =2=. Killer Plague Game Tops Charts amid Coronavirus. Lam Says Hong Kong Has System in Place to Handle Coronavirus. NPR Coronavirus Listicle. A Coronavirus Spreading in China Is New. But Efforts to Stop it Began Nearly 20 Years Ago. World Health Organization Says It’s Too Early to Declare Global Emergency over New Coronavirus. The Coronavirus Is Already Politically Fraught Tyee, China Seeks to Stop Virus Scare from Becoming Political Crisis^$, which likely will be handled in part by censorship ^A↓ 201219-CV03, Indicators of a parademic include political crisis and economic aspects ^F↓. As Virus Spreads, Anxiety Rises in China and Overseas. Summary of Latest 314 Surging News Statistics Confirmed nCoV2019 Cases in Multiple Places. China Is Trying to Stop the Spread of New Coronavirus at Worst Possible Time of Year. Coronavirus: 6 People Dead as China Confirms Wuhan Virus Can Be Spread by Humans. [Tweet]. Years after SARS, a More Confident China Faces a New Virus, There Is a New Coronavirus on the Loose, but We Don’t Have to Repeat the Mistakes of SARS, China’s Post Sars Reporting System May Explain Long Delays in Announcing New Cases of Wuhan Virus. New Virus Surging in Asia Rattles Scientists. WHO Calls Emergency Meeting as Mystery Virus Spreads. China Confirms New Coronavirus Can Spread Between Humans. South Korea Confirms First Case of New Coronavirus. Zhong Nanshan: 14 Medical Staff Infected with New Coronavirus Pneumonia (Video). New China Virus: Cases Triple as Infection Spreads to Beijing and Shanghai, China Reports Another Death from Wuhan Virus, Infections Spread to Other Cities. China Increasing Measures to Contain Coronavirus Outbreak =2=. Coronavirus: China Reports 17 New Cases of Sars like Mystery Virus =2=. Virus Casts Shadow over China's Biggest Festival, but Little Worry at Epicenter. Some Human to Human Transmission Isn't Surprising in Wuhan. A couple of people have asked me lately if they should be worried about the novel Wuhan Coronavirus. Which got me to thinking. Much of what we sciencey types chat about online can quickly get – or just start off as – too technical for the general public. And sometimes that may leave them with a sense that things are more worrying than we think they are. WHO Says New China Coronavirus Could Spread, Warns Hospitals Worldwide. China Reports First Death from Mystery Pneumonia Outbreak =2=. Wuhan Pneumonia: Asia Battens down for Lunar New Year Rush. Firms Warned Not to Hike Prices over Coronavirus, Masks Are Flying off Shelves in B.C., but Using Them Has 'No Proven Benefit' Against Coronavirus, Supplies of N95 Mask Running Low in Hong Kong as Wuhan Virus Scare Sparks Panic Buying and Marked up Prices. 59 People in Wuhan Found with Mystery Pneumonia Strain, Authorities Reveal, as Nine More Hong Kong Patients Who Visited City Sent to Hospital. Public Warned Not to Drop Their Guard over Mystery China Virus after Tests Rule out Sars or Bird Flu. Local Authorities: Mysterious Illness in China Is Not SARS. China Pneumonia: Hong Kong Authorities Take Low Key Approach to Passengers Arriving in Hong Kong on Wuhan Trains, Hong Kong Steps up Response to Mystery Disease from China. Chinese City at Centre of Mysterious Pneumonia Outbreak Remains Calm. Clarification of the Concept of Risk Communication and its Role in Public Health Crisis Management in China. Seven Infected Cases Unrelated to Wuhan Outbreaks, Government Raises Infections Response Level to Serious. China Pneumonia Outbreak Raises Spectre of Sars as Number Infected Jumps to 44.

-a. It Plays to Our Worst Fears: Coronavirus Misinformation Fuelled by Social Media, and if the observation that the parademic is developing faster than the Ebolaphobia, this may be the reason. China's New Year TV Show Pays Tearful Tribute to Virus Fighters, Urges Victory. Please Help Me. What People in China Are Saying about the Outbreak on Social Media. The Wuhan Coronavirus Is the Latest Front for Medical Misinformation. How Will China Handle It. Chinese Social Media Users Worry over Virus, China Silences Critics Over Coronavirus Outbreak, which China has done with previous outbreaks =2= =3= =4=. Parties Unite over Taiwan's Exclusion from WHO Anti Virus Planning, Taiwan Urges China to Release All Information on New Virus, China Has Been Transparent about Wuhan Outbreak, Virus Expert Zhong Nanshan Says. Coronavirus: Chinese Hospitals Not Testing Patients, Say Relatives. China Coronavirus: Beijing Breaks its Silence, but Only to Deny Rumours. 210103-23B -C.

