Updated: 220408
CV01. Protection: Food Insecurity, Famine, Poverty Vulnerability, CV01.1. Domestic Violence, Gun Violence, Spain, Mideast, UK, Israel, CV03. Information: Plandemic Conspiracy, Social Contagion, Antivax, CV05. Economics: CV Marketing, Argentina on Life Support, Inequality, CV06. Linguistics: Language Prejudice, New York Accident, Wealth Options, Forecasted Hotspots, No Lockdown, Sweden, Brazil, CV11. Exploitation: Black Market Cat Meds, CV12. Personal, Relationships: Plane Crash, Landing, Stalls, Inverted Thimking Reopen, Germany, S Korea, CV13. Outliers: Antarctica, CV14. Uncategorized, Miscellaneous: Anthropogenic Pandemics, Bat Effect, Peru, CV15. Death: Tolerance for, CV15.1. Body Collection, CV16. Consequences, Social Change: Costco Mask Policy, Overconfidence, CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Iatrogenic Counseling, Psychology First Aid, CV19. Technosphere: Distance Learning Rules, CV20. Communication: Consistent Messages, CV22. Longue Duree: Apathy, Atrophy, Attrition, Losing Soft Skills, Knowledge, Skills, Abilities., CV23. Polemic, Nocuous: Military Self Care, CV23.1. 75th VE vs CV, CV25. Transportation, Travel: Traffic Light Gradualism, SAGE, CV27. Learning: Opening Campuses, CV28. Logistics: Panic Buying, CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: SAGE Secrecy, Social and Perception Management, Costs of Secrecy, Rumor, Unintended Consequences, CV30. Methodology: Making Sense of Chaos, Patternicity, Surrealism, Breaking Thought Habits
PDN Introduction, Glossary
CV01. Protection: The Covid-19 Crisis Has Already Left Too Many Children Hungry in America, [Chart]. Food Lines a Mile Long in America’s Second Wealthiest State. Food Banks Struggle to Keep Pace with Immigrant Communities Hit Hard by Pandemic. International: Coronavirus Pandemic Will Cause Global Famines of Biblical Proportions, UN Warns. Amid Pandemic, the World’s Working Poor Hustle to Survive, for families hunger and poverty are either newfound or even more grinding than before. Hunkering down at home to ride out the crisis isn’t an option for many, because securing the next meal means hustling to find a way to sell, clean, drive or otherwise work, despite the risk. CV28 200425-CV21. 200918-CV21.
-A. MORE Apr 2022 A Pack of Biscuits for a Bag of Rice: amid a Citywide Covid Lockdown, Shanghai Residents Are Bartering to Get Food.
CV01.1. Covid-19 Lockdown: Home Is the Most Dangerous Place for Women and Children. Domestic Violence Growing in Wake of Coronavirus Outbreak. Is Domestic Violence Rising During the Coronavirus Shutdown. Here’s What the Data Shows. Reports of domestic abuse in three cities have dropped. But police and experts say that may be a problem, because people suffering abuse are having a harder time finding space to reach out for help =2=. Domestic Violence Has Increased During Coronavirus Lockdowns. 200821-CV33, 200406-CV21, 200326-CV16.
-A. This is not just limited to the US with its proclivity for gun violence, Shootings Are a Glaring Exception to the Coronavirus Crime Drop: Women Killed in Spain as Coronavirus Lockdown Sees Rise in Domestic Violence. During Coronavirus, Domestic Violence is on the Rise in Several Countries. 3 Times More Women Killed by Men than Average During U.K. Coronavirus Lockdown. Israelis Protest Femicide after Uptick in Violence Against Women During Coronavirus Lockdown. 201228-CV21A.
-B. ADDED: Covid-19: A Public Health Approach to Manage Domestic Violence Is Needed. 200801-CV31. MORE: Massive 1 Year Rise in Homicide Rates Collided with the Pandemic in 2020.
CV03. Information: Plandemic Is Dangerous, Viral Nonsense. A pseudo documentary full of outrageous, verifiably false claims (top government scientists are responsible for the Covid-19) pandemic is still going viral, despite being repeatedly removed from YouTube and Facebook. Judy Mikovits in Plandemic: An Antivax Conspiracy Theorist Becomes a Covid-19 Grifter. Maybe the CDC and WHO Should Take a Few Cues from “The Plandemic” CV06. Populist Twitter decries any misstep by authority as confirmation of wholesale ineptitude or corruption — as if a mistake anywhere casts doubt on expertise everywhere CV04. 200414-CV30.
