Parademic

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201031

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201031 EDIT

CV01. Protection: Halloween, CV01.1. Off the Prevention Wagon, CV04. Politics: British Lockdown, CV05. Economics: Tupperware, CV10. Spirituality, Philosophy: Crystals, Magical Healing, CV21. Syndemic, Concurrent Disasters: Drugs, CV31. Futuring: Worse to Come

PDN Introduction.

CV01. Protection: Super Spooky: Halloween Trick or Treating amid Covid-19, normally she would answer her door and put candy in the outstretched hands of costumed trick or treaters, but this year she will be shooting sweets through a 10 foot long (3 meter) pipe. [Cartoon =2= =3= =4= Strip]. Feeling Scared about How Your Kids Can Enjoy Halloween this Year. Have No Fear – Healthy Snacks Are Here. No Rick or Treating: Halloween Is Cancelled for England's High Risk Areas. Halloween in 2020: Some Fun with Death and Fear, Anyone. Tips For Celebrating Halloween During The Coronavirus Pandemic, Country To Experience Rare Halloween Full Moon ^CV02. 2020 Not Scary Enough. Try a Haunted Car Wash ^CV07. Covid and Halloween Aren't a Good Match. How Do I Keep My Kid Safe Without Ruining His Day. This Is How Wuhan, China, Is Celebrating Halloween 201025-CV24.

            -A. ADDED Illegal Halloween Party with Nearly 400 People Shut down by Deputies in NYC. Thousands in Utah Attended Halloween Rave to Protest Coronavirus Rules.

            CV01.1. Covid-19: 2 Predictors Point to Why People Fall off the Prevention Bandwagon. One is perceived susceptibility – how likely do you think you are to get a disease. The second is perceived severity – if you do get it, how bad do you think it will it be.

CV04. Politics: Laura Kuenssberg Lashes out at Boris over New Coronavirus Lockdown 'What Took You So Long'. Doomsday Warning of 50,000 Cases and 200 Deaths per Day Proves Accurate. Wales Firebreak to End Regardless of England Lockdown.

CV05. Economics: Tupperware Profits Soar as Pandemic Shut Ins Store Leftovers. Tupperware relied on social gatherings for explosive growth in the mid 20^th century. In the 21^st century, it is social distancing that is fueling sales.

CV10. Spirituality, Philosophy: American Anxiety Drives a Crystal Boom: People Are Looking for Healing. The Coronavirus pandemic and a bitter election season have helped sales of goods associated with metaphysical wellness to soar

CV21. Syndemic, Concurrent Disasters: Has Drug Problem Worsened under Covid-19. No, Covid Isn’t Driving Americans to Drink. Here’s Why Not.

CV31. Futuring: Escaping the Era of Pandemics: Experts Warn Worse Crises to Come Options Offered to Reduce Risk.

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201030

CV01. Protection: Germany, Inter Generation Conflict, CV03. Information: Government Hidden Data,  CV05. Economics: Life After Business Shutdown, CV12. Personal, Relationships: Shopping Trip, Normal, CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Conspiracy More Influential than Science, CV20. Communication: Address Antivax, Don't Dismiss, CV21. Syndemic, Concurrent Disasters: Air Pollution, CV27. Learning: Florida, Suing Over Masks, 800,000 Cases, CV28. Logistics: State Hoarding Masks, Keeping from Those Who Need Them, CV31. Futuring: Canada 2022, CV33. Legal: Revenge Porn, Escalation

PDN Introduction.

CV01. Protection: Germany Sees Generational Conflict Over Pandemic As Virus Spreads. Berlin already imposed closing hours to its nightlife for the first time in decades as Germany's leader asked youth to think of their grandparents.

CV03. Information: Internal Documents Reveal Covid-19 Hospitalization Data the Government Keeps Hidden. Where are hospitals reaching capacity. Which metro areas are running out of beds. Federal agencies collect and analyze this information in detail but don't share it with the public. ADDED Someone's Leaked the Covid-19 Hospitalization Data That Trump's Kept under Wraps.

CV05. Economics: 3 Small Business Owners on Life after Shutting Down, part of my identity is gone.

CV12. Personal, Relationships: We went into town yesterday for our shopping to get things we can’t get in the local area, or are too costly. Noticed that most people were wearing masks inside, or had them around their neck when outside and away from other people. Did observed one individual with his mask over his chin, but people simply stayed away from him and he pushed the cart and watched the kids while his masked wife did the shopping. It all seemed very normal ^CV24.

CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Conspiracy Theories about the Origins of Covid-19 Outweigh Science's Influence.

CV20. Communication: Why Scientists and Public Health Officials Need to Address Vaccine Mistrust Instead of Dismissing It.

CV21. Syndemic, Concurrent Disasters: Studies Link Covid-19 Deaths to Air Pollution, Raising Questions about EPA’s Acceptable Risk.

CV27. Learning: Florida Parents Sue School Board over Mandate That Requires Students to Wear Masks. Florida Coronavirus: Infections Pass 800,000 with Biggest Jump in New Cases in 2 Months. I wonder if there is a correlation.

CV28. Logistics: State Mask Stockpiling Orders Are Hurting Nursing Homes, Small Clinics.

CV31. Futuring: A Time Traveller’s Look at Canada and Covid from 2022. The good news is there will be a basic income and better care. But after two years, the pandemic will still be with us.

CV32. Anthromes: Now That More Americans Can Work from Anywhere, Many Are Planning to Move Away.

CV33. Legal: Revenge Porn Was Already Commonplace. The Pandemic Has Made Things Even Worse. ^{CV11 CV19}.