-b. Russia Recommends Suspension of Travel Package Sales to China over Virus. Wuhan Woman Who 'Cheated' Checks Found in France. Does Wearing a Mask While Traveling Ward off Illness. Here's What Experts Say. U.S. Plans to Evacuate Americans with Charter Flight from Epidemic Stricken Wuhan =2=. France Prepares Evacuation of its Citizens from Coronavirus Hit Wuhan, China =2=. Can Airport Screening Help Stop the Spread of Wuhan Coronavirus, Coronavirus: Heathrow to Screen Arrivals from Affected Chinese Region. Cathay to Let Crew Wear Masks on All Flights Due to New Coronavirus. Airlines and Airports Across the World Are Working to Limit the Spread of Deadly Coronavirus. Here's What to Know. Australia to Screen Some China Flights, Warns New Virus Difficult to Stop. Canadian Hospitals, Airports Preparing for Possible Arrival of SARS like Coronavirus from China. Screening for Coronavirus to Expand to Chicago, Atlanta Airports. CDC to Screen for New Strain of Coronavirus at 3 U.S. Airports, there is no political benefit =2=^$ =3= =4= [Cartoon =2= =3= Listicle =4= =5= -2↑, Tweet] at this time to do stop the flights fear mongering =2= [Cartoon]. | Australia Confirms Four Cases of Coronavirus, Expects More Cases. Vietnam Says Two Chinese Citizens in Vietnam Confirmed to Have Coronavirus. France Confirms First Two Cases of Wuhan Coronavirus. Pacific Countries, Shaken by Measles, on Alert for Coronavirus. S. Korea Reports 2^nd Confirmed Case of Wuhan Coronavirus, Pneumonia. Coronavirus Spotlights Japan Contagion Risks as Olympics Loom 201223-CV18A; Wuhan Pneumonia Confirmed for the First Time in Japan, Outbreak of SARS Like Virus Widens with First Case in Japan, 201223-CV18. Chinese Woman with Mystery Virus Quarantined in Thailand =2=. N. Korea Closes Borders Amid Spread of Coronavirus, same as they did for Ebola, 200726-CV04.

-c. Coronavirus: Why NJ and Hospitals Across the US Are Seeing False Alarms over China Virus, 3 Possible Coronavirus Cases Being Investigated in Michigan. CDC Confirms Second US Wuhan Coronavirus Case =2=. Coronavirus Outbreak Prompts Virginia School to Cancel Visit of Chinese Exchange Students =2=, same over reactions happened during Ebola =2= =3=. U.S. Health Officials Seek Emergency Approval to Use Diagnostic Test for New Coronavirus. [Cartoon =2= =3=] one of the indicators of an accelerating parademic is humor, to include political cartoons. People Who Had Contact with Man with Virus to Be Monitored =2=. Coronavirus Worries Have Surgical Masks Flying off Shelves in New York's Chinatown. Face Masks Fly off Shelves in Seattle After 1^st Coronavirus Case. US Gets 1^st Case of Mysterious New Chinese Illness =2= =3=. Dow Tumbles on the First Case of Coronavirus in the United States -F↓. | One aspect that is on interest to PDWN is that this may provide a real world test to see if THEPA will poorly handle a pandemic, possibly exacerbating it. THEPA from a parademic perspective remains frightening and increasingly reckless, but boring and predictable. Unsure if this curator simply can no longer stomach THEPA, as a topic. I’ve have possibly become so fatigued with the constant heinous abhorrent inanity that it is easier to be pessimistic about the future -2↑.

-d. Vaccine for New Chinese Coronavirus in the Works =2= =3=, likely there will be exploitive conspiracy theories -1↑, probably recycling that BigPharma created diseases to sell vaccines =2= =3= =4=, and the virus is another BioWeapon =2= =3= =4=.

