CV01. Protection: Police Masks, CV02. Humor: Adapting Worship, CV03. Information: Losing its Legs, Nuances of Information, Search Trends, Reopen Risks, Meat Propagation, CV04. Politics: Popular Anti Immigration, CV05. Economics: Brand Pain, CV06. Linguistics: Zipf Coronavirus, CV12. Personal, Relationships: Social Networks, CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Ambivalent Africa, CV19. Technosphere: Tracking Numbers not People, CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Yemen, CV23.1. Humanitarian Terrorism, CV24. Norms: Vindication or Blame, CV24.1. Tribalism Against Legitimate Questions, Draconian Measures, CV25. Movement: Stranded Palestinians, CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Prediction vs Living, CV33. Legal: Lawsuit for Exposure.
PDN Introduction.
CV01. Protection: It Matters That Police Officers Aren’t Wearing Masks. Many police departments nationwide allow officers to wear masks at their own discretion while on protest duty.
CV02. Humor: How Coronavirus Is Changing Religious Worship. Humor is often political and judgmental, but in this case this is a wry look at social distancing put in a non political, non judgmental context. Even so Poe’s law will apply and some will be offended.
CV03. Information: The waning journalism (the story is losing its legs) about CV pandemic before it has ended is typical, and its continuation through the summer will probably not get much attention, but likely to change political demographics. Likely CV will be normalized, almost like weather where sometimes there are conditions where wearing masks and social distancing are in effect, and in some cases like hurricane warnings ignored.
-A. Information as a category during parademic can be refined with trends of information: Availability; Shared; Acceptance; Questions being asked (When: 1 When can we stop wearing masks, 2 When can we travel again, 3 When can we expect the second stimulus, 4 When can we return bottles, 5 When can we stop social distancing [Cartoon]); Sources of answers (valid, manipulative, erroneous could be subcategories; Receivers (who are getting which answers); Interests (Who, Where, How, Why, What: 1 Is there asymptomatic transmission of the coronavirus disease. 2 How did Iceland beat the coronavirus. 3 Which states have rising coronavirus cases. 4 Is a sore throat a symptom of coronavirus. 5 Where can I get tested for the coronavirus.); Spikes of interest (1 states that have a spike in coronavirus. 2 Hawaii 14 day quarantine extended. 3 Why is the stock market going down).
-B. Coronavirus Tracked: Google Search Trends in the US Suggest a Second Wave Is on its Way. Data reveals that online searches for terms like 'Covid-19 symptoms' have spiked in recent days in the US. Though I agree that a 2nd wave is currently building (in reality the 1st wave never ended =2=), the inquiries are more an indication of search by people who believe that there is a 2nd wave coming, which indicates better CV protection practices on their part. This will create an interesting situation that those who don’t believe in a 2nd wave White House Officials Downplay Chance of Covid-19 Second Spike*, will both be protected by those who do believe \fs24softline(similar to antivaxxers who benefit from other’s herd immunity), while clusters of deniers are likely to be devastated, likely with a combination CV21 of measles, flu =2= and CV. Coronavirus Might Be the Biggest Trend in Google Search History. The appetite for information about an illness has never been higher. Here’s what people are asking.
-*C. Oregon, Utah Pause Reopening amid Coronavirus Spikes. Covid-19 Spikes, but Most Governors Signal They're Staying the Course. Harvard Doctor Warns Coronavirus Deaths Could Reach 200,000 by September as States Uptick in Cases. HHS Secretary Azar to Newsmax TV: We're Monitoring 60 Hotspots Across US. CDC Predicts 130,000 US Coronavirus Deaths by July 4, with More New Cases as States Reopen. Tracking the Pandemic: Are Coronavirus Cases Rising or Falling in Your State. 12 States See Rising Covid-19 Hospitalizations as Arizona Asks Hospitals to Activate Emergency Plans. The Pandemic Will Soon Test Rural America, COVID-19 Meets Poor Health and Collapsing Hospitals. Why Coronavirus Is Suddenly Spiking Again in Parts of the US. Covid-19’s Return Is Totally Predictable. Coronavirus Will Win. America Needs to Make a Plan for Failure, Covid Response Failure: Getting What We Paid for with Public Health. The Virus Will Win. America Is Done with Covid-19. Covid-19 Isn’t Done with America. Reluctantly, under Pressure, Florida Disclosed Covid-19 Data. What the Numbers Tell us, Fired Florida Scientist Goes Rogue, Publishes Her OwnCovid-19 Data with Grimmer Outlook than the State's. Some States Hit Pause, Others Press on amid Spike in Virus. Americans Maintain Virus Precautions as States Reopen. Dr. Gupta: We Aren't Flattening the Curve; the Curve Is Reexpanding Video. There Is No Emergency: W.H. Economic Advisers Shrug off Feared Second Wave of Coronavirus. Fauci Says States Should Rethink Reopenings If Hospitalizations Increase and Urges Trump Rally Attendees to Wear Masks, CV24B↓ CV33↓, 200611-CV17. [Cartoon].