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201028

CV01. Protection: Flu Vaccine Surge, CV05. Economics: Australia, Vaccine Anxiety, CV05.1. Used Car Prices, CV11. Exploitation: Rise of Sexual Violence, CV12. Personal, Relationships: Relative Lockdown Schisms, CV15. Death: Philippines, Cemetery Visit Rush Before Day of Dead, CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Dangerous Optimism, CV19. Technosphere: Satellites, Yemen Deaths, CV21. Syndemic, Concurrent Disasters: Ecological Dimension, CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Russia Military Doctors, CV23.1. Protecting Vaccines from Antivax, CV25. Movement: Italy, Mass Transportation Spread, CV33. Legal: Mexico, Getting Wills

PDN Introduction.

CV01. Protection: U.S. Pharmacies Attract New Flu Shot Customers as Coronavirus Surges. It is possible that there will be a shortage of flu shots. In my own area ^CV12 there are no longer any flu shots available for those over 60.

CV05. Economics: Australia's Star Vaccine Maker Not Immune to Virus Anxiety. The coronavirus pandemic has lifted CSL Ltd’s investment profile, virus anxieties are also hitting its most lucrative business: taking blood from donors and converting it into medical treatment.

            -CV05.1. A Pandemic Sticker Shock: Used Car Prices Are Through the Roof. Add used car values to the list of things turned topsy turvy in 2020. Prices for used cars, trucks and SUVs rose remarkably all summer long as demand far outstripped supply.

CV11. Exploitation: Sexually Exploited Women Report 62% Rise in Sexual Violence During Covid Pandemic.

CV12. Personal, Relationships: UK Lockdown Rules Have Led to Relatives Refusing to Speak to Each Other.

CV15. Death: Filipinos Flock to Cemeteries Ahead of Day of the Dead Closure.

CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Why Optimism Can Be Dangerous During a Pandemic. For those of us who insist on seeing the glass half full, even when the miserable brigade point out that it’s also half empty, Covid-19 poses particular challenges.

            -A. In regular times, our relentless optimism wins us friends and provides us with a host of benefits including higher levels of wellbeing, increased resilience and better health. Normally, the only downsides relate to minor setbacks when things don’t turn out the way we would like and the mild irritation of grumpy colleagues when we’re chirpy at work.

            -B. Now, things are very different. During a pandemic, we need to act as though it’s likely we will get Covid-19 in order to keep ourselves safe and avoid spreading the disease to others. So what is an optimist to do.

CV19. Technosphere: Grave Counting Satellite Images Seek to Track Yemen's Covid Death Toll ^CV15.

CV21. Syndemic, Concurrent Disasters: Syndemic Responses to Covid-19 Should Include an Ecological Dimension. Covid-19 should be addressed as a syndemic of biological and social interactions. Studies have found that widespread anthropogenic ecosystem degradation has played a crucial role in explaining why the rate of emergence of zoonoses has been increasing over the past 40 years. For example, deforestation, intensified agriculture and livestock production, and climate change have been linked to the emergence of Ebola virus, HIV, Nipah virus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, and Zika virus. Unless reversed, the anthropogenic destruction of habitats will probably lead to the continued emergence of new zoonoses from the estimated 700 000 other unidentified viruses with zoonotic potential. ^CV27.

CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Russia Sends Army Doctors to Help Covid Fight in Urals. 201027-CV01.

            -A. ADDED Russia Experiencing Shortage of Doctors as Covid-19 Cases Surge, Says Kremlin. Hospital Beds, Oxygen Run Short in Russia's Regions as Covid-19 Cases Surge.

            CV23.1. UK Armed Police and Soldiers on Standby to Guard Vaccine from Antivaxxers.

CV25. Movement: Public Transport Seen as Major Culprit for Italy Coronavirus Surge.

CV33. Legal: In Land of Manana, Pandemic Sparks Rush for Wills. Fear of dying from the Coronavirus is finally get people around to doing what many Mexicans had put off until the pandemic struck – making a will. While Mexicans happily accept a gift of a sugar skull with their name on it for the Day of the Dead celebration, they are less comfortable talking about matters of inheritance when it comes to discussions of death. ^CV15. 201021-CV33.

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201027

CV01. Protection: Russia, CV02. Humor: 2020 Predictions, CV03. Information: Google New Tool, CV05. Economics: Plants, Wanted and Hard to Sell, CV16. Consequences, Social Change: Japan's Demographics, CV19. Technology Saving Schools, CV28. Logistics: Medical Supply Chains, JIT, CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Sweden

PDN Introduction.

CV01. Protection: Putin Mandates Face Masks as Russia Combats Second Covid-19 Wave. Reality Bites for Putin's Much Hyped Covid-19 Vaccine, as Concerns over Efficacy and Safety Linger.

            -A. ADDED Russia's Coronavirus Situation Continuing to Deteriorate, Says Deputy PM. 201028-CV23. Moscow Extends Remote Working, Online Learning Covid-19 Restrictions: Mayor.

CV02. Humor: CV02. Madame Vivelda - Saturday Night Live, a group of friends in 2019 receive a grim psychic reading from psychic ^CV03↓ ^CV31.

CV03. Information: Google Releases New Tools for Journalists – and Shares Insider Insight on What’s Trending on the Search Platform. This tool also outdates the current method ^CV30 of parademic. The parademic listibase is now a method to learn the associated skills and practice, it is no longer a convenient collection about human factors to provide an informing context for planning and decisions. This does not negate parademic as a field of study but adds another tools and if anything like parademic becomes a discipline will force it to move into direct observation in the field, not the current one off filters through agendas that are not parademic. ^CV02↑.

CV05. Economics: Plants Are in Demand, but it Hasn’t Been Easy for the Stores That Sell Them.

CV16. Consequences, Social Change: Coronavirus Pandemic Deepens Japan's Demographic Crisis. Tumbling numbers of pregnancies and marriages in Japan during the Coronavirus pandemic are likely to intensify a demographic crisis in the rapidly ageing nation.

CV19. Technosphere: How Creative Use of Technology May Have Helped Save Schooling During the Pandemic ^CV27.

