Parademic Database Week Notes Ending 200301 Vulnerable

Updated 21115

Introduction, Glossary

-1. Vulnerability, Hazards, Threats, Risks, Invasive Species, Supply Chains, 2. Book, Metaphor, 2.1. Quote, 3. Plastic Pollution, Ban, Unintended Consequences , 4. Antivax Recovery, Covid19 Vaccine. <Cont >1. Coronavirus, >2. Zombie, >3. NIMBY, >. 4. War and National Security, Yemen, S Korea, A. Climate Change >5. Pandemic, Parademic Hoarding, A. Definitions, B. Hoarding and Recession, Amazon >6. Spread, Iran, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iraq, Italy, Testing, Turkey, A. Occult Spread, B. Public Health Warnings, C. Recrudescence, D. Complexity and Social Networks, Fashion. E. US Spread, E.1. Gubergenic, THEPA, Medical Surge, E.2. Spokesperson, Media Relations, Crisis Communications, Trump, Pence, >7. Barriers, >8. Hope Mongering, Changing Positions, Fox News, Media Relations, Credibility, >9. Comparisons and Proxies, >10. Speed, Information Manipulation, Cyber Attacks, >11. Rehearsals, Exercises, Lessons Not Learned. He09 Sunset

-1. Vulnerability is context, not a stand alone of either/or that applies to every situation. Vulnerabilities are a spectrum of parameters, what may be a protection or vulnerability in one situation may be completely reversed with slight differences in the circumstances. Vulnerability is physical fact, perception of what fact is, and behavior that is logical to interpretation of that.

            -A. There needs to be a Hazard of something that can cause harm: A Threat when a hazard has the capability to directly or indirectly gain access from either physical, supply/ production and/or behavioral gaps, and; Risk probability of a hazard becoming a threat and the level and type of damage if it does happen. Whether one corrects or exacerbates a vulnerability is based on perceptions that may or may not be correct, and behavior based on interpretation. It is possible to be safe, but to act in a way that makes one vulnerable. On the other hand some people may consider themselves invulnerable when in fact they are not.

            -B. Invulnerability fallacies 201206-1A, include wealth, faith, status. One cannot eat money, use placebos that are merely claims and opinions, create a global one health system in time to save lives after a biocrisis begins, or build barriers that keep out germs, severe weather, gamma rays and asteroids [Cartoon]. Actually it is possible to have total protection, but that would require totally separation and being sealed away from the biosphere. Unfortunately in a closed system one is likely to die from lack of air, water, food, age, inability to flush waste. Furthermore, there is the risk that something deleterious was brought in, or a critical biological need not included. As Covid-19 Cases Rise, South Korea Raises Virus Threat Level to its Maximum. WHO Risk Assessment =2= =3=.

             -C. Gubergenic (government origins, i.e. policy and actions that harm health and environment) can also create vulnerabilities, oft times in the name of purity, safety, protection and security; the same themes that are used by populists. [Chart =2= =3=]. Invasive Species and the Wicked Risks of Biosecurity. Ancient Pathogens of Past Plagues Tell a Vivid Tale. Different Crises: Coronavirus & Climate Change Video. Daily Risk Assessment on Covid-19, 28 February 2020. 200909-CV01.

-A. Assessment		Impact: Capability to prevent, mitigate and Level of damage
Probability of occurrence 200909-CV01	(Best Guess)	Very Low	Low	Medium	High	Very High
	Very High	16	32	64	128	256
	High	8	16	32	64	128
	Medium	4	8	16	32	64
	Low	2	4	8	16	32
	Very Low	1	2	4	8	16

            -D. Never directly use an assessment made for another area, time and/or purpose, but tailor to specific situation – changing the title, agency, date do not qualify as tailoring for meeting needs. Assessment of threat is never zero and never constant, but go up and down with changing circumstances. For example Risk of erosion and water borne diseases may start at Low 1, rain changes that to +1, sewage lines break +5, water borne diseases found in area +10, area is flooded +10, community is prepared for flood -5, community is vaccinated from water borne disease and have water filters -10, antivax and natural (unprocessed) water clusters +15, everyone evacuates -10, people return without correcting cause +5, real estate boom +10, the Awful Things Flood Waters Wash into Your Home. When a disaster event occurs the default is Very High until mitigation factors are identified to lower the Risk. Unknown probability and/or impact defaults to High. Behavior prior to disaster synergizes the event by Cascade into other systems; unintended consequences; social interferences (politics, economics, beliefs, history, statistics, funding, simplification, alarmism, denial, goals, promises, priorities, neglect, etc) that influence the assessment*; and consider that the risk assessment is wrong*, Black Swans 210101-CV31 are Probability x Impact. Example Low x Very High is 512, VH x VH is 65,536 (Mass Fatality – Extinction Event). *Recommend that there be a risk assessment about probability of being wrong either by sharpening - inflation or leveling - down playing. Never assume that the assessment is correct and always correct, especially if the terms “nothing can go wrong, totally ready, 100%, the best”, appear. [Quote]. -200112-2¶>5A↓. 200909-CV01.