CV05. Economics: Not Impossible, Not a Whopper: Burger King Has Been a Model Online Advertiser Through the Pandemic. Instead of shunning articles that included terms like ‘Covid-19’ or ‘pandemic,’ the company behind the Whopper focused its message on contactless food delivery and pickup. That way, its marketing would not seem out of place in a grim news cycle. It isn’t damaging for the brand to appear within the context of the crisis, because the brand is playing a role.
CV05.1. Argentina When Covid-19 Is a Matter of Life or Debt. If preexisting conditions were destiny, Argentina would be on ventilators. 201229-CV05.1, 201222-CV25, 200730-CV28.1A, 200511-CV29.
CV06. Linguistics: Covid-19 Fears Spark Language Based Discrimination. People who speak a language or dialect associated with a Coronavirus epicenter have suffered discrimination.
-A. Would be interested to see if a New Yorker accent confirms this by evoking fear and prejudice. U.S. Coronavirus Outbreak Primarily Spread from New York City, Travel from New York City Seeded Wave of U.S. Outbreaks. New Yorkers Fleeing City Face Fear and Hostility from Upstate Neighbors, Go Home. New Yorkers Flee the City as Coronavirus Cases Surge, but They Aren’t Welcome in the Hamptons. Did New Yorkers Who Fled to Second Homes Bring the Virus.
-B. As Wealthy New Yorkers Flee the City for Suburbs, Will the Exodus Be Permanent =2=. As Wealthy Depart for Second Homes, Class Tensions Come to Surface in Coronavirus Crisis, The Rich Have Fled New York City. I’m Sick of Being Told That I Need to Stay, Because I Want to Escape Too. 5 Lessons from the Coronavirus about Inequality in America 1. Staying home is a luxury. 2. Wealth divides Americans. 3. Health care matters. 4. People like to blame victims. 5. Fragility gives hope.
-C. 6 New Coronavirus Hotspots Around the U.S. Show Disease Still Spreading. 6 New Coronavirus Hotspots You Wouldn’t Expect Have Appeared in the US. For Parademic these were expected future hot spots, and it was possible to forecast which states would not resist shelter in place before the spread in the US. If there was a forest fire (bark beetles, drought) along the state border in the same forest that is in your state, and the wind blowing smoke 220105-4 toward you, there is no reason to expect the fire to stay on the other side of the border, Critical Havens from Wildfire Smoke Can Spread Covid-19 Among Vulnerable Groups, 220105-4. Pandemic Reaching into Rural Areas as Urban Areas Reopen. MORE: 4 Reasons State Plans to Open up May Backfire – and Soon, scientists fear this isn’t going to end well.
-D. Spread is not limited to US states that did not lock down.
1) Closing Borders Is Ridiculous: The Epidemiologist Behind Sweden’s Controversial Coronavirus Strategy$. Sweden Claims Coronavirus Success after Keeping Country Open, Says Herd Immunity Imminent. The Head of Sweden's No Lockdown Coronavirus Plan Said the Country's Heavy Death Toll Came as a Surprise. 11 People in Sweden Told Us What It's like Living in One of the Few Countries with No Compulsory Coronavirus Lockdown. Sweden Still Hasn't Locked Down. But Normal Life Is a Luxury for Only a Few. 200418-CV04A. 200516-CV27.
2) Major Brazilian Cities Set Lockdowns as Virus Spreads. Brazil Virus Despair Stretches from Rio to Amazon Bolsonaro Continues to Dismiss Covid-19 Threat as Cases Skyrocket in Brazil. Brazilian President Bolsonaro Plans 30 Person BBQ Despite Coronavirus Guidelines. How Terrible Has Brazil’s Coronavirus Response Been. 200501-CV05.
CV11. Exploitation: A Much Hyped Covid-19 Drug Is Almost Identical to a Black Market Cat Cure. 201203-CV11A.
CV12. Personal, Relationships: Coronavirus reminds me about when I nearly crashed while practicing flying.