CV28. Logistics: Bipartisan Lawmakers Call for Overhauling Medical Supply Chains. Congress Has Left States Woefully Unprepared to Deliver a Covid-19 Vaccine, States Need Billions to Prepare for Covid-19 Vaccines. The Federal Government Isn’t Helping ^CV04. It is not just the feds, but hospitals using Just In Time delivery, which was identified as a vulnerability years ago.

CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Sweden Reports Record Daily Rise in New Covid-19 Cases. | Here's What Australians in Sweden Think about the Country's Controversial Coronavirus Approach. Sweden, Which Refused Lockdown During Covid First Wave, Imposes Restrictions as Cases Soar. Sweden's Coronavirus Strategy: Has Culture of Conformity Saved the Country from Covid Fatigue. Sweden Tells Elderly to End Isolation Even as New Virus Cases Rise. 201014-CV29A. ADDED Sweden Sets New Daily Covid-19 Case Record as Infections Surge.

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201026

CV01. Protection: Rising Numbers, CV05. Economics: Costs Working from Home, CV10. Spirituality, Philosophy: Contact Quote, CV15. Death: Utah, Rationing Care, Triage, CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Would Most People Avoid Vaccine, CV21. Syndemic, Concurrent Disasters: California, Fire Evacuation, Shelters in Hotzone, CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Military Logistical Support, CV23.1. Hospital Cyberattacks

PDN Introduction.

CV01. Protection: U.S. Hits Record Coronavirus Cases 2 Days in a Row ^CV02 =2=. Coronavirus Deaths Are Rising Again in the US, as Feared. In Rural America, Resentment over Covid-19 Shutdowns Is Colliding with Rising Case Numbers.

            -A. ADDED Here’s How Long the CDC Says it Would Take to Control the Coronavirus Pandemic If Everyone Did What They Should.  Fauci on Latest Surge: No Matter How You Look at It, It's Not Good News. Fauci Says U.S. Not 'Turning the Corner' in Covid Crisis as Trump Claimed at Debate.

            -B. ADDED White House Science Office Says Trump Ended Covid-19 Pandemic as US Hits Record Cases, As Cases Soar, Trump Declares Pandemic Ending, White House Lists Ending Covid-19 Pandemic as an Accomplishment Despite Cases Spiking to Record Levels, Trump’s Covid Task Force Is Livid over the Trump White House’s ‘We Ended Covid’ Report. Trump Claims Doctors Are Overcounting Covid-19 Deaths to Make More Money; Physician Groups Say Otherwise, Trump Says Midwest Heated up with Coronavirus Cases. Trump Pitches an Alternate Reality as Coronavirus Troubles Deepen. [Cartoon =2=].

CV05. Economics: Americans Fear Rising Cost of Working from Home as Pandemic Continues. 200904-CV16.

CV10. Spirituality, Philosophy: You're an interesting species. An interesting mix. You're capable of such beautiful dreams, and such horrible nightmares. You feel so lost, so cut off, so alone, only you're not. See, in all our searching, the only thing we've found that makes the emptiness bearable, is each other. – Carl Sagan, Contact

CV15. Death: Utah Hospitals Could Start Rationing Health Care at Overwhelmed Facilities, Hospital Association Says. Presumably rationing is a euphemism for triage 200703-CV15.2, meaning that there are not enough resources to give everyone lifesaving care.

CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Would Most People Say No to a Covid-19 Vaccine. Headline in the Dallas Morning News clearly states that "Most say no to Covid-19 vaccine," the actual story says that: 49% are likely to take a Covid-19 vaccine, 27% are unlikely to take it, 23% are undecided - they are neither likely nor unlikely. Check my math, but in their poll, it seems that the overwhelming majority of people are in favor of getting vaccinated and protected - 49% (likely) vs 27% (unlikely).

CV21. Syndemic, Concurrent Disasters: 60,000 People Ordered to Evacuate Irvine, Calif., as Wildfire Spreads. This city in located in Orange County which has been a CV hotspot and only recently moved down a restriction level, That many people moving to evacuation centers, friends, relatives, with smoky conditions, could cause a major uptick in CV.

CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Military to Play Logistics Only Role in Covid-19 Vaccine Effort ^CV28. U.S. military personnel won't be administering any Covid-19 vaccines to the American people once the vaccines are approved for use, probably to avoid the implication of forced vaccination. The U.S. military will lend it's experienced hand in logistics to ensure the vaccine is available across the nation. That effort involves things such as needles, syringes, swabs, adhesive bandages, dry ice and trucks. This logistical support will certainly help but even combined with private and other logistics will be insufficient to cover the whole country quickly, and will be easily thwarted by resistance. There is also the assumption that DoD and National Guard will have the personnel to provide logistical support as well facilities, Texas Governor Requests Use of El Paso Area Military Hospital for non Covid-19 Patients as Cases Surge.

            -A. ADDED Why Will the U.S. Military Deliver Vaccines to States. The only reason I can come up with is that it sounds neat and sexy to say the United States military will deliver the vaccines. There is far more that aircraft for vaccine medical logistics, but the point is taken that the military is supporting not performing the vaccinations.

            CV23.1. Hospitals Brace for More Cyberattacks as Coronavirus Cases Rise. 200928-CV23. ADDED With 500,000 cases in the last week that could become quite a problem, and will cover more than hospitals, but will include insurance, dispatch, devices, finance, and that does not include the disinformation campaigns and paranoia.

Parademic Database Week Notes Ending 201025 Inductive

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201019, 201020, 201021, 201022, 201023, 201024, 201025

Read This First, Glossary

-1. Inductive, 2. Environmental Change Evolution, 3. Elite Citadels

-1. Due to the multiple aspects of parademic the method used for analysis tends to be Inductive, involving wholism (whole of society =2=), free association, taking a wide range of observations from open sources (not always clearly connected) to develop generalizations, concepts and hypothesis. The more commonly known Deductive method tend to be compartmented, specialized, and narrow in scope to be tested with the intent of achieving the same result.