-2. #BOOK Illness as Metaphor [Cover] shows how the metaphors and myths surrounding certain illnesses, especially cancer, add greatly to the suffering of patients and often inhibit them from seeking proper treatment. By demystifying the fantasies surrounding cancer showing it is just a disease. Not a curse, not a punishment, certainly not an embarrassment and, it is highly curable, if good treatment is followed. With the outbreak of a new, stigmatized 201003-CV18 disease replete with mystifications and punitive metaphors a sequel to Illness as Metaphor, extended the argument of the earlier book to the AIDS pandemic. Review =2=. This book was written in 1978, prior to the 1980s when the AIDS narrative began to change from a moral stigma 201003-CV18 of a minority to something that could not be ignored as it threatened everyone, culminating in A  Whisper of Aids. This trend has continued to this day with advances that are not a cure, but can extend life and protect.

            -2.1. “Epidemic diseases are not simply causes of death. Each generates its own distinctive societal responses. Hideous rapid diseases are synonymous with mass hysteria, scapegoating 200829-CV29, flights, economic collapse and social disorder. Diseases that are ever present and glacially slow in its pace, and that never give rise to a sudden spike in mortality, never produce the terror associated with a sudden invasion from outside. Flight and the imposition of quarantine are pointless since the victims are deemed harmless, and the disease itself is the result of one’s fate”. – Epidemics and Society from the Back Death to the Present, Review =3=, chapter 14 Tuberculosis in the Romantic Era of Consumption, page 287 The Impact of Consumption on Society. If PDWN was to create a course, this would be part of the required reading.

-3. As Plastic Bag Bans Go into Effect, Some Question the Unintended Consequences. Bans on single use plastic bags – one of the most pervasive sources of pollution – are taking effect in cities and states across the U.S. as efforts to combat global plastic production pick up. But while the moves are being lauded by environmentalists and the local governments that support them, some are questioning whether the move will be effective, primarily because of the unintended environmental consequences associated with replacement materials such as paper, thick plastic and reusable bags. [Cartoon =2=]. 200629-CV16.

            -A‡. Scientists Gather to Study Risk from Microplastic Pollution. Why It's Probably Better for the Planet to Throw Plastic in the Trash. How Bad Is Pakistan's Plastic Bag Problem. See for Yourself. How to Eat Less Plastic. Plastics or People. At Least 1 of Them Has to Change to Clean up Our Mess. For Decades, Scientists Puzzled over the Plastic Missing from Our Oceans – but Now It’s Been Found. <ADDED: 190728-190714-2.1>2.

-4. My Parents Were Against Vaccines. Getting Immunized as an Adult Shouldn’t Have Been So Hard. Take some time away from the outbreak to read it. I walked into my doctor’s office for what I hoped would be a quick, straightforward visit. After what felt like hours, the nurse came in with a warm smile and “hello, what can I do for you today”. I shrugged my shoulders, took a deep breath. “I’m 27 and I haven’t been vaccinated since I was three. Can you help”. Her smile slowly slipped away. “Oh my God. Hold on, let me go talk to my supervisor”. | Antivax in China, partly stemming from its own medical scandals and vaccine problems, may make it difficult to control and prevent Covid19, Using Social Media to Understand the Vaccine Debate in China. amid Mounting Anger, China Tries to Rebrand in Hint That Officials May Be Worried about Lasting Toll to Image Listicle.

            -A‡. What Conspiracy Theories Have in Common with Fiction – and Why it Makes Them Compelling Stories, How to Dox Yourself on the Internet. L’Ordre Des Médecins Suspends the French Medical License of the President of Fake Médecine for Speaking out Against Homeopathy, in case anyone wonders why France is among the highest of non vaccination. Vaccines and Gulf War Syndrome. No, Eliminating Religious Exemptions to School Vaccine Mandates Will Not Endanger Immunosuppressed Children.

<CONT 200301>

-200112-2¶>1. <CONT 200223>. Previous patterns of Covid19 will not be repeated here, unless there is significant difference as this bioevent evolves. PDWN will also note contradictions to previous patterns and interpretations. Reminder that PDWN does not state information is valid, only that it is believed and acted upon by people. PDWN will add relevant articles and analysis to previous topics, available upon request.

            -A. POST COLLECTIO: Obviously the situation changed to a global pandemic and PDWN changed to a daily format and focused on CV.

-200112-2¶>2. The zombie disease trope. Like a Zombie Apocalypse: Residents on Edge as Coronavirus Cases Surge in South Korea. The zombies are not those who become undead, but the zombies of officials who make decisions based on beliefs and folk etiology that are zombied (died but still living).

