CV Pandemic Daily Notes, 200511, 200512, 200513, 200514, 200515, 200516, 200517
-1. Tipping Points, Cascades
-1. Tipping point invokes a strong visual image [Video] of collapse. However, tipping point is a simplified heuristic that can be misleading. A tipping point is not always a clear point point of deceleration or acceleration. The point can change from a change in another factor, or from changes in multiple factors adjusting to changes elsewhere in the system. In fact there is no such thing as a single tipping point, and observing what seems to be an unrelated tipping point can be a harbinger of what will happen to the tipping point of interest, such as extinction of multiple species are likely to foreshadow extinction of homo saps. Multiple tipping points normally provide stability to the whole, but again a number of factors can weaken the inherent stability and cause a crash.
-A. A single tipping point sets off bradyoccult cascades of accelerations or decelerations throughout systems. These slow and hidden chain reaction eventually manifest on the macro scale, causing more waves of collapses and upthrusts, resulting in more destabilizations of what were stable. Paradoxically, efforts to stabile a single potential tipping point tends to delay its collapse, which translates into not maintaining other areas.
-B. The remains of a collapse are not necessarily stable, but are the creation of multiple other instabilities. In living systems a collapse of one may have no impact on other tipping points, or profound impacts all tipping points. Then there are differences between tipping points that lead to collapses. Some cannot rebound, or rebound higher than anticipated, both potentially resulting in more disruptions of the system. It can be that in some situations there are superior results when what is collapsed or upthrusted is not repaired or reinforced.
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