Updated 211016
1. Analogue, Weaknesses, Mitigation of Skews, Ebola, Connections, Empiricism, Planning, 2. Story Wall, Links, Connectors, Ineffable, <Cont >1. Covid19, Agenda 21, Cognitive Error, Facebook, Handshakes, Cruise, >2. Acceleration, Social Collapse, US, Global, Italy, Brexit, CDC, Mass Casualty, China, Pence, Africa, India, Diagnostic Testing, Elections >3. Military Support, National Security, Polemic, North Korea, Syria, Civil Sector Support, >4. Humor, >5. Religion, >6. Hoarding and Shortages, Blood, Masks, >7. Schools, Closures, >8. ASF. He10 Futured.
-1. In addition to natural experiments 200209-1 there is analogue. Analogue is used when the exact circumstances cannot be duplicated in nature and/or a lab for legal, moral and/or practical reasons. Analogues include history, exercise scenarios, fiction, or observation of similar social contexts for contrast and comparison. This has the obvious weakness that can render conclusions made from an analogue to a situation invalid. It is a near certainty that there unknown factors about the analogue and the target situation that are not considered, skewing any conclusions drawn and unintended consequences. It is easy to not recognize the weaknesses and draw false conclusions from a model, reason by analogy, use of anecdotes, peer review, and becoming invested in a paradigm even when evidence indicates it is not operational. [Cartoon =2=] Comparing Apples and Oranges. China’s Aggressive Measures Have Slowed the Coronavirus. They May Not Work in Other Countries$, for instance its draconian and authoritarian methods are Why We Should Be Wary of an Aggressive Government Response to Coronavirus$. What Can the Black Death Tell Us about the Global Economic Consequences of a Pandemic.
-A. MORE: Why We Should Stop Comparing the Covid-19 Coronavirus Outbreak to the 1918 Spanish Flu, Coronavirus Could Be like 1918 Flu Pandemic, Warns ex CDC Expert
-B. These weaknesses can be partly corrected with critical thinking, constant feedback and observation, mid course corrections, testing, learning, willingness to admit error, team work, high standards of verification but rarely definitive proof, and going slowing with implementation to include allowing time for problems to manifest. Even if the desired results are achieved, there remains the possibility that the results were not due to what were thought to be the cause.
-C. The most important means to mitigate, but not completely eliminate, skews is to be aware of differences between an analogue to the current event. PDWN has been using Ebolaphobia to Covid19 and the differences include: Clinically the two zoonotic diseases are not the same, having different transmissions, reproduction rates, symptoms. The reservoirs of both may be bats, but the intervening species between humans and bats are different, as well as the physical environment. Ebolaphobia is an analogue to Covid19 panic, but the fear mongers who stirred blame Ebolaphobia are now the ones who are now deflecting blame [Cartoon]. Ebola is an endemic disease (Covid19 is a novel one that may become endemic) from an impoverished area with limited transportation, medical hospitals and labs, medical surveillance, and in conflict areas. Covid19 human spread originated in a developed country with air and ground transportation networks that link to the rest of the world, massive pollution =2= =3= =4= problems and high population densities. There is the question that Ebola is a horrific disease =2=, that historically have been dreaded and cause panic as opposed to mundane ones like flu and measles 201219-CV21, which have higher morbidity and mortality but do not invoke the same level of irrational fear [Cartoon], or paradoxical effects such as TB that became an ideal for beauty. A still unanswered question is why is Covid19 causing panic, will it eventually be dismissed as unimportant and a hoax, as happened with 2009H1N1. 190623-Polemic-5.1B, 190526-7, 190421-5.1. An additional difference between 2009H1N1 and SAR-2-CoV 2019, was there was dread about and preparation for avian flu H5N1. That did not happen but there was the swine flu H1N1, The Next Pandemic: Bird Flu, or Fear 2006. Why Don’t We Panic about Climate Change like We Do Coronavirus 200322-4A‡, A Climate Change Pandemic$ [Cartoon =3= =4= =5=], Due to Climate Change, the next American Dust Bowl Could Be Coming, More Accurate Climate Change Model Reveals Bleaker Outlook on Electricity, Water Use.
-D. To evaluate the ways an analogue applies. and does not apply, requires empirical evaluation. This runs into a problem as most people believe that empirical observation is science. This is not the case. Science is the testing of an empirical observation that was formed into a hypothesis. The risk is that it is difficult to empirically evaluate analogues and test results, as that means testing deep rooted assumptions, beliefs, paradigms. If the conclusions are too antagonistic to a worldview and identity, then it is likely to be dismissed and resisted.
-E. If you don’t have a plan there are appropriate analogues, Looking for a Pandemic Flu Plan and Exercise. Look no More. The UK Action Plan Against Covid-19, which produces an influenza like illness, so expect that pandemic planning based on a novel flu may need some adjustments along the way. Preparing Your Pandemic Response Plans: A Comprehensive Checklist for business, is a good starting list but hardly comprehensive. It recommends to update now. Updating should be constant. the process is planning >3B↓ not “make a plan”. A Quarter of Companies Are Developing Their First Business Continuity Plan in Response to Covid-19. this making a plan is not a response, it is a too late reaction. For paperwork to be a plan it needs to be widely known before hand, practiced, and adjusted for the specific event. A good plan would include a list of anticipated gaps in capabilities that are in the process of correction, planning assumptions that could negate a plan, list questions that need to be answered, (probably more than once because biocalamities are dynamic) to tailor the plan. Questions include: how spread, lethality, immune vulnerable demographics that can further spread the disease (will that directly or indirectly infect the labor pool), critical supplies and services and which are or will be disrupted, duration until controllable and then contained, what functions can be suspended, communications needs, public relations needs, what business needs will conflict with government and community needs. If these questions are answered before the event they are likely incorrect. Comprehensively Developed Topic Collections.