-200112-2¶>3. NIMBY: Where to put facilities for infectious patients is always a political question, not considerations of what is best and based on fact. Trump Backs off Plan to House Coronavirus Patients in Alabama after GOP Objections. Shoreline In, Facility near North Bend out as Potential Coronavirus Quarantine Site. Don’t Send Them Here: Local Officials Resist Plans to House Coronavirus Patients. Stop the Coronavirus NIMBYism and Fearmongering^$. What Happened to California’s Quarantine Facilities. Feds Won’t Put Quarantined Passengers in Southern California. Alabama Residents Rejected Plan to Relocate Quarantined Covid-19 Patients after Rumors, Poor Planning.

-200112-2¶>4. <200308-200112-2¶>3: Impact on national security and defense: South Korea 11 Soldiers Confirmed as Coronavirus Patients, 7,700 in Quarantine as part of efforts to stop the virus from spreading further into barracks. With 600K Active 3Mil Reserve that could be a significant part of the force unavailable, to include US Forces. The most likely attacker is N Korea and they are also likely under quarantine. If there is a significant reduction in the North Korea military the authoritarian control may weaken, conflict break out, and in desperation will attack. If the south sees a pending attack they are likely to attack first, especially if China’s military is also infected. North Korea's Kim Guides Military Drills, Warns Serious Consequences If Virus Breaks Out =2=, whether true or not N. Korea feel threatened by US and S. Korea, which turns conflict into armed warfare. If there are already cases in N Korea this could be a warning not to inform the world. 200726-CV04. | Dengue Fever Finds Breeding Ground in War Weary Yemen, and with flu, measles 201219-CV21, waterborne diseases and malnutrition, locusts =2=, famine, Covid19 could be devastating to an ongoing catastrophe. U.S.-South Korea Military Drills Postponed as Coronavirus Spreads Faster Outside China. Algerian Official: Protest Ban 'Not on Agenda' over Coronavirus, <CONT 200308-200112-2¶>3C.

            -A. Similar erosion of capabilities, having applicable skills and capacities, and taking advantage of new opportunities are also due to environmental changes: All Hell Breaking Loose: How the Pentagon Is Planning for Climate Change =2= =3= =4= =5= =6= =7=.

-200112-2¶>5. The P Word, Stockpile Panic: Past Time to Tell the Public: It Will Probably Go Pandemic, and We Should All Prepare Now. It is important to help people understand that while you think – if you do think so – that this is going to be pandemic in terms of becoming very widespread, no one knows yet how much severe disease there will be around the world over short periods of time …The most crucial (and overdue) risk communication task for the next few days is to help people visualize their communities when “keeping it out” – containment – is no longer relevant. We Are at a Turning Point: The Coronavirus Outbreak Is Looking More like a Pandemic. Is the Coronavirus Outbreak a Pandemic Yet. How Britain Became a Nation of Stockpilers: It Just Feels like Something Is Going to Give. Too Early to Speak of Pandemic, WHO Says Virus Can Be Contained, this is from a medical perspective and does not necessarily contradict advice to prepare, though that should have been done well before Covid19. You’re Likely to Get the Coronavirus^$. When Do You Advise People to Do Pandemic Planning. San Francisco Declares State of Emergency over Coronavirus. Here's What That Means, Please Visit Chinatown: Coronavirus Fears Empty San Francisco District, Diagnosis of Coronavirus Patient in California Was Delayed for Days =2=. A Guide: How to Prepare Your Home for Coronavirus, incomplete but given information valid, and given that things are already in acceleration brevity is necessary. So You Think You’re about to Be in a Pandemic. Epidemics Expert Jonathan Quick: The Worst Case Scenario for Coronavirus Is Likely, the article author has also written about pandemics.

            MORE: As Virus Outbreaks Multiply, UN Declines to Declare Pandemic, Is Covid-19 a Pandemic Video, epidemic is containable, pandemic can only be mitigated. Why the WHO Won’t Call the Coronavirus a Pandemic.

            -A. WHO Says No Longer Uses Pandemic Category, but Virus Still Emergency, this reluctance to use the word pandemic happened after the 2009 H1N1 (Swine Flu) Pandemic >7↓ in reaction to conspiracy theories =2= =3= =4= =5= =6= =7=. In conspiracy theory WHO, BigPharma and CDC are interchangeable. Swine flu was also when WHO learned it was not a good idea to name a pandemic for a geographic region or zoonotic origin. Epidemic Vs. Pandemic. Glossary of Terms for Virus Outbreak. How Museums Can Help the Public Make Sense of Pandemics, Virus Fears Close down France’s Famed Louvre Museum. WHO Raises Coronavirus Threat Assessment to its Highest Level: Wake Up. Get Ready. This Virus May Be on its Way, Very High -1↑ risk assessment. Containment as Signal: Swine Flu Risk Miscommunication 2009. Desperate CDC Director Walks down Hall of Imprisoned Diseases for One on One Talk with Avian Flu about Stopping Coronavirus ^CV02. 200909-CV01.