            -A. The separation between Inductive and Deductive is a false division. Both can use the scientific method, but also use SLAI RIDE (story making), and both tend to use aspects of the other. The difference is not always discernable, which is why people (scientific, lay, myth makers) can come to different conclusions with the same observations and data. This use of the same tool also makes it difficult for one perspective to sway the opposing perspective that it is in error, and continue to maintain their interpretation.

            -B. In today’s world scientific Inductive collection, analysis and synthesis is possible because information can be digitized. One merely needs a search string (and variations of the string, to include variations in spelling) to locate information related to a topic. The order of reports, collection, conclusions, when occurred and the category placed under no longer is a hindrance to assembling material into meaningful patterns rather that apophenia.

            -C. Technically PDN and PDWN and not databases where information can be selected within given parameters and compared or contrasted to other data. The term Listibase (combination of listicle and database) is used. Original information can be found, but more analysis is required to identify more questions on what is not answered – for example what happened before the incident and/or event, and what happened afterwards – and then being able to search the Internet or other information sources (preferably people with direct knowledge, or gathered from those source) for more materials.

            -D. With Induction an indicator that one is near having sufficient information is when the information is contradictory, quite different from Deduction where consistent outcomes are desired.

            -E. The synthesis of Inductive information into a useable product can be very time consuming, and its application of following biocalamities and parademics requires a wide and multidisciplined practice of collection, analysis and synthesis of to have any hope of being able to offer interpretations that can shape informed policy and decisions that suit the current circumstances. Circumstances can change rapidly, or persist in spite of a seminal change. The same place, same bioagent, same community, but happening the following day can be very different with just a small addition or subtraction, or can remain the same despite changes of place, bioagent and in the community.

-2. To Adapt to a Changing Environment 400,000 Years Ago, Early Humans Developed New Tools and Behaviors. Extreme environmental changes rocked the East African Rift Valley. Fresh water periodically dried up, and vast grasslands faded away – taking with them the large grazing animals hunted by early humans. But ecological instability didn’t drive people out of the region or into extinction. Instead, it sparked them to adapt with major leaps forward in their behavior and culture. Early humans developed more sophisticated stone tools and weapons, expanded trade networks, and even evidenced the growth of symbolic communication. Turbulent Environment Set the Stage for Leaps in Human Evolution and Technology 320,000 Years Ago.

            -A. This supports the narrative that mankind will survive the current biocalamaties as they accelerate. Maybe so, except these humans were not homo sap who would not appear for another 100,000 years in the fossil record, the changes were not anthropogenic, the environmental change was not global or as rapid as current changes, disease was not what was being adapted to, and these early homo lived in small bands of 10 to 50 and literally walked everywhere. The counternarrative is The World Is Woefully Unprepared for Climate Driven Natural Disasters.

-3. Climate Protected Citadels, Virtual Worlds Only for the Privileged: Is this the Future of Inequality. Imagine visiting the Europe of 2048. The cities are strangely silent. Desperate communities in Paris, London and Berlin struggle in the shadow of hollowed out buildings. The once popular coastal resorts have also been abandoned, as rises in sea level have taken their toll. Heading out to rural areas, you find where the fortunate few have gone: shining citadels, high tech gated communities designed to protect residents from the ravages of climate change and ongoing pandemics.

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201025

CV09. Arts, Creativity: Greek Myths, CV16. Consequences, Social Change: Philippines, Home Births, CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Out of Control, CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Media Will Stop Reporting After Election, Fear Mongering, Ebola, CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Germany, Attacks and Protests, CV24. Norms: Halloween, CV27. Learning: Exaggerated School Risks, CV28. Logistics: Canada, Will Not Last Till Christmas, CV31. Futuring: Devastation and Mask Mandates

PDN Introduction.

CV09. Arts, Creativity: Drawing on Greek Myths as Inspiration for Illustrating Life During the Pandemic.

CV16. Consequences, Social Change: The Philippines Has a Policy Against Home Births. It's Not Playing Well in a Pandemic.

CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: White House Chief of Staff: We Are Not Going to Control the Pandemic. This is not in line the the main thrust of White House narratives ^{CV18 CV20}, 201023-CV04.

            -A. ADDED We’re Not Going to Control the Pandemic: White House Chief’s Comments Undermine Trump’s Message. Biden: Meadows Coronavirus Remark a 'Candid Acknowledgement' of Trump Strategy 'To Wave the White Flag'. Murphy Says US Would Be 'Better Off' If Trump Admin 'Did Nothing' on Coronavirus. The Trump Administration Has Surrendered to the Pandemic.

            -B. ADDED Meadows Doubles down on White House Pandemic Response: We're Not Going to Control It, "We're going to defeat the virus; we're not going to control it", not sure how to defeat (annihilate) something without controlling it, this may have been the intended message from the start but indicate that WH is not communicating ^CV20 with itself (possible artefact of chaos within the WH as per the president’s style), and its language is drifting further from US English. Gaffes Put Spotlight on Meadows at Tough Time for Trump. US Health Official Says Pandemic Clearly Can Be Controlled. Trump Breaks with Meadows, Says He Hasn’t Given up on Controlling Virus. Why Mixed Messaging Can Erode Trust in Institutions.

CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Why Trump's Latest Conspiracy Theory Can't Stick, he claimed the media would no longer report on the pandemic after Election Day. He implied that news organizations are trying to drum up fear about the pandemic to get former Vice President Joe Biden elected. He may be confusing the politically motivated fear mongering about Ebola which stopped after 2014 elections, How American Politicians Are Fear Mongering Their Way to Success at the Polls [Meme].

            -A. ADDED Trump’s Closing Argument Before the Election Is Covid-19 Is a Media Conspiracy. It’s Killed 225,000 in the US. Trump Claims the Worsening U.S. Coronavirus Outbreak Is a Fake News Media Conspiracy Even as Hospitalizations Rise.

CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Germany’s Infectious Disease Institute Targeted in Arson Attempt, Police Say. Several assailants attacked Germany’s Robert Koch Institute for infectious diseases with incendiary devices overnight, causing mild damage to the building. What is of more interest is that most of the articles that had this headline in search engines went to very different stories. Unknown why but one possibility is to suppress the story to not encourage more such attacks. 201010-CV32 -A.

            -A. Germany: Thousands Protest Against Covid-19 Rules in Berlin, which has one of the nation's highest infection rates, has seen repeated anti coronavirus protests. The rally was timed to coincide with the opening of a major health conference. 201010-CV32 -A. Germany: Coronavirus Protests Increasing Anti Semitism. Did Millions of Anti Maskers and QAnon Supporters March in Germany. Germany's Virus Response Won Plaudits. But Protests over Vaccines and Masks Show It's a Victim of its Own Success. 200828-CV01B.

CV24. Norms: How Families Are Keeping Halloween from Turning into a Covid Nightmare. Americans Load Up on Candy, Trick or Treat – or Not. A Connecticut Man's Halloween Display Features Real Life Horrors: The Coronavirus and Black Lives Lost. Halloween Isn't Technically Canceled, but it Will Look a Lot Different this Year. CDC Issues Covid-19 Halloween Guide: If Screaming Will Occur, Greater Social Distancing Advised. From Wider Corn Mazes to Virtual Haunted Houses, Halloween Looks Different This Year. Halloween Canceled at Nevada Governor’s Mansion over Virus. [Cartoon =2= =3=, Photo]. A Pandemic Halloween. Salem, Mass., Says Stay Away If You Know What's Good for You this Halloween. Do We Have to Toss Halloween out the Window this Year, Too. Public Health Experts Give Some Guidelines. White House Halloween Event Sunday Tweaked for Coronavirus, Trumps to Host Halloween at White House Despite Coronavirus. Halloween Festivities Called off at Indiana Governor’s Home. 200923-CV24, 200916-CV05A, 200822-CV14, 200723-CV31, 200507-CV15.

            -A. Changes to and cancellation of Thanksgiving and Christmas events have also been noted in open sources. Will do a stub closer to those dates with collected items not yet put in PDN or noting the stubs that do mention those holidays.

CV27. Learning: Are the Risks of Reopening Schools Exaggerated. Same issue as 201023-CV25. A crash/ outbreak is unlikely, but when it does happen will be a large event, one that attracts media attention. Unlike plane crashes that are sudden and spectacular and school outbreak is slow and can last for weeks as it expands. Same applies to in person religious gatherings, weddings, Trump rallies ADDED=2=. Everything is fine until it isn’t. In addition, switching between remote learning and in person learning is disruptive to education, even it an outbreak does not occur. Not ideal but best solution is when there are means to protect and provide immunity is probably the time to switch back to class rooms, though eventually that will die out for the same reasons that the advantages of remote work are proving to outweigh in office. ADDED Group Sees 14% Increase in Child Covid-19 Cases with Close to 800,000 US Kids Infected.

CV28. Logistics: Quebec Health System Headed for Massive Burnout in Pandemic, Expert Warns: We Will Not Last until Christmas.

CV31. Futuring: White House Coronavirus Response Coordinator Says Future Looks Devastating Right Now. Fauci Says it Might Be Time to Mandate Masks as Covid-19 Surges Across US.

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201024

CV04. Politics: North Korea, China Dust, CV05. Economics: Poverty Pandemic, Food Insecurity, CV07. Emergence: Lady of Guadalupe, Providing Food, CV08. Entertainment, Recreation: Funds for Kansas Soccer Camera, CV09. Arts, Creativity: Lives Lost, CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Using Flu to Inflate Numbers, CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Frozen Fish Food, CV27. Learning: Mom Code, Don't Test Children, CV28. Logistics: Drug Shortages, CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Keeping Visa Doctors

PDN Introduction.

CV04. Politics: North Korea Says China Dust Could Spread Covid-19, Warns People to Stay Inside. Unusual for N Korea to make such a claim against China. Possibly there is already widespread CV and this gives an a priori explanation for a sudden outbreak, and will allow N Korea to accept help.

CV05. Economics: The Pandemic Is Plunging Millions Back into Extreme Poverty. Not only were we unprepared for a pandemic, but we were also unprepared for the non disease consequences of a pandemic. The revelation that the metrics used to measure a strong economy will probably not be corrected right away. So much related to money are imaginaries and social constructs/ fictions, that identifying all the assumptions and flaws that don’t consider reality will take years to identify, and more years to overcome resistance to create something better.

            -A. Food insecurity, and related exploitation & crime, will be one of the most harmful aspects of this secondary endemic, Did a Church Close its Food Bank Because it Attracts Poor People. ^CV07A↓. ADDED UK Doctors Demand Free Meals for Kids as Covid Fuels Hunger.

CV07. Emergence: With Our Lady of Guadalupe, a California Priest Brings Hope to Farmworkers amid Covid-19. A farmworker who has worked in the fields of California for five years, would normally go to church pray to Our Lady of Guadalupe =2= =3=, but hasn’t been able to do so since many churches closed down due to the coronavirus pandemic.

            -A. She and other farmworkers in Moorpark were able to reconnect with the Virgin of Guadalupe Friday thanks to Father Juan Ochoa, from the Archdiocese of Los Angeles. He wanted to thank farmworkers for the nonstop labor they’ve been doing during the pandemic. He brought an image of the Virgin of Guadalupe blessed by late Pope John Paul II and gifted to the Archdiocese two decades ago. The Virgin of Guadalupe paraded the fields of Moorpark alongside mariachis singing “Madre Mía De Guadalupe” and another religious image depicting San Juan Diego, the first Catholic Indigenous saint from the Americas. We bring these images outside the churches to thank these farmers who are feeding us. ^CV05A↑. [Photo].