-2. Analysis of parademic information is a wicked problem, complicated by the fact that few narratives are represented by images that can be posted on a wall to get the full picture. Complex Story. Use a Crime Wall. When we’re drafting or editing our story, we usually have to keep track of many, many threads. What’s an overwhelmed writer to do?. Use notebooks or systems like OneNote (or blogs like PDWN). Complex stories need a bit more. Do you have trouble keeping your novel’s information straight in your head despite the elaborate organizational system you have on your computer. Let’s study the true crime detective’s most essential tool: the Crime Wall [Photo, though Graffiti is a closer analogue for a PDWN crime wall]. A Crime Wall is an extensive space covered with facts, notes, maps, interrogations, and photos of people, places, and evidence – all placed together on a wall. Much like a Mind Map [Chart], a Crime Wall strings together and organizes evidence, linking together all possible connections (also known as a Crazy Wall, Conspiracy Wall, and Murder Board).
-A. Board #1: Character Study, key figures, organizations and positions. #2: Character Mind Map (beliefs, experience, biases, agendas, knowledge, culture, interpretations filters, critical and magical thinking, influences, training). #3: Clue Board, how everything is connected -C↓. #4: Beat Sheet/ Plot Outline, the narratives and their interactions. Other Possible Boards: Research, Inspiration, Settings, Longue Duree, Agent, Contaminations, Environment, Information Gaps, Medical and Public Health Infrastructure$, Decision Making Process, Science, Nutrition, Fashion, Water supply, Transportation, Othering, Humor, Arts, Safety =2= of infected and responders, Communication Audio (see PDWN Tags Keywords, Stub Titles), CYA, Etc. Creative Collaborations: The Making of Lissa (Still Time): A Graphic Medical Ethnography of Friendship, Loss, and Revolution. Introductory Guide to Crime Analysis and Mapping. Fundamental Assumptions in Narrative Analysis: Mapping the Field, feeling disoriented, especially as a novice, is to be expected. At first we found ourselves struggling with very basic questions. Pregnant Women Are Concerned about Hospital Births in Light of Coronavirus Outbreaks and Little Information about How it Might Affect Them. 200802-CV16.
-B. A Covid19 parademic [Word Cloud], would be a cyclorama of a fluid montage that includes: art, bats, politics, crisis communications, social media, government agencies, humors, distrust, likely information manipulations, [Graphics], economic affects and effects, media skews, shortages, panics, The Big Danger of Coronavirus Is That We Panic Ourselves into a Greater Crisis, fear mongering, crime =2=, trash collection..... 200921-CV24.
-C. Where a parademic story wall (more precisely a mental template) gets complicated is not just that what the individual items change in meaning over time, but the links between ideofacts and artefacts on the wall: How strong or weak the connections are under changing contexts; nature of the connects range from electronic, indirect, social, direct, temporary, permanent (exist before and potentially after parademic, assuming post event survival), durable, fragile (which does not imply weak but could be strong but vulnerable), Boolean Connectors =2= =3=, and Apophenia =2= [Cartoon] that are not real, but people behave as if these are real. | This level of complexity with complications make parademic as a whole ineffable [Art]. It is however possible to create visualizations by simplification and focus on a single topic with use of analogues -1↑ [Chart] such as: effects on transportation and/or supply distribution, affects on media and/or stock market, and recognizing that parademic and biocalamities are wholistic =2= events*, when well thought out conclusions can be wrong because of an unknown factor that could very well be on another topic specific crime wall. *POST COLLECTIO: Wholism is used instead of holism due to the association with the scams of holistic medicine, which did appear during CV 190929-1.
-D. This alone negates the notion that the capabilities and expertise to deal with a pandemic and parademic can be quickly assembled completely ludicrous, not in funny way*A. One needs to have developed relationships, a language, shared concepts, training, supporting organization, infrastructure, communication links, critical thinking in conditions of uncertainty, and a team..., Meet the Major General on China’s Coronavirus Scientific Front Line, prevention and control of an epidemic can never wait until the disease has happened. | An analogy would be making an economy stronger by using metrics that favor removing regulations, getting rid of safety nets, lowering taxes, diverting funds to interests that are not community interests, short term thinking, not giving raises and laying off people, getting rid of excesses, ignoring the historical record indicates the same behaviors in the past resulted in recession.... this works fine until there is a disaster, [Photo the traffic light is unwanted regulation and will not actually stop a car, being hit by another car really stops traffic and injures people]. | Though there are more people with the skill sets related to parademic than in 2009, and more information that is directly applicable rather than analogous, these are not a network in collaboration. | PDWN is a single curator/ collector, which should be considered with using its data, analysis and synthesis.
-*A. POST COLLECTIO: This was probably one of the biggest failings of the Trump Administration during CV, sabotaging coordination of complex response system, and belief that it would solve itself$ without government.