            -B. Hoarding will also be a factor that leads to an Economic Downturn: Will the Coronavirus Trigger a Global Recession =2= =3=. The Covid-19 outbreak has raised the odds of a global recession dramatically, Flu-Conomics: The next Pandemic Could Trigger Global Recession 2013. But even if no downturn materializes in the near term, the outbreak, together with US President Donald Trump's trade policy may herald the end of the era when steadily rising international trade buttressed global peace and prosperity <CONT 200308>6. Coronavirus Starts to Set off Some Recession Alarm Bells. Recession and hoarding will also foster spread. [Cartoon]. China’s Farmers Worried as Covid-19 Stifles Domestic Agriculture. Hong Kong to Give Cash Gift of $1,200 to Residents. Stocking up to Prepare for a Crisis Isn't Panic Buying =2=. Amazon’s Bestselling Products Read like a Coronavirus Prep Guide, Amazon Warns Face Mask Sellers about Price Gouging amid Coronavirus Fears, Amazon Culls One Million Fake Coronavirus Products. The Gig Economy Has Never Been Tested by a Pandemic^$. How to Think About the Plummeting Stock Market^$. The Problem with Telling Sick Workers to Stay Home ^$. How the Coronavirus Is Infecting the Economy: What the Research Says So Far.

-200112-2¶>6. Spread: B.C.'s 7^th Presumptive Covid-19 Case Connected to Woman Who Flew from Iran 200803-CV03. Iranian Lawmaker Claims Coronavirus Has Killed 50 in City of Qom 200803-CV03. First Coronavirus Case Confirmed in Iraq an Iranian student who entered the country before the banned entry to non Iraqis coming from Iran 200803-CV03; Iraq Bans Public Gatherings on Coronavirus Fear; Travel Ban Totals Nine Countries 200023-CV23. Afghanistan Confirms First Coronavirus Case in Province Bordering Iran 200803-CV03, Coronavirus in a War Zone: Afghanistan Braces for Outbreak after First Case; Pakistan Confirms First Two Cases of Coronavirus; Turkey Closes Borders with Iran over Coronavirus Concerns 200803-CV03, 201202-CV21. Iranian Clerics Keep Shrines Open, Even as Virus Spreads 200803-CV03, Saudi Arabia Bans Pilgrim Visits to Holy Sites amid Coronavirus Fears, No Fear: Pilgrims in Saudi Defy Coronavirus Risks =2=. Iran’s Coronavirus Response Shows it Is Lying its Way to a Catastrophe^$. Why Is Iran's Reported Mortality Rate for Coronavirus Higher than in Other Countries =2=. An Increasingly Isolated Iran Tries to Control Virus Crisis =2=. Iran Says Official Who Played down Virus Fears Is Infected =2=. Rouhani Says No Urban Quarantines Planned as Iran Coronavirus Toll Hits 19. Why Iran’s Coronavirus Outbreak May Be Worse than You Think =2= =3=. Virus Response in Mideast Tainted by Political Views of Iran. Iran Dismisses Pompeo's Hypocritical Claim on Coronavirus Response, U.S. Offer to Help Iran in Dealing with Coronavirus Ridiculous: Iran Foreign Ministry Spokesman. Coronavirus Stopped Exporting Iran's Oil; Official. | Coronavirus Skyrockets in Italy; Cases Surge from 3 to More than 200 in a Few Days, Italy Sees Virus Cases Rise 45% in a Day; Deaths up to 11. [Photo]. 6 European Nations Report Virus Cases with Italy Link. Britons Returning from Northern Italy Told to Self Isolate, will be interesting to see how post Brexit handles Covid19. Italy Scrambles to Contain Coronavirus after Admitting Hospital Mess Up. [Map]. Italy, Mired in Politics over Virus, Asks How Much Testing Is Too Much =2=. Italian with Coronavirus in Nigeria Was Not Isolated for Almost 48 Hours. Italy Shows Just How Crazy Coronavirus Panic Can Get.

            -A. Occult Spread: Without Symptoms or Clear Test Results, Woman May Have Still Spread Coronavirus. Have mentioned before that if there is a pandemic the last thing one want to do is make people afraid to seek medical help, Crackdown on Immigrants Who Use Public Benefits Takes Effect, Rep. Torres Pens Letter to VP Citing Concerns over 'Public Charge' Rule Effect on Coronavirus Outbreak. CDC’s Redfield on Trump’s Transgender Proposal: Stigma Is Not in the Interest of Public Health 201003-CV18 ^(Gender). Health Experts Say One Man's 27 Day Coronavirus Incubation Is No Cause to Extend Australia's Quarantine Period. If Coronavirus Spreads Within the US, Here's How Daily Life Might Change. Why Coronavirus Spread Across the Globe: Mobile Population and Mild Symptoms, Listicle. Japanese Woman Confirmed as Covid-19 Case for 2^nd Time, Weeks after Initial Recovery, 201223-CV18. Key Question for Coronavirus Response: What's Kids' Role in Spreading It. WHO Says Coronavirus Entered Iran Unseen and Undetected 200803-CV03. After Mystery Coronavirus Case in California, Health Officials Go into Detective Mode. Coronavirus Patient First to Be Infected in UK. Some Covid-19 Patients Test Positive Days after Recovery. Coronavirus Likely Spread for Weeks in Washington State =2=. Millions of Uninsured Americans like Me Are a Coronavirus Timebomb, MORE: Trump Administration Considering Paying for Uninsured Coronavirus Patients' Medical Care, cynically this is probably more for votes that health care.