CV08. Entertainment, Recreation: $350,000 in Federal Covid-19 Relief Funds Are Being Directed to a Soccer Complex in Kansas, Sparking Concerns over Inappropriate Spending, Kansas City Suburb Spends $350,000 in Covid Bailout Money on Cameras for Soccer Stadium. ^{CV05 CV33}.

CV09. Arts, Creativity: Incredible and Horrifying: Growing DC Art Exhibit Represents Lives Lost to Covid-19.

CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Claims That Flu Cases Are Used to Inflate Covid-19 Case Counts Are Misleading, Based on Inaccurate Numbers. Claim: “Flu cases down by 95%” between 2019 and 2020 for the weeks 40 to 41; flu is being diagnosed as Covid-19, leading to fewer flu cases being recorded. Unsupported: Health authorities have observed lower than usual flu activity in October 2020, which is generally the month in which flu season begins. The widespread adoption of public health measures to reduce the spread of Covid-19, such as wearing masks and physical distancing, are likely to have contributed in part to the lower flu activity observed this year as compared to previous years. However, scientists have also cautioned that preparing for the flu season is still important, due to the uncertainty posed by the novelty of the Covid-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the flu season has only just begun at the time of this review’s publication, hence it is premature to conclude that flu cases have indeed decreased compared to last year.

CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Covid-19 from Frozen Fish: Fascinoma*^A or Serious Risk. Do stories like this could ignite widespread fears of frozen food, and if so how to manage the story to minimize that risk. It’s a reasonable question. A June story about coronavirus on chopping boards used for imported salmon at a Beijing wholesale food market sparked fears across the country. Restaurants are still profoundly affected by the scare.

            -*A. Fascinoma: Medical slang for a fascinating case, usually involving a rare disease. When you hear hoofbeats behind you, don't expect to see a zebra.

CV27. Learning: Mom Code: Parents Reportedly Avoid Testing Kids to Keep Utah Covid-19 Numbers Artificially Low. The unwritten agreement to avoid testing their children for Covid-19 in an effort to keep schools open. ^CV12.

CV28. Logistics: Covid-19 Drug Shortages – and the Solutions. A new report lays out not only how the US drug supply chain has been vulnerable for years, but how those vulnerabilities are exacerbated by the Covid-19 pandemic. The report points out that 29 (72.5 percent) of the 40 critical drugs for Covid-19 patients are experiencing shortages.

CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Some Doctors Fighting the Pandemic Now Have Another Thing to Worry About. A proposed rule could make it more difficult to renew J-1 exchange visitor visas, which allow doctors to live temporarily in the US while they study or receive training.

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201024 EDIT

CV04. Politics: North Korea, China Dust, CV05. Economics: Poverty Pandemic, Food Insecurity, CV07. Emergence: Lady of Guadalupe, Providing Food, CV08. Entertainment, Recreation: Funds for Kansas Soccer Camera, CV09. Arts, Creativity: Lives Lost, CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Using Flu to Inflate Numbers, CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Frozen Fish Food, CV27. Learning: Mom Code, Don't Test Children, CV28. Logistics: Drug Shortages, CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Keeping Visa Doctors

PDN Introduction.

CV04. Politics: North Korea Says China Dust Could Spread Covid-19, Warns People to Stay Inside. Unusual for N Korea to make such a claim against China. Possibly there is already widespread CV and this gives an a priori explanation for a sudden outbreak, and will allow N Korea to accept help.

CV05. Economics: The Pandemic Is Plunging Millions Back into Extreme Poverty. Not only were we unprepared for a pandemic, but we were also unprepared for the non disease consequences of a pandemic. The revelation that the metrics used to measure a strong economy will probably not be corrected right away. So much related to money are imagineries and social constructs that identifying all the assumptions and flaws that don’t consider reality will take years to identify, and more years to overcome resistance to create something better.

            -A. Food insecurity, and related exploitation & crime, will be one of the most harmful aspects of this secondary endemic, Did a Church Close its Food Bank Because it Attracts Poor People. ^CV07A↓.

CV07. Emergence: With Our Lady of Guadalupe, a California Priest Brings Hope to Farmworkers amid Covid-19. A farmworker who has worked in the fields of California for five years, would normally go to church pray to Our Lady of Guadalupe =2= =3=, but hasn’t been able to do so since many churches closed down due to the coronavirus pandemic.

            -A. She and other farmworkers in Moorpark were able to reconnect with the Virgin of Guadalupe Friday thanks to Father Juan Ochoa, from the Archdiocese of Los Angeles. He wanted to thank farmworkers for the nonstop labor they’ve been doing during the pandemic. He brought an image of the Virgin of Guadalupe blessed by late Pope John Paul II and gifted to the Archdiocese two decades ago. The Virgin of Guadalupe paraded the fields of Moorpark alongside mariachis singing “Madre Mía De Guadalupe” and another religious image depicting San Juan Diego, the first Catholic Indigenous saint from the Americas. We bring these images outside the churches to thank these farmers who are feeding us. ^CV05A↑. [Photo].

CV08. Entertainment, Recreation: $350,000 in Federal Covid-19 Relief Funds Are Being Directed to a Soccer Complex in Kansas, Sparking Concerns over Inappropriate Spending, Kansas City Suburb Spends $350,000 in Covid Bailout Money on Cameras for Soccer Stadium. ^{CV05 CV33}.

CV09. Arts, Creativity: Incredible and Horrifying: Growing DC Art Exhibit Represents Lives Lost to Covid-19.

CV17. Uncertainty, Contradictions: Claims That Flu Cases Are Used to Inflate Covid-19 Case Counts Are Misleading, Based on Inaccurate Numbers. Claim: “Flu cases down by 95%” between 2019 and 2020 for the weeks 40 to 41; flu is being diagnosed as Covid-19, leading to fewer flu cases being recorded. Unsupported: Health authorities have observed lower than usual flu activity in October 2020, which is generally the month in which flu season begins. The widespread adoption of public health measures to reduce the spread of Covid-19, such as wearing masks and physical distancing, are likely to have contributed in part to the lower flu activity observed this year as compared to previous years. However, scientists have also cautioned that preparing for the flu season is still important, due to the uncertainty posed by the novelty of the Covid-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the flu season has only just begun at the time of this review’s publication, hence it is premature to conclude that flu cases have indeed decreased compared to last year.

CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Covid-19 from Frozen Fish: Fascinoma*^A or Serious Risk. Do stories like this could ignite widespread fears of frozen food, and if so how to manage the story to minimize that risk. It’s a reasonable question. A June story about coronavirus on chopping boards used for imported salmon at a Beijing wholesale food market sparked fears across the country. Restaurants are still profoundly affected by the scare.

            -*A. Fascinoma: Medical slang for a fascinating case, usually involving a rare disease. When you hear hoofbeats behind you, don't expect to see a zebra.

CV27. Learning: Mom Code: Parents Reportedly Avoid Testing Kids to Keep Utah Covid-19 Numbers Artificially Low. The unwritten agreement to avoid testing their children for Covid-19 in an effort to keep schools open. ^CV12.

CV28. Logistics: Covid-19 Drug Shortages – and the Solutions. A new report lays out not only how the US drug supply chain has been vulnerable for years, but how those vulnerabilities are exacerbated by the Covid-19 pandemic. The report points out that 29 (72.5 percent) of the 40 critical drugs for Covid-19 patients are experiencing shortages.

CV29. Responsibility, Decision Making: Some Doctors Fighting the Pandemic Now Have Another Thing to Worry About. A proposed rule could make it more difficult to renew J-1 exchange visitor visas, which allow doctors to live temporarily in the US while they study or receive training.

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201023

CV01. Protection: Mouthwash, CV04. Politics: Presidential Debate, CV08. Entertainment, Recreation: Ice Rinks Closed, CV14. Uncategorized, Miscellaneous: Austria TP Stamps, CV16. Consequences, Social Change: Birth, Marriage, Gender, CV19. Technosphere: WHO Wikipedia, CV22. Longue Duree: Public/ Private Worship, CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Latin America Unrest, CV25. Movement: Flight, Low Chance yet Big Harm

PDN Introduction.

CV01. Protection: Mouthwashes, Oral Rinses May Inactivate Human Coronaviruses. Certain oral antiseptics and mouthwashes may have the ability to inactivate human coronaviruses, according to a new study. The results indicate that some of these products might be useful for reducing the viral load, or amount of virus, in the mouth after infection and may help to reduce the spread of SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus that causes Covid-19. Penn State Study Says Mouthwash Can Kill Coronavirus – in Lab Dishes. Human Trials Are Next. No, Mouthwash Will Not Save You from the Coronavirus – – Despite That Study Going Around.

            -A. No information yet if anyone has injured themselves or if sales of mouthwash have gone up. With any new information, even from reliable sources always read the whole article and follow up articles. What You Really Need to Know about Covid-19 & Mouthwash.

CV04. Politics: It Just Went Away: Trump Used His Son’s Positive Covid-19 Test to Downplay the Pandemic. Trump on Covid-19: I Take Full Responsibility. It’s Not My Fault. Trump, Biden Clash over Coronavirus Response, Mounting Death Toll. As Trump Misleadingly Boasts of Rounding the Turn on Covid-19, Biden Warns of Dark Winter, ADDED Trump Has Said U.S. Is ‘Rounding the Turn’ on Coronavirus 36 of the Last 54 Days, 201016-CV04A. Healthy Enough to Debate, President Defiant on Questions about Covid-19. In Tamer Debate, Trump and Biden Clash (Again) on President’s Pandemic Response.

            -A. Totally under Control: Biden Campaign Launches 'Trump Covid Plan' Website to Criticize Pandemic Response, ADDED Did the White House Give Lesley Stahl a Blank Book of Trump’s Healthcare Accomplishments. Senate GOP to Drop Documentary Series Days Before Election Hitting China, Democrats over Coronavirus.

            -B. ADDED [Cartoon =2=]. Trump, Biden Final Arguments at Opposite Ends on Covid-19. Surging Coronavirus Colors White House Race in Closing Days.

CV08. Entertainment, Recreation: New England Ice Rinks Shut down after Coronavirus Case Clusters Emerge Linked to Hockey.

CV14. Uncategorized, Miscellaneous: Austria Prints a Postage Stamp to Remember Covid-19 By, on Toilet Paper, and that people can also use for social distancing.

CV16. Consequences, Social Change: Birthrates, Marriage, Gender Roles Will Change Dramatically in Post Pandemic World. Though the first three are likely it will be a long time before there is such a thing as a post pandemic world, possibly periods of dormancy but an end of pandemics is unlikely.

CV19. Technosphere: The World Health Organization and Wikimedia Foundation Expand Access to Trusted Information About Covid-19 on Wikipedia. A collaboration to expand the public’s access to the latest and most reliable information ^CV03 about Covid-19. The collaboration will make trusted, public health information available at a time when countries face continuing resurgences of Covid-19 and social stability increasingly depends on the public’s shared understanding of the facts. Through the collaboration, people everywhere will be able to access and share WHO infographics, videos, and other public health assets on Wikimedia Commons, a digital library of free images and other multimedia.

CV22. Longue Duree: Covid-19 Has Shone a Light on the Millennia Old Balance Between Public and Private Worship ^CV25↓.

CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: IMF Concerned over Post Covid Social Unrest Across Latin America.

CV25. Movement: A Large National Outbreak of Covid-19 Linked to Air Travel, Ireland, Summer 2020. This is a mistake that has appeared consistently during CV. Low Probability but High Consequence Events. There may only be a 1% chance of getting CV, higher if one is in some social situations, but once one has it one has 100% chance of spreading – unless immediately quarantining and then going into isolation if they become infectious – it to someone else, who will have 100% chance of spreading it and so on. This process can take weeks but eventually there will be a wide spread ^CV22↑. 201018-CV25.