-A. I was practicing landing stall recovery [Graphic] about 3000 feet AGL, performing all the actions required to safely land, practicing intentionally stalling the plane and then recovering. Winds aloft that day were strong and adding an additional element of stalling in a cross wind which I had trouble achieving a full stall to recover from. Finally managed the stall in a landing attitude with the plane shuttering and starting to fall without forward momentum, I applied full power and leveled the plane as if preparing for a go around. Unfortunately, I did not apply enough rudder to compensate for the twisting torque of the propeller accelerating spin. Already having a wing low and in a crab, the plane flipped upside down. To add to the excitement, I had failed to notice, until I was in an inverted stall – which I had never practiced for but knew the theory of – that the wind had pushed me over hills and was now less than 1000 feet AGL (looked like inches) above hills.
-B. This is where I am reminded of CV. Being upside down near the ground and moving too slow to fly (a stall, possibly a flat spin Video) is analogous to a pandemic. Taking the right action at the right time requires prior thought and training. If one is not an expert, then one allows the flight instructor to take control until told it is safe to take back control CV29. I did not have an instructor at the controls in the seat next to me. In that situation it is very difficult to not yank back on the yoke to go “up”, to push “down” for stall recovery, and to throttle back the engine. Even more difficult is to allow the plane to do what it is designed to do. In the brief hour long seconds as the plane fell the nose of the plane pointed down (giving a better view of the ground coming up), and air speed increased allowing the wings to fly again and push the throttle in. Finally, the plane was at an angle and speed that I could take control again and carefully guide the plane away from the ground. The ground seemed very close by that time , but no estimate of height as I was looking for ground obstacles, power lines, aircraft, birds, indications of wind direction and other aircraft. Flew straight back to the airport and found my instructor to go over what had happened. That came in handy when my instructor on a later flight kicked the plane into a full spin when I was relearning landing stall recovery.
-C. If I had fought the plane while in the inverted stall that would have kept me inverted all the way to a sudden stop [Photo]. If I recovered too quickly (“reopened” in current CV parlance) the plane would have stalled again, and there was not enough space between the ground and the plane to recover [Photo]. Imagine my emotional state now in a CV stall and I am not the pilot and have no trust in the cocky pilot at the control. 200427-CV01. The Two Countries That Show Life Beyond Lockdown Isn't What People Think it Will Be, Dear America: You’re Sick. Get Well Soon. Until Then, Stay Home. Love, Canada. 200927-4A.
-D. Past Pandemics Show How Coronavirus Budgets Can Drive Faster Economic Recovery CV05, when the economy is in freefall (stalled) and unemployment is rising, the challenge for governments CV29 is to manage both expectations and spending to drive recovery.
-E. POST COLLECTION: Apr 2022 Had to rewrite the original description of the near crash. One of the ways to avoid stress or a memorable event is to be clinical and objective about it. The original was largely a lesson on how airplanes fly and stall recovery. While rewriting this to share the actual experience I had to keep rewriting and kept flashing back to the terror of the moment and what feelings I had in the first year of CV. Probably needs more editing, but this is what I can do right now.
CV13. Outliers: The People Waiting out Covid-19 in Dark, Frozen Antarctica. One continent has managed to remain entirely free of the infection, and is now considered the safest place in the world. MORE: Covid Has Reached Antarctica. Scientists Are Extremely Concerned for its Wildlife.
CV14. Uncategorized, Miscellaneous: We Are Living Through the First Economic Crisis of the Anthropocene. Forget the butterfly effect, this is the bat effect CV06. A chance mutation in the environmental pressure cooker of central China has put in jeopardy all our ability to go about our daily business. It is a malign version of the butterfly effect. Sophisticated hospitals have been reduced to chaotic, impotent despair. Nurses resorted to swaddling themselves in rubbish bags. Face masks were hand fabricated on sewing machines. We stack the dead in refrigerator trucks 200830-CV15, 201109-CV23A. We cannot say we were not warned, and have already dodged several bullets.
-A. MORE: 3 Charts Explain How the US Got Lucky with Coronavirus — and Why Things Still Look Bad. Since 1972, experts have been highlighting the natural forces that could interrupt the triumphant path of economic growth. HIV/ AIDS 200911-CV21 sparked awareness of a different type of blowback from nature (biocalamity): the threat of emerging infectious diseases, specifically those generated by zoonotic CV26, exacerbated by anthropogenic environmental change CV32 and creation of social conditions that favor explosive pandemics in human populations. Epidemics are not merely accidents of nature; they have anthropogenic drivers and determinants. We Are Living in a Catastrophe: Peru's Jungle Capital Choking for Breath as Covid-19 Hits. POST COLLECTIO: Apr 2022 Obviously the luck ran out with the highest number of cases in the world.