            -B. Public Health Warnings: Announcements like this are a tough choice. It is responsible to warn people, but at the same time the warning may cause panic. Hokkaido Woman Infected with Coronavirus Served Lunch at Local Elementary School. MORE: Coronavirus Is Spreading Panic. Here’s the Science Behind Why. From prehistoric predator encounters to frantic toilet paper runs, our anxious brains can short circuit when faced with the scary unknown.

            -C. Recrudescence: Wuhan Eases Lockdown Then U Turns 3 Hours Later, While China’s Daily Deaths Rise 55 Percent =2=. An official proclaiming that cases are going down or the end is near of an infectious disease outbreaks have been consistently wrong.

            -D. Complexity Scientists Present 'Meme' Model for Multiple Diseases. Interacting contagious diseases like influenza and pneumonia – and perhaps Coronavirus – follow the same complex spreading patterns as social trends, like the adoption of new slang or technologies. This new finding could lead to better tracking and intervention when multiple diseases spread through a population at the same time. The Contagion Effects of Repeated Activation in Social Networks, Memetics & Social Contagion: Two Sides of the Same Coin 1998, Living with Coronavirus Anxiety in Singapore. | How Face Masks Became a Fashion Statement – in Stylish Circles, Form Follows Function, Masks Are Wellness Now they don’t protect you very well, but that doesn’t matter, Face Masks Are must Have Accessory of London Fashion Week amid Coronavirus Panic. Leveraging (Contagion of) a Luxury (Unnecessary) Fashion Brand (Masks) Through Social (Networks) Media.

            -E. CDC Expects Community Spread of Coronavirus, as Top Official Warns Disruptions Could Be Severe, CDC Warns Americans Coronavirus Spread Is Not a Matter of If, but When, =2= =3= =4= =5= =6= =7=, CDC Warns of U.S. Coronavirus Outbreak, New Coronavirus 'NotSpreading' in the US, CDC Says, Number of Coronavirus Cases from Unknown Source Growing in U.S. =2= =3=. Unknown at the time if hot weather will slow or stop spread*. Even if warm weather in April curtails spread that is still 30 or more days for it to have logarithmic growth and disruption. If the pattern of previous outbreaks holds there will be a future wave (probably bigger) and still lack of preparation for a medical surge =2= =3= =4=, if nothing changes [Cartoon]. Throwing money =2= =3= at a single problem that is part of a wicked system, after the problem is accelerating, will not be sufficient to reverse the impact of erosion of capabilities, capacity to handle medical surge, systemic weaknesses, and the need for time to rebuild. Magical thinking, sharpies, saving money and firing people will not help solve the biocrisis [Cartoon], but skill at manipulation and having an uncritical support base could mitigate consequences for bad decisions. Coronavirus Triggers Swift Bipartisan Backlash Against Trump. Trump’s No Stranger to Misinformation. But with the Coronavirus, Experts Say That’s Dangerous. Trump Is Facing a Coronavirus Threat. Let’s Look Back at How He Talked about Ebola =2= =3= =4= =5= =6= =7^$= =8= =9= =10= =11= =12= =13= =14= =15= =16= =17= =18= =19= =20= =21= =22= =23= =24= =25= =26= =27= =28= =29= =30=, Listicle, [Photo]. Pence Will Control All Coronavirus Messaging from Health Officials and that should not be any cause for worry =2= =3= =4= =5= =6= =7= =8= [Meme, Tweet, Cartoon]***, and previous patterns of giving jobs to avoid blame =2= =3= =4= =5= will not be repeated. In many ways blame is a priori in anticipation of failure and already having an excuse for why something happened, like conspiracy theory. ‘Whatavirus’ Says Half Naked Mike Pence Brushing Crumbs off Stomach While Taking First Call from Trump in 18 Months ^CV02. Health Secretary Alex Azar Refuses to Guarantee Coronavirus Vaccine Would Be Affordable for All =2=. Ted Cruz Tried to Mock AOC's Scientific Knowledge – it Didn't End Well, Ocasio-Cortez has an award for microbiology from MIT [Cartoon], which likely means she has clinical knowledge about disease propagation, but not necessarily social contagion. How Coronavirus Is Already Being Viewed Through a Partisan Lens, HHS Secretary Azar Criticizes Politicization of Novel Coronavirus: It's Unnecessary. Pence Defends Trump Jr Claim Democrats Want Millions to Die.

