CV Pandemic Daily Notes, 200817, 200818, 200819, 200820, 200821, 200822, 200823
-1. Attitudes that Hinder and Facilitate, Cross Jurisdiction, BioThreats, Parademic Threats, Uncertain, Indicators, Folk Theory, Attitude Grid, 2. Corrective Satire
-1. After a cross jurisdiction operational area is defined*A, preferably before an accelerated biocalamity, then the risk assessment and planning are made in preparation for various types of biocalamities. Based on continuously updated assessments the risk (chances of happening and damage if it does happen), mitigation is done as much as possible to lessen the probability and decrease the damage. Preparations are made for a surge in medical and ecological needs, to include shelter in place and evacuation during biological and environmental contagions. It is likely the bioevent threat*B will still be catastrophic, overwhelming local capabilities, but hopefully with support from other areas, and from the whole of resources within the area, there will be sufficient means to contain the event within an area. For those biocalamaties that are already global, there eventually will be global coordination and planning to lessen and eventually correct these problems.
-*A. As mentioned last week 200816-1 defining a cross jurisdictional area is currently difficult, but as it is the only direction to take for survival it will be either solved or the issue becomes moot. Though biosphere calamities are by definition global, it is undesirable to have a global authority over all jurisdictions. Besides the possibility of abuse of centralized power, this is not the best approach. The complexities of different cultures, languages, governmental systems, education, laws, economics, relationship building, and other issues cannot be best done and managed at the international level but the Regional one. The international agreements should be for support and mechanisms to resolve the inevitable conflicts.
-*B. There are several ways of characterizing the bio and environmental threats of an area. An adaptation of Bio Safety Level threats, or the more informal Hot zone, Warm Zone, Cold zone – though with a global threat there is no such thing as a Cold Zone. The world is all Warm Zone with multiple Hot Spots.
-C. As complex as any area will be, the complications that will hinder or facilitate operations are the parademic attitudes, how people think and will behave in relation to the containment and control. In today’s world it is rare that an attitude toward operations is monolithic for any region, though one can dominate an area with the hazard that a whole population will be treated as if they all have the same attitude.
-D. At the start of an accelerated biocalamity it should be assumed that the parademic attitude of an area is uncertain. Even if there is recent history of how people behaved in analogous situations, there can always be factors than can change attitudes of an area to policies and actions, to include toward who is providing the containment and control, and to what degree the myphysis is perceived as a threat. This depends on if operations are perceived to threaten or enhance employment, political issues, funding, business, beliefs, demographics, safety, status quo – essentially if the costs are worth the benefits. It does not matter if the perception is real or not, if it is believed to be true people will behave as if it is true. Manipulation of perception and information is part of the intent behind disinformation campaigns. Over time attitudes are likely to change with frustration of no direct evidence of a threat, indicating the program is a success but its success decreases the perceived need for the protection, and how long it is taking, and the costs of protective measures.
-E. In general the public attitude is either hostile to the operators or operational theory hindering compliance and the operations, or supportive to facilitate compliance and operations, but not necessarily friendly to the operators or the operation itself. These are nuanced with passive and active behaviors. There will also be emergent behaviors that are contrary to the larger attitude but having outsized effects, if there is valid or invalid information, and changes that are made as the operation learns how to better deal with the biodisaster and community. Unfortunately changes can have deleterious impact on trust that are based on unrealistic expectations and absolutist beliefs.
-F. It is best to keep abreast of attitudes before acceleration, to already have developed trusted sources of crisis communication, to have already started programs to inform and educate, and have practice at adapting to changes in attitudes and behaviors. After acceleration beliefs and attitudes can be monitored through official statements (especially those contrary to fact), social media, graffiti, political cartoons, rumor, and other indicators of changing and emerging attitudes The goal is not not to change beliefs and attitudes (folk theory*G) but behaviors. It is always possible to nudge common grounds in directions that are more beneficial, without having to have agreement with one’s own attitudes and beliefs.
-*G. A folk theory is a belief based on received wisdom, rather than concrete evidence, knowledge, or facts. It’s a sibling to conventional wisdom, a cousin to old wives’ tale, and a next door neighbor to “common sense. A folk theory is, in essence, the average person’s perception of how a complicated system operates – what makes intuitive sense to them as a somewhat removed observer.
**The Craziest Mask Incidents of the Pandemic. **200820-CV27.
-I. MORE: #Document Covid-19 Pandemic Operational Guidance All Hazards Incident Response and Recovery, a bit late getting this out as the information was available before CV, to include that there were disaster exercises where people would have to operate on line from home, have PPE if in the field, and up to 40% of the disaster workforce unavailable due to a disease outbreak.
-2. Not directly related to CV, but more general ideas about humor that are applicable to the current milieu and the various form of humor expressed during CV. Satire’s Corrective Function: Jon Stewart and Post Modern, Generative Satire, Jon Stewart is also the first person to use “Fake News”. Public Journalism Is a Joke: The Case for Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert. 200822-CV02.
-A. Humorous Treatment of Actuality. A close reading of the humor and irony used in Michael Moore's feature documentaries; Roger and Me, Bowling for Columbine and Sicko. Based on existing theories on humor and the documentary, my analysis is a reading of carefully chosen scenes to illustrate the different methods used to create humor and irony, as well as a attempt to describe why we laugh at these particular scenes.
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