-e. China's Sanya City Shuts down All Tourist Sites to Prevent Spread of Virus Outbreak. Wuhan: Strengthening Prevention and Control with Stricter Measures, Resolutely Curbing the Spread of Epidemic, party rhetoric does not inspire confidence. Hospitals in China's Virus Epicenter Launch Public Appeals for Supplies. Wuhan Coronavirus: Hospitals Turning People Away as Doctors Say ‘Home Is Best’ in Many Cases, Wuhan Residents Describe Doomsday Scenes as Patients Overwhelm Hospitals. Public Transport in Wuhan Suspended Due to Coronavirus Concerns. Border Control Is the Most Effective Step vs The Evidence on Travel Bans for Diseases like Coronavirus Is Clear: They Don’t Work. China Halts Transportation out of Wuhan to Contain Coronavirus. Could it Backfire. China Sends in Military Doctors to Help Wuhan Hospitals Fight Coronavirus Outbreak. A Historic Quarantine$, an experiment in authoritarian medicine; Coronavirus: The Psychological Effects of Quarantining a City, Hong Kong Protest Against Quarantine Facilities Turns Violent^$ =2= ; China Hurriedly Building Quarantine Center in Effort to Contain Wuhan Virus =2= =3=. China Locks down 6 Cities to Combat Coronavirus, Wuhan and Huanggang Locked Down, Disrupting Lunar New Year Travel Plans of Millions. Here’s What It’s Like in Wuhan, the Chinese City at the Center of the Deadly Coronavirus Outbreak. China's Wuhan Shuts down Transport as Global Alarm Mounts over Virus Spread =2=, China Shuts Down 3 Major Cities in Bid to Contain Deadly Coronavirus =2= [Photo], China Tries to Close off Wuhan, City at the Center of Outbreak =2=. It’s a Ghost Town: Shortages in Wuhan as China Coronavirus Transport Bans Take Effect to Contain Deadly Pneumonia Threat – but Is it Too Late, China Coronavirus: As Travel Ban Is Issued for Wuhan, Many in City Rush to Escape.

-f. Stocks Jump, Futures Rise as Virus Fears on Hold: Markets Wrap^$. For Businesses, Virus in China Fans Fear and Uncertainty. China Central Bank Raises Limit on Small Bank Payments amid Virus Outbreak. How China's Virus Outbreak Could Threaten the Global Economy, China Virus Could Hit Oil Prices by $3/BBL: Goldman, China Virus Outbreak May Wallop Economy, Financial Markets. Stocks Fall as Fears about Deadly Virus Grow; Dow Drops 170 -C↑, Stocks Mostly Recover on Hope for Handling of Chinese Virus, Airline, Hotel Stocks Fall on Fear about New Virus in China. Financial Experts Recommend Just Waiting until Chaos Is Law of the Land.

-g. In space of a couple of weeks there was an information deluge that forced breaking information to be put in different categories. As is the usual PDWN practice there is some avoiding of labeling the topic of a stub to allow interpretation of what the topic is to be from the reader rather than one imposed by the curator. Even so there is a trade off that by subcategorizing information, who that information relates to information in other categories may not be noticed.

-h. POST COLLECTIO: The above stub illustrates the firehose of the firehose of information (and misinformation)that is characteristic of the onset of a disaster. In this case it took the curator about two more months to start seeing consistent patterns and categories in the chaotic information deluge, despite being more prepared than most. This is not a failure but from previous years of experience that the majority of bioevents and contained and controlled, or at least mitigated, before global spread. Even when a parademic is identified it still takes time to identify what is important and what is not.

-‡2. Why Coronavirus Is less of a Threat in U.S. than Flu. Hand Sanitizers, Flu Shots – Businesses’ Defense Against Flu, 201231-CV05.1. Three Million New Flu Cases Reported in Last Week, CDC Says. Hundreds Dead as Yemen Flu Outbreak Spreads. Why Do Kids Die With the Flu, the misconception that there is always an underlying medical condition. Why the Number of Child Deaths from Flu Is up So Much this Year. [Chart]. Child Flu Deaths Hit Record High for This Time of Year. US on Track for One of the Worst Flu Seasons in Decades. Early Rise: Flu Cases up in New York Ahead of Peak Season; 77% over Previous Week. 191215-1. Flu has already killed 6000 this year in the US, and yet Coronavirus is causing some panic.