            -*. There were days in Wuhan that were above average the last three months**. It is also possible that Coronavirus is more likely to thrive in the warm bodies of humans and their warm rooms, during cold periods. There is no evidence warmer weather will have any impact. Previous Coronavirus’ (MERS, SARS, Rhinovirus =2=) outbreaks are not correlated with cold temperature, and probably acerbated with polluted air and humidity. Besides homes the other location of ideal conditions are hospital waiting rooms.

- **There was no direct data on this. Compared averages and actual temperature from several (and conflicting) sources, too many links to list. <CONT 200405>1.

            -***. It is possible that the curator of PDWN bias, prejudices, sarcasm, cultural references about the Trump administration are too subtle. PDWN’s previous statement that the Trump Administration will not suffer consequences due to role in accelerating biocalamities may prove to be incorrect, though economic downturn =2= due to Covid19 is still more likely. This is not necessarily a good thing as the Trump support base can collapse very quickly, slowing effective response even more, and what may fill the void may be worse. POST COLLECTIO: Turns out the support base did not collapse but became even more entrenched in persisting in magical thinking and unhealthy behaviors, which exacerbated the pandemic in the US.

            -E.1. Gubergenic. US May Pay Price of Trump's Ignorance on Global Health. Senate Health Committee Announces Hearing on U.S. Coronavirus Response. Democratic Senators Urge Trump Administration to Request Emergency Funding for Coronavirus Response =2=, Trump Administration to Cut Funds from Health Programs to Pay for Coronavirus Response =2^$= =3=, but US will pay for a wall =2= =3= [Meme] that will not provide biosecurity and adds to biostress 201115-CV18. ; AP Fact Check: Democrats Distort Coronavirus Readiness =2=, Tucker Carlson: America Is Not Ready for a Coronavirus Outbreak or Any Major Epidemic =2= =3= -9↓ [Meme] <CONT 200315>4A, Trump Fends off Criticism of Hoax Remark after First US Coronavirus Death, [Cartoon =2= =3= =4= =5= =6=], apparently Pence will not be a clearing point for Trump Covid19 comments =2=. Senators Call on Trump Administration to Immediately Fill Global Health Security Position. The Coronavirus Outbreak Could Bring Out the Worst in Trump^$. White House Advisers Fear Trump’s Passive Approach to China Is Making the Coronavirus Worse, Trump's Nationalistic Response to the Coronavirus^$, Officials Debate What to Tell Trump about Coronavirus Outbreak. Trump: Heat Will Kill Coronavirus, CDC Contradicts Trump’s Prediction That Coronavirus Will ‘Miraculously’ Go Away by April, MORE: ☺Trump Delays Easter to July 15 to Keep Promise on Coronavirus☺. Trump Says He Trusts Xi’s Word on Coronavirus: It’s All Under Control. Some Experts Worry as a Germ Phobic Trump Confronts a Growing Epidemic^$. Trump's Soft Touch with China's Xi Worries Advisers Who Say More Is Needed to Combat Coronavirus Outbreak^$. Trump, Dr. Fauci Both Deny Health Official 'Muzzled' on Coronavirus. PDWN has noted previously CDC becoming less trustworthy as a source of information, and its crisis communication capabilities eroded, <200308>2. | Tyranny Is Fueling the Coronavirus Pandemic In 2018, the Trump administration fired the government's entire pandemic response chain of command, including the White House management infrastructure. This dismantling did not start with Trump but began soon after the 2009 H1N1 Pandemic >4↑. Democracies Are Better at Fighting Outbreaks.

            -E.2. 200315-2.2‡. One of the principles of disaster management is to have a single media relations spokesperson [Slides]. Another is never lie, never give an answer if one does not know and say you will find out. A designated spokesperson allows a relation and trust to develop between the media and the spokesperson; free incident commanders (czars) and others to do their jobs – and keep leaders from embarrassing themselves with displays of ignorance* but risks losing the limelight; and keeps the narrative on track and unified, but controlling the narrative does not control the disaster). Currently the Pence talking points are: 1) Travel bans, 2) Cases are mild and risk is low, 3) Economy is strong and will bounce back, 4) Ebola (oops, Coronavirus), is being weaponized for political purposes, and 5) Expect deflection to something else soon, probably one of the previous fear monger memes. *The leader should only speak directly to press occasional, and after being fully prepared to emphasize a message and maintain the fiction that they are providing leadership.

            -F. POST COLLECTIO: Something else that was learned from White House CV press conferences is never speculate as one would during a staff meeting, and talk off the cuff.