<CONT 200308>
-200112-2¶>1. <CONT 200301>. Covid19 and its parademic are currently in acceleration (acceleration ≠ pandemic). The momentum of this is beyond current capabilities to stop before it broke the liminal threshold of awareness, much less an understanding that this is a high risk bioevent. The strict control and containment measures that could have prevented spread would likely have not been proposed early on, and if implements would have been resisted for legal, political and economic reasons. Americans Divided on Party Lines over Risk from Coronavirus. Dozens of Health Screeners at LAX Ordered to Self Quarantine, 210103-3C. US Prisons, Jails on Alert for Spread of Coronavirus. Hong Kong Has Contained Coronavirus So Far – but at a Significant Cost =2=, Australia to Use Biosecurity Law to Restrict Movements of Coronavirus Patients. There is still a lack of some key information to forecast about the parademic, but it is probably not going to great. PDWN is not qualified to make forecasts about the disease propagation itself, but likely there will be downturns of economics [Cartoon] and population growth*A, until effective measures become available. | There will be blaming and deflection that will distract from effective measures [Cartoon, Tweet]. There will be misdirection of efforts due to: lack of preparation (specifically being able to imagine the extent of an accelerated bio event)’ key and valid information not available, along with means to collect data and surveillance of progress; effective leadership; panic. On the plus side there is a possibility of achieving climate change goals =2= =3= faster than anticipated, but not reversing the harm and damage, Agenda 21: Global Conspiracy or Climate Savior* 2014. Will post this section everyday this week, but will not archive the daily post. The Coronavirus Is Much Worse Than You Think. Different Takes: New Investments in Health Care Infrastructure Could Make Coronavirus Much Less Scary; A Pandemic Threatens Our New Way of Living Listicle.
-*A. The depopulation, Agenda 21, conspiracy theory will likely be recycled, giving justification to hinder Covid19 containment and control. Bill Gates Outlines 2018 Plan to Depopulate the Planet =2= =3= =4=, MORE: Agenda 21, a Wild Conspiracy Theory Reignited by Coronavirus, FALSE: 3 claims by Dr. Vernon Coleman:... =2=. It will probably backfire to let those who hinder Medical Control Measures (MCM) to not participate in MCM. They will expose others who share the belief to the disease, significantly depopulating the belief system; there wil lbe legal actions to prevent MCM*; and, later complaints that a conspiracy allowed them to die. Where the Coronavirus Bioweapon Conspiracy Theories Really Come From, whenever a disease emerges, claims that it has spread too quickly to be natural soon follow. Viral New York Post Article Perpetuates the Unfounded Claim That the Covid-19 Virus Is Manmade. MORE: Chinese Diplomat Promotes Conspiracy Theory That US Military Brought Coronavirus to Wuhan. Farrakhan Calls the Vaccine the White Man’s ‘Death Plan’. * Search for anti mask, anti mandates, anti science, anti lockdown, and related legislation.
-B. Cascading Social Collapse is very unlikely from a single bioevent, and there is no historical or archaeological evidence to indicate that has ever happened, though biocalamities definitely have been a contributing cause for changing social systems and demographics [Chart]. However, when combined with climate change, polarization, unequal access to funds and health care, high population densities, fragile economies, syndemics, armed conflict, polarization and extremism, exploitation for financial and political gain, vulnerable supply systems, mistrust .... collectively those might be sufficient confluence of factors to topple society. <CONT 200322>1.
-C‡. Thin Public Health Budgets, Lack of Mandatory Sick Days, and Uneven Access Make U.S. Vulnerable During Pandemics Listicle. Why America Is So Vulnerable to Coronavirus. Ancient Mud Reveals an Explanation for Sudden Collapse of the Mayan Empire, 190616-Polemic-1D. The Coronavirus and Our Interconnected Economy and Biosphere. Re Thinking Tipping Points in Ecosystems and Beyond 201011-CV16A. Epidemics Reveal the Truth About the Societies They Hit. | White Supremacists Embrace "Accelerationism". Accelerationism is a term white supremacists have assigned to their desire to hasten the collapse of society as we know it. The term is widely used by those on the fringes of the movement, who employ it openly and enthusiastically on mainstream platforms, as well as in the shadows of private, encrypted chat rooms have assigned to their desire to hasten the collapse of society as we know it. The term is widely used by those on the fringes of the movement, who employ it openly and enthusiastically on mainstream platforms, as well as in the shadows of private, encrypted chat rooms >3B↓. 201011-CV23A.