-D. A subset of parademic sustaining propagation of the CV pandemic is Emails Reveal Chaos as Meatpacking Companies Fought Health Agencies Over COVID-19 Outbreaks in Their Plants. Thousands of pages of documents obtained by ProPublica show how quickly public health agencies were overwhelmed by meatpacking cases. One CEO described social distancing as “a nicety that makes sense only for people with laptops”. Coronavirus Outbreaks Climb at U.S. Meatpacking Plants Despite Protections, Trump Order =2=. A Utah Meat Plant Is Staying Open Even after 287 Workers Got Coronavirus. 200531-CV05A.
CV04. Politics: Trump Is Quietly Gutting the Asylum System amid the Pandemic, the election year rally for his base to push to foreground immigration is officially in full swing. Trump Admin Looking to Link US Spike in Coronavirus Cases to Mexico. ADDED In a Land of Disbelief Covid-19 Is Running Rampant: 13 Photos Show Mexico Emerging as One of the Latest Coronavirus Hotspots.
CV05. Economics: Pandemic Deepens Economic Pain at Trump's Company, Already Suffering from a Tarnished Brand.
CV06. Linguistics: "Covid" Catches up to "Coronavirus". This headline is misleading, Coronavirus crashed down to Covid which was had more of a steady state. Probably more a demonstration of Zipf’s Law. CV03.
CV12. Personal, Relationships: Poll Shows Social Networks Strong in Response to Covid-19 Crisis. In a time of a documented decline of community and social connections, a large number of people who have needed assistance during the COVID-19 pandemic have found that help through community organizations, the government and their family, friends and neighbors.
CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Why Forecasters Can't Make up Their Mind about Africa and the Coronavirus. Many African countries took action very early on. With few reported cases, countries shut down airports, closed schools and some, like Uganda and South Africa, instituted draconian lockdowns. One model – accounting for Africa's young population (median ages in the teens) that it much harder it is for people to move because of poor roads – concluded that many parts of Africa would be spared the virus exponential spread of the virus. The infection rate and death rate would be significantly lower than the hardest hit European and American countries have faced. For parademic the news from Africa has largely quantitative, not qualitative, not useful for parademic purposes. This list of assumptions and difficulties or modeling a place as diverse as Africa are informative, but more about how the world sees Africa in the context of biocalamity, than about Africa itself. These is also the factor of Covid Denailists. Covid-19 Activity Escalating in Africa, Middle East. Africa CDC Dashboard This is potentially misleading as largest surges are recent and in Northern and Southern Africa.
CV19. Technosphere: A Teenager’s Guide to Building the World’s Best Pandemic and Protest Trackers. The creator of the web’s preeminent nCoV2019.live case tracker is so thorough that epidemiologists have used it to predict the disease’s spread. I started [ncov2019] in late December, early January. I was curious about the coronavirus numbers, but if I wanted the most up to date information, I had to look to the Chinese government – and I don’t speak Chinese. The alternative was to read news articles, but they didn’t update dynamically. I was trying to just find a nice looking dashboard tracker, but I couldn’t find any CV07. Highlights that when people are interested in information that want it simple, current and now. These are all weaknesses of PDN, PDWN. I do have one issue though, how accurate is the information. Apparently sufficient to track the next outbreak. However, with all the reports of the unreliability of data being provided – and I did not note a reliability index to what is provided on the dashboard – plus lack of information on peoples behaviors, this tool is useless for forecasting likely range of behaviors that will either facilitate or hinder CV control.
-A. ADDED The Misinformation Circulating in Africa about Covid-19. 1) The plot to stop Africa developing its own cures. 2) Tanzania's health minister didn't test positive, God Has Removed Coronavirus, Tanzania’s President Claims 200608-CV29A. 3) South Sudan's bogus badges against the virus. 4. President Magufuli didn't ban wearing masks in public.
CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Yemen Coronavirus: Death Rates Aden Could Exceed its Wartime Fatalities. 200609-CV23. Coronavirus Spreads in Yemen with Health System in Shambles.