            -G‡. Pence to Sign off on All Coronavirus Messaging; White House Says Move Isn't Intended to Muzzle Health Officials [Cartoon]. Statement on the Appointment of Ambassador Deborah L. Birx as White House Coronavirus Response Coordinator [Tweet] =2= <CONT 200308>2. Former Trump Communications Adviser: 2020 Could Be about Who Keeps Americans Safe from Coronavirus. Coronavirus Is Trump's First National Disaster Test While he has communications skills, they don't fit well with this type of event. Watch as the event plays out and you will see events on the ground not fitting with how he portrays ongoing events and the situation as people know it – where they are. It is why snowstorms are deadly to elected officials' reputations. They can't bluff their way out of the event by saying "all is well" when people look outside their windows and see unplowed streets and cars not able to move. With Coronavirus Covid-19, You Need Careful and Consistent Language. It’s Dangerous for Governments to Claim the Coronavirus Outbreak Is under Control. Allaying Panic Is Not a Key Goal of Covid-19 Risk Communication Right Now. How Should Anxious Doctors Talk to Anxious Patients about Covid-19; The Risk of Overreacting. Comparing Covid-19 to Seasonal Flu; Transitioning from Containment to Mitigation; the Powers of Local Public Health Officials. Determination, Not Cheerleading: A Reaction to President Trump’s February 26 Covid-19 News Conference. Quick Risk Communication Notes on CDC’s February 29 Covid-19 Presser: Absence of Evidence Portrayed as Evidence of Absence. Risk Communication about Containment – 2019 Novel Coronavirus. Trump Holds Diplomatic Ceremony to Formally Welcome Coronavirus to United States.

            -H. Quote: The left & media (but I repeat myself) hate @realDonaldTrump more than Coronavirus. He could personally suck the virus out of every one of the 60,000 people in the world, suck it out of their lungs, swim to the bottom of the ocean and spit it out, and he would be ccused of pollution for messing up the ocean Tweet. – Gov. Mike Huckabee

-200112-2¶>7. Closed Borders and Bans: Austria Says it Will Stop Suspected Coronavirus Cases at its Borders, a repeat of Austrian Troops to Stop Migrants Crossing Border with Italy 2017, Austria Plans to Put Immigration and Borders at Heart of EU Presidency 2018, and undoubtedly other countries trying to stop immigrants will use Covid19 as the justification, China Warns Against Travel to U.S., Citing Unfair Treatment in Virus Control, China Not Considering Travel Advisories for Countries with Rising Coronavirus Cases. Germany Not Considering Closing Borders Due to Coronavirus at Moment. Can Social Isolation Fuel Epidemics =2=. Coronavirus Spikes Outside China Show Travel Bans Aren’t Working. Europe: Officials Try to Stem Virus Panic, Keep Borders Open. FedEx Express Adjusts Shipping Services as Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads. Unfortunately social collapse and isolation narratives are circulating Gunnison, Colorado: the Town That Dodged the 1918 Spanish Flu Pandemic declaring a quarantine against all the world. It erected barricades, sequestered visitors, arrested violators, closed schools and churches and banned parties and street gatherings, a de facto lockdown that lasted four months.

-200112-2¶>8. Fox News -6A↑: Very different from the fear mongering done by this media source during Ebola. Dr. Peter Hotez: As Coronavirus Spreads, the US Is Not Fully Prepared, but Here Is How We Can Be. | Trump’s Coronavirus Conflict: Science Vs. Politics, displaying credibility =2= =3= vs. calming voters and investors, =2= =3= =4= =5= =6= =7=, Public Attitude Toward Science, Anti Intellectualism and Rejecting Science. The mixed messages of Foux News (fox + faux [Meme]) is an example of blurring between categories that happens during parademic, and rats escaping sinking ships [Meme, Cartoon =2=], Desperate Democrats Hope Coronavirus Will Undermine Trump =2=. That is one of the challenges of any type of disaster. Facades tend to collapse with the onslaught of a disaster^$. Trump Says He Can Bring in Coronavirus Experts Quickly. The Experts Say it Is Not That Simple =2= =3=, Under Trump’s Presidency, Funding for Fighting Outbreaks Was Slashed. It’s Not Easy to Build up Again Listicle. How Do State, Local Health Departments Already Stretched to Capacity Accommodate a Pandemic Listicle.

-200112-2¶>9. Compare and impact on Other Issues, Politicalizing: [Cartoon Guns 200801-CV31, =2= Flu =3= =4= Politics =5= Crime]. Rush Limbaugh: Mainstream Media Want Coronavirus to Be Deadly – Just like They Hope for Hurricanes … So They Can Say Climate Change; Chelsea Clinton Rips Limbaugh for Peddling Fake News on Coronavirus 200323-4. Climate Change Will Make Animal Borne Diseases More Challenging to Predict. What Coronavirus Teaches Us About Climate Change, the dilemma of adaptation, not an argument for complacency but for vigilance. Quarantines are imperfect tools in the fight against diseases like this, and yet of course we would prefer to see the problem contained, to the extent it can be, rather than watch it grow as quickly and expansively as possible, trusting we could clean up the mess on the other side. The health infrastructure we have today (in certain parts of the world at least) is one reason that the death rate is as low as 2 percent. Partial hope is not a reason to forego action today. Best course of all would have been if we could have avoided the virus in the first place.

