Updated 211127
PDN Introduction.
CV1. Safety, Security: Hand Sanitizer, Fire Hazard, Nothing is Simple, CV3. Information: Surge, Infodemic, CV4. Politics: Reopening, CV5. Economics: Britain, Lives over Money, CV9. Arts: Famous Characters, Public Service Announcement, CV10. Spirituality: Four Horsemen, CV11. Exploitation: Social Response, CV14. Uncategorized, Miscellaneous: Gender, CV16. Consequences, Social Change: Urban and Social, CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Business, Decisions vs Choice, Magical Thinking, CV19. Technosphere: Online World, CV20. Communication: Discussing Shelter in Place, CV22. Longue Duree: Lockdown, Social Distancing, CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: War on Viruses, CV24. Norms: Freedom of Movements, Guns, Trends Toward Violence, Policing, Enforcement, CV26. Environment, One Health: Collaborating with Social Science, CV27. Learning: Virtual Schools, CV28. Logistics: Manufacturing Disruption, CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Shutdown, Empathy, Populists
CV1. Safety, Security: Anything involving life is not simple, life is full of complexities. Anything involving people is not simple, its filled with complications. The combination of the two is chaos, not simple. Anything that combines the two should never be simplified as that will cause harm. Coronavirus: Hand Sanitizer Can Be Very Dangerous near a Flame. Videos Hand Sanitizer Safety Warning =2=. Though all valid safety tips, all are incomplete and potentially misleading about the totality of the safety hazard. When extinguishing a flame do not shake it out, that can spread fire. Don’t use a glass when demonstrating this as it can heat the sides (but not under the sanitizer) and cause a burn. Plates and cups can crack with heat, be discolored by heat, and crack when the flame is extinguished by water. Water can splash the sanitizer, spreading the fire and hitting yourself and/or the audience you are making the demonstration too. Don’t put your face over the flame, unless you want to quickly remove eyelashes, eyebrows, singe lips, cause an eye injury, and create a sunburn on your face. Do not use a paper towel for the sanitized to demonstrate igniting, paper towels will absorb the sanitizer, ignite and burn your hand. You can use a paper plate to hold the demonstration on, but only briefly as it will eventually ignite. To extinguish the santizer flame suffocate it with a porcelain mug with a handle (plastic, paper, glass) are not advised. 200523-CV01. 201231-CV05.1.
-A. Arson Investigator Reveals How Church Arsonists Were Caught, the arson investigation dog handler's used hand sanitizer to clean their hands. The arsonists used hand sanitizer to start some of the fires. Don’t Let this Facebook Post Scare You: Hand Sanitizer Is Flammable, but Safe When Used Correctly. 201231-CV05.1.
CV3. Information: In the Information Surge, Check the Facts Twice or Three Times. The information surge in the Covid-19 pandemic has been almost as overwhelming as the surge occurring in medical facilities (incorrect, the infodemic*A =2= is part of what drives the medical surge and hinders effectiveness. Infodemic spreads far faster and further that the most viral pathogen, infects more people, and is harder to cure). While staying informed as well as being up to date on the latest technology is important, it's also crucial to be cautious in your use of all this technology, CV19. 200429-CV03.
-*A. PDN is a small sampling and not a wide range of the infodemic. If the reader finds this overwhelming then imagine trying to collect from the much larger flow of original source information that is required to do proper parademic analysis, and then synthesize that for information needs of decision and policy makers and forecasting. PDN is based on a 10 years of collection for a listibase of original (raw) and analyzed information. Even so the curator warns that conclusions drawn solely from PDN as a source are likely erroneous as the reader will not necessarily be able to evaluate the information from an informed, evidence based perspective, and likely would be unfamiliar with related and contrary information, not to mention the deep background that statements of conclusion are based on. PDN is helpful, but will not make up for the shortfall of knowledge if one is only starting after CV accelerated to learn the associated skills and information of the firehose of fact and falsehood =2= =3= =4= of the parademic. This is true even if one has a strong background with years of experience in clinical medicine, epidemiology, disaster management, et cetera. One way to overcome the background shortfall, if lacking a background of human factors in health and environmental crisis, is using PDN as a start point, but do one’s own research collection, analysis and synthesis. 200429-CV03.
CV4. Politics: Post Virus Reopening Is More About Ethics than Science, but scientists can give us the information we need to make an informed decision. When and How to Emerge from Our Covid-19 Lockdown Is a Political Question; It Will Kill People Even If It’s Done Right.
CV5. Economics: British Public Value Protecting Lives over Economic Prosperity During Covid-19 Pandemic.
CV9. Arts: An Artist Is Drawing Famous Characters with Coronavirus References to Show Support for People Impacted by the Pandemic. CV20 CV27↓.