-D. It is constantly observed with parademics that perception and interpretation are frequently in error. Inside Trump Administration, Debate Raged over What to Tell Public. As Virus Outbreaks Multiply, UN Declines to Declare Pandemic using a scare headline fake outrage. There are differences between the general populations lay meaning of pandemic, and the technical medical meaning of pandemic; Is Covid-19 a Pandemic Video, epidemic is containable, pandemic can only be mitigated. AP Fact Check: Trump's Sunny Side up Take on Coronavirus. White House Falsely Claims the Coronavirus Has Been 'Contained' in the US. Trump Calls Inslee a 'Snake' amid Coronavirus Outbreak in Washington State. No, Trump Didn’t Shut down 37 of 47Global Anti Pandemic Programs$. Guidance Lacking from Trump Administration for Mass Transit to Combat Outbreak, NY Subway Trains to Be Sanitized Every 72 Hours to Prevent Coronavirus Spreading. Can Graphic Design Save Your Life. A Brief History of the Epidemic PSA. Don’t Touch Your Face, Warn Public Officials Seconds Before Touching Their Faces [Meme] =2= =3=. The Conspiracy Theories about the Origins of the Coronavirus, Debunked. Trump Says He Still Has to Shake Hands, Despite Coronavirus Concerns =2= =3= =4= =5= =6=. Trump Gets a Fact Check on Coronavirus Vaccines – from His Own Officials =2= =3= =4=, Listicle, <CONT 200322>4. White House Sidelines Azar from Coronavirus Response =2= MORE: Coronavirus: Who Will Trump Fire First, has confidence in Azar. Eventual Coronavirus Vaccine Can't Only Be Available for the Rich; Why Has U.S. Had a Failed Response to Outbreak Listicle. Coronavirus Death Rate Is 3.4%, World Health Organization Says, Trump Says Hunch Tells Him That's Wrong =2= =3= =4= [Cartoon]. Social Studies Teachers Link Their Political Views to Assessment of News Sources. | Britain Sets up Team to Tackle Coronavirus Disinformation. Putin Says Russia Targeted from Abroad by Fake News on Coronavirus =2=. Coronavirus Is Fueling Nation-State Disinformation Campaigns$, U.S. Accuses Russia of Spreading Fear, Panic on Coronavirus =3=. | Science Says: How Risky Is That Virus. Your Mind May Mislead. President Offers Breezy Promises and Misinformation at Sharp Odds with Health Officials in Administration Listicle. The Catch to Putting Warning Labels on Fake News. Sea Levels Have Risen Throughout the 20th Century, Contrary to Claim in Online Articles. Lights Are On but No One’s Working: How Local Governments Are Faking Coronavirus Recovery. Facebook Doubles down on Removing Coronavirus Conspiracy Theories, Facebook Posts Says the CDC Recommends Men Shave Their Beards to Protect Against Coronavirus, 200322-4. Are Pets Killed Because of the Epidemic in China 201228-CV26. Facebook Brings in Right Wing Website the Daily Caller to Fact Check Articles. Fact Checking Trump’s Coronavirus Press Conference. Homeopathic Supplements Are Not Proven to Treat the Flu. Does the Video Show People with the Coronavirus. The Coronavirus Is the Common Cold, Folks. Rush Limbaugh Thinks Coronavirus Is an Anti Trump Conspiracy.
-E. Quote: “Why is a raven like a writing desk. Have you guessed the riddle yet”, the Hatter said, turning to Alice again. “No, I give it up,” Alice replied: “What’s the answer”, “I haven’t the slightest idea”, said the Hatter. – Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland.
-F. Cruise Ships Taken off Course as Anti Virus Controls Widen, Coronavirus Leaves Passenger Filled Ships Without Ports. Trump Says He Would Rather Have Cruise Ship Passengers Stay on Ship, after Japan learned that quarantine of healthy and sick people in a densely confining space is was not a good idea 201223-CV18, <CONT 200223-200112-2¶>1D; I'm Worried He Won't Survive. Daughter of 90 Year Old Cruiser Wants Him off Ship, Critically Ill Passenger Removed from Coronavirus Stricken Grand Princess; Not Covid-19 Related. | Quarantines Won’t Save Us from Coronavirus. 200819-CV08.
-200112-2¶>2. Acceleration of negative parademic and Covid19: White House Overrules CDC Coronavirus Advice for Elderly to Avoid Flights. New Coronavirus Phase Puts Spotlight on White House Pick <CONT 200301>6E.E2‡. This Regulation Could Protect Health Care Workers from the Coronavirus. It Hangs in Limbo. US Has Blocked Hundreds at Land Borders with Canada and Mexico over Coronavirus Concerns, HHS Chief: It Would Take a Real Change in the Risk from Virus to Close Southern Border, Trump Backs off Suggestion to Close Southern Border over Coronavirus, Trump: We're Not Looking at Restricting Domestic Travel over Coronavirus. Lessons on U.S. Limitations in Controlling Spread of Coronavirus Listicle. | The Eerie Emptiness of Cities Responding to Coronavirus, in Photos, when making presentations about pandemics I would show photos of a disaster, audience usually could not identify a picture as a disaster until I pointed out there are no people. The Strange Terror of Watching the Coronavirus Take Rome =2=. Seattle Feels like Ghost Town, Business Owners Say as They Face Life in Coronavirus Hot Spot, Before Coronavirus, Seattle Was under Siege by the Deadliest Flu in History. Here's What Life Was Like, but is 1918 flu and Seattle actually the same. As Coronavirus Hits Seattle, Drivers Find Silver Lining in Reduced Traffic. Seattle Officials Prepare Shelters for Area Homeless 200908-CV32.1. | Backlash Erupts After Trump WH Bans Audio, Video Recording of Latest Coronavirus Briefing =2=, probably tired that they are constantly confronted about contradictory statements, and claims that are not supported by fact. Trump Donated $100,000 of His Salary to Fight Coronavirus. He’s Made Much More than That off the Presidency: Last month proposed a 10 percent cut to HHS’s budget that amounts to billions of dollars; He still owns and profits from the Trump Organization. Trump’s hotel near the White House brought in nearly $41 million in revenue in 2018. Records show nearly $500,000 from the Secret Service for being on his properties. California Declares Emergency after Virus Death. After Fumbled Messaging, Trump Gets a Coronavirus Czar by Another Name, A Disconnect Between Trump and Health Officials on Virus =2=. Pence Walks Fine Line on Coronavirus Response. Pence Warns of More Virus Cases in US, but Stresses Risk 'Remains Low' [Cartoon]. White House Takes Aggressive Public Posture amid New Coronavirus Spread, 6 People Have Died from Novel Coronavirus in the US as Cases Nationwide Surge. Trump's Coronavirus Strategy Faces New Scrutiny after Second US Death, The Glaring Loophole in U.S. Virus Response: Human Error and errors are more likely when unprepared, [Cartoon =2=, Tweet =2= =3=]. FEMA Prepping for Possible Coronavirus Emergency Declaration I hope this discussion has been happening continuously over the last couple of months, but given the previous patterns of denial of problems and claiming of hoaxes [Cartoon, Me2me =2= =3= =4= =5=]*A if there was preparation it was below the national level and unofficial. Coronavirus Rumors and Chaos in Alabama Point to Big Problems as U.S. Seeks to Contain Virus. The Incompetence Has Really Exceeded What Anyone Would Expect with the CDC, U.S. Health Officials Probe Coronavirus Test Problems at CDC, CDC Blocked FDA Official from Premises, HHS Conducting Internal Investigation after Whistleblower Complaint, <CONT 200301>6.E1.