-200112-2¶>10. Though understandable that there is (political and panic) pressure to make decisions and find solutions, parademic is now moving too fast (acceleration). Decisions are made based on assumptions and past events that may or may not be applicable to the current circumstances. There are some good prior planning that are intended to be adaptable to novel diseases such as Covid19, but apparently decision makers are not aware of these, or prefer to be seen as a savior and not share credit. Diagnostic tests =2= =3= =4= and treatments are rushed and may not be fully tested for efficacy and safety before distribution. Statements =2= =3=, and interpretation of statements, are being made that are not warranted with current evidence and the lack of answers to key questions. These missteps will make people less trusting of official decisions and actions in the future, exacerbating the wicked situation even more, and there will be unintended consequences that will perpetuate the harm. In combination with more mass shootings =2=*^A it is likely gun sales will rise again 200801-CV31, MORE: Americans Bought Guns in Record Numbers in 2020 During a Year of Unrest – and the Surge Is Continuing. It’s best to prepare for a crisis before it happens, when things are slow and one has time to consider consequences. U.S. Mulls Using Sweeping Powers to Ramp up Production of Coronavirus Protective Gear =2=, which will cost more than having stockpiles that are rotated to where needed and replenished to keep them fresh and state of the art, but then think of all the money saved to boost the economy by not being prepared. The Coronavirus and How Political Spin Has Worsened Epidemics. U.S. Officials Link Covid-19 Disinformation Campaign to Russian Proxy Accounts 201022-CV23, Source. Some Election Officials Scrambling to Address Coronavirus Concerns Ahead of Super Tuesday <CONT 200308 -200112-2¶>2C, and if someone anticipates losing an election it would be convenient to declare and emergency and cancel voting, Across the World, Voters Are Losing Faith in Government.

            -*A. This data can be manipulated by a range of definition, numbers, locations, use of comparative data. One can end up with fakt (fake + fact) even if all information is valid. Does Video Show Guns, Violence in Aftermath of Coronavirus Outbreak in China. Police Are Issuing Fake Warnings of Meth Tainted with Coronavirus. Public Health Experts Say Please Stop Now =2= =3=, <Cont 200315-200112-2¶>5. Hackers Are Sending Malicious Software in Emails Disguised as Information about the Coronavirus in Order to Gain Access to People's Computers.

-200112-2¶>11. One reason why parademic is manifesting so quickly for Covid19 is that there were rehearsals for behaviors, Bird Flu. SARS. China Coronavirus. Is History Repeating Itself, though many aspects of the rehearsals =2= =3= =4= have not resulted in widespread behaviors that physically made infrastructures in depth and effective planning. Most of Covid19 conspiracy theory have been recycles of previous themes. Conundrums and dilemmas of public health decisions have been mulled over before, though not necessarily reaching available solutions. Reasons to not trust government and medicine have been reinforced, CDC Hasn't Revealed Information to Doctors That Would Help Coronavirus Patients. Capacity to respond was undermined rather than improved. There is practice to exploit the political and economic opportunities of a global bioevent. Some expertise has been developed, but has not maintained and readily accessible. The Ebola Outbreak: A Dress Rehearsal for the next Big One 2014, What Coronavirus Teaches Us for Preventing the next Big Bio Threat, cynically it can be argued that what was learned were negative parademic behaviors that overall have accelerated Covid19. Not Our First Rodeo with New Germs: To Prep for Coronavirus, Hospitals Use Lessons Learned in past Epidemics, and yet nosocomial is one of the highest threats in an accelerating outbreak, and one can always find lessons learned but rarely lessons implemented, or that the wrong lesson was learned. Brighton A&E Staff Practise with Crisis Board Game, The Floor [Photo], unknown if this game can be adapted to other emergency room floor plans, full hospitals, and communities in an epidemic. MORE: SciFi and Fantasy Build Mental Resiliency in Young Readers

            -A. Trump Is Ignoring the Lessons of 1918 Flu Pandemic That Killed Millions, Historian Says. PDWN disagrees that individual number 1 is ignoring the past, they are willfully ignorant about the past, following what has been previously successful behavior in a form of cachexia, but not the index case.

            -B. Lessons Learned from Addressing Myths about Zika and Yellow Fever Outbreaks in Brazil. Information intended to debunk myths may have spillover effects. When disease epidemics and outbreaks occur, conspiracy theories often emerge that compete with the information provided by public health officials. A new study finds that information used to counter myths about Zika in Brazil not only failed to reduce misperceptions but also reduced the accuracy of people's other beliefs about the disease. MORE: Uncertainty in Times of Medical Emergency: Knowledge Gaps and Structural Ignorance During the Brazilian Zika Crisis.