CV23.1. Extremist Group al-Shabab Sets up Covid-19 Center in Somalia. The thought that the group takes CV seriously is not completely correct. Most terrorists groups have humanitarian agencies that give a favorable impression of the terror group to a population that does not get much or any aid, and it is a way to channel money to the terror organization. Some humanitarian aid groups are aware that not all the money and resources sent will get to the population, but the thought is that a little is better than nothing, and in some cases will allow legitimate humanitarian organizations entry (and protection) to provide help. Humanitarian Assistance Has a Terrorism Problem. Can it Be Resolved. The Role of Charities and NGO's in the Financing of Terrorist Activities. U.S. Counterterrorism Rule Hampers Vital Humanitarian Aid in Nigeria. It is not unknown for nations to do something similar, using humanitarian aid to influence populations and other countries.
CV24. Norms: For Experts Who Study Coronaviruses, a Grim Vindication. They warned that the next great pandemic would be a coronavirus, but research funding went to studying other threats. It is normal to find prior predictions of disaster had been made. However, how many predictions have been made from science that have not come true. Much of it comes from story telling CV18 and communication CV20 skill, being able to sell the threat against a cacophony of conflicting narratives, crisis of now, finite funding, priorities, belief. For example I can predict that something like parademic, that humans cause most of the problems of a pandemic than the agent itself, will be dragged out as proof against those who made what turned out to be poor decisions CV29A↓. This is blame that may avoid having to look at one’s own responsibility for what has happened. Blame is likely to cause more problems with the potential ideological hijacking to displace aggression from the root problem, justify repression of other views and physically attacking, and increase fixated ideation (conspiracy theory) and weaken ability to critically reevaluate beliefs.
CV24.1. John Ioannidis and Medical Tribalism in the Era of Covid-19. The critical questions that he raised about Covid-19 have gotten lost amid partisan bickering. By many measures, John Ioannidis is a lion of medical science, but you would never know any of this from reading comments about him today. It started on March 17, when Ioannidis published an opinion essay in STAT saying that the data on Covid-19 were not sufficient to know the disease’s true prevalence and fatality rate. He also argued that scientists were in the dark with respect to which distancing and lockdown measures work, which don’t, and what the measures’ downstream harms might be. All of which was true – even if his very early estimate that as few as 10,000 might die in the U.S. turned out to be wrong. Ioannidis went on to say that preventing people from working or leaving their homes could cause more harm than the virus itself.
-A. Lives Saved or Deaths Postponed. Calculating the Cost of Lockdowns. While lockdowns undoubtedly avoided large numbers of deaths from the new coronavirus, the repercussions of the pandemic response are expected to blight economies and health systems long after restrictions are lifted.
-B. Political Casualties of the Covid-19 Pandemic. After implementing to varying degrees of success non pharmaceutical interventions to control the COVID-19 outbreak, countries around the world are now lifting restrictions, many seemingly without heed of epidemic curves, reproductive number estimates, or regional differences in these. Economic pressures are driving these decisions, with the detrimental effects of an economic crisis anticipated to outweigh the damage caused by the virus. CV03C↑
CV25. Movement: Palestinians Stranded by Coronavirus Seek Way Home. Thousands around the world, months after countries closed their borders and grounded flights in the face of the pandemic.
CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: An Intelligence Perspective: Stop Predicting and Start 'Living the Questions'. Why policymakers are having such a hard time getting their arms around the pandemic. In the face of disruptions that are not likely but very consequential, it is tempting – but mistaken – to try to predict the future. Rather, the challenge is to seize the opportunity, to live the questions =2= =3= CV10. What will emerge from this terrible disaster is in our own hands.
-A. Most of the disruptions that governments must manage are eminently predictable but uncertain in timing and consequence. A recession every “y” years is predictable, but “y” is not. Though a terrorist attack on the U.S. homeland was predicted again and again in the 1990s, its date and shape could not be. In 2004 CV22, National Intelligence Council vividly painted the pandemic scenario we’re experiencing today (page 75), predicting it was likely to happen by 2020 CV24↑. How the Intelligence Community Predicted COVID-19, Did the Intelligence Community See this Pandemic Coming, [Cartoon].
CV33. Legal: Trump Campaign's Waiver Won't Block Coronavirus Lawsuits. Waivers must be specific about the claim that is being relinquished. For a waiver to block a negligence claim, the word ‘negligence’ has to appear in it. The waiver is less than waterproof but still offensive enough to attract bad press. CV03C↑, 200611-CV17. There are of course other ways to get out of being sued, such as settling out of court, promises of medical care, doxing that those sue as being liberals who got CV on purpose.
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