CV10. Spirituality: The Four Horsemen of the Covid-19 Pandemic. It is clear that we must prioritize identifying and alleviating the conditions that made the Covid-19 pandemic possible. Even as it rages, scientists are already asking if it is more than just a virus, but rather a symptom emerging from something much deeper, a nonlinear dynamical system of coupled pathologies underlying a veneer of "progress" in an increasingly fragile, volatile, hyperconnected world. The 4 Horsemen of the Apocalypse is a common icon during a biocrisis =2= =3= =4=. As a belief this may explain behavior of people that want to exacerbate and hasten the End of Times. [Cartoon =2=]. 200719-CV15.
CV11. Exploitation: Top French Philosopher Warns of Virus Exploitation, arguing that the Coronavirus epidemic is not an unprecedented health threat but that the way societies are responding is both new and dangerous.
CV14. Uncategorized, Miscellaneous: Peru, Panama Limit Movement by Gender in Bid to Slow the Coronavirus (Gender). Gender is a social construct and norm that there are two different sexes that have different social roles. Unsure at this time if gender applies to CV. The expected (unproven) pattern is that those who fill home health care roles (usually women) are more likely to be exposed, but in the US at least men appear to be at greater risk. =2= =3= =4=. This contradicts the social expectation that women socialize more than men and therefor would be a greater risk. The difference may be a gender awareness of sanitation and social distance. 200418-CV29C, <CONT 200308-200112-2¶>2A.
-A. POST COLLECTIO: Gender proved to be a major factor during CV, but is not simply about gender only, but blended with the whole of society in unexpected ways both positive and negative.
CV16. Consequences, Social Change: Temporary Urban Solutions Help Us Deal with Crisis—and Can Lead to Radical Shifts in City Space. Coronavirus: What Are the Chances We'll Change Our Behavior in the Aftermath.
CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Global Uncertainty May Force Businesses to Rely on Flexibility Rather than Efficiency, most have never faced an era (not just CV but the whole slew of global health and environmental change) when uncertainty is so rampant. Risk is something you can predict. If you flip a coin, over time you know that half will be heads and half will be tails. The nature of choice between heads and tails involves a risk because you can bet with these probabilities. So, in conditions of risk, you can distribute your investment into certain proportions against different outcomes that you may expect. Uncertainty means there's nothing you can do about it beforehand. You know neither the outcomes nor the probability. I would call that the 'unknown unknown'. This could be a natural disaster or Brexit. If you knew, you might prepare against it CV5. Uncertainty is the difference between choice and making a decision. Choices are clear in what the options are and the consequences. Decisions tend to not have a clear selection of options and the outcomes are unknown. This is one reason why many “leaders” fail, they can’t cope with uncertainty, and likely resort to magical thinking CV29B↓, or what they perceive will help them remain in power, not what is best for people.
CV19. Technosphere: Consumers React to Coronavirus Crisis, Increasingly Move Online. Consumers with family obligations, people older than 35, business owners and Democrats were more likely to be extremely concerned about Coronavirus in mid March, just as the U.S. response and news about the virus was ramping up, according to an analysis of consumer survey responses. The data also suggest the virus has accelerated the move to online, and particularly mobile, shopping.
CV20. Communication: Talking to Frightened (or Miserable) People about Covid-19. The communication content the public most needs in a public health crisis is guidance – several kinds of guidance: Behavioral guidance: 1) Should I go out; If I go out, should I wear a mask; How close can I get to other people. 2) Anticipatory guidance: How long will this last; When will it start getting better; What is the government going to do about it. 3) Emotional guidance: How frightened should I be; How miserable should I be; How big a deal is this really. CDC’s Public Communication about Covid-19: Maybe Going Silent Is an Improvement.
CV22. Longue Duree: Lockdown Lessons from the History of Solitude. When the poet John Donne was struck down by a sudden infection in 1623 he immediately found himself alone. Even his doctors deserted him. The experience, which only lasted a week, was intolerable. He later wrote: "As sickness is the greatest misery, so the greatest misery of sickness is solitude". Social Distancing Increased over the Course of Human History – Alongside Empathy and New Ways to Connect. MORE: Pandemic Solitude Was Positive Experience for Many.
CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: The Politics of Amphibiosis *A: The War Against Viruses Will Not Take Place. We are at war. This was Emmanuel Macron’s chosen refrain when he addressed the French nation about the current Covid-19 pandemic. He is certainly not the first to present human/ pathogenic microbe relations in this way. Indeed, the history of immunology and epidemiology is littered with the vocabulary of war. But this rhetoric reveals a certain communication strategy based on national unity, a hackneyed but nevertheless effective argument that is perfectly in keeping with a neoliberal (and authoritarian and Trumpian, but for different reasons) ideology, a context in which the life of society is a constant struggle. CV4 CV20.