-*A. Quote: Good publicity is preferable to bad, but from a bottom line perspective, bad publicity is sometimes better than no publicity at all. Controversy, in short, sells. – The Art of the Deal =2= =3= =4=. White House Questionnaire for Political Appointees. Trump’s Coronavirus Response Puts His Authoritarian Instincts on Full View.
-B. [Cartoon]. The Gendered Impacts of the Outbreak 200419-CV14 (Gender). Viral Outbreaks, Once Rare, Become Part of the Global Landscape. Australia Coronavirus: Containment Is Now Unlikely, Says NSW Health Minister, Doctors Fear Dual Infection as Both Covid-19 and Flu Season to Hit WA at Same Time; Bulgaria Declares Nationwide Flu Epidemic. These Ebola Fighters Helped Halt an Epidemic. Now, They're Preparing to Battle Coronavirus. Coronavirus Could Infect 60% of Global Population If Unchecked. | India’s Beleaguered Health System Braces for Virus Surge. Fifteen Italians Test Positive for Coronavirus in India. India May Have an Innate, Natural Shield Against Coronavirus, After All, with a surprisingly low number of cases considering its vulnerabilities, but this may be due to its poor public health system, lack of testing, and/or censorship 201219-CV03; Kashmiri Evacuees from Wuhan Face a Different Lockdown after Fleeing the Coronavirus, <CONT 200223>1C. Global Virus Death Toll Tops 3,000 as EU Raises Alert. Jeers of ‘Fake, It’s All Fake’ Greet Beijing VIP in Virus Stricken Wuhan. Coronavirus Spreading Faster Outside China Than Within =2=, which does not fit with the strong possibility that people can be reinfected. Even so it is worth examining China’s success, keeping in mind that its methods and circumstances are unlikely to be directly applicable to different cultural spaces weeks later. | Italy Quarantines North in Drastic Bid to Slow Virus Spread attempting to lock down 16 million people, Italy Is Headed for Multiple Coronavirus Disasters – and Maybe a Baby Boom 200623-CV16. Next Seven Days Seen as Decisive for Italy as Coronavirus Cases Surge, this is too short of a time to see if containment measures will work. Closing borders with Italy will worsen the situation, but political factions in Italy that wanted to break from the EU will find this is a good thing. | UK and EU Negotiators Agree Not to Shake Hands amid Coronavirus Outbreak, Calls to Put Brexit Talks on Hold Because of Coronavirus Are Already Gathering Pace. France Bans Gatherings, Frowns on Kissing, to Fight Virus.
-C. Mass casualty events, especially when they could have been avoided, tend to influence elections and remaining in power, <CONT 200301-200112-2¶>10: Partly False Claim: Every Election Year Has a Disease. [Cartoon]. Coronavirus and Super Tuesday Voting: It's Touchy. No Need to Cancel Referendum Campaign Agreed with First Case of Coronavirus Registered in Armenia. Trump Faces ‘Black Swan’ Threat to the Economy and Reelection =2=, 210101-CV31. Canada Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe: Using Coronavirus Fears as an Excuse for an Early Election Was an Error.
-D. MORE: Biden Rallygoers Offered Hand Sanitizer amid Coronavirus Concerns 201231-CV05.1. Biden and Sanders Cancel Election Night Rallies after Coronavirus Reported in Ohio. Trump Is Using His Coronavirus Economic Stimulus Plan to Boost His Reelection Chances.
-E. Squandered Time: How the Trump Administration Lost Control of the Coronavirus Crisis. In Canada, Doctors Broadened Coronavirus Testing, and Made an Unlikely Save. Pence Leaves out Key Details about Health Coverage of Coronavirus Testing. The Strongest Evidence Yet That America Is Botching Coronavirus Testing. Trump Falsely Blames Obama Admin for Hurting Rollout of Coronavirus Test Kits: Fact Check [MORE: Cartoon]. Widespread Coronavirus Testing Could Still Be Weeks Away =2=, public health experts say claims on testing capacity are misleading. New York Insurers Ordered to Waive Costs Associated with Coronavirus Testing. Here's the Johns Hopkins Study President Trump Referenced in His Coronavirus News Conference but misrepresented the findings. 200315-2.1. 200909-CV18.
-F. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Seeks Absolution in Virus Fight. Iranian MP Dies from Coronavirus, historically when elites are directly impacted by bio calamity the nature of the parademic changes, not necessarily in positive ways. Iran Warns it Could Use Force to Halt Travel amid Virus. The indicators that there is a high incidence of Covid19 among Iranian elite =2= raises questions about how they were exposed. PDWN speculation is that methods to circumvent sanctions facilitated spread, possibly from trading partner North Korea, 200726-CV04. Iran Coronavirus: Bodies Pile up in Morgue as Country Feels Strain of Coronavirus, in addition to not having the capacity for a sustained medical surge, most countries have limited capacity for mass fatality surges. This oft times results in conflicts between funeral practices and needs to contain or prevent an outbreak, 'Contagion' Film Scene Shared as Mass Burial of Coronavirus Victims. 200803-CV03.