            -A. Air Travel High: TSA Screens 1 Million for 1^st Time Since March, TSA Screens over 1 Million Passengers for First Time since March ^CV02. Do Masks on Plane Flights Really Cut Your Risk of Catching Covid-19. Covid-19 Continues to Make Flying a Risky Proposition. Risk of Inflight Spread of Covid-19 Very Low, Not Zero: WHO. 201018-CV25A.

CV Pandemic Daily Notes 201022

CV05. Economics: Million Dollar Home Sales, CV06. Linguistics: Zipfing Covid-19, CV09. Arts, Creativity: Isolation Rag, CV13. Outliers: Clusters, CV15. Death: Florida's Questionable Mortality Numbers, CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Reinventing Antivax, CV20. Communication: Lying Does Not Avoid Panic, CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Russia Continues Disinformation, CV24. Norms: Women Unemployment, CV28. Logistics: Germany, Hoarding, CV33. Legal: Illinois, Police Patrols to Quell Surge

PDN Introduction.

CV05. Economics: Housing Boom: Sales of Million Dollar Homes Double. The pandemic is driving a major boom in the housing market that's records and exposing a very uneven economic recovery between the haves and the have nots. Millions of people are working from home while juggling their kids' remote schooling. Many who can afford to are buying bigger houses. If the trend continues, the country will see a further "divergence in society where you have the haves, with homeownership gaining their equity, and those people who would like to become homeowners continually being frustrated, unable to reach that goal of owning a home. 201011-CV32, 200630-CV18.

CV06. Linguistics: Have noted that Covid-19 is gradually disappearing as a word, replaced with Covid or Coronavirus. This would seem to violate Zipf’s law, except that the written sources I see may have a two stroke macro, so the length of the word no longer matters, while is continued frequency of use demands a bit of variety to avoid being dismissed. The term Chinese Virus appears to be idiosyncratic, and a dog whistle for a small minority, rarely used in public media.

CV09. Arts, Creativity: Writing the “Isolation Rag” – a Composer Reflects on His Experience Making Music During a Pandemic. Gil Shaham - Isolation Rag.

CV13. Outliers: Communities with Covid-19 Clusters to Get Asterisk on Health Reports. The weekly town risk map will identify if a municipality's positive cases have been significantly impacted by a clearly identified cluster.

            -A. Clusters are an important concept in epidemiology and parademic. The concern that an isolated cluster may skew a whole community as being red or not is legitimate, but misses the point. The infections, whether a pathogen or ideology had to enter what became the cluster from somewhere at some time, and it likely moved beyond the cluster before the cluster was identified and contact tracing completed. Even if the cluster is isolated before hand, and quarantined immediately, there has to be sufficient time to verify that is has been contained. Officials Warn Families of Covid-19 Carpool Clusters.

CV15. Death: Florida’s Surgeon General Raises Questions about Covid-19 Death Data. 200722-CV29, 200613-CV20A. Florida gubergenic has been probably manipulating numbers for months.

CV18. Narrative, Social Reality: Stressing Freedom, Vaccine Opponents Rebranding in Virus Era. Years before this year's anti mask and reopening demonstrations, vaccine opponents were working on reinventing their image around a rallying cry of civil liberties and medical freedom. ^CV23↓ ^CV33↓.

CV20. Communication: Dr. Fauci: Not Being Transparent about Covid-19 Because You Don’t Want to Alarm People Is Totally Nonsense. Panic 200921-CV17, 200917-CV01, 200909-CV18 -A -B -D, 200807-CV20, 200727-CV11, 200717-CV01, 200706-CV01.1B (to be added later), 200704-CV20, 200524-CV16.1, 200508-CV28, 200428-CV29A, 200403-CV25. ^CV28↓.

CV23. Polemic, Myphysis: Russia Continues to Spread Coronavirus Conspiracies, Intel Bulletin Warns. From a national security perspective it is highly disconcerting to see a growing number of instances in which these conspiracies promoted by Russia have been mimicked by the president and his supporters ^CV18↑. Reported Russian Covid Vaccine Disinformation Reprehensible: UK's Raab, and its disinformation may be impacting on its own cases. 201004-4, 200912-CV23.1, 200831-CV01A, 200828-CV01B. Kremlin Dismisses Vaccine Disinformation Campaign Accusations as Circus. 200728-CV03.1, 200616-CV03, 200613-CV23.1, 200425-CV03, 200402-CV16, 200329-3.4A, 200326-CV11, 200322-2B‡, <CONT 200301-200112-2¶>10, <CONT 200223-200112-2¶>1K.

CV24. Norms: The Coronavirus Disproportionally Putting Women Out of Work. More than 1 in 10 parents of young children in New Jersey said they quit their jobs to help with childcare since the pandemic began, with women six times more impacted than men, according to a poll released last month. This is expected with men still earning more money than women, and the general incompetence of males in running households and parenting. Suspect however that will change drastically as the comparative advantages of females (who tend to fill the women gender roles) in a biocalamity become more apparent.

CV28. Logistics: Germans Start Hamstering Toilet Paper Again as Covid-19 Cases Surge. This will likely to lead to hoarding in other countries. ^CV20↑.

CV33. Legal: Illinois Governor Orders Police Patrols amid Covid Spikes, patrolling bars and restaurants in regions of the state where coronavirus numbers are surging ^CV18↑.

            -A. Grenades, Bread and Body Bags: How Illinois Has Spent $1.6 Billion in Response to Covid-19 So Far ^CV05. The Illinois State Police asked for Covid-19 funds to cover $75,000 it had spent on 2,240 tear gas or other nonlethal grenades, 100 flash bang grenades and 1,400 projectiles used for crowd control, plus $30,000 in hotel rooms and dinners for troopers deployed to Chicago in late May and again in August amid civil unrest related to police violence.