-*A. POST COLLECTIO: The biological condition in which the relationship between two life forms is either symbiotic or parasitic, depending on the context. This is a more precise term than commensalism and describes a more complex relationship than symbiosis. This is a very nuanced concept that frankly is one I am still trying to understand. However, it may be a useful term for the relationship between the social dimension and the microsphere that underlies parademic CV06.
CV24. Norms: Coronavirus Threatens Constitutionally Protected Freedom of Movement =2= =3= =4= =5=. CV6 CV25 CV28. Gun Sales Surge amid Growing Movement Restrictions as Officials Try to Slow the Spread of Covid-19 =2=. 200407-CV21A, 200404-CV24, <CONT 200329-200112-2¶>2A*. 200505-CV13. 200801-CV31.
-*A. These are precursors and some of the antecedents for protests of CV restrictions to turn violent. If the same people protesting CV restrictions 200418-23 are the same or overlap with those who are associated with After Mass Shootings, Trump Blamed for Increasing Racism – but Is White Racism Really Increasing =2= =3=, then the possibility of armed riot 210103-23B -C increases 200417-CV4 -CV24. If handled adroitly by local authorities CV29 -B↓ and not antagonized by the national level, these can be controlled and contained – yes, the use of disease abatement is intentional. If not and there are counterprotests Video [Photo =2= =3=] CV25 =2= =3=, then it is likely to escalate into a battle, which can then accelerate into armed conflict for an extended period. At that point public support for against the violence =2= will be moot 200420-CV4. At this moment the protests are a show of force per CV23 to demonstrate the possibility of violence against opposition to reopen policy. This can backfire and to use again will require more reckless demonstrations that are uncontrollable and indistinguishable from armed conflict, especially if there is a significant number who believe that there will be and have prepared for collapse of society and culture war =2= =3= =4=. [Photo]. POST COLLECTIO: Violence did occur with increasing frequency and intensity, but not as bad as it could have been if the instigators had been more competent. The violence itself did more harm to the anti public health positions and either case was unsuccessful in reaching its goals. Even so this did cause damage that will have long lasting impact.
-B. Heavy Handed Policing Won't Work for Lockdown in Countries with High Inequality. Many African countries have imposed lockdown measures stricter than countries in Europe and Asia in a bid to contain the spread of the new Coronavirus. But, due to the significant variation in living conditions on the continent, implementing these measures is likely to be more difficult in some places than others. This presents a significant challenge for the police. Should they rigidly enforce social distancing and other measures, or should they be more cognisant (sic*A) of the local context, 201224-CV05 CV1 -A↑. What Policing During the Pandemic Can Tell Us about Crime Rates and Arrests. Pandemic Policing Needs to Be Done with the Public's Trust, Not Confusion.
-*A. As a general practice PDN does not correct grammar and spelling of excerpted text. This is in part because not everywhere spells and organize--s language as American English does CV6. Control and containment of a global pandemic into dormancy means that it is important to understand that not everyone is from and behaves like people in the US, even if there are superficial similar appearance.
CV26. Environment, One Health: An Expanded One Health Model: Integrating Social Science and One Health to Inform Study of the Human Animal Interface =2= 2015. Why Is the Integration of Social Sciences and One Health Important to You. The One Health Concept: 10 Years Old and a Long Road Ahead. The Pandemic Through the Eyes of Social Scientists.
-A. Everest Is Closed: Enforced Hiatus Will Help its Environment Recover but Hit a Million Livelihoods. Possibly by having the comparison of what happened was bradyoccult – so gradual that it is unnoticed over a long period of time CV22 – before will provide a base line to maintain the improved environment, and maybe foster more improvement. Tons of Trash Removed from Everest as Cleanup Unearths Bodies =2= =3= =4=. 200921-CV24
CV27. Learning: [Meme]. CV19 CV2 CV9↑.
-A. Video: What Is Food Insecurity. Lessons from China: Ensuring No One Goes Hungry During Coronavirus Lockdowns. China has a long history of cycles of famine and epidemics, making this a sensitive issue for the Chinese government =2= =3= =4=. Some Chinese Grandparents Are Making Their Grandkids Fat 2015. How Famines and Epidemics Trigger Wars, analysis reveals links between more than 5,000 natural disasters and 1,000 armed conflicts in China’s history CV23.
CV28. Logistics: How Covid-19 Is Wreaking Havoc on Our Ability to Make Things – Including Vaccines.
CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Why Did the World Shutdown for Covid-19 but Not Ebola, SARS or Swine Flu. 200812-CV21.2A
-A. Lead with Empathy During the Covid-19 Crisis.
-B. Are Populist Leaders a Liability During Covid-19. The rise of populism around the world – such as in the United States, Brazil and Indonesia – has partly contributed to the global failure to adequately respond to the Covid-19 pandemic and has led the world into a recession. CV17↑.
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