-200112-2¶>3, Military, Support to Civil Sector, Polemic: <CONT 200301>5. Pentagon Chief Warned Overseas Commanders Not to Surprise White House on Coronavirus Measures. <CONT 200322>1*.
-A. Iran Calls on Military to Help Fight Coronavirus 200803-CV03. US Military Working to Develop Coronavirus Vaccine. This can result in a situation – that is, threat of or actual warfare – where priority will be given to military personnel as a prophylactic. To protect health infrastructure priority is likely to be given to front line medical personnel, government officials for continuity of government, critical (or large tax and donation sources) business and manufacturing for continuity of business – with the possibility of favoritism and cronyism. U.S. Lawmakers Hit Snag over Vaccine Costs in Bill to Battle Coronavirus. Maine Vaccination Law Survives Referendum Vote, possibly the timing with Covid19 helped, but nice to know that if there is a vaccine that there will be fewer people refusing. Scientists Were Close to a Coronavirus Vaccine Years Ago. Then the Money Dried Up.
-B. Army Beginning Increased Virus Screening for New Recruits. Top US General Says Military Preparing for All Coronavirus Scenarios, Including Potential Pandemic. With all due respect DoD dismantled most of its program for pandemic in 2011, some capacity was stood up again in 2015 for Ebola but dismantled again. The soft skills, relationships, planning >1D↑ and capacity for dealing with pandemic are likely eroded again. Among the 2009H1N1 Pandemic planners we estimated it took about 6 months to develop an operational level of skills and relations, and would lose those within another 6 months. Though there were planning documents, unless these have been updated by competent people, it is probably better to leave these on the shelf with the rest of the dust and start from scratch, even though lives that will be lost that would not have been if the program was maintained. It was concluded among the pandemic planners that even DoD did not have the logistical, personnel, operational, information processing(Intelligence) and Command and Control to be initially effective for a pandemic, 200918-23. US forces will be attrited during pandemic operations with stress, fatigue and loss of personnel. There is also the possibility the US Forces will have to secure medical facilities stocks and manufacture, provide supply and distribution, forced entry to allow medical access, engage with sovereignty militias >1A‡↑ White Nationalists’ Extreme Solution to the Coming Environmental Apocalypse, coordinate with state national guards, all while providing national security and staying within the law. Alex Azar: War Powers on the Table to Increase Medical Supplies. Provocative China Pressures Taiwan with Fighters, Fake News amid Virus Outbreak.
-C. N. Korea Fires Weapons after Threatening Momentous Action. How a Coronavirus Outbreak Could Ravage North Korea. With North Korea Border Shut, China Warns Citizens to Keep Away, or Else. North Korean Swagger May Conceal Brewing Virus Disaster. Ever Secretive, North Korea Says It Has No Coronavirus – Despite Mounting Clues to the Contrary, China Says North Korea Is Suffering Negatively from Virus. North Korea Fires Presumed Short Range Missiles into the Sea, resuming weapons demonstrations after a months long hiatus that may have been forced by the Coronavirus crisis in Asia; North Korea Slams European Nations for 'Illogical Thinking*' over Missile Launches, <CONT 200301>4, *What I Learned from Teaching English in North Korea. North Korea Reportedly Quarantines 380 Foreigners in Bid to Prevent Coronavirus Outbreak. Several N. Koreans Rumored Dead of Coronavirus. Pandemic Disease Is a Threat to National Security. 200726-CV04. MORE: North Korea Leader Kim Jong Un Oversaw Latest Missile Launch.
-D. Syria, Polemic: Trapped Between 2 Armies, Almost 1 Million Syrians Have Nowhere to Go in Idlib =2=, and with the vulnerability of war zone populations to disease outbreaks, distrust, destruction of medical facilities, scarcity of valid information, killing of medical personnel, ruined infrastructure that support public health, and that Covid19 is likely already in Syria what was a humanitarian disaster will probably become a mass fatality event that will spread outside the specific area. | Broken Health - The Medical Crisis That’s Aggravating Iraq’s Unrest. 200923-CV23.
-200112-2¶>4. Humor does not always mean funny: <CONT 200301>. The Coronavirus Collection: Memes and Misinformation. Is It OK to Make Coronavirus Memes and Jokes$. How the World Is Using Humor to Curb Coronavirus's Spread. Cartoonists Take on the Coronavirus With Sympathy and Humor. Hustle, humor, and hostility: How Philly Is Reacting to the Coronavirus. | Videos Coronavirus: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver. Is There Anything Funny About Coronavirus. The Ingraham Angle Coronavirus Cold Open, Coronavirus Cold Open, Weekend Update: Trump Talks Coronavirus. | Satire Here Are Some of the Best Coronavirus Memes We Had Time to Find While Panicking about a New Plague. CDC Warns Public of Mutating Coronavirus Audio. We Have Coronavirus Under Control, Announces CDC Director As Nose Slowly Transforms Into Pangolin Snout. WHO Warns Outbreaks in Victorian England Confirm Coronavirus Capable of Spreading Through Time. Health Officials Ask Americans to Stop Buying Face Masks. Worst Pandemics in Global History, the ones in 66,000,000 BCE and 250,000,000 BCE were also pretty bad. Americans Urged to Stockpile Loved Ones Ahead of Coronavirus Outbreaks. Panicked WHO Officials Not Sure How to Respond after Coronavirus Brings 12 People Back to Life. The Onion. <CONT 200315>6A¶. MORE: [Meme] A recycle of the Oregon trail meme adapted for CV. Covid Memes: Why We’re Using Laughter to Get Us Through a Pandemic.