CV15. Death: How Many Deaths Can We Tolerate. No one is thinking that zero deaths is a realistic number to expect from a virus that people do not have immunity from. So, how many people "are allowed to die" and we think that it is OK – an acceptable number.
CV15.1. These are the UK's Frontline Workers You Don't Think About Video.
CV16. Consequences, Social Change: Costco’s Mask Requirement Reminds Businesses the Customer Is Not Always Right. Wearing Masks May Have a Surprising Unintended Consequence, you should absolutely wear a mask in public, but be careful it doesn’t make you feel invincible CV01.
CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Where Psychologists Should Fear to Tread on Covid-19, They Don’t. While psychologists can mitigate the mental health fallout of Covid-19, not all of their published musings are helpful a slew of psychological and behavioral experts weighing in to tell us how we should think, feel, and act in the face of Covid-19 – and some of it can be useful. It’s a stressful time, after all. Anxieties are running high, and there are, to date, very few firm answers regarding how long the pandemic might last.
-A‡. [Meme] 200511-CV01Cartoon. Psychological Treatments That Cause Harm. When Treatment Becomes Trauma: Defining, Preventing, and Transforming Medical Trauma. Psychological First Aid. Rapid Proliferation and the Search for Evidence. Ready! Fire! Aim! The Status of Psychological Debriefing and Therapeutic Interventions: In the A and After Disasters. The Development and Maturation of Humanitarian Psychology.
CV19. Technosphere: Ed Dept Issues Proposed Distance Learning Rules, Emphasizes Flexibility =2= CV27. MORE: 6 Ways College Might Look Different in the Fall.
CV20. Communication: Covid-19 Fully Coordinated and Consistent Messaging Required in Public Health Emergencies. One of the first mantras of public health officials is to keep your messaging on a disease outbreak "tight". Everyone has to be on the same sheet of music.
CV22. Longue Duree: Avoiding the Three As: Apathy, Atrophy & Attrition. Emergency management is everything to everybody, but it often lacks the glue that is so desperately needed to manage catastrophic events. This is likely the result of two common pitfalls that the profession has long suffered from, pitfalls that can begin as soon as one walks out of the meeting or training room door: apathy and atrophy. Apathy can be defined as a lack of interest, passion, excitement, or concern. When not effectively addressed, apathy can then lead to atrophy, a long gradual decline in effectiveness. Such weakening is caused by under use of and not updating key knowledge, soft skills, and perishable abilities.
CV23. Polemic, Nocuous: Is the Military Prepared to Handle Covid-19 Within Its Ranks. The ongoing Coronavirus pandemic may force the United States military to shift its priorities back toward public health.
CV23.1. Europe Holds Low Key V-E Day Commemorations Due to Virus.
CV25. Transportation, Travel: This is not specifically about Movement, but reopening means increased movement, and the analogy of a traffic light to guide behavior is used. UK Coronavirus Lockdown May Be Eased Using 'Traffic Light' System, Say Government Scientists =2= CV29↓. Group which focuses on public behaviour concerned that the abrupt lifting of movement restrictions would undermine trust in health policy. [Chart]. I believe things are a bit beyond undermining trust, there is now sinkholes appearing. If this works then it would be a step toward rebuilding trust. MORE: No End to Lockdown Yet but 'Careful' Easing Begins, British PM Johnson Says, this is a five tier color system that sounds similar to the US Terrorism threat system of a few years ago. 200731-CV29. POST COLLECTIO. The easing back in the UK didn’t work.
CV27. Learning: Considerations for Reopening Institutions of Higher Education in the Covid-19 Era.
CV28. Logistics: Most Common Panic Buying Purchases During Coronavirus CV02. 201022-CV20.
CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Secrecy over Sage Has Gone on Long Enough =2= CV25↑. Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) =2=. From what I’ve read the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Behavior (SPI-B), is not social science applied to pandemic, but is for the management and possibly control of society during a pandemic. This does not mean the conclusions are wrong, just a different applied application of a parademic like concept, which also looks to anticipate behaviors for planning and mitigation. MORE: UK Scientists Hit Back at Attempts to Discredit Scientific Basis for Lockdown. 200731-CV23.1.
-A. SPI-B, the behavioural subgroup of SAGE, was asked to consider the risk of public disorder. This was defined as opportunistic crime, community tension and rioting 210103-23B -C. Their conclusions were: 1) Large scale rioting is rarely seen in these situations. Acts of altruism will predominate. Public disorder is usually linked to perception of the Government response not the outbreak itself. 2) Specific issues facing the police may be: Low police numbers due to workplace absences. Police actions appearing to control rather than support the public. 3) The recommendations of SPI-B to further reduce the risk of public disorder were: Provide clear and transparent reasons for different strategies. Set clear expectations on how the response will develop. Promote a sense of “we are all in this together”.
-B. In particular the public needs to understand why the UK response may be different to other countries. SPI-B recommended focusing early messaging on why actions are being taken. Clear expectations of how the response will develop also need to be laid out. This messaging should be coupled with reinforcing a sense of community. This will avoid creating tensions between groups and promote social norms around behaviours.
-C. There may be legitimate reasons for secrecy, but the decision to restrict information CV03 should always be done with the understanding of the costs of secrecy. Secrecy creates information vacuums, which is a needed condition for rumors. The assumption is that there is a reason for hiding something, and that the reason is likely to not be good. This then creates more rumor and leads to conspiracy theory. Secrecy can be iatrogenic and have unintended consequences causing more harm that if the secret had been revealed. CV30↓ 200507-CV22.
CV30. Methodology: This Professor Says We've Been Looking at the Coronavirus Data Wrong. One of the complaints about PDWN is that is it unorganized, and PDN is not that much better even though it uses categories. Have to agree that these do seem unorganized from some perspectives. Part of the intent is to learn CV27 to deal with chaos CV17 of a biocalamity, by practicing with a vastly simplified flow of data. Some will find it hard to believe but PDN for CV is simplified (while CV itself is a low intensity pandemic) compared to what one would have to collect and analyze from raw context information for synthesis to inform decision making and policy construction CV29. Chaos is especially acute at the beginning when there is the first slowly building surge of mortality and morbidity, concurrent with the firehose of information when a pandemic accelerates when previous templates of organization either don’t apply, or if the a priori categories are applied one ends up with a model that does not reflect the real. Apophenia, Patternicity, Pareidolia, Synchornicity, etc., are frequently encountered in parademic. These are not abnormal, but normal human cognition that seeks patterns and meaning, Unfortunately, these cognitive skills evolved pre anthromes CV32 and complex social organization. These false meanings take the in the form of logical fallacies 201206-1A, conspiracy theory, magical thinking, mob violence, mass hysteria, eye witness testimony (that are wrong*B), slight of hand, exploitation CV11, poor judgement, reckless behavior, unable to sleep, etc. Randomness and Patterns =2= =3= [Random, Strip]. 25 Photos Where You Can See Something That’s Not There. Here’s Why Your Brain Is So Bad at Those ‘Spot the Difference’ Games.
-A. This chaos in part explains the surreal experiences of parademic, sheltering in place, wearing masks, silence 200724-CV06C where it had been noisy, seeing mountains that have not been seen in years, being around someone 24/7. Patterns of behavior are broken, and it takes a while to adjust, and/or the stress becomes too much and people insist on returning to normal (reopen) no matter the risks. It is very easy when there is a mass of new information (errors, out of sequence, partial, false, rumors...) to want and need to revert back to previous patterns and labels to gain a comfortable sense of meaning. This is especially the case when one has no practice at tolerating and navigating ambiguity, stress, learning CV27 the novel and unlearning old habits, breaking norms CV24, rapid social change CV16, mass casualties CV15, uncertainty CV17, conflicting narrative CV18 and interpretations, emergence CV07 and confusion.
-*B. POST COLLECTIO: Note that the use of media reports, as used in Parademic, and a form of eyewitness reports. This doesn’t invalidate parademic observations that are not about fact but what people believe in as fact. People tend to act in accordance to what they are unable to question as it’s empirically true, and usually unwilling to question what apparently worked in their past experience.
Comments