-200112-2¶>5. Religion, <CONT 200301>O. <Cont 200322>3. Interest here is not so much the belief systems that may hinder or facilitate containment and control but: Mass gatherings =2=, social distancing, succor and coping, funeral rites, moral panics, community rights vs religious rights, and conflict with public health imperative. Keep the Faith, Lose the Germs: Clergy Rethink Customs in the Age of Coronavirus. New York AG Orders Televangelist Jim Bakker to Stop Advertising 'Silver Solution' as Coronavirus Treatment. Oklahoma Megachurch Pastors Quarantined after Possible Coronavirus Exposure. Virus Halts Pilgrimages to Mecca, Friday Prayers in Iran 200803-CV03. Russian Cossacks Told Not to Kiss Icons. Amid Coronavirus Concerns, Churches Are Taking New Precautions$. South Korea Sect Leader Tests Negative for Coronavirus as 600 New Cases Reported, Founder of South Korea Church at Center of Virus Outbreak Regrets Great Calamity, Seoul Mayor Sues South Korea Religious Group for Murder and Injury over Spike in Coronavirus Cases =2=. Moscow Church Holds Prayer Service for China to Overcome Coronavirus. Coronavirus Spurs Singapore and Hong Kong Christians as Test If Faith and Unity. What Christians Should Know about the Wuhan Coronavirus. Prayer in the Time of Coronavirus. New Virus Prompts Mormons to Cancel Key Leadership Event. Says 20 Million Chinese Converted to Islam after It’s Proven That the Coronavirus Doesn’t Affect Muslims. Coronavirus Fears Lead Holy Land Catholic Churches to Give Communion by Hand Only. Churches Closed in South Korea as Virus Infections Increase.
-A. Caution, Cancellations Mark Ash Wednesday in Time of Virus, Pope Observes Usual Ash Wednesday Customs in Time of Virus, Coughing Pope Cancels Participating in Lenten Retreat, Vatican Says Pope Only Has a Cold, Symptoms Not Related to Other Pathologies. Pope Limits Public Blessings to Help Against Virus Spread. Vatican Confirms Pope Francis Tested Positive for Novel Coronavirus. Virus Outbreak Disrupts Joyous Purim Fest but Some Improvise.
-200112-2¶>6. Hoarding and Shortages, <CONT 200301>4B, <CONT 200223>1H: In conditions of uncertainty people tend toward magical behaviors, hoarding supplies of what may become a shortage is and example of the magical behavior. Some are reasonable, such as stocking up food supplies with long shelf life, but other hoarding will have no efficacy. Shortages create opportunities for exploitation, if this becomes widespread with associated violence then there will be vigilantism MORE: Vigilantism, Again in the News, Is an American Tradition, but not necessarily against perpetrators but scapegoats 200829-CV29. Coronavirus Fears and Sudden Price Spikes: Inside a Volatile Sacramento Housing Market. | Preppers Have Endured Years of Mockery. Coronavirus Fears Have Given Them a Booming Self Survival Business, but some Preppers are sovereignty militias =2= that may exploit the situation and/or come into conflict with other Preppers. The risk of violent self isolation is higher now than 5 years ago. <CONT 200322>1 | <CONT 200315>2D U.S. Excludes Chinese Face Masks, Medical Gear from Tariffs as Coronavirus Spreads, but does Does China Have Enough Face Masks to Meet its Needs. People Are Stealing Masks and Other Sterile Supplies from Hospitals and Research Facilities amid a Global Shortage. Facebook Says it Will Ban Ads for Medical Face Masks. With Spreading Virus Comes Fears – and Lots of Stockpiling. Japanese Swimmer Ikee Tries to Turn Tide as Coronavirus Saps Blood Donations =2= 201223-CV18, <Cont 20031-200112-2¶>2. Shortage of Personal Protective Equipment Endangering Health Workers Worldwide. Looking for Hand Sanitizer. Good Luck Finding It, Wet Your Hands Not Your Whistle: South Korean Alcohol Diverted to Sanitizers, 201231-CV05.1. Not a Square to Spare: Australian Shops Ration Toilet Paper amid Coronavirus Panic =2=, Australian Paper Prints Extra Pages to Help with Coronavirus Toilet Paper Shortage, <Cont 130315-200112-2¶>6A. Europe Panicking over India's Pharmaceutical Export Curbs. Masks Keep Selling Out, CDC Keeps Pleading with Public Not to Buy Them, Seriously People, Stop Buying Masks: The Shoulds and Shouldn'ts of Preparing for Coronavirus Outbreak Listicle, [Cartoon =2=], but if they will not protect from Covid19 then why HHS to Procure N95 Respirators to Support Healthcare Workers in Covid-19 Outbreaks (because masks don’t protect from getting, but from spreading) [MORE: Cartoon], Masks Can't Stop the Coronavirus in the US, but Hysteria Has Led to Bulk Buying, Price Gouging and Serious Fear for the Future. <CONT 200223>1H, MORE: Millions of Masks Stockpiled in Canada's Ontario Expired Before Coronavirus Hit. MORE: As Covid-19 Fears Mount, a Face Mask Shortage Imperils Research. WHO Warns of Global Shortage of Medical Equipment to Fight Coronavirus. Iran Finds Millions of Hoarded Gloves as Coronavirus Deaths Hit 66 200803-CV03. Fear, Distrust and Disinfectant in the Air amid Iran's Coronavirus Outbreak 200803-CV03. Lighthizer Says Climate Change Language Would Undermine Trade Deals which supports the narrative that US economy is great [Cartoon]. Climate Crisis on Back Burner as Pandemic Threat Looms, Climate Change or Coronavirus. 'Pick Your Evil', Protesters Say, Is Coronavirus and its Economic Impact a Taste of What’s to Come with Climate Change 200322-4A‡. Americans Are Stockpiling for the Coronavirus. Should They =2=. Republicans Raise U.S. Drug Supply Concerns after Coronavirus Outbreak. Microsoft Says Virus Hurting Supply Chain More than Expected. Coca Cola Says Coronavirus Could Affect Diet Coke Supply. First Report of a Coronavirus Related Drug Shortage Could Herald Things to Come.
-200112-2¶>7. Schools, <CONT 200223-200112-2¶>1M: Schools are often times a source of spread among younger people who are more likely to die from infections disease. Closing schools however means about half of the adult work force is unavailable, and children could fall behind in their education, both which make recovery more difficult. Forfeited Games and Virtual Learning: Coronavirus Shuts Down Schools. Do We Really Want to Close Schools. U.S. Authorities Resist Coronavirus Closures. School Dismissal as a Pandemic Influenza Response: When, Where and for How Long, Social and Economic Impact of School Closure Resulting from Pandemic Influenza A/H1N1. Containing the Epidemic: Should Schools Close for Coronavirus? Some Seattle Area Schools Closed as More States Hit with Covid-19. School Closures Are Part of a Well Established Playbook on Containing Epidemics. But Are They Worth it in this One Listicle. Japan’s School Closures Offer Lessons in Managing Family Stress During Coronavirus Fight 201223-CV18. Hastings, Mount Vernon React to Coronavirus Closing Schools: Better Safe than Sorry, which is another way to say over abundance of caution =2= =3= =4=. First U.S. College to Close Classrooms as Virus Spreads. More Could Follow. Region in Ukraine to Shut Schools after Coronavirus Case. Mitigate the Effects of Home Confinement on Children During the Covid-19 Outbreak, Children Are as Susceptible as Adults, What Do Working Parents Do When Coronavirus Closes Local Schools. ¿When Can We Go to School?. Nearly 300 Million Children Are Missing Class. Virus Closes Schools, but Louvre Reopens, No Money for Masterpieces: Louvre Bans Cash over Virus Fears. \fs24ulItalian Govt to Close Schools, Universities to Contain Coronavirus. New York City School Cancels Classes after Suspected Coronavirus Case. France Closes More than 100 Schools Due to Coronavirus =2=. China’s Schools, Forced Online by Virus, Run into Censors, 201219-CV03. Pence Office Says He Did Not Have Contact with Student Later Quarantined for Coronavirus, embarrassing if he gets Covid19, and will Trump put him in isolation if that happens. Snow Day. No, It’s Illness – Again – in School District. Coronavirus Quarantine Could Spark an Online Learning Boom. Lockdown: A Day in the Life of a Teacher in Italy's Coronavirus Red Zone. UK Schools Close and Isolate Pupils as Pandemic Fears Grow. Hong Kong Extends School Suspension until April 20 to Control Spread of Virus. USC Recalls Students from South Korea and Italy Due to Coronavirus. Japan to Close Schools Nationwide to Control Spread of Virus 201223-CV18. Coronavirus Prompts Universities to Limit International Travel. What Would a Coronavirus Outbreak in the U.S. Mean for Schools. Closed Schools and Empty Stadiums: How Countries Are Trying to Stop Coronavirus’s Spread. Millions of Children Across the World Aren't Going to School. It's Not Just Their Education That Could Suffer. Schools Should Prepare for Coronavirus Outbreaks, CDC Officials Warn. With Covid-19 Coronavirus, What Difference Will Closing Schools Make, Variability in School Closure Decisions in Response to 2009 H1N1: A Qualitative Systems Improvement Analysis, CDC Advises Against Closing Schools During H1N1 Outbreaks; Would School Closure for the 2009 H1N1 Influenza Epidemic Have Been Worth the Cost: A Computational Simulation of Pennsylvania, The Social and Economic Effects of School Closure During an H1N1 Influenza A Epidemic in the United States. US Schools Start Planning for Possible Spread of Coronavirus. Mike Pence to Local Schools: It's OK to Shut down over Coronavirus. The First Rhode Island Coronavirus Case Apparently Came from a School Trip to Europe. Just for Kids: A Comic Exploring the New Coronavirus. Oregon Coronavirus Case Is School Employee. <200315>2.
-200112-2¶>8. Before Coronavirus, China Bungled Swine Epidemic with Secrecy. <Cont 200126-200112-2¶>1‡3. Greece Reports First Case of African Swine Fever. Spread of African Swine Fever Confirmed in Nine EU Countries. Number of African Swine Fever Positive Wild Boars in Korea Reaches 105.
-A. MORE: Swine Fever Found in Germany Putting Pork Exports at Risk. German Farmers Call for Wild Boar Free Zone on Polish Border.
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